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Swansea City v Birmingham City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Home advantage can be vital in the Championship, and Alan Sheehan’s Swansea City will have the joy of it on Saturday evening. Chris Davies’s Birmingham City are their opponents at the Liberty Stadium. For each and every Championship match, KickOff explores the statistics for seventeen major betting markets. Meaningful stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds.

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Swansea City's next match is v Hull at 15:00 on Saturday 24th January
Birmingham City's next match is v Stoke at 15:00 on Saturday 24th January
The last English Championship meeting between Swansea and Birmingham was on Saturday 17th January 2026
English Championship
January 17th 2026
Swansea 1
1 Birmingham
 
Ž. Vipotnik 21'72' P. Roberts
 
SWA
BIR
Shots On
4
1
Shots Off
7
5
Corners
5
5
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
10
14
 
SwanseaBirmingham
 
B. Cabango
J. Tymon
J. Fulton
M. Widell (M. Junior Yalcouyé 68')
Ž. Vipotnikfootball icon (L. Cullen 68')
J. Eom (Z. Inoussa 77')
C. Burgess
L. Vigouroux
G. Franco (J. Ward 83')
E. William Galbraith
R. Pereira Martins
C. Klarer
P. Neumann
T. Doyle
S. Paik
(J. Stansfield 56') K. Furuhashi
football iconP. Roberts
J. Beadle
K. Wagner
L. Koumas
(W. Willumsson 85') M. Ducksch
T. Iwata

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Swansea and Birmingham combined during the standard 90 minutes. Up to date form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this conclusion, and we think there's a 76% chance of it coming in. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Swansea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Swansea
46%
17/1010/1
Draw
26%
11/51/9
Birmingham
27%
17/1010/1
Draw 1-1
12%
5/11/10
Swansea 1-0
12%
7/15/4
Swansea 2-1
9%
9/110/1
Birmingham 1-0
9%
7/111/2
Swansea 2-0
9%
12/119/5
Draw 0-0
8%
15/25/1
Birmingham 2-1
7%
9/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/160/1
Birmingham 2-0
5%
12/19/1
Swansea 3-1
4%
22/190/1
Swansea 3-0
4%
25/114/1
Birmingham 3-1
2%
22/180/1
Swansea 3-2
2%
33/1100/1
Birmingham 3-2
2%
33/1100/1
Birmingham 3-0
2%
25/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
6/55/1
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
4/61/9
Home 1st Goal
51%
1/123/20
Away 1st Goal
44%
1/111/10
No 1st Goal
5%
15/25/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
5/67/5
BTTS - No
50%
5/61/2
BTTS - Home Win
20%
5/19/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/31/10
BTTS - Away Win
12%
5/19/1
Home/draw
73%
4/91/33
Away/draw
54%
4/91/33
Home/away
74%
4/115/1
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
4/113/5
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
11/55/4
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/140/1
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/41/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1125/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/121/200
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/50
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/121/10
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/15/1
Home DNB
65%
5/65/6
Away DNB
46%
5/617/20
Swansea win to nil
27%
10/3-
Birmingham win to nil
15%
10/3-
Swansea / Swansea
19%
10/34/9
Swansea / Birmingham
3%
28/17/1
Swansea / Draw
6%
14/129/10
Draw / Swansea
14%
5/128/1
Draw / Birmingham
13%
5/125/1
Draw / Draw
17%
15/422/1
Birmingham / Swansea
3%
28/1125/1
Birmingham / Birmingham
19%
10/390/1
Birmingham / Draw
6%
14/1125/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Swansea have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Swansea have conceded 27 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Swansea have played 13 games at home, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Birmingham lay in 14th place on 34 points in the Championship league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 18 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Birmingham have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Birmingham have played 13 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 0.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Swansea
Birmingham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry2817743058 
Mar 21
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-0A
2
Ipswich2714852350 
l
 
1-4A
Feb 28
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
3
M'Boro2714761249 
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
Mar 2
l
 
2-1A
4
Hull271458647 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 24
l
 
2-3A
Apr 18
5
Millwall281378-346 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-0F
Feb 25
6
Preston2811107743 
Feb 24
l
 
2-1A
Apr 22
w
 
0-1F
7
Stoke2712510941 
Mar 7
l
 
2-1A
Jan 24
l
 
1-0A
8
Watford261187641 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 31
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
9
Wrexham2810117541 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 14
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
10
Derby281189241 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 14
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
11
Bristol C2811710740 
Feb 21
l
 
3-0A
Apr 25
l
 
1-0A
12
QPR2811710-140 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 21
Mar 10
l
 
2-1A
13
Birmingham2810810138 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
-
-
14
Leicester2810810-238 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 11
Feb 7
l
 
2-0A
15
Swansea2810612-436 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
16
Southampton278910-133 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
17
Sheff Utd2610214-332 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 3
Mar 14
l
 
3-0A
18
Charlton278811-732 
May 2
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 7
19
West Brom289415-1231 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
Feb 10
d
 
1-1A
20
Norwich288614-530 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
w
 
4-1F
Feb 21
21
Blackburn277713-1128 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
Apr 3
w
 
1-2A
22
Portsmouth257711-1328 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 10
w
 
4-0F
May 2
23
Oxford Utd275913-1024 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
24
Sheff Wed271818-36-7 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Swansea 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea1 - 0West Brom
Swansea2 - 1Wrexham
Swansea1 - 0Portsmouth
Swansea2 - 0Oxford Utd
Swansea1 - 2Derby
Swansea1 - 4Ipswich
Swansea2 - 1Norwich
Swansea0 - 1QPR
Swansea1 - 3Leicester
Swansea1 - 1Millwall
Swansea2 - 2Hull
Swansea1 - 1Watford
Swansea1 - 0Sheff Utd
Swansea3 - 3Oxford Utd
Swansea1 - 0Hull
Swansea3 - 0Plymouth
Swansea1 - 0Derby
Swansea0 - 2Burnley
Swansea1 - 0M'Boro
Swansea3 - 0Blackburn
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASwansea1 - 2Millwall
HSwansea1 - 0West Brom
ASwansea1 - 0Oxford Utd
ASwansea0 - 1Coventry
HSwansea2 - 1Wrexham
ASwansea1 - 2Stoke
HSwansea1 - 0Portsmouth
HSwansea2 - 0Oxford Utd
ASwansea2 - 3West Brom
HSwansea1 - 2Derby
ASwansea0 - 3Bristol C
HSwansea1 - 4Ipswich
ASwansea1 - 2Preston
ASwansea1 - 1Charlton
HSwansea2 - 1Norwich
HSwansea0 - 1QPR
ASwansea0 - 0Southampton
HSwansea1 - 3Leicester
ASwansea2 - 1Blackburn
HSwansea1 - 1Millwall
Birmingham 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford3 - 0Birmingham
Sheff Utd3 - 0Birmingham
QPR2 - 1Birmingham
Southampton3 - 1Birmingham
West Brom1 - 1Birmingham
M'Boro2 - 1Birmingham
Bristol C1 - 0Birmingham
Preston0 - 1Birmingham
Wrexham1 - 1Birmingham
Coventry3 - 0Birmingham
Stoke1 - 0Birmingham
Leicester2 - 0Birmingham
Blackburn1 - 2Birmingham
Cambridge1 - 2Birmingham
Blackpool0 - 2Birmingham
Stevenage0 - 1Birmingham
Burton1 - 2Birmingham
Peterborough1 - 2Birmingham
Bristol R1 - 2Birmingham
Northampton1 - 1Birmingham
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBirmingham3 - 2Coventry
ABirmingham0 - 3Watford
HBirmingham1 - 1Southampton
HBirmingham1 - 1Derby
ABirmingham0 - 3Sheff Utd
HBirmingham1 - 1Charlton
ABirmingham1 - 2QPR
ABirmingham1 - 3Southampton
HBirmingham2 - 1Watford
ABirmingham1 - 1West Brom
HBirmingham4 - 1Norwich
ABirmingham1 - 2M'Boro
HBirmingham4 - 0Millwall
HBirmingham4 - 0Portsmouth
ABirmingham0 - 1Bristol C
ABirmingham1 - 0Preston
HBirmingham2 - 3Hull
ABirmingham1 - 1Wrexham
HBirmingham2 - 2Sheff Wed
ABirmingham0 - 3Coventry
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Birmingham have not lost to Swansea in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Swansea since 2008
Swansea
Birmingham
Goals: Scored
12
11
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
SWA
1
D
4
BIR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
Draw1 - 1Draw
3 - 4Birmingham
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Swansea3 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
2 - 3Birmingham
League games at Birmingham since 2008
Birmingham
Swansea
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
6 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
2 / 8
SWA
1
D
4
BIR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Birmingham
Birmingham1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Birmingham2 - 1
Birmingham1 - 0
1 - 3Swansea
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Swansea City's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because Birmingham City have conceded in each of their last 12 Championship matches. A PG of 1.5 for A. Sheehan's side suggests that run should continue.

Swansea 18th Birmingham 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Swansea will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Birmingham will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Swansea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-22
Birmingham have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Swansea
PG (predicted goals)
Birmingham
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
SWA
BIR
10%
better
view stats
Games scored20
20
Failed to score6
6
Scored first10
12
Goals scored27
35
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
14
Avg. XG for1
1.5
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
9%
better
SWA
BIR
view stats
Games conceded19
21
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first15
14
Goals conceded33
36
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+9%

Swansea v Birmingham Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281358
L VigourouxZ VipotnikJ TymonM Stamenić
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK28
-
E Galbraith DEF2821
5
-
B Cabango DEF271
6
-
C Burgess DEF28
5
-
J Tymon DEF2715
7
-
G Franco MID2724
5
-
Ronald MID2833
2
-
J Fulton MID171
3
-
M. Widell MID221
2
-
J Eom  MID2711
1
-
Z Vipotnik FWD26131
1
-
Subs
A Fisher GLK
-
J Ward DEF2
-
J Key DEF21
1
-
M Stamenić MID2111
8
-
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID182
1
O Cooper MID1
-
L Cullen FWD222
4
-
B Wales FWD4
-
Z Inoussa FWD252
4
-
Birmingham Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27857
T IwataJ StansfieldP RobertsC Klarer
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Beadle GLK18
3
-
T Iwata DEF2711
6
-
P Neumann DEF222
4
-
C Klarer DEF252
6
1
K Wagner DEF31
1
-
T Doyle MID253
1
1
S Paik MID274
6
-
P Roberts MID2335
2
-
K Furuhashi MID251
1
-
L. Koumas MID231
1
-
M Ducksch FWD1961
1
-
Subs
R Allsop GLK10
2
-
A Sampsted DEF6
-
W. Burrell DEF
-
W Willumsson MID10
-
K Fujimoto MID2
-
M. Mazwi MID
-
D. Isichei MID
-
S Wright FWD1
-
J Stansfield FWD2684
6
-