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Southampton v Birmingham City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Chris Davies will be hoping for a vital away win in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his Birmingham City side to the St. Mary's Stadium to visit Southampton and William Still. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a well-informed wager is laid out below. Switch between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for every one.

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Southampton's next match is v West Brom at 19:45 on Tuesday 9th December
Birmingham City's next match is v QPR at 20:00 on Tuesday 9th December
The last English Championship meeting between Southampton and Birmingham was on Saturday 6th December 2025
English Championship
December 6th 2025
Southampton 3
1 Birmingham
 
F. Azaz 6'54' D. Gray
A. Armstrong 24'
A. Armstrong 58'
 
SOU
BIR
Shots On
8
4
Shots Off
9
10
Corners
7
8
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
9
11
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
SouthamptonBirmingham
 
R. Manning
J. Stephens
T. Harwood-Bellis
F. Downes
F. Azazfootball icon (J. Aribo 80')
A. Armstrongfootball iconfootball icon (C. Archer 64')
L. Weschenfelder-Scienza (J. Robinson 63')
N. Wood-Gordon
G. Bazunu
T. Fellows (R. Edwards 87')
C. Jander (O. Romeu Vidal 80')
C. Klarer
P. Neumann
T. Doyle
S. Paik
(L. Koumas 86') football iconD. Gray
(K. Anderson 80') P. Roberts
J. Beadle
(J. Robinson 59') A. Cochrane
T. Iwata
(L. Dykes 86') J. Stansfield
(K. Furuhashi 59') M. Ducksch

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during 90 mins. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by market-specific form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Southampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
46%
6/51/1000
Draw
27%
13/566/1
Birmingham
27%
2/1750/1
Southampton 1-0
13%
17/27/1
Draw 1-1
13%
6/16/1
Draw 0-0
10%
12/18/1
Birmingham 1-0
9%
10/18/1
Southampton 2-0
9%
11/15/2
Southampton 2-1
9%
8/118/5
Birmingham 2-1
6%
10/111/1
Birmingham 2-0
5%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
4%
12/19/1
Southampton 3-0
4%
20/119/5
Southampton 3-1
4%
16/13/10
Birmingham 3-1
2%
22/122/1
Southampton 3-2
2%
22/111/2
Birmingham 3-0
1%
33/122/1
Southampton 4-0
1%
40/110/1
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
8/111/4
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
11/105/2
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/517/20
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/1023/20
No 1st Goal
6%
12/18/1
BTTS - Yes
46%
8/135/6
BTTS - No
54%
6/510/11
BTTS - Home Win
18%
3/11/200
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/333/1
BTTS - Away Win
11%
9/2100/1
Home/draw
73%
4/111/500
Away/draw
54%
4/650/1
Home/away
73%
2/71/500
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
2/91/18
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
10/37/1
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
7/45/4
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
4/94/7
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
4/14/1
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/61/7
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
10/128/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/201/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/251/20
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
12/18/1
Home DNB
65%
8/131/200
Away DNB
46%
6/5100/1
Southampton win to nil
28%
10/3-
Birmingham win to nil
16%
5/1-
Southampton / Southampton
21%
13/51/12
Southampton / Birmingham
3%
25/118/1
Southampton / Draw
6%
12/115/2
Draw / Southampton
14%
9/2100/1
Draw / Birmingham
12%
6/1100/1
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2100/1
Birmingham / Southampton
4%
22/11/50
Birmingham / Birmingham
17%
15/41/50
Birmingham / Draw
6%
12/11/50
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Southampton have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Southampton have conceded 20 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Southampton have played 8 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Birmingham lay in 8th place on 28 points in the Championship league table having played 18 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 20 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Birmingham have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Birmingham have played 9 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
Birmingham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry1913422943 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Jan 4
l
 
3-0A
2
M'Boro191063836 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
Feb 28
l
 
2-1A
3
Millwall191045-234 
Jan 1
l
 
3-2F
w
 
4-0F
Feb 25
4
Ipswich198741431 
Apr 3
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
5
Preston19874631 
l
 
0-2A
May 2
Apr 22
w
 
0-1F
6
Stoke19937830 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 31
Jan 24
l
 
1-0A
7
Bristol C19856529 
Apr 21
l
 
3-1F
Apr 25
l
 
1-0A
8
Birmingham19847528 
w
 
3-1F
Dec 29
-
-
9
Hull19847-328 
Jan 17
l
 
3-1A
l
 
2-3A
Apr 18
10
QPR19847-428 
Feb 24
w
 
1-2F
Mar 10
Dec 9
11
Southampton19766527 
-
-
Dec 29
l
 
3-1A
12
Wrexham19694327 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 6
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
13
Watford19766227 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
Jan 1
14
Leicester19766127 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 14
Feb 7
l
 
2-0A
15
Derby19757-226 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
Dec 26
Mar 21
16
West Brom19748-425 
Dec 9
Mar 11
Feb 14
d
 
1-1A
17
Charlton18657-523 
Feb 21
w
 
1-5F
Dec 13
Mar 7
18
Sheff Utd197111-422 
Jan 21
w
 
1-2A
Mar 14
Dec 20
19
Blackburn18639-521 
Apr 25
l
 
2-1F
Apr 3
w
 
1-2A
20
Swansea19559-720 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
21
Oxford Utd19469-718 
Mar 21
Dec 26
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
22
Portsmouth18459-1017 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 25
w
 
4-0F
May 2
23
Norwich193412-1113 
Mar 7
Dec 13
w
 
4-1F
Feb 21
24
Sheff Wed181512-22-10 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
d
 
2-2F
Jan 20
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Southampton 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton3 - 0Leicester
Southampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
Southampton0 - 2Preston
Southampton0 - 0Swansea
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Southampton0 - 0Portsmouth
Southampton1 - 2Stoke
Southampton2 - 1Wrexham
Southampton1 - 2Arsenal
Southampton0 - 0Man City
Southampton1 - 2Fulham
Southampton0 - 3A Villa
Southampton1 - 1C Palace
Southampton1 - 2Wolves
Southampton0 - 4Brighton
Southampton1 - 3Bournemouth
Southampton1 - 3Newcastle
Southampton0 - 5Brentford
Southampton0 - 1West Ham
Southampton0 - 5Spurs
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASouthampton2 - 3Millwall
HSouthampton3 - 0Leicester
ASouthampton5 - 1Charlton
HSouthampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
ASouthampton2 - 1QPR
HSouthampton0 - 2Preston
ASouthampton1 - 2Blackburn
ASouthampton1 - 3Bristol C
HSouthampton0 - 0Swansea
ASouthampton1 - 1Derby
ASouthampton2 - 1Sheff Utd
HSouthampton1 - 1M'Boro
ASouthampton1 - 3Hull
HSouthampton0 - 0Portsmouth
ASouthampton2 - 2Watford
HSouthampton1 - 2Stoke
ASouthampton1 - 1Ipswich
HSouthampton2 - 1Wrexham
HSouthampton1 - 2Arsenal
ASouthampton0 - 2Everton
Birmingham 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
West Brom1 - 1Birmingham
M'Boro2 - 1Birmingham
Bristol C1 - 0Birmingham
Preston0 - 1Birmingham
Wrexham1 - 1Birmingham
Coventry3 - 0Birmingham
Stoke1 - 0Birmingham
Leicester2 - 0Birmingham
Blackburn1 - 2Birmingham
Cambridge1 - 2Birmingham
Blackpool0 - 2Birmingham
Stevenage0 - 1Birmingham
Burton1 - 2Birmingham
Peterborough1 - 2Birmingham
Bristol R1 - 2Birmingham
Northampton1 - 1Birmingham
Bolton3 - 1Birmingham
Reading0 - 0Birmingham
Huddersfield0 - 1Birmingham
Wrexham1 - 1Birmingham
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBirmingham2 - 1Watford
ABirmingham1 - 1West Brom
HBirmingham4 - 1Norwich
ABirmingham1 - 2M'Boro
HBirmingham4 - 0Millwall
HBirmingham4 - 0Portsmouth
ABirmingham0 - 1Bristol C
ABirmingham1 - 0Preston
HBirmingham2 - 3Hull
ABirmingham1 - 1Wrexham
HBirmingham2 - 2Sheff Wed
ABirmingham0 - 3Coventry
HBirmingham1 - 0Swansea
ABirmingham0 - 1Stoke
ABirmingham0 - 2Leicester
HBirmingham1 - 0Oxford Utd
ABirmingham2 - 1Blackburn
HBirmingham1 - 1Ipswich
ABirmingham2 - 1Cambridge
ABirmingham2 - 0Blackpool
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Southampton since 2002
Southampton
Birmingham
Goals: Scored
14
7
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
SOU
4
D
2
BIR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
Southampton3 - 1
Southampton4 - 1
1 - 2Birmingham
Southampton4 - 3
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Southampton2 - 0
League games at Birmingham since 2003
Birmingham
Southampton
Goals: Scored
13
9
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
SOU
1
D
1
BIR
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Birmingham
3 - 4Southampton
Draw0 - 0Draw
Birmingham1 - 0
Birmingham2 - 1
Birmingham2 - 1
Birmingham2 - 1
Birmingham3 - 2
Goal Statistics
Southampton 11th Birmingham 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Southampton will score no more than 1 goal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Birmingham scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-35
Southampton have scored 35% fewer goals at home than predicted
-22
Birmingham have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.9
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
Birmingham
1.4
1
Attack rating
5%
better
SOU
BIR
view stats
Games scored15
14
Failed to score3
4
Scored first10
9
Goals scored28
27
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for1.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
SOU
BIR
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
13
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first6
9
Goals conceded25
20
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+11%

Southampton v Birmingham Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16935
A ArmstrongA ArmstrongA ArmstrongF Downes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Bazunu GLK12
1
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF1431
4
-
N Wood DEF151
3
-
J Stephens DEF121
2
-
T Fellows MID142
2
-
F Downes MID12
5
-
C. Jander MID142
2
-
R Manning MID1832
3
-
F Azaz FWD1562
-
L Scienza FWD1322
-
A Armstrong FWD1993
2
-
Subs
A McCarthy GLK7
-
R Edwards DEF11
-
J Quarshie DEF8
1
-
J Aribo MID6
1
-
R Fraser MID132
-
O Romeu MID2
-
C. Bragg MID4
-
J. Robinson FWD1721
-
C Archer FWD111
1
-
Birmingham Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19846
C KlarerJ StansfieldA CochraneT Iwata
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Beadle GLK11
2
-
T Iwata DEF1811
6
-
P Neumann DEF141
1
-
C Klarer DEF191
4
-
A Cochrane DEF1714
2
-
T Doyle MID192
1
-
S Paik MID184
3
-
P Roberts MID1413
2
-
J Stansfield MID1883
4
-
D Gray MID1953
2
-
M Ducksch FWD113
-
Subs
R Allsop GLK8
1
-
E Cashin DEF5
-
J Robinson DEF5
2
2
B Osayi-Samuel DEF13
5
-
M Leonard MID11
1
-
K Anderson  MID151
1
-
K Furuhashi FWD17
1
-
L Dykes FWD162
-
L. Koumas FWD15
1
-