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Oxford United v Luton Town : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Kassam Stadium, Oxford

Matt Gray takes his Luton Town side to The Kassam Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday evening, with Gary Rowett's Oxford United waiting for them. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and pulled out the stats that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds are there to make sure you get the best return.

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Oxford United's next match is v Stoke at 12:30 on Saturday 25th January
Luton Town's next match is v Millwall at 12:30 on Saturday 25th January
The last English Championship meeting between Oxford Utd and Luton was on Tuesday 21st January 2025
English Championship
January 21st 2025
Oxford Utd 3
2 Luton
 
M. Helik 23'11' T. Krauß
C. Brown 59'26' M. McGuinness
G. Leigh 69'
 
OXF
LUT
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
1
1
Corners
6
5
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
11
17
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
Oxford UtdLuton
 
J. Cumming
C. Brownfootball icon
M. Helikfootball icon
P. Kioso
G. Leighfootball icon
C. Brannagan (R. da Rocha Rodrigues 90')
W. Vaulks
M. Phillips (A. Matos 65')
M. Harris (T. Bradshaw 65')
S. Dembele (L. Sibley 90')
P. Płacheta (H. ter Avest 80')
T. Kaminski
A. Bell
football iconM. McGuinness
T. Holmes
D. Hashioka
(A. Doughty 60') Z. Nelson
(C. Woodrow 81') J. Clark
M. Nakamba
(P. Ruddock Mpanzu 60') football iconT. Krauß
(C. Morris 60') E. Adebayo
(J. Brown 60') I. Jones

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our best tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 mins. Both Oxford Utd and Luton's recent form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Oxford Utd are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Oxford Utd
49%
9/4
41%
9/4
25%
Draw
24%
21/10
9%
2/1
12%
Luton
27%
13/10
23%
11/8
9%
Draw 1-1
11%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Oxford Utd 2-1
10%
11/1
26%
10/1
22%
Oxford Utd 1-0
9%
13/2
12%
13/2
7%
Oxford Utd 2-0
8%
14/1
25%
12/1
18%
Luton 2-1
7%
9/1
9%
8/1
Luton 1-0
7%
5/1
40%
5/1
14%
Draw 2-2
6%
18/1
46%
14/1
15%
Oxford Utd 3-1
5%
33/1
79%
22/1
35%
Draw 0-0
5%
6/1
36%
5/1
25%
Oxford Utd 3-0
4%
33/1
62%
25/1
37%
Luton 2-0
4%
17/2
37%
8/1
18%
Oxford Utd 3-2
3%
40/1
58%
28/1
26%
Luton 3-1
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
Luton 3-2
2%
40/1
41%
25/1
13%
Oxford Utd 4-1
2%
66/1
63%
50/1
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
6/4
31%
7/5
14%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
8/15
20%
8/15
8%
Home 1st Goal
52%
6/4
45%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
4/5
18%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
6/1
36%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
11/10
26%
21/20
7%
BTTS - No
42%
4/6
20%
7/10
7%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
7/1
78%
6/1
33%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
10%
7/2
BTTS - Away Win
14%
5/1
9%
17/4
Home/draw
73%
4/7
15%
4/7
6%
Away/draw
51%
1/3
15%
1/3
10%
Home/away
76%
4/11
5%
4/11
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/2
16%
10/21
9%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
13/8
30%
6/4
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/2
41%
17/5
17%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1/5
12%
2/11
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
10/1
83%
8/1
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/20
6%
1/20
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
22/1
77%
18/1
27%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/80
3%
1/200
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/10
5%
1/10
4%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
6/1
36%
11/2
19%
Home DNB
66%
5/4
35%
6/5
20%
Away DNB
44%
4/7
25%
3/5
14%
Oxford Utd win to nil
24%
4/1
25%
-
Luton win to nil
13%
5/2
36%
-
Oxford Utd / Oxford Utd
15%
9/2
47%
17/4
31%
Oxford Utd / Luton
3%
28/122/1
Oxford Utd / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Draw / Oxford Utd
12%
6/1
27%
11/2
13%
Draw / Luton
16%
4/1
23%
17/4
9%
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
21%
3/1
13%
Luton / Oxford Utd
3%
33/1
31%
25/1
13%
Luton / Luton
21%
3/1
16%
11/4
11%
Luton / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Oxford Utd have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 15th place in the Championship league table. Oxford Utd are unbeaten in 12 games against teams below them in the league and kept 4 clean sheets out of 12 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 6 and lost no matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Oxford Utd have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

Oxford Utd have played 14 games at home winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Luton are in 23rd position in the Championship on 26 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 5 and won 7. Luton have conceded 41 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Oxford Utd
Luton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds2817833459 
Apr 18
l
 
4-0A
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
2
Sheff Utd2818642258 
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
Feb 15
l
 
2-0A
3
Burnley28151122756 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 4
l
 
1-4A
Mar 8
4
Sunderland2815941854 
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
Feb 12
5
M'Boro2812881244 
l
 
2-6F
Mar 29
Mar 15
l
 
5-1A
6
Blackburn2812610542 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
7
West Brom289145941 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
d
 
1-1A
May 3
8
Watford2812511041 
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
9
Bristol C289118238 
Feb 1
l
 
2-1F
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
10
QPR289118-338 
Apr 9
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
11
Sheff Wed2810810-538 
l
 
1-3F
Apr 12
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
12
Norwich289910236 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 8
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-2F
13
Coventry289811035 
Mar 1
l
 
3-2A
Apr 26
l
 
3-2F
14
Oxford Utd Home289811-1035 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2F
15
Swansea289712-434 
l
 
1-2A
May 3
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
16
Preston287138-534 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
17
Millwall2771010031 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
18
Portsmouth277812-1129 
Feb 15
d
 
1-1A
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
19
Stoke2861012-1028 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
w
 
2-1A
Apr 8
20
Cardiff2861012-1228 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 21
w
 
1-0F
Mar 11
21
Derby287615-727 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 11
w
 
2-1A
Apr 18
22
Hull286814-1126 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 12
w
 
1-0F
Mar 29
23
Luton Away287516-1826 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2A
-
-
24
Plymouth284915-3521 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
-
l
 
3-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Oxford Utd 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Oxford Utd1 - 0Blackburn
Oxford Utd2 - 0Plymouth
Oxford Utd3 - 2Cardiff
Oxford Utd1 - 3Sheff Wed
Oxford Utd1 - 1Millwall
Oxford Utd2 - 6M'Boro
Oxford Utd1 - 0Hull
Oxford Utd1 - 2Swansea
Oxford Utd1 - 1Derby
Oxford Utd1 - 1West Brom
Oxford Utd0 - 0Burnley
Oxford Utd1 - 0Stoke
Oxford Utd3 - 1Preston
Oxford Utd2 - 0Norwich
Oxford Utd1 - 0Peterborough
Oxford Utd1 - 1Stevenage
Oxford Utd0 - 1Lincoln
Oxford Utd5 - 0Peterborough
Oxford Utd4 - 0Fleetwood
Oxford Utd2 - 1Cheltenham
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HOxford Utd1 - 0Blackburn
AOxford Utd1 - 1Plymouth
AOxford Utd1 - 1Preston
AOxford Utd1 - 0Millwall
HOxford Utd2 - 0Plymouth
HOxford Utd3 - 2Cardiff
AOxford Utd0 - 4Leeds
HOxford Utd1 - 3Sheff Wed
AOxford Utd0 - 2QPR
HOxford Utd1 - 1Millwall
AOxford Utd0 - 3Sheff Utd
HOxford Utd2 - 6M'Boro
AOxford Utd0 - 1Watford
HOxford Utd1 - 0Hull
HOxford Utd1 - 2Swansea
AOxford Utd0 - 2Sunderland
HOxford Utd1 - 1Derby
HOxford Utd1 - 1West Brom
AOxford Utd1 - 1Portsmouth
AOxford Utd2 - 2Luton
Luton 23RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
47
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
1
D
2
Lost
17
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
QPR2 - 1Luton
Swansea2 - 1Luton
Bristol C1 - 0Luton
Blackburn2 - 0Luton
Norwich4 - 2Luton
Leeds3 - 0Luton
M'Boro5 - 1Luton
Coventry3 - 2Luton
Sheff Utd2 - 0Luton
Plymouth3 - 1Luton
Millwall0 - 1Luton
Preston1 - 0Luton
Portsmouth0 - 0Luton
West Ham3 - 1Luton
Wolves2 - 1Luton
Man City5 - 1Luton
Arsenal2 - 0Luton
Spurs2 - 1Luton
Bournemouth4 - 3Luton
C Palace1 - 1Luton
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLuton0 - 0Preston
ALuton1 - 2QPR
HLuton0 - 1Norwich
ALuton1 - 2Swansea
ALuton0 - 1Bristol C
HLuton2 - 1Derby
ALuton0 - 2Blackburn
HLuton2 - 1Stoke
HLuton1 - 1Swansea
ALuton2 - 4Norwich
ALuton0 - 3Leeds
HLuton1 - 0Hull
ALuton1 - 5M'Boro
HLuton1 - 0Cardiff
HLuton1 - 1West Brom
ALuton2 - 3Coventry
HLuton1 - 2Sunderland
HLuton3 - 0Watford
ALuton0 - 2Sheff Utd
HLuton2 - 2Oxford Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Luton have not lost to Oxford Utd in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Oxford Utd since 2015
Oxford Utd
Luton
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
1
LUT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Oxford Utd
1 - 2Luton
2 - 3Luton
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Luton since 2014
Luton
Oxford Utd
Goals: Scored
9
5
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
D
2
LUT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
Draw2 - 2Draw
Luton3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Luton2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Oxford United have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Championship matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Luton Town on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Goals have been a problem for Luton Town of late. It has been 5 Championship matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Tuesday evening against Oxford United.

Oxford Utd 14th Luton 23rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Oxford Utd will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Luton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Oxford Utd have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-28
Luton have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280418/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Oxford Utd
PG (predicted goals)
Luton
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
15%
better
OXF
LUT
view stats
Games scored21
19
Failed to score6
8
Scored first14
10
Goals scored30
27
Avg. goals scored1.1
1
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
13
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
10%
better
OXF
LUT
view stats
Games conceded20
21
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first12
15
Goals conceded41
44
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%

Oxford Utd v Luton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Oxford Utd Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28544
J CummingM HarrisC BrannaganC Brannagan
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Cumming GLK28
1
-
P Kioso DEF211
3
-
M Helik DEF21
1
-
C Brown DEF2843
3
-
G Leigh DEF2441
-
W Vaulks MID2711
1
-
C Brannagan MID1724
4
-
P Placheta  MID1422
-
M Phillips MID151
1
-
S Dembélé MID131
2
-
M Harris FWD2851
3
-
Subs
M Ingram GLK
-
S Long DEF171
1
-
H Avest DEF101
-
L Sibley MID111
3
-
I Mizouni MID2312
2
-
A. Matos FWD3
-
R Rodrigues FWD2843
2
-
O Romeny FWD
-
T Bradshaw FWD2
-
Luton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27748
T KaminskiC MorrisT KraußJ Clark
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Kaminski GLK271
2
1
D Hashioka DEF15
3
-
M McGuinness DEF2633
4
-
T Holmes DEF1811
3
1
A Bell DEF15
1
-
M Nakamba MID16
1
-
I Jones MID2
1
-
J Clark MID2633
8
-
T Krauß MID2224
1
-
Z Nelson MID151
4
-
E Adebayo FWD285
1
-
Subs
T Krul GLK
-
R Walters DEF11
2
-
M Andersen DEF3
1
-
A Doughty MID144
5
-
P Mpanzu MID1011
1
-
L Walsh  MID111
2
C Morris FWD2571
6
-
C Woodrow FWD15
1
-
J Brown FWD1931
2
-