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Sunderland v Leeds United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Daniel Farke pays counterpart Régis Le Bris a visit on Friday night in the Championship, as their Leeds United and Sunderland teams face each other at the Stadium of Light. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall records can be explored, while there's also head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.

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Sunderland's next match is v Hull at 15:00 on Sunday 20th October
Leeds United's next match is v Sheff Utd at 20:00 on Friday 18th October
The last English Championship meeting between Sunderland and Leeds was on Friday 4th October 2024
English Championship
October 4th 2024
Sunderland 2
2 Leeds
 
C. Rigg 9'22' J. Piroe
H. Firpo Adames (OG) 90'56' H. Firpo Adames
 
SUN
LEE
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
7
7
Corners
8
1
Possession
49%
51%
Fouls
11
16
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
SunderlandLeeds
 
A. Patterson
D. Cirkin
T. Hume
C. Mepham
L. O'Nien
C. Riggfootball icon (A. Browne 73')
P. Roberts (Watson 84')
J. Bellingham
D. Neil
R. Mundle
W. Isidor
I. Meslier
J. Bogle
football iconfootball iconH. Firpo Adames
P. Struijk
J. Rodon
A. Tanaka
B. Aaronson
J. Rothwell
(I. Schmidt 90') L. Ramazani
(M. Joseph Fernández Regatillo 77') football iconJ. Piroe
(S. Byram 90') D. Gnonto
Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It's not the news we want to be reporting, but it's all-but impossible to predict a thriller here. The statistics suggest Sunderland and Leeds both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sunderland
42%
9/4
2%
21/10
14%
Draw
30%
11/5
3%
23/10
8%
Leeds
27%
5/4
5%
13/10
15%
Sunderland 1-0
15%
8/1
18%
7/1
16%
Draw 0-0
13%
15/2
23%
7/1
11%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
Leeds 1-0
12%
13/2
12%
6/1
Sunderland 2-0
9%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
Sunderland 2-1
8%
11/19/1
9%
Leeds 2-1
6%
17/2
6%
15/2
6%
Leeds 2-0
5%
9/1
9%
17/2
12%
Sunderland 3-0
3%
33/122/1
21%
Draw 2-2
3%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Sunderland 3-1
3%
28/1
12%
18/1
10%
Leeds 3-1
2%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Leeds 3-0
1%
20/116/1
31%
Sunderland 3-2
1%
40/1
21%
25/1
Sunderland 4-0
1%
66/145/1
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
11/10
10%
21/20
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
8/11
9%
7/10
8%
Home 1st Goal
49%
11/8-
Away 1st Goal
41%
8/11
4%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
15/2
23%
-
BTTS - Yes
39%
5/6
10%
17/20
6%
BTTS - No
61%
5/6
13%
17/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6/1
17%
19/4
4%
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2
4%
17/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
4/1
15%
18/5
18%
Home/draw
73%
8/13
3%
3/5
11%
Away/draw
58%
1/34/11
5%
Home/away
70%
4/11
2%
1/3
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
4/11
5%
7/20
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
11/5
15%
2/1
12%
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
3/1
25%
13/5
16%
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
1/4
8%
1/4
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
7/1
33%
6/1
22%
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/12
4%
1/12
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
16/1
31%
12/1
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/40
2%
1/40
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/14
2%
1/16
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
8/1
18%
7/1
11%
Home DNB
63%
5/4
5%
23/20
17%
Away DNB
49%
4/7
3%
8/13
13%
Sunderland win to nil
29%
9/2
8%
-
Leeds win to nil
18%
11/4-
Sunderland / Sunderland
17%
9/219/5
13%
Sunderland / Leeds
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
Sunderland / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Sunderland
12%
6/111/2
13%
Draw / Leeds
15%
9/217/4
9%
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
14%
7/2
10%
Leeds / Sunderland
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
Leeds / Leeds
21%
11/4
7%
13/5
16%
Leeds / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Sunderland have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Championship league table. Sunderland have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 4 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 0 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Sunderland have outscored their opponents by 16 goals to 13 goals.

Home League Performance

Sunderland have played 4 games at home winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 8 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 0 goals at home.

Leeds are in 5th position in the Championship on 15 points having played 8 matches so far this season. Leeds are winless in the 2 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 1 of those games. Leeds are unbeaten away after 4 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Away League Performance

zero of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 1 goal and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Leeds have conceded 1 goal, scored 0, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Sunderland
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Leeds
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
-
-
 Sunderland Home96121019 
Feb 15
d
 
2-2A
Jan 1
Nov 29
 Sheff Utd9630919 
Oct 18
Feb 22
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
 Burnley95311018 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
Nov 26
Apr 5
 West Brom9522617 
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
Feb 15
 Leeds Away9441816 
-
-
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
 Watford9513016 
Oct 22
Feb 11
Dec 21
Apr 8
 Norwich9432615 
Jan 22
d
 
1-1A
Apr 21
Dec 26
 Blackburn9432415 
Jan 1
Nov 30
w
 
1-0F
Feb 1
 M'Boro9423314 
Dec 10
Apr 8
Oct 26
Apr 26
 Oxford Utd9333212 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Apr 12
Dec 14
 Swansea9333212 
Mar 29
Nov 24
w
 
2-0F
Jan 21
 Derby9405012 
Dec 7
Dec 29
Feb 22
Oct 20
 Hull9333-112 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 4
Jan 25
l
 
3-2F
 Plymouth9324-311 
Nov 2
May 3
w
 
4-0F
Mar 1
 Sheff Wed9324-411 
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
Dec 10
Apr 18
 Bristol C9252-411 
Apr 26
Oct 26
Dec 7
Dec 29
 Stoke9315-210 
Apr 21
Dec 26
Mar 29
Nov 23
 Millwall923419 
Mar 12
Nov 6
Mar 11
Nov 6
 Preston9234-59 
Apr 12
Dec 14
Nov 9
Mar 15
 Coventry9225-38 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 8
Feb 12
Oct 23
 Luton9225-78 
Nov 27
Apr 5
May 3
Nov 2
 QPR9144-77 
Nov 9
Mar 15
Jan 5
w
 
1-3F
 Portsmouth9054-115 
d
 
3-3F
Mar 8
Mar 8
w
 
0-2F
 Cardiff9126-145 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Sunderland 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sunderland2 - 0Derby
Sunderland1 - 0M'Boro
Sunderland1 - 0Burnley
Sunderland4 - 0Sheff Wed
Sunderland0 - 2Sheff Wed
Sunderland0 - 1Millwall
Sunderland0 - 0Bristol C
Sunderland1 - 5Blackburn
Sunderland0 - 0QPR
Sunderland0 - 1Leicester
Sunderland1 - 2Swansea
Sunderland3 - 1Plymouth
Sunderland3 - 1Stoke
Sunderland0 - 1Hull
Sunderland2 - 0Preston
Sunderland0 - 3Coventry
Sunderland1 - 0Leeds
Sunderland2 - 1West Brom
Sunderland1 - 2Huddersfield
Sunderland3 - 1Birmingham
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSunderland2 - 0Derby
ASunderland1 - 2Watford
HSunderland1 - 0M'Boro
ASunderland2 - 3Plymouth
ASunderland3 - 1Portsmouth
HSunderland1 - 0Burnley
HSunderland4 - 0Sheff Wed
ASunderland2 - 0Cardiff
HSunderland0 - 2Sheff Wed
ASunderland0 - 1Watford
HSunderland0 - 1Millwall
ASunderland1 - 0West Brom
ASunderland0 - 0Leeds
HSunderland0 - 0Bristol C
HSunderland1 - 5Blackburn
ASunderland2 - 0Cardiff
HSunderland0 - 0QPR
ASunderland2 - 4Southampton
HSunderland0 - 1Leicester
ASunderland0 - 1Norwich
Leeds 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Norwich1 - 1Leeds
Cardiff0 - 2Leeds
Sheff Wed0 - 2Leeds
West Brom0 - 0Leeds
Norwich0 - 0Leeds
QPR4 - 0Leeds
M'Boro3 - 4Leeds
Coventry2 - 1Leeds
Watford2 - 2Leeds
Sheff Wed0 - 2Leeds
Huddersfield1 - 1Leeds
Plymouth0 - 2Leeds
Swansea0 - 4Leeds
Bristol C0 - 1Leeds
Cardiff0 - 3Leeds
West Brom1 - 0Leeds
Preston2 - 1Leeds
Sunderland1 - 0Leeds
Blackburn0 - 2Leeds
Rotherham1 - 1Leeds
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds1 - 1Norwich
HLeeds3 - 0Coventry
ALeeds2 - 0Cardiff
HLeeds0 - 1Burnley
HLeeds2 - 0Hull
ALeeds2 - 0Sheff Wed
ALeeds0 - 0West Brom
HLeeds3 - 3Portsmouth
HLeeds0 - 1Southampton
HLeeds4 - 0Norwich
ALeeds0 - 0Norwich
HLeeds1 - 2Southampton
ALeeds0 - 4QPR
ALeeds4 - 3M'Boro
HLeeds0 - 1Blackburn
HLeeds0 - 0Sunderland
ALeeds1 - 2Coventry
HLeeds3 - 1Hull
ALeeds2 - 2Watford
HLeeds2 - 0Millwall
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sunderland since 1997
Sunderland
Leeds
Goals: Scored
9
12
Games: Scored
6 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
3 / 9
SUN
3
LEE
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sunderland
Sunderland1 - 0
0 - 2Leeds
Sunderland2 - 0
2 - 3Leeds
1 - 2Leeds
Sunderland2 - 0
0 - 2Leeds
1 - 2Leeds
0 - 1Leeds
League games at Leeds since 1996
Leeds
Sunderland
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
5 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
4 / 9
SUN
3
D
2
LEE
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Sunderland
0 - 1Sunderland
0 - 1Sunderland
Leeds2 - 0
Leeds2 - 0
Leeds2 - 1
Leeds3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Leeds United's defensive record is very strong, D. Farke's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Championship games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Sunderland makes sense in this context.

Sunderland 1st Leeds 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 68% probability that Sunderland will score no more than 1 goal
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Leeds scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Sunderland have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
Leeds have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280193/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sunderland
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.1
0.9
Attack rating
29%
better
SUN
LEE
view stats
Games scored8
6
Failed to score0
2
Scored first7
5
Goals scored16
13
Avg. goals scored2
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for21
15
Avg. XG for1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
2%
better
SUN
LEE
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded6
5
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
9
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against1
0.7
KickOff rating
+2%

Sunderland v Leeds Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Sunderland Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9333
A PattersonR MundleP RobertsT Hume
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Patterson GLK9
-
T Hume DEF9
3
-
C Mepham DEF4
1
-
L O'Nien DEF921
-
D Cirkin DEF911
1
-
C Rigg MID921
3
-
D Neil MID8
2
-
J Bellingham MID912
3
-
P Roberts FWD913
2
-
W Isidor FWD62
-
R Mundle FWD931
1
-
Subs
S Moore GLK
-
L Hjelde DEF
-
Z Johnson DEF
-
A Browne MID61
-
A Ba MID
-
A Connolly FWD
-
M. Aleksić FWD
-
T Watson FWD3
-
N Rusyn FWD6
1
-
Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9444
I MeslierJ PiroeW GnontoJ Rodon
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK9
-
J Bogle  DEF91
3
-
J Rodon DEF9
4
-
P Struijk DEF91
1
-
J Firpo DEF912
3
-
J Rothwell MID9
1
-
A Tanaka MID6
-
W Gnonto MID924
3
-
B Aaronson MID921
-
L Ramazani MID621
-
J Piroe FWD941
-
Subs
K Darlow GLK
-
S Byram DEF7
-
I Schmidt DEF3
-
J Debayo DEF
-
S. Chambers MID
-
C. Crew MID
-
P Bamford FWD3
-
M Joseph FWD913
-
J Gelhardt FWD2
-