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Portsmouth v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 21st Apr, 15:00 BST, Fratton Park, Portsmouth

Watford are on the road on Monday afternoon, as manager Tom Cleverley takes his men to visit Portsmouth and John Mousinho at the Fratton Park in the Championship. Analysing both teams' last 20 Championship matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Portsmouth and Watford have delivered plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Monday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Portsmouth are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portsmouth
46%
1/1
16%
-
Draw
27%
11/4
7%
-
Watford
27%
12/5
21%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1
8%
-
Portsmouth 1-0
13%
6/1-
Watford 1-0
9%
17/2
27%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
9/1
18%
-
Portsmouth 2-1
9%
8/1
10%
-
Portsmouth 2-0
9%
8/1
18%
-
Watford 2-1
6%
11/1
9%
-
Watford 2-0
5%
16/1
31%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Portsmouth 3-1
4%
16/1
19%
-
Portsmouth 3-0
4%
16/1
26%
-
Watford 3-1
2%
28/1
12%
-
Portsmouth 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
-
Watford 3-0
2%
40/1
41%
-
Watford 3-2
1%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
1/1
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
4/5
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/13
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/4
11%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
5/6
4%
-
BTTS - No
52%
5/6
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
10/3
21%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
6/1
8%
-
Home/draw
73%
3/10
7%
-
Away/draw
54%
4/5
18%
-
Home/away
73%
1/4
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/3
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
12/5
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
11/4
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
2/7
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
6/1
22%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/10
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
21%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/1
18%
-
Home DNB
65%
1/2
13%
-
Away DNB
46%
6/4
25%
-
Portsmouth win to nil
28%
12/5
9%
-
Watford win to nil
15%
5/1
39%
-
Portsmouth / Portsmouth
25%
9/4
19%
-
Portsmouth / Watford
2%
33/1-
Portsmouth / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Portsmouth
16%
4/1
9%
-
Draw / Watford
11%
13/2
15%
-
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
11%
-
Watford / Portsmouth
4%
22/1
21%
-
Watford / Watford
14%
5/1
20%
-
Watford / Draw
5%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Portsmouth have played 43 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

32 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 6 and won 11. Portsmouth have conceded 54 goals, scored 46, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 7 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Portsmouth have played 21 games at home, winning 10, drawing 6 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 31 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Watford lay in 12th place on 56 points in the Championship league table having played 43 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 8 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Watford have conceded 27 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Watford have played 21 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 12 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Portsmouth
Watford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds43261345491 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1A
2
Burnley43251624591 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
3
Sheff Utd4327792686 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
Sunderland43211391876 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
5
Bristol C431716101067 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
6
Coventry4319915766 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
7
M'Boro43189161163 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
8
West Brom431418111060 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
9
Millwall43161215-360 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
2-3F
10
Blackburn4317818359 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
11
Swansea4316918-557 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
12
Watford Away4316819-656 
Apr 21
l
 
2-1F
-
-
13
Norwich43131416353 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-5F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
14
QPR43131416-553 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
15
Sheff Wed43141118-1053 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 26
May 3
w
 
2-6F
16
Stoke43121417-950 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
6-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
17
Preston43101914-949 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
18
Portsmouth Home43131020-1449 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Apr 21
19
Oxford Utd43121219-1848 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
20
Hull43111220-1045 
May 3
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
21
Derby43111022-1143 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
22
Luton43111022-2543 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
23
Cardiff4391519-2342 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
24
Plymouth4391321-3940 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Watford have lost 3 consecutive away league games
Portsmouth 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portsmouth2 - 2Derby
Portsmouth1 - 0Blackburn
Portsmouth1 - 2Plymouth
Portsmouth1 - 0Leeds
Portsmouth2 - 1QPR
Portsmouth2 - 1Cardiff
Portsmouth0 - 0Burnley
Portsmouth0 - 1Millwall
Portsmouth3 - 1Stoke
Portsmouth2 - 1M'Boro
Portsmouth4 - 0Swansea
Portsmouth4 - 1Coventry
Portsmouth0 - 0Norwich
Portsmouth3 - 0Bristol C
Portsmouth3 - 1Preston
Portsmouth1 - 2Sheff Wed
Portsmouth1 - 1Oxford Utd
Portsmouth0 - 0Sheff Utd
Portsmouth0 - 3West Brom
Portsmouth1 - 3Sunderland
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APortsmouth5 - 3Norwich
HPortsmouth2 - 2Derby
APortsmouth0 - 1Coventry
APortsmouth1 - 2Millwall
HPortsmouth1 - 0Blackburn
APortsmouth1 - 2Preston
HPortsmouth1 - 2Plymouth
HPortsmouth1 - 0Leeds
APortsmouth0 - 1Luton
HPortsmouth2 - 1QPR
APortsmouth2 - 0Oxford Utd
HPortsmouth2 - 1Cardiff
APortsmouth1 - 2Sheff Utd
HPortsmouth0 - 0Burnley
HPortsmouth0 - 1Millwall
APortsmouth1 - 5West Brom
HPortsmouth3 - 1Stoke
HPortsmouth2 - 1M'Boro
APortsmouth0 - 3Blackburn
APortsmouth0 - 1Sunderland
Watford 12TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
West Brom2 - 1Watford
Bristol C2 - 1Watford
Oxford Utd1 - 0Watford
Stoke0 - 0Watford
M'Boro0 - 1Watford
Sunderland2 - 2Watford
Coventry2 - 1Watford
Derby0 - 2Watford
Cardiff1 - 1Watford
QPR3 - 1Watford
Burnley2 - 1Watford
Hull1 - 1Watford
Plymouth2 - 2Watford
Swansea1 - 0Watford
Sheff Wed2 - 6Watford
Leeds2 - 1Watford
Luton3 - 0Watford
Preston3 - 0Watford
Norwich4 - 1Watford
Sheff Utd1 - 0Watford
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HWatford1 - 2Burnley
AWatford1 - 2West Brom
HWatford1 - 0Hull
AWatford1 - 2Bristol C
HWatford0 - 0Plymouth
AWatford0 - 1Oxford Utd
HWatford1 - 0Swansea
HWatford1 - 2Millwall
AWatford0 - 0Stoke
HWatford2 - 0Luton
AWatford1 - 0M'Boro
HWatford0 - 4Leeds
AWatford2 - 2Sunderland
HWatford0 - 1Norwich
AWatford1 - 2Coventry
HWatford1 - 2Preston
AWatford2 - 0Derby
AWatford1 - 1Cardiff
HWatford1 - 2Sheff Utd
AWatford1 - 3QPR
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Portsmouth have beaten Watford in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Portsmouth since 1998
Portsmouth
Watford
Goals: Scored
12
9
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
POR
4
WAT
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portsmouth
Portsmouth2 - 0
Portsmouth3 - 2
Portsmouth2 - 1
Portsmouth3 - 0
0 - 1Watford
1 - 3Watford
1 - 2Watford
League games at Watford since 1999
Watford
Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
18
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
D
3
WAT
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Watford2 - 1
Watford2 - 0
Watford3 - 0
Watford4 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
Watford3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Watford of late. It has been 9 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Monday afternoon against Portsmouth.

Portsmouth 18th Watford 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Portsmouth will score no more than 1 goal
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Portsmouth have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-7
Watford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280612/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Portsmouth
PG (predicted goals)
Watford
1.4
1
Attack rating
POR
WAT
1%
better
view stats
Games scored29
33
Failed to score14
10
Scored first16
16
Goals scored55
51
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
POR
WAT
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded34
31
Clean sheets9
12
Conceded first23
24
Goals conceded69
57
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+11%

Portsmouth v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
39101011
C OgilvieC Lang J MurphyM Pack
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ogilvie DEF3941
5
-
J Murphy FWD37710
7
-
M Pack MID361
10
1
M Ritchie MID344
6
-
A Dozzell MID3421
9
-
N Schmid GLK321
2
-
F Potts MID3214
6
-
T Devlin MID291
2
-
Z Swanson DEF2811
4
-
C Lang  FWD28103
10
-
C Bishop FWD2773
1
-
C Saydee FWD252
4
-
R Poole DEF22
5
-
P Lane FWD2111
2
-
J Williams DEF17
6
-
M O’Mahony FWD133
1
-
I Hayden MID12
-
C Bramall DEF11
2
-
R Towler DEF111
3
-
K Yengi FWD11
2
-
A Aouchiche MID101
1
-
R Atkinson DEF91
3
-
H Blair FWD9
3
-
H. Matthews DEF6
-
C Shaughnessy DEF51
1
-
A Kamara MID5
1
-
T. Waddingham FWD51
1
-
K Gordon FWD4
-
J Archer GLK2
-
J. Farrell DEF1
-
Watford Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
371069
M PollockV BayoG ChakvetadzeF Carvallo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Pollock DEF3914
6
-
E Kayembe MID3981
7
-
G Chakvetadze MID3926
7
-
Y Larouci DEF382
2
-
M Sissoko MID3631
4
-
V Bayo FWD3610
4
1
R Andrews DEF3432
3
-
F Carvallo DEF28
9
-
T Ince FWD2811
-
I Louza  MID2722
8
-
R Vata FWD2733
-
K Baah FWD2743
5
2
J Ngakia DEF231
6
-
D Bachmann GLK22
1
-
T Dele-Bashiru MID224
-
J Morris DEF16
2
-
J Abankwah DEF13
2
1
M. Doumbia FWD131
1
-
E Selvik GLK10
2
-
J Bond GLK9
-
A Ogbonna DEF6
-
C Wiley DEF4
-
K Keben DEF4
-
P Dwomoh MID4
-