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Plymouth Argyle v Burnley : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Home Park, Plymouth

the Home Park plays host on Wednesday night, as Leonid Kuchuk's Plymouth Argyle host Scott Parker's Burnley in the Championship. Team form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and the best odds are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We're tipping under 3.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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Plymouth Argyle's next match is v Sunderland at 15:00 on Saturday 25th January
Burnley's next match is v Leeds at 20:00 on Monday 27th January
The last English Championship meeting between Plymouth and Burnley was on Wednesday 22nd January 2025
English Championship
January 22nd 2025
Plymouth 0
5 Burnley
 
11' Z. Flemming
31' Z. Flemming
34' J. Laurent
45' J. Laurent
45' J. Cullen
 
PLY
BRN
Shots On
1
9
Shots Off
2
4
Corners
1
5
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
14
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
PlymouthBurnley
 
D. Grimshaw
B. Mumba
T. Puchacz
N. Ogbeta (M. Sorinola 46')
G. Pálsson
J. Pleguezuelo Selva
D. Gyabi
R. Hajal (C. Wright 46')
M. Baidoo (T. Finn 82')
A. Randell (J. Houghton 70')
R. Hardie (M. Bundu 46')
J. Trafford
L. Pires Silva
C. Roberts
(J. Worrall 84') C. Egan Riley
M. Esteve
(J. Sarmiento 69') J. Brownhill
(J. Rodriguez 77') football iconfootball iconZ. Flemming
football iconJ. Cullen
football iconfootball iconJ. Laurent
(L. Koleosho 68') J. Anthony
(H. Mejbri 77') L. Foster

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Plymouth and Burnley have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Wednesday night, and the bookies have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Burnley coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Plymouth
24%
5.75
18%
6.00
14%
Draw
26%
3.80
1%
3.90
5%
Burnley
49%
1.57
3%
1.60
4%
Burnley 1-0
13%
5.50
15%
5.50
4%
Draw 1-1
12%
7.507.00
8%
Burnley 2-0
10%
6.506.50
7%
Burnley 2-1
9%
8.508.00
7%
Draw 0-0
9%
8.50
11%
8.00
Plymouth 1-0
8%
13.00
13%
11.00
10%
Plymouth 2-1
6%
19.00
10%
15.00
Burnley 3-0
5%
11.00
10%
10.00
9%
Burnley 3-1
5%
15.00
15%
12.00
Draw 2-2
4%
21.00
11%
17.00
13%
Plymouth 2-0
4%
29.00
15%
21.00
11%
Burnley 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
Plymouth 3-1
2%
51.0034.00
Burnley 4-0
2%
23.00
10%
17.00
11%
Burnley 4-1
2%
29.00
12%
21.00
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
2.20
10%
2.05
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
1.67
7%
1.70
Home 1st Goal
42%
3.60-
Away 1st Goal
53%
1.40
3%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8.50
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
2.20
10%
2.15
5%
BTTS - No
52%
1.62
6%
1.65
3%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
13.0011.00
16%
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.505.50
10%
BTTS - Away Win
20%
4.00
7%
3.80
Home/draw
51%
2.30
3%
2.30
7%
Away/draw
76%
1.14
4%
1.12
3%
Home/away
74%
1.251.25
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1.40
8%
1.35
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
3.00
14%
3.00
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
4.00
18%
3.60
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1.25
6%
1.25
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8.00
23%
7.00
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1.08
3%
1.08
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
17.00
13%
15.00
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.02
1%
1.02
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.07
1%
1.06
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9.00
5%
8.00
Home DNB
43%
4.33
13%
4.20
14%
Away DNB
68%
1.20
3%
1.20
2%
Plymouth win to nil
14%
9.00
18%
-
Burnley win to nil
30%
2.38-
Plymouth / Plymouth
8%
10.00
9%
8.50
6%
Plymouth / Burnley
4%
23.0019.00
Plymouth / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
Draw / Plymouth
8%
11.00
8%
11.00
16%
Draw / Burnley
20%
4.004.00
5%
Draw / Draw
15%
5.00
9%
5.00
4%
Burnley / Plymouth
2%
41.0034.00
Burnley / Burnley
33%
2.50
5%
2.38
5%
Burnley / Draw
5%
15.0015.00
15%
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Plymouth have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 9 and won 4. Plymouth have conceded 55 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Plymouth have played 13 games at home, winning 4, drawing 6 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Burnley lay in 4th place on 53 points in the Championship league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 10 and losing 1 game. They have scored 28 goals and kept 15 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Burnley have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 8 matches.

Away league performance

Burnley have played 14 away games, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Plymouth
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds2817833459 
May 3
l
 
3-0A
Jan 27
w
 
0-1F
2
Sheff Utd2818642258 
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
Apr 21
w
 
0-2F
3
Burnley Away28151122756 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
1-0A
-
-
4
Sunderland2815941854 
w
 
3-2A
Jan 25
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
5
M'Boro2812881244 
d
 
3-3F
Apr 18
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
6
Blackburn2812610542 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
7
West Brom289145941 
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
Mar 11
d
 
0-00-0
8
Watford2812511041 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 29
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
9
Bristol C289118238 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
10
QPR289118-338 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
11
Sheff Wed2810810-538 
Mar 8
l
 
4-0A
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
12
Norwich289910236 
Apr 5
l
 
6-1A
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
13
Coventry289811035 
Apr 21
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
14
Oxford Utd289811-1035 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
Feb 4
d
 
0-00-0
15
Swansea289712-434 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 9
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
16
Preston287138-534 
d
 
3-3A
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
17
Millwall2771010031 
Feb 12
l
 
1-0A
May 3
l
 
1-0A
18
Portsmouth277812-1129 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 11
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
19
Stoke2861012-1028 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
20
Cardiff2861012-1228 
Feb 22
l
 
5-0A
w
 
5-0F
Mar 1
21
Derby287615-727 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 9
22
Hull286814-1126 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 1
Feb 12
d
 
1-1A
23
Luton287516-1826 
w
 
3-1F
-
Mar 8
w
 
1-4F
24
Plymouth Home284915-3521 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-5F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
13
Plymouth have not won in 13 consecutive league games
14
Burnley have not lost in 14 consecutive league games
5
Burnley have kept a clean sheet for 5 consecutive league games
Plymouth 24TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
13
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Plymouth0 - 1QPR
Plymouth1 - 1Oxford Utd
Plymouth2 - 2Bristol C
Plymouth3 - 3M'Boro
Plymouth1 - 2Swansea
Plymouth2 - 2Watford
Plymouth1 - 0Portsmouth
Plymouth3 - 3Preston
Plymouth2 - 1Blackburn
Plymouth3 - 1Luton
Plymouth3 - 2Sunderland
Plymouth0 - 1Stoke
Plymouth1 - 1Hull
Plymouth1 - 0Hull
Plymouth1 - 0Leicester
Plymouth1 - 1QPR
Plymouth0 - 1Bristol C
Plymouth0 - 1Preston
Plymouth0 - 2Ipswich
Plymouth0 - 3West Brom
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPlymouth0 - 1QPR
HPlymouth1 - 1Oxford Utd
APlymouth0 - 0Stoke
HPlymouth2 - 2Bristol C
APlymouth0 - 2Oxford Utd
APlymouth0 - 4Coventry
HPlymouth3 - 3M'Boro
APlymouth0 - 2Sheff Utd
HPlymouth1 - 2Swansea
APlymouth0 - 4Bristol C
APlymouth1 - 6Norwich
HPlymouth2 - 2Watford
APlymouth1 - 1Derby
HPlymouth1 - 0Portsmouth
APlymouth0 - 3Leeds
HPlymouth3 - 3Preston
APlymouth0 - 1Millwall
APlymouth0 - 5Cardiff
HPlymouth2 - 1Blackburn
APlymouth0 - 1Burnley
Burnley 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
14
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Blackburn0 - 1Burnley
M'Boro0 - 0Burnley
Sheff Utd0 - 2Burnley
Norwich1 - 2Burnley
Stoke0 - 2Burnley
Bristol C0 - 1Burnley
West Brom0 - 0Burnley
Millwall1 - 0Burnley
Hull1 - 1Burnley
Sheff Wed0 - 2Burnley
Oxford Utd0 - 0Burnley
Leeds0 - 1Burnley
Sunderland1 - 0Burnley
Luton1 - 4Burnley
Spurs2 - 1Burnley
Man Utd1 - 1Burnley
Sheff Utd1 - 4Burnley
Everton1 - 0Burnley
Chelsea2 - 2Burnley
West Ham2 - 2Burnley
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
5
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
5 / 20
Clean sheets
15 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
10
Draw
9
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurnley0 - 0Sunderland
ABurnley1 - 0Blackburn
HBurnley0 - 0Stoke
ABurnley0 - 0M'Boro
ABurnley2 - 0Sheff Utd
HBurnley2 - 1Watford
ABurnley2 - 1Norwich
HBurnley0 - 0Derby
HBurnley1 - 1M'Boro
ABurnley2 - 0Stoke
HBurnley2 - 0Coventry
ABurnley1 - 0Bristol C
HBurnley1 - 0Swansea
ABurnley0 - 0West Brom
ABurnley0 - 1Millwall
HBurnley0 - 0QPR
ABurnley1 - 1Hull
ABurnley2 - 0Sheff Wed
HBurnley0 - 0Preston
HBurnley1 - 0Plymouth
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Plymouth since 2004
Plymouth
Burnley
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
4 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
1 / 5
PLY
3
D
1
BRN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Plymouth
1 - 2Burnley
Plymouth3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Plymouth1 - 0
Plymouth1 - 0
League games at Burnley since 2005
Burnley
Plymouth
Goals: Scored
9
0
Games: Scored
5 / 6
0 / 6
Clean sheets
6 / 6
1 / 6
D
1
BRN
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Burnley1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Burnley1 - 0
Burnley4 - 0
Burnley1 - 0
Burnley2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Burnley's defensive record is to be admired, Scott Parker's men having conceded 1 or less in 27 consecutive Championship matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Plymouth Argyle makes sense in this context.

Plymouth 24th Burnley 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Plymouth scoring 1 goal or less
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Burnley will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Plymouth have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
+7
Burnley’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280422/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Plymouth
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
1
1.5
Attack rating
PLY
BRN
21%
better
view stats
Games scored14
17
Failed to score13
10
Scored first5
13
Goals scored25
31
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.1
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
PLY
BRN
69%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
9
Clean sheets2
18
Conceded first21
6
Goals conceded55
9
Avg. goals conceded2
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
20
Conversion rate against18%
5%
Avg. XG against1.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+69%

Plymouth v Burnley Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Plymouth Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25337
B MumbaR HajjM BunduD Gyabi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Grimshaw GLK201
2
-
J Pleguezuelo DEF111
1
-
V Pálsson DEF10
1
-
T Puchacz DEF21
-
B Mumba MID271
3
-
A Randell MID2411
3
-
D Gyabi MID2511
7
-
N Ogbeta MID91
1
-
M Baidoo FWD2
-
R Hajj FWD193
1
-
R Hardie FWD2112
-
Subs
Z Baker GLK
-
M Sorinola DEF11
5
-
C Roberts MID4
2
-
J Houghton MID14
2
-
C Wright MID16
1
F Issaka FWD151
1
T. Finn FWD3
-
I Cissoko FWD1331
2
1
M Bundu FWD1833
1
-
Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27939
M EstèveJ Brownhill J Brownhill J Cullen
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK26
7
-
C Roberts DEF2212
2
-
C Egan-Riley DEF221
6
-
M Estève DEF27
2
-
L Pires DEF192
3
-
J Cullen MID251
9
-
J Laurent MID221
3
-
J Anthony MID2432
3
-
J Brownhill  MID2693
3
-
L Foster MID1311
3
-
Z Flemming FWD1841
1
-
Subs
V Hladky GLK1
-
J Worrall DEF41
1
-
B Humphreys DEF212
2
1
J Egan DEF7
-
J Sarmiento  MID202
2
-
H Mejbri MID191
5
1
J Rodríguez FWD192
1
-
L Koleosho FWD242
3
-
A Barnes FWD1
-