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Sheffield Wednesday v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 10th Mar, 19:45 BST, Hillsborough, Sheffield

Sheffield Wednesday and Watford take on one another at the Hillsborough on Tuesday evening, with both Henrik Pedersen and Javier Gracia Carlos seeking a win in the Championship. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Championship matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Sheff Wed or Watford are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of two goals or more.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 60% chance of Watford coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Sheff Wed 18%	7.00 13%	6.50
Draw 23%	4.33 4%	4.40 4%
Watford 60%	1.45 4%	1.48 3%
Watford 1-0 12%	6.50 7%	6.00 8%
Watford 2-0 11%	6.50	6.50
Draw 1-1 11%	8.00 6%	7.50 6%
Watford 2-1 10%	8.50	7.50
Draw 0-0 7%	11.00 15%	10.00 9%
Watford 3-0 7%	9.50 6%	8.50
Sheff Wed 1-0 6%	17.00 11%	13.00
Watford 3-1 6%	12.00	11.00 10%
Sheff Wed 2-1 5%	21.00 9%	15.00 12%
Draw 2-2 4%	19.00	15.00
Watford 4-0 3%	19.00 12%	15.00 15%
Watford 4-1 3%	23.00 10%	17.00 13%
Sheff Wed 2-0 3%	34.00 17%	26.00 13%
Watford 3-2 3%	29.00 12%	21.00 11%
Sheff Wed 3-1 1%	51.00	34.00
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	1.80 4%	1.75 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	2.00 5%	1.95 7%
Home 1st Goal 39%	3.10 3%	3.40
Away 1st Goal 56%	1.40 3%	1.40 3%
No 1st Goal 4%	11.00 15%	10.00 9%
BTTS - Yes 49%	2.00 5%	2.00 5%
BTTS - No 51%	1.73 4%	1.73 4%
BTTS - Home Win 8%	13.00 13%	11.00
BTTS - Draw 16%	6.00	5.50 4%
BTTS - Away Win 25%	3.40 6%	3.30 6%
Home/draw 40%	2.63 4%	2.62 3%
Away/draw 82%	1.10 2%	1.11
Home/away 77%	1.20 2%	1.20 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	1.25 2%	1.25 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	4.00 8%	3.60 10%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	3.20 16%	2.90 7%
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	1.36 6%	1.36 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	5.50 10%	5.25 9%
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1.14 3%	1.13 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	13.00 30%	10.00 11%
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1.04 2%	1.04 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1.05 1%	1.04 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	11.00 15%	10.00 9%
Home DNB 34%	5.50 8%	4.80 4%
Away DNB 76%	1.14 1%	1.15 1%
Sheff Wed win to nil 9%	11.00 15%	-
Watford win to nil 35%	2.25	-
Sheff Wed / Sheff Wed 7%	12.00 8%	9.50
Sheff Wed / Watford 4%	21.00	19.00 12%
Sheff Wed / Draw 5%	19.00	15.00
Draw / Sheff Wed 6%	13.00 13%	12.00 8%
Draw / Watford 20%	4.00	4.20 3%
Draw / Draw 13%	6.50 7%	6.00 8%
Watford / Sheff Wed 2%	41.00	34.00
Watford / Watford 37%	2.20 7%	2.10 2%
Watford / Draw 5%	15.00 12%	15.00

Win / draw / win Championship table

Sheff Wed have played 36 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league. Sheff Wed are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 11 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

36 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 27 games, drawn 8 and won 1. Sheff Wed have conceded 73 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 19 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Sheff Wed have played 18 games at home, winning 0, drawing 4 and losing 14 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 38 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 11 times in home league games.

Watford lay in 9th place on 51 points in the Championship league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 8 and losing 5 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Watford have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Watford have played 17 away games, winning 4, drawing 7 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Sheff Wed Watford
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Coventry	36	22	8	6	36	74	l 0-5A	Apr 11	May 2	l 3-1A
2	M'Boro	36	20	9	7	23	69	l 0-1A	Apr 21	w 3-0F	Apr 25
3	Millwall	36	19	8	9	9	65	l 1-2F	l 1-0A	l 0-2A	l 1-0A
4	Ipswich	35	18	10	7	26	64	Mar 14	l 3-1A	l 0-2A	d 1-1F
5	Hull	36	18	6	12	5	60	d 2-2F	Mar 21	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0
6	Wrexham	35	15	12	8	9	57	l 0-1A	d 2-2A	Mar 17	d 2-2A
7	Derby	36	15	9	12	7	54	l 0-3A	l 2-1A	w 2-0F	w 2-3A
8	Southampton	35	14	11	10	11	53	l 1-3A	l 3-1A	d 2-2A	l 1-0A
9	Watford	35	13	12	10	4	51	Mar 10	d 1-1F	-	-
10	Bristol C	36	14	8	14	2	50	l 0-3A	l 2-0A	d 1-1F	w 1-2F
11	Sheff Utd	36	15	4	17	2	49	l 0-3A	l 2-1A	Apr 18	l 1-0A
12	Birmingham	36	13	10	13	-1	49	l 0-2A	d 2-2A	w 3-0F	l 2-1A
13	Swansea	36	14	7	15	-1	49	l 0-2A	l 4-0A	l 0-2A	d 1-1F
14	Preston	36	12	13	11	-1	49	l 2-3F	l 3-0A	d 1-1A	d 2-2A
15	Stoke	36	13	8	15	3	47	l 0-3A	Apr 3	w 1-0F	Mar 14
16	QPR	36	13	8	15	-12	47	d 1-1F	l 3-0A	w 2-1F	Apr 3
17	Norwich	35	13	6	16	3	45	d 1-1F	l 2-0A	w 3-2A	w 0-1F
18	Charlton	36	11	11	14	-10	44	Apr 18	l 2-1A	Apr 6	l 1-0A
19	Portsmouth	35	10	10	15	-10	40	l 0-1A	w 0-2F	d 1-1A	d 2-2A
20	Blackburn	36	10	9	17	-13	39	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	d 1-1F
21	West Brom	36	9	9	18	-18	36	May 2	d 0-00-0	w 2-1A	Apr 21
22	Leicester	36	10	11	15	-9	35	Apr 6	l 2-1F	Mar 21	w 1-2A
23	Oxford Utd	36	8	11	17	-14	35	l 1-2A	Apr 25	w 2-1A	Apr 11
24	Sheff Wed	36	1	8	27	-51	-7	-	-	d 1-1A	Mar 10

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Sheff Wed have lost 13 consecutive league games

Sheff Wed have not won in 30 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sheff Wed	1 - 3	Southampton
Sheff Wed	1 - 2	Millwall
Sheff Wed	0 - 1	Wrexham
Sheff Wed	0 - 2	Birmingham
Sheff Wed	0 - 1	Portsmouth
Sheff Wed	0 - 0	Blackburn
Sheff Wed	2 - 2	Hull
Sheff Wed	0 - 3	Derby
Sheff Wed	2 - 3	Preston
Sheff Wed	0 - 3	Sheff Utd
Sheff Wed	1 - 1	Norwich
Sheff Wed	1 - 2	Oxford Utd
Sheff Wed	0 - 1	M'Boro
Sheff Wed	0 - 5	Coventry
Sheff Wed	1 - 1	QPR
Sheff Wed	0 - 3	Bristol C
Sheff Wed	0 - 2	Swansea
Sheff Wed	0 - 3	Stoke
Sheff Wed	1 - 1	Portsmouth
Sheff Wed	2 - 1	M'Boro

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

12 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Sheff Wed	1 - 2	Derby
H	Sheff Wed	1 - 3	Southampton
A	Sheff Wed	0 - 2	Norwich
A	Sheff Wed	1 - 2	Sheff Utd
H	Sheff Wed	1 - 2	Millwall
A	Sheff Wed	0 - 4	Swansea
A	Sheff Wed	0 - 1	Blackburn
H	Sheff Wed	0 - 1	Wrexham
A	Sheff Wed	0 - 2	Bristol C
H	Sheff Wed	0 - 2	Birmingham
H	Sheff Wed	0 - 1	Portsmouth
A	Sheff Wed	0 - 3	QPR
A	Sheff Wed	0 - 3	Preston
H	Sheff Wed	0 - 0	Blackburn
H	Sheff Wed	2 - 2	Hull
A	Sheff Wed	1 - 3	Ipswich
H	Sheff Wed	0 - 3	Derby
A	Sheff Wed	1 - 1	Watford
H	Sheff Wed	2 - 3	Preston
A	Sheff Wed	0 - 1	Millwall

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bristol C	1 - 2	Watford
Preston	2 - 2	Watford
Southampton	1 - 0	Watford
Hull	0 - 0	Watford
Blackburn	1 - 1	Watford
Norwich	0 - 1	Watford
Leicester	1 - 2	Watford
Wrexham	2 - 2	Watford
Birmingham	2 - 1	Watford
Derby	2 - 3	Watford
Ipswich	1 - 1	Watford
Coventry	3 - 1	Watford
Sheff Utd	1 - 0	Watford
Portsmouth	2 - 2	Watford
Millwall	1 - 0	Watford
Swansea	1 - 1	Watford
Charlton	1 - 0	Watford
Blackburn	2 - 1	Watford
Portsmouth	1 - 0	Watford
West Brom	2 - 1	Watford

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Watford	2 - 1	Bristol C
H	Watford	0 - 2	Ipswich
H	Watford	2 - 0	Derby
A	Watford	2 - 2	Preston
A	Watford	0 - 1	Southampton
A	Watford	0 - 0	Hull
H	Watford	0 - 2	Swansea
A	Watford	1 - 1	Blackburn
H	Watford	1 - 1	Portsmouth
H	Watford	0 - 2	Millwall
H	Watford	3 - 0	Birmingham
A	Watford	1 - 0	Norwich
A	Watford	2 - 1	Leicester
H	Watford	1 - 0	Stoke
A	Watford	2 - 2	Wrexham
H	Watford	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
H	Watford	3 - 2	Norwich
A	Watford	1 - 2	Birmingham
H	Watford	1 - 1	Preston
A	Watford	3 - 2	Derby

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Watford have not lost to Sheff Wed in 10 consecutive league meetings

Sheff Wed

Watford

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 14

11 / 14

Clean sheets

3 / 14

4 / 14

SHW

WAT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sheff Wed
	2 - 6	Watford
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 3	Watford
	1 - 4	Watford
	1 - 4	Watford
Sheff Wed	2 - 1
Sheff Wed	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Watford
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Sheff Wed	2 - 1
	2 - 3	Watford
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Watford

Sheff Wed

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

14 / 15

11 / 15

Clean sheets

4 / 15

1 / 15

SHW

WAT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Watford	1 - 0
Watford	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Sheff Wed
Watford	2 - 1
Watford	4 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Watford	2 - 1
Watford	2 - 1
Watford	1 - 0
Watford	3 - 1
	1 - 3	Sheff Wed
Watford	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Sheffield Wednesday fans, as should a 14 Championship matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Watford's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday evening, not least because Sheffield Wednesday have conceded in each of their last 13 Championship games. A PG of 1.8 for J. Gracia Carlos's side suggests that run should continue.

	Sheff Wed 24th	Watford 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	1.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Sheff Wed scoring 1 goal or less	0 16% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 84% probability that Watford will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-43 Sheff Wed have scored 43% fewer goals at home than predicted	-4 Watford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	0.6 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	2.0 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season

SHW

WAT

36%

better

view stats

Games scored	17		26
Failed to score	19		9
Scored first	8		11
Goals scored	22		45
Avg. goals scored	0.6		1.3
Avg. shots per game	6		10
Avg. shots per goal	10		8
Conversion rate for	10		13
Avg. XG for	0.8		1.4
KickOff rating		+36%

SHW

WAT

26%

better

view stats

Games conceded	33		29
Clean sheets	3		6
Conceded first	26		23
Goals conceded	73		41
Avg. goals conceded	2		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	17%		14%
Avg. XG against	2		1.1
KickOff rating		+26%

Sheff Wed v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Sheff Wed Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	4	3	7
S Ingelsson	C McNeill	B Bannan	B Bannan

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Lowe FWD	36	3	2	4 -
L Palmer DEF	35		1	4 -
S Ingelsson MID	34	1		2 -
C McNeill FWD	32	4	1	2 -
B Cadamarteri FWD	29	2		2 -
B Bannan MID	28	3	3	6 1
D Iorfa DEF	27	1		6 -
G. Otegbayo DEF	26			3 1
S Fusire DEF	25	1		4 -
Y Valery DEF	23		1	3 -
H Amass DEF	21	1	1	2 -
I Ugbo FWD	21			1 -
M Lowe DEF	20		1	2 -
J. Thornton MID	16			-
E Horvath GLK	14			1 1
R. Johnson DEF	12			1 -
P Charles GLK	10		1	-
O Kobacki FWD	6			-
R Shipston MID	4			-
N Chalobah MID	4	1		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	14	3	10
C McNeill	B Cadamarteri	B Bannan	B Bannan

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C McNeill FWD	4	10	1	3
J Lowe FWD	3	11	2	3
B Bannan MID	3	11	3	10
B Cadamarteri FWD	2	14
S Ingelsson MID	1	8		4
D Iorfa DEF	1	3
S Fusire DEF	1	2		1
H Amass DEF	1	3	1	3
N Chalobah MID	1	2
L Palmer DEF		4	1	1
G. Otegbayo DEF		1
Y Valery DEF		7	1	1
I Ugbo FWD		4		1
M Lowe DEF			1	2
P Charles GLK			1	1
O Kobacki FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1689	64	172
B Bannan	H Amass	D Iorfa

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Bannan MID	1689	33	71
L Palmer DEF	1069	50	102
D Iorfa DEF	919	45	172
M Lowe DEF	904	36	77
S Ingelsson MID	808	56	139
Y Valery DEF	740	42	141
H Amass DEF	722	64	159
G. Otegbayo DEF	713	24	96
J Lowe FWD	610	30	115
S Fusire DEF	491	41	84
C McNeill FWD	479	31	72
E Horvath GLK	461	2	7
P Charles GLK	458		5
B Cadamarteri FWD	270	17	107
J. Thornton MID	270	9	20
R. Johnson DEF	175	13	24
I Ugbo FWD	100	11	30
O Kobacki FWD	81	10	23
N Chalobah MID	47	1	4
R Shipston MID	13	1	1

Watford Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	10	7	9
I Louza	L Kjerrumgaard	I Louza	N Irankunda

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Kjerrumgaard FWD	33	10	1	1 -
I Louza MID	31	6	7	6 1
J Ngakia DEF	30	3	4	3 -
M Bola DEF	30	1	4	2 -
E Selvik GLK	29			1 -
N Irankunda FWD	29	2	3	8 1
E Kayembe MID	28	3	2	4 -
M Pollock DEF	26	1	1	5 -
H Kyprianou MID	25		1	8 -
M. Doumbia FWD	24	4	1	4 -
K Baah FWD	23	1	1	4 -
J Abankwah DEF	22			2 1
K Keben DEF	22		1	3 -
V Semedo FWD	21	3	1	2 -
T Ince FWD	21	4		-
M Sissoko MID	20			-
O. Maamma FWD	20	4	1	1 -
G Chakvetadze MID	19		1	5 -
M. Alleyne DEF	16			2 -
N Mendy MID	14			-
R Vata FWD	12	2	2	-
J Petris DEF	11			3 -
N Baxter GLK	7			-
C Wiley DEF	5			-
F Mendy DEF	4			-
J Morris DEF	2			1 -
P Dwomoh MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	27	7	13
L Kjerrumgaard	L Kjerrumgaard	I Louza	I Louza

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Kjerrumgaard FWD	10	27	1	2
I Louza MID	6	17	7	13
M. Doumbia FWD	4	11	1	4
T Ince FWD	4	14		2
O. Maamma FWD	4	15	1	2
J Ngakia DEF	3	6	4	6
E Kayembe MID	3	9	2	5
V Semedo FWD	3	13	1
N Irankunda FWD	2	13	3	6
R Vata FWD	2	8	2	2
M Bola DEF	1	8	4	6
M Pollock DEF	1	3	1
K Baah FWD	1	7	1	1
H Kyprianou MID		3	1	1
K Keben DEF		1	1	1
M Sissoko MID		1
G Chakvetadze MID		4	1	5
M. Alleyne DEF				1
J Petris DEF				2
C Wiley DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1889	108	180
I Louza	J Ngakia	J Ngakia

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Louza MID	1889	45	125
M Pollock DEF	1266	24	138
J Ngakia DEF	1146	108	180
M Bola DEF	1072	28	98
K Keben DEF	1028	19	80
J Abankwah DEF	891	33	110
H Kyprianou MID	872	28	112
E Selvik GLK	850	1	16
E Kayembe MID	820	16	80
M. Alleyne DEF	712	28	72
G Chakvetadze MID	458	14	44
O. Maamma FWD	393	35	106
L Kjerrumgaard FWD	375	11	127
N Irankunda FWD	364	23	120
M. Doumbia FWD	348	10	70
N Mendy MID	348	21	40
T Ince FWD	296	11	33
M Sissoko MID	189	16	26
N Baxter GLK	189		1
K Baah FWD	163	4	39
R Vata FWD	152	9	28
J Petris DEF	145	8	39
V Semedo FWD	111	5	31
C Wiley DEF	92	7	11
F Mendy DEF	63	6	14
P Dwomoh MID	2
J Morris DEF	1	1	1