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Southampton v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Watford are away from home on Saturday lunch time, as manager Javier Gracia Carlos takes his side to visit Southampton and William Still at the St. Mary's Stadium in the Championship. We have odds for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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Southampton's next match is v Leicester at 19:45 on Tuesday 10th February
Watford's next match is v Preston at 15:00 on Saturday 14th February
The last English Championship meeting between Southampton and Watford was on Saturday 7th February 2026
English Championship
February 7th 2026
Southampton 1
0 Watford
 
C. Larin 70'
 
SOU
WAT
Shots On
4
2
Shots Off
1
4
Corners
3
9
Possession
47%
53%
Fouls
10
10
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
SouthamptonWatford
 
J. Stephens
T. Harwood-Bellis
F. Downes (S. Charles 38')
F. Azaz
R. Stewart (C. Larin 67')
L. Weschenfelder-Scienza (S. Edozie 67')
J. Bree
Welington
T. Fellows (N. Wood-Gordon 90')
C. Jander
D. Peretz
E. Selvik
(J. Pétris 85') J. Ngakia
M. Bola
(S. Goglichidze 70') S. Mfuni
J. Abankwah
G. Chakvetadze
I. Louza
(F. Mendy 85') N. Mendy
(L. Kjerrumgaard 63') M. Doumbia
E. Kayembe
(K. Baah 86') O. Maamma

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 74% chance of Southampton and Watford no more than 3 goals combined during this Championship clash according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Southampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
46%
19/20
11%
1/14
5%
Draw
26%
13/515/2
8%
Watford
28%
27/10
15%
60/1
4%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
7/1
Southampton 1-0
11%
7/1
6%
2/11
Southampton 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
40/1
Southampton 2-0
8%
9/115/2
Watford 1-0
8%
11/19/2
14%
Draw 0-0
8%
11/11/1
10%
Watford 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
60/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1150/1
Watford 2-0
5%
20/1
11%
20/1
Southampton 3-1
5%
14/1200/1
8%
Southampton 3-0
4%
16/1
11%
55/1
8%
Southampton 3-2
2%
22/1200/1
11%
Watford 3-1
2%
28/1
12%
150/1
Watford 3-2
2%
33/1200/1
Southampton 4-1
2%
28/1
15%
150/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
4/522/1
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
1/11/1000
5%
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/6
3%
15/8
5%
Away 1st Goal
44%
13/10
2%
11/4
2%
No 1st Goal
5%
11/11/1
10%
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/613/2
BTTS - No
49%
11/101/14
3%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
11/4
7%
33/1
6%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/27/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/1
8%
50/1
Home/draw
72%
2/7
8%
1/1000
Away/draw
54%
4/5
10%
7/1
6%
Home/away
74%
2/71/18
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/417/5
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3/12/11
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
2/190/1
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/51/1000
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
9/21/50
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/71/50
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/11/50
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/201/50
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/253/4
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
11/11/1
18%
Home DNB
64%
4/9
4%
1/200
6%
Away DNB
46%
13/8
5%
45/1
6%
Southampton win to nil
26%
5/2
7%
-
Watford win to nil
15%
6/1
8%
-
Southampton / Southampton
26%
21/1010/1
9%
Southampton / Watford
3%
28/140/1
Southampton / Draw
6%
12/125/1
Draw / Southampton
16%
4/1
5%
15/8
Draw / Watford
10%
7/1
7%
3/1
6%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/28/5
9%
Watford / Southampton
4%
20/133/1
12%
Watford / Watford
14%
5/1
9%
14/1
4%
Watford / Draw
6%
14/125/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

Southampton have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Southampton have conceded 29 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Southampton have played 14 games at home, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Watford lay in 8th place on 44 points in the Championship league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 8 and losing 5 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Watford have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Watford have played 14 away games, winning 3, drawing 6 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
Watford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3117862859 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
May 2
l
 
3-1A
2
M'Boro3017761858 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-0F
Apr 25
3
Ipswich3015962254 
Apr 3
d
 
1-1A
Feb 24
d
 
1-1F
4
Hull311669754 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
5
Millwall311588353 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
6
Wrexham3112118547 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 6
Mar 7
d
 
2-2A
7
Preston3112118447 
l
 
0-2A
May 2
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
8
Bristol C3113711546 
Apr 21
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
Feb 27
9
Derby3112910645 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
Feb 21
w
 
2-3A
10
Birmingham3112910445 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
11
Watford3111119344 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
-
-
12
QPR3112811-144 
Feb 24
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 3
13
Stoke3112712643 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 14
14
Southampton31111010343 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
15
Sheff Utd3012315039 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
16
Swansea3011613-339 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
17
Norwich3110615-336 
Mar 7
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
18
Charlton309912-936 
Feb 21
w
 
1-5F
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
19
Portsmouth298912-1133 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
20
West Brom319616-1533 
w
 
3-2F
Mar 11
w
 
2-1A
Apr 21
21
Leicester3110813-632 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 10
Mar 21
w
 
1-2A
22
Blackburn318815-1332 
Apr 25
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
23
Oxford Utd3161015-1328 
Mar 21
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 11
24
Sheff Wed301821-40-7 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
5
Watford have not won in 5 consecutive league games
Southampton 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Watford 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Southampton since 2000
Southampton
Watford
Goals: Scored
15
18
Games: Scored
8 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
3 / 11
SOU
4
D
2
WAT
5
League games at Watford since 1999
Watford
Southampton
Goals: Scored
21
23
Games: Scored
10 / 13
11 / 13
Clean sheets
2 / 13
3 / 13
SOU
4
D
6
WAT
3
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Watford of late. It has been 5 Championship matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday lunch time against Southampton.

Southampton 13th Watford 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Southampton will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Southampton have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-17
Watford have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
Watford
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
16%
better
SOU
WAT
view stats
Games scored25
23
Failed to score5
7
Scored first15
9
Goals scored43
39
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
4%
better
SOU
WAT
view stats
Games conceded24
25
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first12
20
Goals conceded41
35
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+4%

Southampton v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26748
T Harwood-BellisF AzazT FellowsF Downes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Peretz GLK5
1
-
J Bree DEF2123
7
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF2641
7
-
J Stephens DEF201
3
-
Welington  DEF141
1
1
C. Jander MID262
4
-
F Downes MID241
8
-
T Fellows MID254
2
-
F Azaz MID2774
1
-
L Scienza MID2554
1
-
R Stewart FWD1432
2
-
Subs
A McCarthy GLK7
-
E Jelert DEF81
-
R Manning DEF2842
4
-
N Wood DEF2511
5
-
S Edozie MID1
-
S Charles MID161
5
-
K Matsuki MID7
1
-
C Archer FWD192
1
-
C Larin FWD11
-
Watford Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27867
I Louza L KjerrumgaardI Louza I Louza 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Selvik GLK25
1
-
J Ngakia DEF2724
2
-
J Abankwah DEF18
1
1
S. Mfuni DEF2
1
-
M Bola DEF2713
2
-
N Mendy MID10
-
I Louza  MID2766
6
1
O. Maamma MID1831
1
-
E Kayembe MID253
3
-
G Chakvetadze MID151
4
-
M. Doumbia FWD2131
3
-
Subs
N Baxter GLK7
-
S. Goglichidze DEF1
-
F Mendy DEF3
-
J Petris DEF9
2
-
T Ince MID194
-
L Kjerrumgaard FWD2981
1
-
V Semedo FWD2131
2
-
K Baah FWD2111
4
-
J Grieves FWD1
-