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Swansea City v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Luke Williams and Steven Schumacher take on one another in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, as Swansea City face Stoke City at the Liberty Stadium. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Championship matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

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Swansea City's next match is v Blackburn at 15:00 on Saturday 19th October
Stoke City's next match is v Norwich at 15:00 on Saturday 19th October
The last English Championship meeting between Swansea and Stoke was on Saturday 5th October 2024
English Championship
October 5th 2024
Swansea 0
0 Stoke
 
SWA
STK
Shots On
5
4
Shots Off
8
2
Corners
5
9
Possession
64%
36%
Fouls
8
14
Yellow/red cards
4/0
 
SwanseaStoke
 
L. Vigouroux
J. Key
J. Tymon
B. Cabango
H. Darling
G. Franco (J. Fulton 83')
M. Grimes
O. Cooper (M. Peart-Harris 76')
J. Eom (F. Bianchini 77')
Ž. Vipotnik (L. Cullen 64')
R. Pereira Martins (A. Abdulai 77')
V. Johansson
M. Rose
B. Gibson
E. Bocat
B. Wilmot
A. Moran
(A. Cunha Vidigal 65') J. Bae
(J. Thompson 54') W. Burger
(M. Manhoef 54') L. Koumas
(E. Tezgel 85') S. Gallagher
T. Cannon
Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Luke Williams and Steven Schumacher to got all-out defensive here, but we do not expect a deluge of goals as Swansea and Stoke go head-to-head. The stats belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that's a good shout here. With best odds of 1.91 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we're recommending.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Swansea
58%
5/4
4%
5/4
2%
Draw
26%
5/2
3%
12/5
3%
Stoke
16%
2/1
3%
21/10
5%
Swansea 1-0
17%
8/1
29%
7/1
14%
Swansea 2-0
13%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/25/1
Draw 0-0
11%
11/1
33%
8/1
13%
Swansea 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
Stoke 1-0
8%
10/1
38%
8/1
6%
Swansea 3-0
7%
20/1
9%
16/1
13%
Swansea 3-1
4%
16/1
19%
12/1
13%
Stoke 2-1
4%
10/117/2
5%
Draw 2-2
3%
12/1
24%
10/1
8%
Stoke 2-0
3%
14/1
15%
12/1
Swansea 4-0
2%
40/1
20%
28/1
Swansea 4-1
2%
40/125/1
10%
Swansea 3-2
1%
25/1
24%
18/1
10%
Stoke 3-1
1%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
4/5
18%
5/6
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
1/1
20%
10/11
9%
Home 1st Goal
57%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
36%
6/5
2%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
11/1
33%
-
BTTS - Yes
38%
4/6
9%
4/6
7%
BTTS - No
62%
11/10
15%
11/10
8%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
10/3
13%
3/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
15%
10/3
9%
16/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
6%
9/2
15%
17/4
13%
Home/draw
84%
4/11
3%
7/20
2%
Away/draw
42%
8/13
3%
8/13
2%
Home/away
74%
2/7
1%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
1/4
11%
2/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
3/1
33%
5/2
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
11/5
20%
2/1
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
4/11
9%
7/20
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
9/2
31%
9/2
15%
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/7
6%
1/8
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
10/1
35%
9/1
23%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/20
3%
1/25
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/20
2%
1/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
10/1
22%
8/1
6%
Home DNB
76%
8/13
3%
3/5
3%
Away DNB
35%
6/5
5%
6/5
4%
Swansea win to nil
40%
3/1
7%
-
Stoke win to nil
11%
9/2
22%
-
Swansea / Swansea
22%
11/4
6%
5/2
3%
Swansea / Stoke
3%
28/122/1
12%
Swansea / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw / Swansea
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Stoke
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
7%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
16%
19/5
4%
Stoke / Swansea
4%
22/1
21%
18/1
10%
Stoke / Stoke
16%
15/4
5%
19/5
4%
Stoke / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Swansea have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Championship league table. Swansea are unbeaten in 4 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 4 games. Swansea are unbeaten at home after 4 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 2 and lost no matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. They have been outscored by their opponents by 10 goals to 8 goals.

Home League Performance

Swansea have played 4 games at home winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 6 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

Stoke are in 15th position in the Championship on 9 points having played 8 matches so far this season. Stoke have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 5 matches and failed to score in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 6 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 1 goal in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost all of those games, drawn 0 and won zero. Stoke have conceded 11 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Swansea
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Stoke
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Dec 14
Apr 12
 Sunderland96121019 
Dec 29
Dec 7
Jan 21
l
 
1-0A
 Sheff Utd9630919 
Apr 26
Oct 26
Mar 15
Nov 10
 Burnley95311018 
Nov 30
Jan 1
Jan 4
l
 
1-0A
 West Brom9522617 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 18
Nov 24
Mar 29
 Leeds9441816 
Dec 26
Apr 21
Nov 5
Mar 12
 Watford9513016 
Mar 1
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
 Norwich9432615 
Oct 19
Feb 22
Feb 22
Oct 19
 Blackburn9432415 
Mar 11
Nov 6
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
 M'Boro9423314 
Feb 8
l
 
2-0A
May 3
Nov 2
 Oxford Utd9333212 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
-
-
 Swansea Home9333212 
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
Nov 27
 Derby9405012 
Nov 2
May 3
Apr 18
Dec 21
 Hull9333-112 
l
 
1-3F
Feb 1
Apr 9
Dec 10
 Plymouth9324-311 
Jan 4
w
 
0-1F
Feb 11
Oct 22
 Sheff Wed9324-411 
Apr 18
Dec 21
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
 Bristol C9252-411 
Oct 22
Feb 11
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
 Stoke Away9315-210 
-
-
Oct 26
Apr 26
 Millwall923419 
Nov 9
Mar 15
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
 Preston9234-59 
Nov 26
Apr 5
Feb 1
w
 
1-2F
 Coventry9225-38 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
Dec 29
Dec 7
 Luton9225-78 
Apr 8
Dec 10
Dec 26
Apr 21
 QPR9144-77 
Mar 29
Nov 23
Nov 30
Jan 1
 Portsmouth9054-115 
w
 
6-1F
Jan 22
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
 Cardiff9126-145 
Dec 14
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
Swansea 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea1 - 1Bristol C
Swansea1 - 0Norwich
Swansea1 - 1Cardiff
Swansea3 - 0Preston
Swansea0 - 1Millwall
Swansea1 - 0Rotherham
Swansea3 - 0Stoke
Swansea0 - 1QPR
Swansea2 - 0Cardiff
Swansea2 - 1Blackburn
Swansea1 - 2Ipswich
Swansea0 - 4Leeds
Swansea0 - 1Plymouth
Swansea1 - 3Southampton
Swansea1 - 0West Brom
Swansea2 - 1Preston
Swansea1 - 2M'Boro
Swansea1 - 1Huddersfield
Swansea2 - 2Hull
Swansea0 - 0Sunderland
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASwansea0 - 1Sheff Utd
HSwansea1 - 1Bristol C
ASwansea2 - 1Coventry
HSwansea1 - 0Norwich
ASwansea0 - 1West Brom
HSwansea1 - 1Cardiff
HSwansea3 - 0Preston
ASwansea0 - 1M'Boro
HSwansea0 - 1Millwall
ASwansea2 - 2Norwich
ASwansea4 - 0Huddersfield
HSwansea1 - 0Rotherham
HSwansea3 - 0Stoke
ASwansea0 - 2M'Boro
HSwansea0 - 1QPR
ASwansea1 - 1Sheff Wed
HSwansea2 - 0Cardiff
ASwansea0 - 1Bristol C
ASwansea1 - 1Watford
HSwansea2 - 1Blackburn
Stoke 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
M'Boro2 - 0Stoke
Oxford Utd1 - 0Stoke
Plymouth0 - 1Stoke
Watford3 - 0Stoke
Southampton0 - 1Stoke
Sheff Wed1 - 1Stoke
Swansea3 - 0Stoke
Hull0 - 2Stoke
Preston1 - 2Stoke
Leeds1 - 0Stoke
Cardiff2 - 1Stoke
Blackburn3 - 1Stoke
Sunderland3 - 1Stoke
Rotherham0 - 1Stoke
Watford1 - 1Stoke
Birmingham1 - 3Stoke
West Brom1 - 1Stoke
Plymouth2 - 1Stoke
QPR4 - 2Stoke
Coventry0 - 0Stoke
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HStoke6 - 1Portsmouth
AStoke0 - 2M'Boro
HStoke1 - 3Hull
AStoke0 - 1Oxford Utd
AStoke1 - 0Plymouth
HStoke1 - 2West Brom
AStoke0 - 3Watford
HStoke1 - 0Coventry
HStoke4 - 0Bristol C
AStoke1 - 0Southampton
HStoke3 - 0Plymouth
AStoke1 - 1Sheff Wed
AStoke0 - 3Swansea
HStoke2 - 2West Brom
HStoke1 - 1Huddersfield
AStoke2 - 0Hull
HStoke0 - 3Norwich
AStoke2 - 1Preston
AStoke0 - 1Leeds
HStoke2 - 0M'Boro
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Swansea since 2011
Swansea
Stoke
Goals: Scored
24
16
Games: Scored
12 / 13
8 / 13
Clean sheets
5 / 13
1 / 13
SWA
7
D
1
STK
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
Swansea3 - 0
1 - 3Stoke
1 - 3Stoke
Swansea2 - 0
1 - 2Stoke
Swansea3 - 1
1 - 2Stoke
Swansea2 - 0
0 - 1Stoke
Swansea2 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
Swansea3 - 1
Swansea2 - 0
League games at Stoke since 2012
Stoke
Swansea
Goals: Scored
23
10
Games: Scored
13 / 13
8 / 13
Clean sheets
5 / 13
0 / 13
SWA
1
D
4
STK
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stoke3 - 0
1 - 2Swansea
Stoke2 - 0
Stoke1 - 0
Stoke2 - 1
Stoke3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Stoke2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stoke2 - 0
Stoke2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Swansea 11th Stoke 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Swansea will score 1 or more goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 51% probability that Stoke will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Swansea have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
-24
Stoke have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280194/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Swansea
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
1.5
0.7
Attack rating
SWA
STK
3%
better
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score3
3
Scored first5
4
Goals scored8
10
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game6
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
26%
better
SWA
STK
view stats
Games conceded6
6
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first3
4
Goals conceded6
12
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded14
7
Conversion rate against7%
14%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+26%

Swansea v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9213
L VigourouxL CullenB CabangoJ Tymon
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK9
-
J Key DEF9
1
-
B Cabango DEF911
1
-
H Darling DEF91
1
-
J Tymon DEF9
3
-
G Franco MID8
2
-
M Grimes MID91
-
Ronald MID91
-
O Cooper MID911
-
J Eom  MID91
-
Z Vipotnik FWD81
-
Subs
J McLaughlin GLK
-
K Naughton DEF6
1
-
N Abby DEF
-
J Allen MID5
1
-
A Abdulai MID71
1
-
J Fulton MID6
1
-
M Peart-Harris MID6
-
F Bianchini FWD4
1
-
L Cullen FWD62
-
Stoke Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9434
V JohanssonT CannonJ. BaeB Wilmot
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK9
-
B Wilmot DEF91
4
-
M Rose DEF4
1
-
B Gibson DEF9
2
-
E Bocat DEF9
1
-
A Moran MID711
2
-
W Burger MID9
3
-
L. Koumas MID81
1
-
S Gallagher MID311
1
-
J. Bae MID83
1
-
T Cannon FWD54
1
-
Subs
J Bonham GLK
-
E Stevens DEF2
-
A Famiwuya DEF1
-
J Tchamadeu DEF8
2
-
A Vidigal MID3
-
T Seko MID1
-
J Thompson MID8
2
-
E Tezgel FWD6
1
-
M Manhoef FWD812
1
-