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Stoke City v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 15:00 BST, bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Watford, led by manager Javier Gracia Carlos, visit Mark Robins and his Stoke City side at the bet365 Stadium on Saturday afternoon in the Championship. Statistics for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during 90 mins. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 37% chance of Watford coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stoke
36%
2.402.50
Draw
27%
3.103.25
Watford
37%
2.802.80
Draw 1-1
13%
6.005.75
Watford 1-0
10%
8.507.50
Stoke 1-0
10%
7.507.00
Draw 0-0
8%
8.508.00
Watford 2-1
8%
11.009.50
Stoke 2-1
8%
10.008.50
Watford 2-0
7%
13.0011.00
Stoke 2-0
6%
11.0010.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0012.00
Watford 3-1
3%
23.0019.00
Stoke 3-1
3%
21.0017.00
Watford 3-0
3%
29.0021.00
Stoke 3-0
3%
23.0019.00
Watford 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
Stoke 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
2.202.05
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1.671.70
Home 1st Goal
47%
1.911.95
Away 1st Goal
48%
2.102.10
No 1st Goal
5%
8.508.00
BTTS - Yes
51%
1.831.83
BTTS - No
49%
1.831.91
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5.505.00
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.33
BTTS - Away Win
16%
6.005.50
Home/draw
63%
1.361.40
Away/draw
64%
1.501.50
Home/away
73%
1.331.33
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1.361.35
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
3.203.00
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
4.003.60
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1.251.25
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
8.007.00
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.081.08
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
17.0015.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.031.01
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.071.06
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8.508.00
Home DNB
55%
1.731.75
Away DNB
56%
2.001.95
Stoke win to nil
20%
4.00-
Watford win to nil
21%
4.50-
Stoke / Stoke
21%
4.003.80
Stoke / Watford
3%
29.0023.00
Stoke / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Stoke
14%
6.005.75
Draw / Watford
12%
6.506.50
Draw / Draw
17%
4.754.60
Watford / Stoke
3%
29.0021.00
Watford / Watford
18%
4.754.20
Watford / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Stoke have played 36 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 3 and won 7. Stoke have conceded 26 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stoke have played 17 games at home, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Watford lay in 9th place on 51 points in the Championship league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 8 and losing 5 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Watford have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Watford have played 17 away games, winning 4, drawing 7 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Stoke
Watford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3622863674 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
May 2
l
 
3-1A
2
M'Boro3620972369 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
Apr 25
3
Millwall361989965 
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
Ipswich35181072664 
Mar 10
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
5
Hull3618612560 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
6
Wrexham3515128957 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
Mar 17
d
 
2-2A
7
Derby3615912754 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 6
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3A
8
Southampton351411101153 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
9
Watford35131210451 
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
-
-
10
Bristol C3614814250 
w
 
5-1F
May 2
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
11
Sheff Utd3615417249 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
12
Birmingham36131013-149 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
13
Swansea3614715-149 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
14
Preston36121311-149 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 20
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
15
Stoke3613815347 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Mar 14
16
QPR3613815-1247 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 3
17
Norwich3513616345 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
18
Charlton36111114-1044 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
19
Portsmouth35101015-1040 
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
20
Blackburn3610917-1339 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
21
West Brom369918-1836 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
Apr 21
22
Leicester36101115-935 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
Mar 21
w
 
1-2A
23
Oxford Utd3681117-1435 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 11
24
Sheff Wed361827-51-7 
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Stoke 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stoke2 - 1Oxford Utd
Stoke2 - 2Leicester
Stoke0 - 2Southampton
Stoke1 - 2M'Boro
Stoke0 - 0QPR
Stoke1 - 2Sheff Utd
Stoke0 - 0Preston
Stoke2 - 1Swansea
Stoke1 - 2Hull
Stoke3 - 0Charlton
Stoke0 - 1Coventry
Stoke5 - 1Bristol C
Stoke1 - 0Wrexham
Stoke1 - 1Norwich
Stoke1 - 0Birmingham
Stoke0 - 1West Brom
Stoke3 - 1Derby
Stoke0 - 2Sheff Utd
Stoke2 - 0Sheff Wed
Stoke1 - 1Luton
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStoke0 - 2Swansea
AStoke1 - 2Coventry
HStoke2 - 1Oxford Utd
HStoke2 - 2Leicester
AStoke0 - 1Charlton
AStoke0 - 0West Brom
HStoke0 - 2Southampton
AStoke1 - 1Birmingham
HStoke1 - 2M'Boro
HStoke0 - 0QPR
AStoke2 - 0Norwich
AStoke1 - 0Hull
HStoke1 - 2Sheff Utd
HStoke0 - 0Preston
AStoke0 - 1Watford
HStoke2 - 1Swansea
AStoke0 - 1Ipswich
AStoke0 - 4Sheff Utd
HStoke1 - 2Hull
HStoke3 - 0Charlton
Watford 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bristol C1 - 2Watford
Preston2 - 2Watford
Southampton1 - 0Watford
Hull0 - 0Watford
Blackburn1 - 1Watford
Norwich0 - 1Watford
Leicester1 - 2Watford
Wrexham2 - 2Watford
Birmingham2 - 1Watford
Derby2 - 3Watford
Ipswich1 - 1Watford
Coventry3 - 1Watford
Sheff Utd1 - 0Watford
Portsmouth2 - 2Watford
Millwall1 - 0Watford
Swansea1 - 1Watford
Charlton1 - 0Watford
Blackburn2 - 1Watford
Portsmouth1 - 0Watford
West Brom2 - 1Watford
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWatford2 - 1Bristol C
HWatford0 - 2Ipswich
HWatford2 - 0Derby
AWatford2 - 2Preston
AWatford0 - 1Southampton
AWatford0 - 0Hull
HWatford0 - 2Swansea
AWatford1 - 1Blackburn
HWatford1 - 1Portsmouth
HWatford0 - 2Millwall
HWatford3 - 0Birmingham
AWatford1 - 0Norwich
AWatford2 - 1Leicester
HWatford1 - 0Stoke
AWatford2 - 2Wrexham
HWatford1 - 1Sheff Wed
HWatford3 - 2Norwich
AWatford1 - 2Birmingham
HWatford1 - 1Preston
AWatford3 - 2Derby
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Watford have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Stoke
League games at Stoke since 2002
Stoke
Watford
Goals: Scored
8
15
Games: Scored
5 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
7 / 12
STK
3
D
3
WAT
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Draw0 - 0Draw
Stoke1 - 0
0 - 4Watford
1 - 2Watford
Draw0 - 0Draw
Stoke2 - 0
0 - 2Watford
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Watford
0 - 1Watford
Stoke3 - 1
1 - 2Watford
League games at Watford since 2003
Watford
Stoke
Goals: Scored
14
13
Games: Scored
9 / 13
8 / 13
Clean sheets
5 / 13
4 / 13
STK
6
D
2
WAT
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Watford1 - 0
Watford3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Watford2 - 0
Watford3 - 2
0 - 1Stoke
0 - 1Stoke
1 - 2Stoke
Draw0 - 0Draw
Watford1 - 0
0 - 1Stoke
1 - 3Stoke
1 - 2Stoke
Goal Statistics
Stoke 15th Watford 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Stoke’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
Watford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Stoke
PG (predicted goals)
Watford
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
STK
WAT
5%
better
view stats
Games scored22
26
Failed to score14
9
Scored first16
11
Goals scored39
45
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
20%
better
STK
WAT
view stats
Games conceded24
29
Clean sheets12
6
Conceded first16
23
Goals conceded36
41
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+20%

Stoke v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
369910
S ThomasS ThomasS ThomasS Thomas
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Thomas MID3699
9
1
T Seko MID351
3
-
M Manhoef FWD3553
2
-
B Wilmot DEF343
5
-
J. Bae MID3413
1
-
A Phillips DEF311
5
-
T Rigo MID261
1
-
L Cissé FWD2613
4
-
D Mubama FWD2551
3
1
V Johansson GLK241
2
-
B Pearson MID241
8
1
S Nzonzi MID231
2
-
A Cresswell  DEF223
2
-
J Tchamadeu DEF2111
10
-
E Bocat DEF191
-
R Bozenik FWD191
2
-
M Taloverov DEF14
6
-
L Baker MID1241
1
-
S Gallagher FWD101
-
B Gibson DEF61
1
-
J. Donley MID41
-
Watford Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311079
I Louza L KjerrumgaardI Louza N Irankunda
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Kjerrumgaard FWD33101
1
-
I Louza  MID3167
6
1
M Bola DEF3014
2
-
J Ngakia DEF3034
3
-
E Selvik GLK29
1
-
N Irankunda FWD2923
8
1
E Kayembe MID2832
4
-
M Pollock DEF2611
5
-
H Kyprianou MID251
8
-
M. Doumbia FWD2441
4
-
K Baah FWD2311
4
-
J Abankwah DEF22
2
1
K Keben DEF221
3
-
V Semedo FWD2131
2
-
T Ince FWD214
-
M Sissoko MID20
-
O. Maamma FWD2041
1
-
G Chakvetadze MID191
5
-
M. Alleyne DEF16
2
-
N Mendy MID14
-
R Vata FWD1222
-
J Petris DEF11
3
-
N Baxter GLK7
-
C Wiley DEF5
-
F Mendy DEF4
-
J Morris DEF2
1
-
P Dwomoh MID1
-