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Sunderland v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Dec, 12:30 BST, Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Sunderland and Stoke City take on one another at the Stadium of Light on Saturday lunch time, with both Régis Le Bris and Steven Schumacher aiming for victory in the Championship. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Championship match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Sunderland and Stoke go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the teams in terms of who might win. The stats don't provide any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.67 with the bookies, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sunderland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sunderland
58%
3/4
3%
4/5
3%
Draw
26%
13/5
3%
27/10
6%
Stoke
16%
15/4
6%
7/2
4%
Sunderland 1-0
17%
6/1
17%
5/1
4%
Sunderland 2-0
13%
7/113/2
Draw 0-0
11%
9/1
18%
15/2
13%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
11/2
Sunderland 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
13/2
6%
Stoke 1-0
7%
11/1
20%
9/1
11%
Sunderland 3-0
7%
12/1
13%
11/1
Sunderland 3-1
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Stoke 2-1
4%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
3%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Sunderland 4-0
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Stoke 2-0
2%
22/1
10%
16/1
Sunderland 4-1
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Sunderland 3-2
1%
25/1
24%
20/1
9%
Stoke 3-1
1%
40/125/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
1/1
9%
19/20
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
4/5
8%
3/4
6%
Home 1st Goal
57%
1/2
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
35%
15/8-
No 1st Goal
8%
9/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
37%
5/6
9%
10/11
5%
BTTS - No
63%
5/6
6%
4/5
4%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
3/1
11%
14/5
10%
BTTS - Draw
14%
15/4
5%
19/5
BTTS - Away Win
5%
8/1
5%
7/1
Home/draw
84%
2/111/5
Away/draw
42%
1/1
3%
1/1
5%
Home/away
74%
2/72/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
3/10
7%
1/3
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
5/2
17%
11/5
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
12/5
15%
12/5
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/3
6%
2/7
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
11/2
19%
11/2
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/9
3%
1/10
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
14/1
21%
12/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/33
1%
1/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/16
1%
1/16
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
9/1
18%
15/2
13%
Home DNB
76%
2/7
3%
3/10
2%
Away DNB
34%
5/2
8%
11/5
7%
Sunderland win to nil
41%
7/4-
Stoke win to nil
10%
7/1
14%
-
Sunderland / Sunderland
29%
7/4
8%
7/4
5%
Sunderland / Stoke
2%
40/128/1
Sunderland / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Sunderland
18%
7/217/5
Draw / Stoke
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
4/1
9%
Stoke / Sunderland
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
Stoke / Stoke
11%
7/1
7%
6/1
8%
Stoke / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Sunderland have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Championship league table. Sunderland are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Sunderland have outscored their opponents by 26 goals to 19 goals.

Home League Performance

Sunderland have played 8 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Stoke are in 14th position in the Championship on 21 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Stoke have conceded 15 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sunderland
Stoke
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd1812421638 
Jan 1
l
 
1-0A
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
2
Burnley1810621736 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
l
 
0-2A
Jan 1
3
Leeds1810531835 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 17
Dec 26
Apr 21
4
Sunderland 189631333 
-
-
Dec 29
Dec 7
5
M'Boro189361130 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 3
Feb 7
l
 
2-0A
6
Watford18936230 
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
Mar 1
l
 
3-0A
7
West Brom186102728 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
l
 
1-2A
Jan 18
8
Blackburn17845428 
Apr 21
Dec 26
Mar 11
w
 
0-2F
9
Norwich18675825 
Dec 21
Apr 8
d
 
1-1F
Feb 22
10
Millwall17674525 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
11
Bristol C18675325 
Dec 10
Apr 18
d
 
2-2F
Feb 12
12
Sheff Wed18747-525 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 1
Apr 18
Dec 21
13
Swansea18657123 
Apr 12
Dec 14
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
14
Stoke 18567-321 
Dec 7
Dec 29
-
-
15
Derby18558-220 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 21
w
 
2-1F
May 3
16
Coventry18468-318 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 15
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
17
Oxford Utd18468-818 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 26
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
18
Preston18396-818 
Mar 11
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
19
Luton185310-1318 
Feb 12
w
 
1-2F
Apr 8
Dec 10
20
Cardiff18459-1117 
Mar 8
w
 
0-2F
Dec 14
Apr 12
21
Plymouth18459-2017 
Jan 25
l
 
3-2F
Jan 4
w
 
0-1F
22
Hull18369-915 
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-3F
Feb 1
23
QPR18297-1115 
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
24
Portsmouth16277-1213 
Jan 5
w
 
1-3F
w
 
6-1F
Jan 22
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
8
Sunderland have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
Sunderland 4TH
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Stoke 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sunderland since 1994
Sunderland
Stoke
Goals: Scored
28
15
Games: Scored
15 / 18
8 / 18
Clean sheets
10 / 18
3 / 18
SUN
10
D
5
STK
3
League games at Stoke since 1993
Stoke
Sunderland
Goals: Scored
21
13
Games: Scored
13 / 18
11 / 18
Clean sheets
7 / 18
5 / 18
SUN
5
D
3
STK
10
Goal Statistics
Sunderland 4th Stoke 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Sunderland will score 1 or more goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
4+
There is a 52% probability that Stoke will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Sunderland have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-23
Stoke have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280315/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sunderland
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
1.5
0.7
Attack rating
25%
better
SUN
STK
view stats
Games scored14
11
Failed to score4
7
Scored first13
8
Goals scored26
19
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
13
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
37%
better
SUN
STK
view stats
Games conceded8
13
Clean sheets10
5
Conceded first2
8
Goals conceded13
22
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
9
Conversion rate against10%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+37%

Sunderland v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Sunderland Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18535
L O'NienW IsidorP RobertsP Roberts
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L O'Nien DEF1821
1
-
T Hume DEF171
4
-
P Roberts MID1713
5
-
C Rigg MID1731
4
-
D Neil MID173
2
1
D Cirkin DEF1521
1
-
J Bellingham MID1522
4
1
W Isidor FWD155
2
-
R Mundle FWD1543
1
-
A Patterson GLK14
1
-
C Mepham DEF13
4
1
A Browne MID121
-
E Mayenda FWD1032
-
D Ballard DEF8
1
-
A Alese  DEF6
1
-
N Rusyn FWD6
1
-
S Moore GLK4
1
-
L Hjelde DEF3
-
A Aouchiche MID2
-
I Poveda FWD2
-
M. Aleksić FWD1
1
-
Stoke Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18756
V JohanssonT CannonJ. BaeW Burger
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK18
1
-
B Gibson DEF182
4
-
J. Bae MID175
3
-
L. Koumas FWD1721
2
-
M Manhoef FWD1732
1
-
B Wilmot DEF161
4
-
J Tchamadeu DEF16
3
-
E Bocat DEF161
1
-
W Burger MID16
6
-
A Moran MID1521
4
-
T Cannon FWD1471
1
-
J Thompson MID12
4
-
M Rose DEF9
1
-
T Seko MID9
-
A Vidigal FWD9
-
E Stevens DEF82
1
-
E Tezgel FWD7
1
-
N Ennis FWD7
-
S. Sidibe MID61
-
L Gooch FWD5
-
S Gallagher FWD311
1
-
R Mmaee FWD3
-