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Southampton v West Bromwich Albion : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Carlos Corberan is aiming for a vital away win in the Championship on Friday night, as he takes his West Bromwich Albion side to the St. Mary's Stadium to visit Southampton and Russell Martin. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the main markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.

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The last English Championship meeting between Southampton and West Brom was on Friday 17th May 2024
English Championship
May 17th 2024
Southampton 3
1 West Brom
 
W. Smallbone 49'90' C. Kipre
A. Armstrong 78'
A. Armstrong 85'
 
SOU
WBA
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
7
5
Corners
3
8
Possession
65%
35%
Fouls
13
11
Yellow/red cards
4/0
 
SouthamptonWest Brom
 
A. McCarthy
J. Bednarek
J. Stephens
T. Harwood-Bellis
K. Walker-Peters
W. Smallbonefootball icon (J. Rothwell 90')
F. Downes
J. Aribo (S. Charles 90')
A. Armstrongfootball iconfootball icon
R. Fraser (R. Manning 66')
D. Brooks (A. Reach 73')
A. Palmer
D. Furlong
(S. Edozie 73') C. Townsend
football iconC. Kipre
K. Bartley
T. Fellows
(A. Weimann 82') A. Mowatt
(J. Swift 64') G. Diangana
(Y. M'Vila 64') O. Yokuşlu
M. Johnston
(B. Thomas-Asante 64') J. Wallace
Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Championship tie, with Southampton and West Brom going head-to-head, offers plenty of value in the popular over market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Forwards at both clubs will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having analysed the relevant stats and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Southampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
52%
4/6
13%
8/11
1%
Draw
22%
27/10
9%
14/5
3%
West Brom
26%
17/4
31%
18/5
6%
Draw 1-1
10%
6/1
8%
6/1
Southampton 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
13/2
Southampton 1-0
7%
7/1
11%
6/1
Southampton 2-0
7%
15/2
15%
7/1
West Brom 2-1
7%
16/1
31%
12/1
8%
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
25%
12/1
Southampton 3-1
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
West Brom 1-0
5%
14/1
15%
10/1
Southampton 3-0
5%
12/1
24%
11/1
Southampton 3-2
4%
22/118/1
Draw 0-0
4%
11/117/2
5%
West Brom 2-0
3%
25/1
24%
18/1
12%
Southampton 4-1
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
West Brom 3-1
3%
40/1
41%
25/1
13%
West Brom 3-2
3%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
4/5
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
1/1
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/9
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
15/8
11%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
63%
8/11
7%
3/4
BTTS - No
37%
1/1
9%
19/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
29%
12/5
9%
12/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
19%
19/5
BTTS - Away Win
16%
8/1
29%
13/2
7%
Home/draw
74%
1/6
4%
2/11
2%
Away/draw
48%
23/20
17%
11/10
2%
Home/away
78%
2/7
1%
1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/4
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
3/1
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
2/1
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
2/5
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
9/2
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1/7
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
10/1
8%
-
Home DNB
67%
1/4
8%
2/7
1%
Away DNB
42%
11/4
25%
23/10
6%
Southampton win to nil
22%
2/1
14%
-
West Brom win to nil
11%
9/1
25%
-
Southampton / Southampton
30%
13/8
13%
13/8
3%
Southampton / West Brom
3%
33/1
17%
28/1
12%
Southampton / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Draw / Southampton
18%
15/4
5%
17/5
2%
Draw / West Brom
8%
9/1
18%
8/1
6%
Draw / Draw
15%
5/1
9%
17/4
5%
West Brom / Southampton
4%
20/116/1
West Brom / West Brom
11%
7/1
23%
6/1
8%
West Brom / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Southampton have played 46 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 41 games against teams below in the table, having won 24, drawn 10 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Southampton have outscored their opponents by 87 goals to 70 goals.

Home League Performance

Southampton have played 23 games at home winning 15, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored 54 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 29 goals at home.

West Brom are in 5th position in the Championship on 75 points having played 46 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 30 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 32 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 3 and won 2. West Brom have conceded 11 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Southampton
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
West Brom
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-4A
l
 
5-0A
 Leicester46314114897 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
 Ipswich46281263596 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
 Leeds46279103890 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
-
-
 Southampton H46269112487 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
 West Brom Away462112132375 
-
-
d
 
4-4A
d
 
1-1F
 Norwich462110151573 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
 Hull46191314870 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
 M'Boro4620917969 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Coventry461713161164 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
 Preston4618919-1163 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
 Bristol C46171118262 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
 Cardiff4619522-1762 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
 Millwall46161119-1059 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-3F
 Swansea46151219-657 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
 Watford46131716056 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-2F
l
 
5-0A
 Sunderland4616822-256 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
 Stoke46151120-1156 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
 QPR46151120-1156 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Blackburn46141121-1453 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Sheff Wed4615823-2453 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
 Plymouth46131221-1151 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
3-4A
 Birmingham46131122-1550 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
w
 
5-3A
d
 
1-1F
 Huddersfield4691819-2945 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-4A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
 Rotherham4651229-5227 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Southampton 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
West Brom 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Southampton have beaten West Brom in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Southampton since 2003
Southampton
West Brom
Goals: Scored
13
10
Games: Scored
8 / 11
5 / 11
Clean sheets
6 / 11
3 / 11
SOU
6
D
3
WBA
2
All league games since 2002
Southampton
West Brom
Goals: Scored
22
21
Games: Scored
14 / 24
12 / 24
Clean sheets
12 / 24
10 / 24
SOU
10
D
8
WBA
6
Goal Statistics
Southampton 4th West Brom 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Southampton will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that West Brom will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
Southampton have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
+18
West Brom have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/274238/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
West Brom
1.9
1.3
Attack rating
17%
better
SOU
WBA
view stats
Games scored42
38
Failed to score6
10
Scored first33
24
Goals scored90
71
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate17%
18%
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
SOU
WBA
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded35
29
Clean sheets13
19
Conceded first13
20
Goals conceded64
50
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate17%
14%
KickOff rating
+10%

Southampton v West Brom Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
46231312
A ArmstrongA ArmstrongA ArmstrongJ Bednarek
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A McCarthy GLK7
-
K Walker-Peters DEF4533
4
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF4223
4
-
J Bednarek DEF442
12
-
J Stephens DEF251
6
-
W Smallbone MID4573
8
-
F Downes MID3523
10
-
J Aribo MID3741
5
-
D Brooks  FWD1926
2
-
A Armstrong FWD482313
5
-
R Fraser FWD4162
5
-
Subs
J Lumley GLK
-
R Manning DEF392
9
-
J Bree DEF191
1
K Sulemana MID253
4
1
S Edozie MID3263
2
-
S Charles MID33
6
-
J Rothwell MID174
2
-
R Stewart FWD4
-
S Mara FWD2932
1
-
West Brom Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4811812
A PalmerB Thomas-AsanteG DianganaC Kipré
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Palmer GLK48
3
-
D Furlong DEF4854
10
-
K Bartley DEF3841
9
-
C Kipré DEF4631
12
-
C Townsend DEF444
2
-
O Yokuslu MID4611
8
-
A Mowatt MID4525
4
-
T Fellows MID3543
1
-
G Diangana MID3878
2
-
M Johnston MID2071
1
-
J Wallace FWD4465
3
-
Subs
J Griffiths GLK
-
S Ajayi DEF2721
1
-
M Phillips MID2633
3
-
N Chalobah MID331
4
-
A Weimann  MID1322
1
-
J Swift MID3991
2
-
A Reach MID181
1
-
Y M'Vila MID9
3
-
B Thomas-Asante FWD41112
4
-
English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds