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Oxford United v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Kassam Stadium, Oxford

Oxford United and their manager Matt Bloomfield will be aiming to beat Edward Still and his Watford side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair clash at The Kassam Stadium in the Championship. This preview has the best odds for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be found, while there's also head-to-head history later on in the preview.

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Oxford United's next match is v Derby at 12:30 on Saturday 18th April
Watford's next match is v Sheff Utd at 15:00 on Saturday 18th April
The last English Championship meeting between Oxford Utd and Watford was on Saturday 11th April 2026
English Championship
April 11th 2026
Oxford Utd 2
0 Watford
 
M. Peart-Harris 19'
M. Harris 90'
 
OXF
WAT
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
6
4
Corners
10
5
Possession
33%
67%
Fouls
8
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
Oxford UtdWatford
 
J. Cumming
S. Long
C. Brown
M. Helik
Y. Konak (W. Vaulks 90')
C. Brannagan
B. Spencer
J. Donley (M. Harris 87')
M. Peart-Harrisfootball icon (H. ter Avest 78')
S. Mills
W. Lankshear (O. ter Haar Romeny 90')
E. Selvik
(T. Ince 89') S. Goglichidze
M. Pollock
J. Abankwah
(O. Maamma 68') G. Chakvetadze
I. Louza
(K. Baah 60') N. Mendy
(M. Doumbia 61') L. Kjerrumgaard
(K. Keben 61') J. Pétris
E. Kayembe
N. Irankunda

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It's not the news we want to be reporting, but we're not predicting a high-scoring affair here. The statistics suggest Oxford Utd and Watford both can struggle to find the net on occasion, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Oxford Utd are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Oxford Utd
36%
7/51/1000
Draw
29%
23/10100/1
Watford
35%
19/101/50
Draw 1-1
13%
5/113/2
Oxford Utd 1-0
12%
13/22/9
Watford 1-0
12%
8/16/1
Draw 0-0
11%
8/111/2
Oxford Utd 2-1
7%
17/233/1
Watford 2-1
7%
10/150/1
Oxford Utd 2-0
7%
10/16/1
Watford 2-0
7%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1125/1
Oxford Utd 3-1
3%
20/1150/1
Watford 3-1
3%
22/1200/1
Oxford Utd 3-0
2%
22/145/1
Watford 3-0
2%
28/122/1
Oxford Utd 3-2
2%
28/1150/1
Watford 3-2
1%
33/1200/1
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
11/107/1
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
8/111/16
Home 1st Goal
46%
10/1119/20
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/106/5
No 1st Goal
8%
8/111/2
BTTS - Yes
45%
5/612/1
BTTS - No
55%
5/61/66
BTTS - Home Win
13%
4/128/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/213/2
BTTS - Away Win
13%
5/140/1
Home/draw
65%
2/51/50
Away/draw
64%
8/1580/1
Home/away
71%
1/31/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
4/1111/4
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
11/51/4
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
11/455/1
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
2/71/500
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
7/180/1
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/121/300
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/141/12
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
8/16/1
Home DNB
56%
4/61/200
Away DNB
56%
11/1040/1
Oxford Utd win to nil
22%
3/1-
Watford win to nil
22%
4/1-
Oxford Utd / Oxford Utd
22%
3/11/2
Oxford Utd / Watford
3%
28/18/1
Oxford Utd / Draw
6%
12/116/5
Draw / Oxford Utd
15%
9/218/1
Draw / Watford
12%
11/216/1
Draw / Draw
16%
4/114/1
Watford / Oxford Utd
4%
25/1125/1
Watford / Watford
17%
15/450/1
Watford / Draw
6%
14/180/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

Oxford Utd have played 41 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

40 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 14 and won 8. Oxford Utd have conceded 53 goals, scored 37, failed to score in 16 matches and kept 7 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Oxford Utd have played 20 games at home, winning 5, drawing 8 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 25 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

Watford lay in 12th place on 57 points in the Championship league table having played 41 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 10 and losing 6 games. They have scored 23 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Watford have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Watford have played 20 away games, winning 4, drawing 8 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Oxford Utd
Watford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry42251074285 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
l
 
3-1A
2
Ipswich40211273175 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
3
Millwall42211011973 
d
 
2-2A
May 2
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
M'Boro422012102072 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
Apr 25
5
Southampton411912102069 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
6
Hull4220814468 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
7
Wrexham42171312364 
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
8
Derby4218915863 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3A
9
Norwich4217718558 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
10
Bristol C42161016158 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
11
QPR42161016-558 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
12
Watford42141513157 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
-
-
13
Preston42141513-357 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
14
Swansea4216917-457 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
15
Birmingham42151116-156 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
16
Stoke42151017355 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
17
Sheff Utd4216620054 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1F
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
18
Charlton42121317-1249 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
19
Blackburn42121218-1248 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
20
West Brom42111318-1446 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 21
21
Portsmouth41111218-1645 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
22
Oxford Utd42101418-1344 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
23
Leicester42111417-1041 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
24
Sheff Wed4211130-57-4 
Apr 25
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Oxford Utd 22ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Watford 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Oxford Utd since 1999
Oxford Utd
Watford
Goals: Scored
1
0
Games: Scored
1 / 2
0 / 2
Clean sheets
2 / 2
1 / 2
OXF
1
D
1
League games at Watford since 1998
Watford
Oxford Utd
Goals: Scored
5
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
WAT
3
Goal Statistics
Oxford Utd 22nd Watford 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Oxford Utd will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Oxford Utd have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
-7
Watford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Oxford Utd
PG (predicted goals)
Watford
1.1
1.1
Attack rating
OXF
WAT
14%
better
view stats
Games scored25
31
Failed to score16
10
Scored first16
12
Goals scored39
52
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for12
13
Avg. XG for1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
0%
better
OXF
WAT
view stats
Games conceded34
34
Clean sheets7
7
Conceded first20
27
Goals conceded54
49
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
0%

Oxford Utd v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Oxford Utd Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
42949
J CummingW. LankshearM HelikW Vaulks
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Cumming GLK42
1
-
S Long DEF3611
2
-
M Helik DEF3914
5
-
C Brown DEF3331
6
-
B Spencer DEF251
6
-
Y. Konak MID12
2
-
C Brannagan MID3363
7
-
S Mills MID3933
5
-
J. Donley MID911
-
M Peart-Harris MID162
2
-
W. Lankshear FWD4091
2
1
Subs
M Ingram GLK
-
H Avest DEF10
-
C Makosso DEF6
1
-
W Vaulks MID35
9
-
P Placheta  MID2531
-
J Jin-Woo MID5
-
J. McDonnell MID9
1
-
M Harris FWD333
3
-
O Romeny FWD15
1
-
Watford Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3810911
I Louza L KjerrumgaardI Louza N Irankunda
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Selvik GLK36
3
-
J Abankwah DEF27
3
1
M Pollock DEF3111
5
-
S. Goglichidze DEF10
2
-
J Petris DEF15
3
-
N Irankunda MID3644
10
1
E Kayembe MID3342
4
-
N Mendy MID21
2
-
G Chakvetadze MID263
6
-
L Kjerrumgaard FWD40101
1
-
I Louza  FWD3879
8
1
Subs
N Baxter GLK7
-
K Keben DEF271
3
-
J. Mullins DEF
-
T Ince MID254
-
P Ekwah MID7
2
-
K Baah FWD2611
4
-
O. Maamma FWD2141
1
-
A. Nabizada FWD2
-
M. Doumbia FWD2941
5
-