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Swansea City v Portsmouth : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 9th Dec, 19:45 BST, Liberty Stadium, Swansea

We’ve Championship action to enjoy on Tuesday evening, as Alan Sheehan and his Swansea City side host John Mousinho’s Portsmouth at the Liberty Stadium. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Championship matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Swansea and Portsmouth have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Tuesday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Swansea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Swansea 45%	2.05	2.10
Draw 26%	3.20	3.40
Portsmouth 29%	3.50	3.50
Draw 1-1 12%	6.00	6.00
Swansea 1-0 11%	7.00	6.50
Swansea 2-1 9%	9.00	8.00
Portsmouth 1-0 8%	9.50	8.50
Swansea 2-0 8%	9.50	8.50
Draw 0-0 8%	8.50	8.00
Portsmouth 2-1 7%	13.00	11.00
Draw 2-2 5%	15.00	13.00
Portsmouth 2-0 5%	17.00	13.00
Swansea 3-1 4%	19.00	15.00
Swansea 3-0 4%	19.00	15.00
Portsmouth 3-1 3%	29.00	23.00
Swansea 3-2 2%	29.00	23.00
Portsmouth 3-2 2%	41.00	26.00
Portsmouth 3-0 2%	41.00	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	2.10	2.05
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	1.73	1.70
Home 1st Goal 51%	1.73	1.75
Away 1st Goal 44%	2.30	2.40
No 1st Goal 5%	8.50	8.00
BTTS - Yes 52%	1.83	1.91
BTTS - No 48%	1.83	1.83
BTTS - Home Win 20%	4.75	4.40
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.50	4.60
BTTS - Away Win 13%	7.50	6.50
Home/draw 71%	1.29	1.30
Away/draw 55%	1.73	1.70
Home/away 74%	1.36	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	1.36	1.35
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	3.20	3.00
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	4.00	3.60
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	1.25	1.25
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	8.00	7.00
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1.08	1.08
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	17.00	15.00
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1.03	1.02
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1.07	1.06
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	8.50	8.00
Home DNB 64%	1.50	1.50
Away DNB 47%	2.50	2.45
Swansea win to nil 25%	3.50	-
Portsmouth win to nil 15%	6.00	-
Swansea / Swansea 24%	3.40	3.25
Swansea / Portsmouth 3%	34.00	29.00
Swansea / Draw 6%	13.00	13.00
Draw / Swansea 16%	5.00	5.00
Draw / Portsmouth 11%	7.50	7.50
Draw / Draw 17%	5.00	4.60
Portsmouth / Swansea 3%	26.00	23.00
Portsmouth / Portsmouth 14%	6.00	5.50
Portsmouth / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Win / draw / win Championship table

Swansea have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 20th place in the Championship league table. Swansea have won all their 3 games against teams below them in the table and kept 2 clean sheets in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 0 and lost no matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Swansea have outscored their opponents by 20 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

Swansea have played 10 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Portsmouth are in 22nd position in the Championship on 17 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Portsmouth have conceded 21 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Swansea Portsmouth
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Coventry	19	13	4	2	29	43	Mar 21	Dec 26	l 1-2A	Apr 21
2	M'Boro	19	10	6	3	8	36	Apr 6	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	Apr 11
3	Millwall	19	10	4	5	-2	34	d 1-1F	Jan 4	w 3-1F	Feb 21
4	Ipswich	19	8	7	4	14	31	l 1-4A	Feb 28	Jan 4	l 2-1A
5	Preston	19	8	7	4	6	31	Feb 24	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	Feb 7
6	Stoke	19	9	3	7	8	30	Mar 7	Dec 13	l 0-1A	Apr 25
7	Bristol C	19	8	5	6	5	29	Feb 21	l 3-0A	l 0-1A	Jan 1
8	Birmingham	19	8	4	7	5	28	Jan 17	l 1-0A	May 2	l 4-0A
9	Hull	19	8	4	7	-3	28	d 2-2F	Jan 24	Feb 28	l 3-2F
10	QPR	19	8	4	7	-4	28	l 0-1A	Apr 21	Dec 26	Mar 21
11	Southampton	19	7	6	6	5	27	Apr 18	d 0-00-0	Jan 25	d 0-00-0
12	Wrexham	19	6	9	4	3	27	Dec 19	Mar 14	d 0-00-0	Feb 24
13	Watford	19	7	6	6	2	27	d 1-1A	Jan 31	d 2-2F	Jan 21
14	Leicester	19	7	6	6	1	27	l 1-3A	Apr 11	Apr 18	d 1-1A
15	Derby	19	7	5	7	-2	26	l 1-2A	Feb 14	Mar 14	Dec 20
16	West Brom	19	7	4	8	-4	25	Jan 1	l 3-2F	Jan 31	d 1-1A
17	Charlton	18	6	5	7	-5	23	May 2	d 1-1A	Dec 29	Dec 6
18	Sheff Utd	19	7	1	11	-4	22	w 1-0F	Apr 3	Feb 14	l 3-0A
19	Blackburn	18	6	3	9	-5	21	Jan 20	w 1-2A	Dec 13	Mar 7
20	Swansea	19	5	5	9	-7	20	-	-	Mar 10	Dec 9
21	Oxford Utd	19	4	6	9	-7	18	w 2-0F	Dec 29	Apr 6	w 0-1F
22	Portsmouth	18	4	5	9	-10	17	Dec 9	Mar 10	-	-
23	Norwich	19	3	4	12	-11	13	w 2-1F	Apr 25	l 1-2A	Apr 3
24	Sheff Wed	18	1	5	12	-22	-10	Feb 8	w 0-2F	l 0-2A	Jan 17

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea	2 - 0	Oxford Utd
Swansea	1 - 2	Derby
Swansea	1 - 4	Ipswich
Swansea	2 - 1	Norwich
Swansea	0 - 1	QPR
Swansea	1 - 3	Leicester
Swansea	1 - 1	Millwall
Swansea	2 - 2	Hull
Swansea	1 - 1	Watford
Swansea	1 - 0	Sheff Utd
Swansea	3 - 3	Oxford Utd
Swansea	1 - 0	Hull
Swansea	3 - 0	Plymouth
Swansea	1 - 0	Derby
Swansea	0 - 2	Burnley
Swansea	1 - 0	M'Boro
Swansea	3 - 0	Blackburn
Swansea	0 - 1	Sheff Wed
Swansea	0 - 2	Coventry
Swansea	1 - 2	Sheff Utd

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Swansea	2 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	Swansea	2 - 3	West Brom
H	Swansea	1 - 2	Derby
A	Swansea	0 - 3	Bristol C
H	Swansea	1 - 4	Ipswich
A	Swansea	1 - 2	Preston
A	Swansea	1 - 1	Charlton
H	Swansea	2 - 1	Norwich
H	Swansea	0 - 1	QPR
A	Swansea	0 - 0	Southampton
H	Swansea	1 - 3	Leicester
A	Swansea	2 - 1	Blackburn
H	Swansea	1 - 1	Millwall
A	Swansea	0 - 1	Birmingham
H	Swansea	2 - 2	Hull
A	Swansea	2 - 0	Sheff Wed
H	Swansea	1 - 1	Watford
H	Swansea	1 - 0	Sheff Utd
A	Swansea	0 - 1	M'Boro
H	Swansea	3 - 3	Oxford Utd

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sheff Utd	3 - 0	Portsmouth
Hull	3 - 2	Portsmouth
Birmingham	4 - 0	Portsmouth
Leicester	1 - 1	Portsmouth
Ipswich	2 - 1	Portsmouth
Southampton	0 - 0	Portsmouth
West Brom	1 - 1	Portsmouth
Oxford Utd	0 - 1	Portsmouth
Sheff Wed	1 - 1	Portsmouth
Norwich	3 - 5	Portsmouth
Coventry	1 - 0	Portsmouth
Millwall	2 - 1	Portsmouth
Preston	2 - 1	Portsmouth
Luton	1 - 0	Portsmouth
Oxford Utd	0 - 2	Portsmouth
Sheff Utd	2 - 1	Portsmouth
West Brom	5 - 1	Portsmouth
Blackburn	3 - 0	Portsmouth
Sunderland	1 - 0	Portsmouth
Bristol C	3 - 0	Portsmouth

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Portsmouth	0 - 1	Bristol C
A	Portsmouth	0 - 3	Sheff Utd
H	Portsmouth	3 - 1	Millwall
A	Portsmouth	2 - 3	Hull
H	Portsmouth	0 - 0	Wrexham
A	Portsmouth	0 - 4	Birmingham
H	Portsmouth	0 - 1	Stoke
H	Portsmouth	1 - 2	Coventry
A	Portsmouth	1 - 1	Leicester
H	Portsmouth	1 - 0	M'Boro
H	Portsmouth	2 - 2	Watford
A	Portsmouth	1 - 2	Ipswich
H	Portsmouth	0 - 2	Sheff Wed
A	Portsmouth	0 - 0	Southampton
H	Portsmouth	1 - 0	Preston
A	Portsmouth	1 - 1	West Brom
H	Portsmouth	1 - 2	Norwich
A	Portsmouth	1 - 0	Oxford Utd
H	Portsmouth	1 - 1	Hull
A	Portsmouth	1 - 1	Sheff Wed

Goal Statistics

	Swansea 21st	Portsmouth 22nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Swansea will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Portsmouth will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-8 Swansea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-3 Portsmouth’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season

15%

better

SWA

POR

view stats

Games scored	13		11
Failed to score	5		7
Scored first	6		6
Goals scored	18		15
Avg. goals scored	0.9		0.8
Avg. shots per game	7		8
Avg. shots per goal	7		10
Conversion rate for	14		10
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.2
KickOff rating		+15%

SWA

POR

11%

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		13
Clean sheets	3		5
Conceded first	11		10
Goals conceded	27		25
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.6
KickOff rating		+11%

Swansea v Portsmouth Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	7	3	6
L Vigouroux	Z Vipotnik	J Tymon	J Tymon

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Vigouroux GLK	19			-
C Burgess DEF	19			4 -
E Galbraith MID	19	2	1	4 -
Ronald FWD	19	3	1	1 -
J Tymon DEF	18	1	3	6 -
J Key DEF	18			1 -
B Cabango DEF	18			5 -
G Franco MID	18	2	2	3 -
J Eom FWD	18	1	1	-
Z Vipotnik FWD	17	7	1	1 -
Z Inoussa FWD	17		2	2 -
L Cullen FWD	16	1		3 -
A Idah FWD	15	2	1	1 -
M Stamenić MID	13	1	1	4 -
M. Widell MID	13			-
J Fulton MID	10			2 -
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID	9		1	1
K Casey DEF	7		1	-
B Hedilazio FWD	6			-
I Samuels-Smith DEF	3		1	2 -
R Santos DEF	1			-
B Wales FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	12	3	5
Z Vipotnik	Z Vipotnik	J Tymon	J Tymon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Z Vipotnik FWD	7	12	1
Ronald FWD	3	10	1	2
E Galbraith MID	2	8	1	2
G Franco MID	2	3	2	2
A Idah FWD	2	4	1	1
J Tymon DEF	1	4	3	5
J Eom FWD	1	8	1	4
L Cullen FWD	1	6
M Stamenić MID	1	2	1
C Burgess DEF		1
J Key DEF		1		1
B Cabango DEF		2
Z Inoussa FWD		3	2	2
M. Widell MID		1
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID			1
K Casey DEF		1	1
I Samuels-Smith DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1392	49	111
C Burgess	G Franco	B Cabango

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Burgess DEF	1392	23	105
B Cabango DEF	1148	41	111
E Galbraith MID	1014	25	71
J Key DEF	788	24	60
J Tymon DEF	766	26	52
L Vigouroux GLK	607		7
G Franco MID	565	49	101
M Stamenić MID	557	21	46
Ronald FWD	359	18	87
Z Inoussa FWD	247	14	68
J Eom FWD	244	15	63
K Casey DEF	201		15
Z Vipotnik FWD	174	3	38
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID	169	8	24
L Cullen FWD	166	10	29
J Fulton MID	131	8	17
A Idah FWD	130	1	17
I Samuels-Smith DEF	84	5	8
M. Widell MID	75	11	25
B Hedilazio FWD	68	2	15
R Santos DEF	13	1	1

Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	4	3	5
R Poole	A Segecic	J Murphy	A Dozzell

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Poole DEF	18			4 -
A Dozzell MID	18	1		5 -
C Bishop FWD	18	1		2 -
J Knight DEF	14			-
Z Swanson DEF	14	1		3 -
J Williams DEF	14	1	1	2 -
A Segecic MID	14	4		-
T Devlin DEF	13	2	1	1 1
C Ogilvie DEF	13			2 -
J Swift MID	13	1	2	5 -
C Chaplin FWD	13			-
M Pack MID	12	1		4 -
M Kosznovszky MID	11			1 -
M. Yang FWD	11	2	1	2 -
J Murphy FWD	11		3	3 -
F Bianchini FWD	10		1	-
J Bursik GLK	9			1 -
N Schmid GLK	8			-
M Kirk FWD	8	1		1 -
L Roux MID	7			2 -
C Shaughnessy DEF	6			-
H. Matthews DEF	5			-
C Lang FWD	4			-
T. Waddingham FWD	4			1 -
I Bowat DEF	3			-
B Killip GLK	2			-
H Blair FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	11	3	5
A Segecic	C Bishop	J Murphy	J Murphy

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Segecic MID	4	8		4
T Devlin DEF	2	3	1	4
M. Yang FWD	2	4	1
A Dozzell MID	1	2		2
C Bishop FWD	1	11
Z Swanson DEF	1	3
J Williams DEF	1	1	1	1
J Swift MID	1	4	2	1
M Pack MID	1	3		3
M Kirk FWD	1	5
R Poole DEF		2		1
C Ogilvie DEF		1
C Chaplin FWD		1		1
J Murphy FWD		8	3	5
F Bianchini FWD		5	1
L Roux MID				1
C Shaughnessy DEF				1
C Lang FWD		2		1
I Bowat DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
757	27	114
R Poole	J Williams	C Bishop

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Poole DEF	757	20	76
A Dozzell MID	624	19	56
M Pack MID	497	6	30
J Swift MID	455	15	33
J Knight DEF	410	6	45
J Bursik GLK	381		5
C Ogilvie DEF	380	20	82
C Bishop FWD	304	9	114
N Schmid GLK	302		5
C Shaughnessy DEF	278	4	36
J Williams DEF	277	27	56
Z Swanson DEF	266	25	48
C Chaplin FWD	240	10	35
M Kosznovszky MID	161	7	24
T Devlin DEF	157	17	30
J Murphy FWD	157	9	55
H. Matthews DEF	138	2	10
L Roux MID	126	5	9
A Segecic MID	125	13	40
F Bianchini FWD	121	13	39
M. Yang FWD	117	7	20
B Killip GLK	77		1
I Bowat DEF	76	4	19
C Lang FWD	44	5	21
M Kirk FWD	33	2	10
H Blair FWD	13		4
T. Waddingham FWD	6	1	3