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Swansea City v Leeds United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Luke Williams's Swansea City side are on home soil in the Championship on Tuesday evening, as Daniel Farke's Leeds United visit the Liberty Stadium. All the odds are delivered directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Championship match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

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Swansea City's next match is v Sunderland at 15:00 on Saturday 24th February
Leeds United's next match is v Leicester at 20:00 on Friday 23rd February
The last English Championship meeting between Swansea and Leeds was on Tuesday 13th February 2024
English Championship
February 13th 2024
Swansea 0
4 Leeds
 
8' C. Summerville
10' J. Piroe
35' D. Gnonto
72' D. Gnonto
 
SWA
LEE
Shots On
1
8
Shots Off
4
1
Corners
5
2
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
11
10
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
SwanseaLeeds
 
C. Rushworth
J. Tymon
B. Humphreys (K. Naughton 78')
N. Wood-Gordon
B. Cabango
J. Paterson
J. Fulton (J. Allen 61')
M. Grimes
P. Płacheta (O. Cooper 78')
L. Cullen (J. Yates 61')
R. Pereira Martins (C. Sagoe Junior 78')
I. Meslier
J. Rodon
H. Firpo Adames
I. Gruev
(C. Roberts 77') A. Gray
E. Ampadu
G. Kamara
(J. Anthony 73') football iconC. Summerville
(M. Joseph Fernández Regatillo 77') G. Rutter
(D. James 73') football iconfootball iconD. Gnonto
(J. Gelhardt 87') football iconJ. Piroe
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Swansea and Leeds combined during 90 minutes. Recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and we're suggest there's a 73% chance of it coming in. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.50.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Leeds coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Swansea
26%
4/1
5%
9/2
8%
4/1
17%
4/1
11%
Draw
25%
10/3
4%
16/5
3%
3/1
11%
16/5
7%
Leeds
49%
4/7
1%
4/7
5%
4/7
5%
3/5
7%
Draw 1-1
12%
15/2
6%
7/1
6%
15/2
6%
7/1
Leeds 1-0
11%
8/1
6%
15/27/115/2
Leeds 2-1
9%
15/27/17/17/1
Leeds 2-0
9%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
Swansea 1-0
8%
16/116/116/1
11%
14/1
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
14/1
15%
14/1
12%
14/114/1
6%
Swansea 2-1
6%
14/116/1
11%
14/1
12%
13/1
7%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
14/114/113/1
Leeds 3-1
5%
11/111/1
9%
11/1
9%
21/2
5%
Leeds 3-0
5%
11/1
9%
11/1
9%
11/1
9%
21/2
10%
Swansea 2-0
4%
28/133/1
17%
28/1
15%
25/1
10%
Leeds 3-2
3%
20/1
9%
20/118/118/1
Swansea 3-1
2%
33/145/1
10%
40/1
17%
33/1
17%
Leeds 4-1
2%
20/122/120/1
11%
19/1
5%
Leeds 4-0
2%
20/122/1
10%
22/1
21%
19/1
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
8/13
4%
8/138/13
3%
16/25
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
5/4
7%
6/5
2%
6/5
2%
5/4
2%
Home 1st Goal
43%
2/1
3%
2/1
3%
9/5
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
2/51/2
4%
1/2
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
14/1
15%
14/1
12%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/6
3%
4/64/64/6
1%
BTTS - No
48%
11/10
5%
11/10
2%
11/1011/10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
7/1
15%
15/2
11%
15/2
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
9/219/5
4%
4/14/1
6%
BTTS - Away Win
22%
21/10
6%
2/1
1%
2/1
4%
-
Home/draw
51%
13/1011/8
5%
13/10
8%
27/20
8%
Away/draw
74%
1/6
3%
1/7
3%
1/6
3%
2/13
2%
Home/away
75%
1/5
2%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
11/50
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/5
2%
2/111/52/11
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
7/2
4%
17/5
2%
10/319/5
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
13/8
9%
6/4
2%
13/8
5%
17/10
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/2
6%
1/2
2%
4/9
4%
4/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
7/2
10%
17/5
1%
7/2
4%
4/1
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/5
3%
2/111/6
3%
1/6
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
8/1
10%
8/18/1
13%
19/2
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/14
1%
1/141/20
1%
1/18
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/33
1%
1/28-1/40
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
14/1
15%
14/1-16/1
6%
Home DNB
44%
11/4
8%
3/1
8%
3/1
11%
3/1
13%
Away DNB
66%
1/4
2%
2/9
2%
2/9
4%
6/25
3%
Swansea win to nil
14%
9/1
9%
10/1
15%
10/1
8%
-
Leeds win to nil
27%
2/1
5%
19/10
4%
9/5
6%
-
Swansea / Swansea
10%
15/2
5%
9/1
9%
15/2
11%
15/2
6%
Swansea / Leeds
4%
18/1
10%
20/118/119/1
5%
Swansea / Draw
5%
16/116/114/114/1
6%
Draw / Swansea
7%
10/1
8%
11/1
8%
12/1
13%
21/2
8%
Draw / Leeds
19%
7/2
4%
13/4
3%
7/2
4%
19/5
2%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
11/2
7%
11/2
7%
23/4
4%
Leeds / Swansea
2%
33/1
17%
50/1
9%
40/1
20%
40/1
11%
Leeds / Leeds
35%
7/56/4
4%
11/8
7%
11/8
7%
Leeds / Draw
5%
14/116/114/114/1
6%
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Swansea have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Swansea have conceded 41 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Swansea have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Leeds lay in 3rd place on 63 points in the Championship league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 6 and losing 5 games. They have scored 53 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Leeds have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Leeds have played 15 away games, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Swansea
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Leeds
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-1A
 Leicester3325354378 
Feb 23
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-1F
 Leeds Away3321663569 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2F
 Ipswich3320942169 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-4A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
5-0A
 Southampton3320762467 
May 4
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2A
 West Brom33167101755 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
 Hull3316611754 
Apr 1
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
 Coventry33131281451 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
w
 
2-1F
Apr 27
 Norwich3315612851 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
 Preston3314712-849 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 24
 Sunderland3314514847 
Apr 9
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 6
 Watford33111111444 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 29
l
 
1-2F
Mar 10
 Bristol C3312813144 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
Apr 6
 M'Boro3213514044 
w
 
3-2A
Apr 20
Mar 16
l
 
2-0A
 Cardiff3312516-1041 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
 Birmingham3210814-1138 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
Mar 2
w
 
0-1F
 Blackburn3311517-1238 
Apr 13
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3A
 Plymouth3391014-637 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
 Swansea Home339915-1336 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-4F
Apr 10
d
 
1-1A
 Stoke339816-1635 
Mar 5
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 20
 Huddersfield3371313-1634 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 2
May 4
w
 
0-3F
 Millwall338916-1533 
Mar 17
w
 
0-3F
Apr 1
d
 
1-1F
 QPR338817-1432 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
w
 
3-0F
Mar 29
 Sheff Wed338520-2629 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
Apr 13
w
 
1-2F
 Rotherham3331020-3519 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
Swansea 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Leeds 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Swansea since 2007
Swansea
Leeds
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
SWA
2
D
1
LEE
1
All league games since 2007
Swansea
Leeds
Goals: Scored
12
14
Games: Scored
7 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
2 / 9
SWA
3
D
1
LEE
5
Goal Statistics

Leeds United's defensive record is to be admired, D. Farke's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Championship outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Swansea City makes sense in this context.

Leeds United have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Championship matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Swansea City on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Swansea 18th Leeds 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Swansea will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Swansea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-7
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/259910/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Swansea
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.1
1.6
Attack rating
SWA
LEE
13%
better
view stats
Games scored27
27
Failed to score6
6
Scored first17
18
Goals scored41
61
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate14%
17%
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
SWA
LEE
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
18
Clean sheets6
15
Conceded first15
13
Goals conceded54
26
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate16%
14%
KickOff rating
+32%

Swansea v Leeds Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33757
C RushworthJ YatesJ TymonB Cabango
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Rushworth GLK33
1
-
B Humphreys DEF231
2
-
B Cabango DEF261
7
-
N Wood DEF171
5
-
J Tymon DEF285
5
-
J Fulton MID311
5
-
M Grimes MID3324
4
-
Ronald MID5
-
J Paterson MID3154
4
-
P Placheta  MID4
-
L Cullen FWD3254
6
-
Subs
A Fisher GLK
-
K Naughton DEF10
2
-
F. Lissah DEF
-
J Allen MID121
4
-
C Patino MID2534
2
-
O Cooper MID2311
4
-
J Yates FWD3371
1
-
M Kukharevych FWD101
-
C Junior FWD2
-
Leeds Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3315116
E AmpaduC SummervilleG RutterE Ampadu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK31
3
1
A Gray DEF312
2
-
J Rodon DEF30
5
-
E Ampadu DEF331
6
-
J Firpo DEF134
2
-
I Gruev MID181
3
-
G Kamara MID252
1
-
W Gnonto MID2552
1
-
G Rutter MID32611
5
-
C Summerville MID30158
6
-
J Piroe FWD29112
1
-
Subs
K Klaesson GLK1
-
C Roberts DEF3
-
C Cresswell DEF5
-
L Cooper DEF141
-
D James MID29106
4
-
J Gelhardt FWD8
1
-
M Joseph FWD10
-
J Anthony FWD221
-