Plymouth Argyle's team badge Derby County's team badge

Plymouth Argyle v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Home Park, Plymouth

Plymouth Argyle and their manager Leonid Kuchuk will be aiming to beat John Coleman and his Derby County side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair go head to head at the Home Park in the Championship. All the odds are provided directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Championship match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Plymouth Argyle's next match is v Watford at 12:30 on Saturday 29th March
Derby County's next match is v Preston at 19:45 on Wednesday 2nd April
The last English Championship meeting between Plymouth and Derby was on Saturday 15th March 2025
English Championship
March 15th 2025
Plymouth 2
3 Derby
 
M. Bundu 38'11' M. Harness
N. Phillips (OG) 46'26' H. Armstrong
88' M. Harness
 
PLY
DER
Shots On
3
5
Shots Off
5
1
Corners
7
3
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
4
13
Yellow/red cards
3/0
 
PlymouthDerby
 
C. Hazard
B. Mumba (J. Edwards 72')
T. Puchacz (N. Ogbeta 72')
M. Talovierov
N. Katić
K. Szűcs (R. Hajal 84')
C. Wright (M. Obafemi 63')
J. Houghton
D. Gyabi (M. Boateng 72')
M. Bundufootball icon
R. Hardie
J. Widell Zetterström
C. Forsyth
football iconN. Phillips
(S. Langås 74') K. Wilson
C. Elder
M. Clarke
E. Adams
(K. Jackson 61') L. Thompson
football iconfootball iconM. Harness
football iconH. Armstrong
J. Yates

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Plymouth or Derby are in the kind of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Plymouth are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Plymouth
41%
21/10
13%
23/10
26%
Draw
26%
2/1
9%
15/8
15%
Derby
33%
29/20
2%
6/4
4%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Plymouth 1-0
10%
11/2
24%
11/2
13%
Plymouth 2-1
9%
12/1
30%
10/1
22%
Derby 1-0
9%
9/2
35%
9/2
27%
Derby 2-1
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Plymouth 2-0
7%
12/111/1
9%
Draw 0-0
7%
5/1
37%
17/4
38%
Draw 2-2
5%
20/1
40%
16/1
42%
Derby 2-0
5%
9/1
23%
17/2
14%
Plymouth 3-1
4%
33/1
62%
25/1
53%
Plymouth 3-0
3%
33/1
31%
25/1
37%
Derby 3-1
3%
25/1
24%
18/1
12%
Plymouth 3-2
3%
50/1
76%
33/1
48%
Derby 3-2
2%
40/1
41%
33/1
48%
Derby 3-0
2%
22/1
12%
18/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
2/1
50%
9/5
44%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
2/5
22%
2/5
20%
Home 1st Goal
49%
6/4
25%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
5/6
9%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
5/1
37%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
11/8
32%
13/10
28%
BTTS - No
46%
8/15
20%
4/7
19%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
15/2
55%
13/2
50%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/1
11%
18/5
6%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
6/1
27%
5/1
20%
Home/draw
67%
8/15
2%
8/15
3%
Away/draw
59%
4/11
3%
1/3
10%
Home/away
74%
4/11
2%
2/5
8%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
8/13
22%
3/5
20%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
13/10
32%
6/5
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5/1
71%
9/2
62%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/8
14%
1/8
13%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
14/1
114%
11/1
85%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/33
6%
1/40
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
28/1
93%
22/1
77%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/150
2%
1/200
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/8
6%
2/15
7%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
5/1
37%
17/4
38%
Home DNB
59%
11/10
15%
23/20
16%
Away DNB
51%
4/6
9%
8/13
11%
Plymouth win to nil
22%
10/3-
Derby win to nil
17%
12/5
21%
-
Plymouth / Plymouth
15%
9/2
27%
17/4
25%
Plymouth / Derby
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
24%
Plymouth / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Draw / Plymouth
12%
11/2
8%
11/2
13%
Draw / Derby
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
9%
Draw / Draw
22%
11/4
25%
13/5
22%
Derby / Plymouth
2%
40/1
41%
28/1
38%
Derby / Derby
20%
10/329/10
3%
Derby / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Championship table

Plymouth have played 37 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

37 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 12 and won 7. Plymouth have conceded 74 goals, scored 38, failed to score in 17 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Plymouth have played 18 games at home, winning 6, drawing 7 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 30 goals, conceded 31 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Derby lay in 22nd place on 35 points in the Championship league table having played 37 matches. Derby are winless in the 2 games they have played against teams below them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below them in the table, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 2 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Derby have conceded 3 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Derby have played 18 away games, winning 1, drawing 5 and losing 12 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Plymouth
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds38231145180 
May 3
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
Sheff Utd3825762580 
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
3
Burnley38211524178 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 8
d
 
0-00-0
4
Sunderland38191271869 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
5
Coventry3817813759 
Apr 21
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
6
West Brom38131871457 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
7
Bristol C3814159857 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
8
M'Boro3815914954 
d
 
3-3F
Apr 18
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
9
Blackburn3815716252 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2A
10
Watford3815716-452 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 29
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
11
Millwall38131213-251 
w
 
5-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
12
Sheff Wed3814915-651 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2A
13
Norwich38121313649 
Apr 5
l
 
6-1A
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
14
Preston38101711-547 
d
 
3-3A
Apr 26
Apr 2
d
 
1-1A
15
QPR38111215-645 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-0A
16
Swansea3812818-1144 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 9
l
 
1-2A
Apr 5
17
Portsmouth3811918-1542 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
18
Oxford Utd38101216-1642 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
19
Hull38101117-841 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
20
Stoke3891217-1439 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
l
 
2-1A
21
Cardiff3891217-2039 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
5-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
22
Derby Away3810820-1138 
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
-
-
23
Luton389821-2635 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
24
Plymouth Home3871219-3733 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Plymouth 24TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Plymouth0 - 3Sheff Wed
Plymouth1 - 1Cardiff
Plymouth5 - 1Millwall
Plymouth2 - 1West Brom
Plymouth0 - 5Burnley
Plymouth0 - 1QPR
Plymouth1 - 1Oxford Utd
Plymouth2 - 2Bristol C
Plymouth3 - 3M'Boro
Plymouth1 - 2Swansea
Plymouth2 - 2Watford
Plymouth1 - 0Portsmouth
Plymouth3 - 3Preston
Plymouth2 - 1Blackburn
Plymouth3 - 1Luton
Plymouth3 - 2Sunderland
Plymouth0 - 1Stoke
Plymouth1 - 1Hull
Plymouth1 - 0Hull
Plymouth1 - 0Leicester
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APlymouth2 - 1Portsmouth
HPlymouth0 - 3Sheff Wed
APlymouth0 - 2Hull
HPlymouth1 - 1Cardiff
APlymouth1 - 1Luton
APlymouth0 - 2Blackburn
HPlymouth5 - 1Millwall
HPlymouth2 - 1West Brom
APlymouth2 - 2Sunderland
HPlymouth0 - 5Burnley
HPlymouth0 - 1QPR
HPlymouth1 - 1Oxford Utd
APlymouth0 - 0Stoke
HPlymouth2 - 2Bristol C
APlymouth0 - 2Oxford Utd
APlymouth0 - 4Coventry
HPlymouth3 - 3M'Boro
APlymouth0 - 2Sheff Utd
HPlymouth1 - 2Swansea
APlymouth0 - 4Bristol C
Derby 22ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
M'Boro1 - 0Derby
QPR4 - 0Derby
Norwich1 - 1Derby
Cardiff2 - 1Derby
Bristol C1 - 0Derby
Sheff Wed4 - 2Derby
Luton2 - 1Derby
Burnley0 - 0Derby
Leeds2 - 0Derby
Preston1 - 1Derby
Coventry1 - 2Derby
Stoke2 - 1Derby
Oxford Utd1 - 1Derby
Millwall1 - 1Derby
Sunderland2 - 0Derby
Sheff Utd1 - 0Derby
Watford2 - 1Derby
Blackburn4 - 2Derby
Cambridge0 - 1Derby
Wycombe0 - 0Derby
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby2 - 0Coventry
HDerby2 - 1Blackburn
ADerby0 - 1M'Boro
HDerby0 - 1Millwall
ADerby0 - 4QPR
HDerby0 - 0Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 1Norwich
HDerby0 - 1Sheff Utd
ADerby1 - 2Cardiff
HDerby0 - 1Sunderland
HDerby0 - 2Watford
ADerby0 - 1Bristol C
ADerby2 - 4Sheff Wed
HDerby0 - 1Leeds
HDerby2 - 1West Brom
ADerby1 - 2Luton
HDerby4 - 0Portsmouth
ADerby0 - 0Burnley
ADerby0 - 2Leeds
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Wed
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Plymouth since 2004
Plymouth
Derby
Goals: Scored
6
9
Games: Scored
3 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
3 / 6
PLY
3
DER
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Plymouth
Plymouth2 - 1
Plymouth1 - 0
0 - 3Derby
Plymouth3 - 1
0 - 2Derby
0 - 2Derby
League games at Derby since 2005
Derby
Plymouth
Goals: Scored
10
6
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
PLY
1
D
1
DER
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Plymouth
Derby2 - 1
Derby2 - 1
Derby1 - 0
Derby1 - 0
Derby1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Plymouth 24th Derby 22nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Plymouth will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Plymouth have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-26
Derby have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280539/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Plymouth
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
PLY
DER
11%
better
view stats
Games scored20
24
Failed to score17
13
Scored first8
14
Goals scored38
37
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
PLY
DER
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded35
29
Clean sheets2
8
Conceded first28
21
Goals conceded74
49
Avg. goals conceded2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
17%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+29%

Plymouth v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Plymouth Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
306410
B MumbaR HardieM BunduD Gyabi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Hazard GLK17
2
-
M Taloverov DEF91
3
-
N Katic DEF91
2
-
K. Szűcs DEF281
7
-
B Mumba MID351
3
-
D Gyabi MID3612
10
-
J Houghton MID24
2
-
T Puchacz MID121
1
-
R Hardie FWD2963
-
C Wright FWD27
1
M Bundu FWD2964
3
-
Subs
D Grimshaw GLK211
2
-
N Ogbeta DEF1611
1
-
J Edwards DEF121
4
-
V Pálsson DEF181
1
-
M Boateng MID4
-
R Hajj MID283
1
-
C Roberts MID4
2
-
M Obafemi FWD252
-
F Issaka FWD151
1
Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
367410
J ZetterströmJ YatesJ YatesE Adams
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK36
1
-
N Phillips DEF241
4
-
M Clarke DEF81
1
-
C Forsyth DEF3122
3
-
K Wilson MID2521
-
E Adams MID365
10
-
H. Armstrong MID71
2
-
L Thompson MID221
4
-
C Elder MID283
8
-
J Yates FWD3574
1
-
M Harness FWD3342
10
-
Subs
J Vickers GLK2
-
J Rooney DEF
-
R Nyambe DEF16
2
-
S Langas MID7
-
K Goudmijn MID3622
5
-
J Hendrick MID
-
T Barkhuizen FWD16
2
-
K Jackson FWD3832
5
-
C. Ebuka Agbawodikeizu FWD
-