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Sheffield Wednesday v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 15th Dec, 20:00 BST, Hillsborough, Sheffield

John Eustace will be hoping for a crucial away win in the Championship on Monday night, as he takes his Derby County side to the Hillsborough to visit Sheffield Wednesday and Henrik Pedersen. All the odds are delivered straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Championship match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Sheff Wed or Derby are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 76% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sheff Wed
21%
5/213/5
Draw
23%
9/423/10
Derby
56%
21/2011/10
Derby 1-0
11%
6/111/2
Draw 1-1
11%
11/25/1
Derby 2-0
10%
17/215/2
Derby 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
6%
8/113/2
Sheff Wed 1-0
6%
9/115/2
Derby 3-0
6%
18/114/1
Derby 3-1
6%
16/114/1
Sheff Wed 2-1
5%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Sheff Wed 2-0
3%
16/114/1
Derby 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Derby 4-0
3%
40/128/1
Derby 4-1
3%
40/125/1
Sheff Wed 3-1
2%
28/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
11/1021/20
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
8/117/10
Home 1st Goal
41%
13/1011/8
Away 1st Goal
55%
8/114/5
No 1st Goal
4%
8/113/2
BTTS - Yes
52%
5/617/20
BTTS - No
48%
5/617/20
BTTS - Home Win
10%
13/211/2
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/27/2
BTTS - Away Win
25%
7/210/3
Home/draw
44%
8/117/10
Away/draw
79%
2/72/7
Home/away
77%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/34/11
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
12/52/1
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
11/413/5
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
2/71/4
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
6/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/101/12
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/331/66
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/141/14
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
8/113/2
Home DNB
37%
6/429/20
Away DNB
72%
1/210/21
Sheff Wed win to nil
11%
5/1-
Derby win to nil
31%
5/2-
Sheff Wed / Sheff Wed
14%
5/19/2
Sheff Wed / Derby
3%
25/120/1
Sheff Wed / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Sheff Wed
11%
13/213/2
Draw / Derby
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Draw
17%
4/117/5
Derby / Sheff Wed
3%
33/125/1
Derby / Derby
24%
12/59/4
Derby / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Sheff Wed have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league. Sheff Wed are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 6 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Sheff Wed have conceded 36 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Sheff Wed have played 10 games at home, winning 0, drawing 2 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Derby lay in 15th place on 26 points in the Championship league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 10 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Derby have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Derby have played 9 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sheff Wed
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry1913422943 
l
 
0-5A
Apr 11
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
2
M'Boro191063836 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 21
Jan 1
l
 
2-1F
3
Millwall191045-234 
Feb 14
l
 
1-0A
Dec 10
Mar 10
4
Ipswich198741431 
Mar 14
Dec 20
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
5
Preston19874631 
l
 
2-3F
Jan 1
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
6
Stoke19937830 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 3
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
7
Bristol C19856529 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
Jan 30
8
Birmingham19847528 
Jan 20
d
 
2-2A
Mar 21
Dec 26
9
Hull19847-328 
Dec 26
Mar 21
w
 
2-1F
Feb 24
10
QPR19847-428 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
11
Southampton19766527 
Feb 28
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
12
Wrexham19694327 
Jan 31
d
 
2-2A
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
13
Watford19766227 
Mar 10
Dec 9
l
 
2-3F
Feb 21
14
Leicester19766127 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-3A
Dec 29
15
Derby19757-226 
Dec 15
Mar 7
-
-
16
West Brom19748-425 
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 23
w
 
0-1F
17
Charlton18657-523 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
Jan 20
18
Sheff Utd197111-422 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
May 2
w
 
1-3F
19
Blackburn18639-521 
Dec 29
Dec 6
Feb 28
w
 
1-2F
20
Swansea19559-720 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 8
Feb 14
w
 
1-2F
21
Oxford Utd19469-718 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 25
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
22
Portsmouth18459-1017 
Jan 17
w
 
0-2F
Dec 20
Mar 14
23
Norwich193412-1113 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 25
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
24
Sheff Wed181512-22-10 
-
-
Mar 7
Dec 15
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
11
Sheff Wed have not won in 11 consecutive home league games
Sheff Wed 24TH
20 league games
Home
11
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
13
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sheff Wed2 - 3Preston
Sheff Wed0 - 3Sheff Utd
Sheff Wed1 - 1Norwich
Sheff Wed1 - 2Oxford Utd
Sheff Wed0 - 1M'Boro
Sheff Wed0 - 5Coventry
Sheff Wed1 - 1QPR
Sheff Wed0 - 3Bristol C
Sheff Wed0 - 2Swansea
Sheff Wed0 - 3Stoke
Sheff Wed1 - 1Portsmouth
Sheff Wed2 - 1M'Boro
Sheff Wed0 - 1Oxford Utd
Sheff Wed0 - 1Hull
Sheff Wed0 - 1Sheff Utd
Sheff Wed1 - 2Sunderland
Sheff Wed1 - 2Coventry
Sheff Wed1 - 1Luton
Sheff Wed2 - 2Bristol C
Sheff Wed2 - 2Millwall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
Draw
7
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSheff Wed2 - 3Preston
ASheff Wed0 - 1Millwall
HSheff Wed0 - 3Sheff Utd
ASheff Wed1 - 3Southampton
HSheff Wed1 - 1Norwich
ASheff Wed0 - 0West Brom
HSheff Wed1 - 2Oxford Utd
HSheff Wed0 - 1M'Boro
ASheff Wed1 - 2Charlton
HSheff Wed0 - 5Coventry
ASheff Wed2 - 2Birmingham
HSheff Wed1 - 1QPR
ASheff Wed2 - 0Portsmouth
HSheff Wed0 - 3Bristol C
HSheff Wed0 - 2Swansea
ASheff Wed2 - 2Wrexham
HSheff Wed0 - 3Stoke
ASheff Wed1 - 2Leicester
ASheff Wed1 - 1Watford
HSheff Wed1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
M'Boro2 - 1Derby
Swansea1 - 2Derby
Blackburn1 - 2Derby
Sheff Utd1 - 3Derby
Oxford Utd1 - 0Derby
Wrexham1 - 1Derby
West Brom0 - 1Derby
Ipswich2 - 2Derby
Stoke3 - 1Derby
Hull0 - 1Derby
West Brom1 - 3Derby
Portsmouth2 - 2Derby
Swansea1 - 0Derby
Plymouth2 - 3Derby
M'Boro1 - 0Derby
QPR4 - 0Derby
Norwich1 - 1Derby
Cardiff2 - 1Derby
Bristol C1 - 0Derby
Sheff Wed4 - 2Derby
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby1 - 3Leicester
ADerby1 - 2M'Boro
ADerby2 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 3Watford
ADerby2 - 1Blackburn
HDerby2 - 1Hull
ADerby3 - 1Sheff Utd
HDerby1 - 0QPR
HDerby1 - 0Norwich
ADerby0 - 1Oxford Utd
HDerby1 - 1Southampton
HDerby1 - 1Charlton
ADerby1 - 1Wrexham
HDerby0 - 1Preston
ADerby1 - 0West Brom
ADerby2 - 2Ipswich
HDerby1 - 1Bristol C
HDerby3 - 5Coventry
ADerby1 - 3Stoke
HDerby0 - 0Stoke
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Sheff Wed have beaten Derby in 3 consecutive league meetings
6
Sheff Wed have not lost to Derby in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Sheff Wed since 1996
Sheff Wed
Derby
Goals: Scored
20
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
8 / 20
SHW
6
D
5
DER
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sheff Wed
Sheff Wed4 - 2
Sheff Wed1 - 0
Sheff Wed1 - 0
1 - 3Derby
1 - 2Derby
Sheff Wed2 - 0
Sheff Wed2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Derby
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Derby
1 - 2Derby
Sheff Wed2 - 1
1 - 3Derby
0 - 2Derby
0 - 1Derby
2 - 5Derby
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Derby since 1997
Derby
Sheff Wed
Goals: Scored
37
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
2 / 20
SHW
2
D
9
DER
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
1 - 2Sheff Wed
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby2 - 0
Derby2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 2
Derby3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Derby3 - 0
Derby3 - 0
Derby1 - 0
0 - 2Sheff Wed
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Derby1 - 0
Derby3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Derby County have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Championship games. Their PG of 1.8 against Sheffield Wednesday on Monday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Sheff Wed 24th Derby 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Sheff Wed scoring 1 goal or less
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-38
Sheff Wed have scored 38% fewer goals at home than predicted
+25
Derby have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Sheff Wed
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1
1.8
Attack rating
SHW
DER
43%
better
view stats
Games scored10
16
Failed to score8
2
Scored first5
10
Goals scored14
25
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
6
Avg. shots per goal10
4
Conversion rate for10
23
Avg. XG for1.1
1
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
SHW
DER
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
15
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first12
8
Goals conceded36
25
Avg. goals conceded2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
15%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+22%

Sheff Wed v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Sheff Wed Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18325
Y ValeryB BannanB BannanB Bannan
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Valery DEF181
3
-
L Palmer DEF181
3
-
B Bannan MID1832
4
1
S Ingelsson MID18
1
-
B Cadamarteri FWD181
2
-
J Lowe FWD182
-
M Lowe DEF171
1
-
D Iorfa DEF171
5
-
S Fusire MID161
3
-
C McNeill FWD1521
-
I Ugbo FWD15
1
-
E Horvath GLK14
1
1
H Amass DEF1411
1
-
G. Otegbayo DEF9
1
-
R. Johnson DEF4
-
O Kobacki FWD4
-
P Charles GLK2
-
J. Thornton MID2
-
N Chalobah MID11
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191057
J ZetterströmC MorrisJ WardE Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK19
1
-
M Clarke DEF191
3
-
D Sanderson DEF181
5
-
B Clark MID18
3
-
E Adams MID181
7
-
A Weimann  MID1712
1
-
C Morris FWD1610
4
-
C Elder DEF1512
3
-
B Díaz FWD141
3
-
K Jackson FWD14
1
-
D Ozoh MID131
4
-
L Salvesen FWD1321
2
-
J Ward MID1215
-
M Johnston DEF9
1
-
S Langas DEF921
1
-
R Brewster FWD91
-
C Forsyth DEF8
2
-
R Nyambe DEF7
1
-
D Batth DEF6
-
L Travis MID61
4
-
L Thompson MID6
2
-
P. Agyemang FWD53
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD41
-
C Nelson DEF1
-