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Stoke City v Southampton : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Saturday lunch time at the bet365 Stadium, and it’s a Championship showdown between Stoke City and Southampton. Mark Robins and William Still going all-out to guide their side to victory. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Stoke City's next match is v Charlton at 19:45 on Wednesday 11th February
Southampton's next match is v Leicester at 19:45 on Tuesday 10th February
The last English Championship meeting between Stoke and Southampton was on Saturday 31st January 2026
English Championship
January 31st 2026
Stoke 0
2 Southampton
 
10' F. Azaz
52' F. Downes
 
STK
SOU
Shots On
3
4
Shots Off
4
2
Corners
4
5
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
8
18
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
StokeSouthampton
 
T. Simkim
E. Bocat
M. Bosun Lawal
S. Thomas
J. Bae (F. Fawunmi 78')
S. Nzonzi (B. Pearson 46')
T. Rigo (T. Seko 46')
A. Phillips
M. Talovierov (B. Wilmot 46')
L. Cisse
M. Smit
J. Stephens
T. Harwood-Bellis
J. Bree
football iconF. Downes
football iconF. Azaz
(N. Okeyunkle 65') R. Stewart
(K. Matsuki 65') L. Weschenfelder-Scienza
Welington
D. Peretz
(R. Manning 90') T. Fellows
(S. Charles 74') C. Jander

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% probability of Stoke and Southampton scoring at least 2 goals in this Championship tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it would appear that the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Stoke are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stoke
45%
13/8750/1
Draw
25%
9/455/1
4%
Southampton
30%
8/51/200
2%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/17/2
Stoke 1-0
9%
8/16/1
Stoke 2-1
9%
9/19/1
Southampton 1-0
7%
8/112/5
Stoke 2-0
7%
12/110/1
8%
Southampton 2-1
7%
9/115/2
Draw 0-0
6%
17/27/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/155/1
Stoke 3-1
5%
20/128/1
Southampton 2-0
5%
12/11/7
10%
Stoke 3-0
4%
25/120/1
Southampton 3-1
3%
20/150/1
Stoke 3-2
3%
28/1125/1
Southampton 3-2
2%
28/1250/1
Southampton 3-0
2%
25/110/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
10/1117/4
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
10/111/7
Home 1st Goal
51%
1/121/20
Away 1st Goal
46%
20/211/1
No 1st Goal
3%
9/17/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
8/1113/2
BTTS - No
44%
1/11/14
2%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
9/290/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/345/1
5%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/27/1
2%
Home/draw
70%
1/245/1
Away/draw
55%
4/91/1000
Home/away
75%
1/31/200
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
3/102/7
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
5/212/5
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
12/528/1
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/31/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
11/2100/1
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/91/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/11/50
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/50
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/17/1
Home DNB
62%
5/690/1
Away DNB
47%
5/61/1000
Stoke win to nil
23%
7/2-
Southampton win to nil
15%
7/2-
Stoke / Stoke
19%
10/380/1
2%
Stoke / Southampton
3%
28/190/1
11%
Stoke / Draw
6%
12/1125/1
Draw / Stoke
13%
5/122/1
Draw / Southampton
13%
5/125/1
Draw / Draw
16%
4/120/1
4%
Southampton / Stoke
3%
28/17/1
Southampton / Southampton
19%
10/34/9
3%
Southampton / Draw
6%
12/13/1
8%
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Stoke have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 41 goals to 34 goals.

Home League Performance

Stoke have played 14 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Southampton are in 15th position in the Championship on 37 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 22 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Southampton have conceded 29 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Stoke
Southampton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3117862859 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 28
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
2
M'Boro3017761858 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
3
Ipswich3015962254 
Mar 10
l
 
1-0A
Apr 3
d
 
1-1A
4
Hull311669754 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
5
Millwall311588353 
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-2F
6
Wrexham3112118547 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
w
 
2-1A
Apr 6
7
Preston3112118447 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 21
l
 
0-2A
May 2
8
Bristol C3113711546 
w
 
5-1F
May 2
Apr 21
l
 
3-1F
9
Derby3112910645 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 6
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
10
Birmingham3112910445 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
11
Watford3111119344 
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
12
QPR3112811-144 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
Feb 24
w
 
1-2F
13
Stoke3112712643 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
14
Southampton31111010343 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
-
-
15
Sheff Utd3012315039 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
16
Swansea3011613-339 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 7
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
17
Norwich3110615-336 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
Mar 7
l
 
2-1A
18
Charlton309912-936 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 11
Feb 21
w
 
1-5F
19
Portsmouth298912-1133 
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
20
West Brom319616-1533 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2F
Mar 11
21
Leicester3110813-632 
Feb 21
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 10
22
Blackburn318815-1332 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
l
 
2-1F
23
Oxford Utd3161015-1328 
Feb 25
w
 
0-3F
Mar 21
l
 
2-1A
24
Sheff Wed301821-40-7 
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Stoke 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stoke1 - 2M'Boro
Stoke0 - 0QPR
Stoke1 - 2Sheff Utd
Stoke0 - 0Preston
Stoke2 - 1Swansea
Stoke1 - 2Hull
Stoke3 - 0Charlton
Stoke0 - 1Coventry
Stoke5 - 1Bristol C
Stoke1 - 0Wrexham
Stoke1 - 1Norwich
Stoke1 - 0Birmingham
Stoke0 - 1West Brom
Stoke3 - 1Derby
Stoke0 - 2Sheff Utd
Stoke2 - 0Sheff Wed
Stoke1 - 1Luton
Stoke3 - 1QPR
Stoke1 - 0Blackburn
Stoke0 - 0Watford
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStoke1 - 1Birmingham
HStoke1 - 2M'Boro
HStoke0 - 0QPR
AStoke2 - 0Norwich
AStoke1 - 0Hull
HStoke1 - 2Sheff Utd
HStoke0 - 0Preston
AStoke0 - 1Watford
HStoke2 - 1Swansea
AStoke0 - 1Ipswich
AStoke0 - 4Sheff Utd
HStoke1 - 2Hull
HStoke3 - 0Charlton
AStoke1 - 2Leicester
HStoke0 - 1Coventry
AStoke3 - 0Oxford Utd
HStoke5 - 1Bristol C
AStoke1 - 0Portsmouth
AStoke0 - 2Millwall
HStoke1 - 0Wrexham
Southampton 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portsmouth1 - 1Southampton
M'Boro4 - 0Southampton
Birmingham1 - 1Southampton
Oxford Utd2 - 1Southampton
Norwich2 - 1Southampton
Millwall3 - 2Southampton
Charlton1 - 5Southampton
QPR1 - 2Southampton
Blackburn2 - 1Southampton
Bristol C3 - 1Southampton
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Sheff Utd1 - 2Southampton
Hull3 - 1Southampton
Watford2 - 2Southampton
Ipswich1 - 1Southampton
Everton2 - 0Southampton
Leicester2 - 0Southampton
West Ham1 - 1Southampton
Spurs3 - 1Southampton
Liverpool3 - 1Southampton
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASouthampton1 - 1Portsmouth
HSouthampton1 - 0Sheff Utd
HSouthampton1 - 2Hull
ASouthampton0 - 4M'Boro
HSouthampton0 - 0Millwall
ASouthampton1 - 1Birmingham
ASouthampton1 - 2Oxford Utd
HSouthampton1 - 1Coventry
ASouthampton1 - 2Norwich
HSouthampton3 - 2West Brom
HSouthampton3 - 1Birmingham
ASouthampton2 - 3Millwall
HSouthampton3 - 0Leicester
ASouthampton5 - 1Charlton
HSouthampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
ASouthampton2 - 1QPR
HSouthampton0 - 2Preston
ASouthampton1 - 2Blackburn
ASouthampton1 - 3Bristol C
HSouthampton0 - 0Swansea
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Stoke since 2006
Stoke
Southampton
Goals: Scored
15
14
Games: Scored
8 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
2 / 10
STK
4
D
3
SOU
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
0 - 1Southampton
Stoke2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Southampton
Stoke2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Stoke3 - 2
Stoke2 - 1
1 - 2Southampton
League games at Southampton since 2005
Southampton
Stoke
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
7 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
4 / 11
STK
4
D
3
SOU
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
1 - 2Stoke
0 - 1Stoke
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Stoke
0 - 1Stoke
Southampton1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Southampton3 - 2
Southampton1 - 0
Southampton2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Southampton of late. It has been 9 Championship matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday lunch time against Stoke City.

Stoke 10th Southampton 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that Stoke will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Southampton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Stoke’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
Southampton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Stoke
PG (predicted goals)
Southampton
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
STK
SOU
13%
better
view stats
Games scored19
24
Failed to score10
5
Scored first14
14
Goals scored34
41
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
28%
better
STK
SOU
view stats
Games conceded18
24
Clean sheets11
5
Conceded first12
12
Goals conceded26
41
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate against10%
16%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+28%

Stoke v Southampton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31968
S ThomasS ThomasS ThomasB Pearson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T. Simkim GLK6
-
M Taloverov DEF10
4
-
A Phillips DEF261
5
-
M Lawal DEF221
6
1
E Bocat DEF141
-
T Rigo MID231
1
-
S Nzonzi MID181
1
-
J. Bae MID2913
1
-
S Thomas MID3196
6
-
M Smit MID2
-
L Cissé FWD212
3
-
Subs
F Fielding GLK
-
A Cresswell  DEF202
2
-
B Wilmot DEF291
4
-
B Gibson DEF3
1
-
W. Smith MID
-
R. Curly MID1
-
B Pearson MID221
7
1
T Seko MID301
2
-
F. Fawunmi FWD2
1
-
Southampton Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26748
T Harwood-BellisF AzazT FellowsF Downes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Peretz GLK5
1
-
J Bree DEF2123
7
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF2641
7
-
J Stephens DEF201
3
-
Welington  DEF141
1
1
F Downes MID241
8
-
C. Jander MID262
4
-
T Fellows MID254
2
-
F Azaz MID2774
1
-
L Scienza MID2554
1
-
R Stewart FWD1432
2
-
Subs
A McCarthy GLK7
-
R Manning DEF2842
4
-
N Wood DEF2511
5
-
J Quarshie DEF12
2
-
E Jelert DEF81
-
S Charles MID161
5
-
K Matsuki MID7
1
-
J. Robinson FWD2521
-
N. Okeyunkle FWD2
-