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Swansea City v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Alan Sheehan and Mark Robins take on one another in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, as Swansea City face Stoke City at the Liberty Stadium. Statistics power the predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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Swansea City's next match is v Portsmouth at 19:45 on Tuesday 10th March
Stoke City's next match is v Ipswich at 20:00 on Tuesday 10th March
The last English Championship meeting between Swansea and Stoke was on Saturday 7th March 2026
English Championship
March 7th 2026
Swansea 2
0 Stoke
 
Ž. Vipotnik 53'
L. Cullen 90'
 
SWA
STK
Shots On
4
2
Shots Off
11
1
Corners
12
5
Possession
67%
33%
Fouls
7
12
Yellow/red cards
2/0
5/1
 
SwanseaStoke
 
J. Key
B. Cabango
J. Tymon
M. Stamenic (J. Fulton 81')
Ž. Vipotnikfootball icon
J. Eom (L. Cullen 81')
C. Burgess
L. Vigouroux
G. Franco (J. Ward 90')
E. William Galbraith (M. Widell 81')
R. Pereira Martins (G. Nunes Fernandes Gomes 66')
 (M. Talovierov 75') B. Wilmot
(J. Tchamadeu 70') E. Bocat
S. Thomas
B. Gibson
J. Bae
T. Simkim
A. Phillips
T. Seko
S. Nzonzi
(M. Manhoef 54') J. Rak-Sakyi
(M. Smit 54') L. Cisse

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals simply means there there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Swansea and Stoke during the standard 90 minutes. It's a bet the stats below and the odds both suggest is worth considering, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Swansea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Swansea
56%
17/201/1000
Draw
26%
12/5750/1
Stoke
18%
16/51/50
Swansea 1-0
16%
11/22/9
Swansea 2-0
12%
15/29/2
Draw 1-1
12%
11/212/1
Draw 0-0
11%
15/23/1
Swansea 2-1
9%
15/245/1
Stoke 1-0
8%
10/111/1
Swansea 3-0
6%
14/128/1
Swansea 3-1
4%
16/1125/1
Stoke 2-1
4%
14/1100/1
Draw 2-2
3%
16/1200/1
Stoke 2-0
3%
20/133/1
Swansea 4-0
2%
33/1150/1
Swansea 4-1
2%
33/1125/1
Swansea 3-2
2%
28/1150/1
Stoke 3-1
1%
40/1250/1
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
11/1020/1
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
8/111/1000
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/64/9
Away 1st Goal
37%
6/419/4
No 1st Goal
7%
15/23/1
BTTS - Yes
40%
10/1111/1
BTTS - No
60%
4/51/40
BTTS - Home Win
18%
10/340/1
BTTS - Draw
15%
15/412/1
BTTS - Away Win
6%
8/170/1
Home/draw
82%
2/91/1000
Away/draw
44%
10/1112/1
Home/away
74%
3/101/66
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
4/113/1
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
11/52/9
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
11/480/1
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
2/71/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
7/11/50
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/121/50
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/401/50
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/142/9
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
8/13/1
Home DNB
74%
1/31/1000
Away DNB
36%
9/470/1
Swansea win to nil
38%
2/1-
Stoke win to nil
11%
6/1-
Swansea / Swansea
27%
2/115/2
Swansea / Stoke
3%
33/180/1
Swansea / Draw
6%
14/140/1
Draw / Swansea
17%
15/44/6
Draw / Stoke
10%
15/217/2
Draw / Draw
16%
4/123/10
Stoke / Swansea
4%
22/140/1
Stoke / Stoke
12%
6/140/1
Stoke / Draw
6%
14/140/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Swansea have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Swansea have conceded 33 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Swansea have played 18 games at home, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 26 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Stoke lay in 14th place on 47 points in the Championship league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 21 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Stoke have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Stoke have played 18 away games, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Swansea
Stoke
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3622863674 
Mar 21
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
2
M'Boro3620972369 
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
3
Millwall361989965 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
4
Ipswich35181072664 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
3-0A
Mar 10
l
 
1-0A
5
Hull3618612560 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
6
Wrexham3515128957 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 13
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
7
Derby3615912754 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1A
Apr 6
8
Southampton351411101153 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
9
Watford35131210451 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
10
Bristol C3614814250 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
5-1F
May 2
11
Sheff Utd3615417249 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 3
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
12
Birmingham36131013-149 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
13
Swansea3614715-149 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
14
Preston36121311-149 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 20
15
Stoke3613815347 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
-
-
16
QPR3613815-1247 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 21
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
17
Norwich3513616345 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
18
Charlton36111114-1044 
May 2
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
19
Portsmouth35101015-1040 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 10
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
20
Blackburn3610917-1339 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
21
West Brom369918-1836 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
22
Leicester36101115-935 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 11
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
23
Oxford Utd3681117-1435 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
24
Sheff Wed361827-51-7 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Swansea 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea1 - 1Preston
Swansea1 - 0Bristol C
Swansea4 - 0Sheff Wed
Swansea3 - 1Blackburn
Swansea1 - 1Birmingham
Swansea1 - 0West Brom
Swansea2 - 1Wrexham
Swansea1 - 0Portsmouth
Swansea2 - 0Oxford Utd
Swansea1 - 2Derby
Swansea1 - 4Ipswich
Swansea2 - 1Norwich
Swansea0 - 1QPR
Swansea1 - 3Leicester
Swansea1 - 1Millwall
Swansea2 - 2Hull
Swansea1 - 1Watford
Swansea1 - 0Sheff Utd
Swansea3 - 3Oxford Utd
Swansea1 - 0Hull
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASwansea0 - 3Ipswich
HSwansea1 - 1Preston
HSwansea1 - 0Bristol C
ASwansea0 - 2Derby
HSwansea4 - 0Sheff Wed
ASwansea2 - 0Watford
ASwansea1 - 2Hull
HSwansea3 - 1Blackburn
HSwansea1 - 1Birmingham
ASwansea1 - 2Millwall
HSwansea1 - 0West Brom
ASwansea1 - 0Oxford Utd
ASwansea0 - 1Coventry
HSwansea2 - 1Wrexham
ASwansea1 - 2Stoke
HSwansea1 - 0Portsmouth
HSwansea2 - 0Oxford Utd
ASwansea2 - 3West Brom
HSwansea1 - 2Derby
ASwansea0 - 3Bristol C
Stoke 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Coventry2 - 1Stoke
Charlton1 - 0Stoke
West Brom0 - 0Stoke
Birmingham1 - 1Stoke
Norwich0 - 2Stoke
Hull0 - 1Stoke
Watford1 - 0Stoke
Ipswich1 - 0Stoke
Sheff Utd4 - 0Stoke
Leicester2 - 1Stoke
Oxford Utd0 - 3Stoke
Portsmouth0 - 1Stoke
Millwall2 - 0Stoke
Blackburn1 - 1Stoke
M'Boro0 - 0Stoke
QPR1 - 0Stoke
Southampton1 - 2Stoke
Sheff Wed0 - 3Stoke
Derby0 - 0Stoke
Leeds6 - 0Stoke
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStoke1 - 2Coventry
HStoke2 - 1Oxford Utd
HStoke2 - 2Leicester
AStoke0 - 1Charlton
AStoke0 - 0West Brom
HStoke0 - 2Southampton
AStoke1 - 1Birmingham
HStoke1 - 2M'Boro
HStoke0 - 0QPR
AStoke2 - 0Norwich
AStoke1 - 0Hull
HStoke1 - 2Sheff Utd
HStoke0 - 0Preston
AStoke0 - 1Watford
HStoke2 - 1Swansea
AStoke0 - 1Ipswich
AStoke0 - 4Sheff Utd
HStoke1 - 2Hull
HStoke3 - 0Charlton
AStoke1 - 2Leicester
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Swansea since 2011
Swansea
Stoke
Goals: Scored
24
16
Games: Scored
12 / 14
8 / 14
Clean sheets
6 / 14
2 / 14
SWA
7
D
2
STK
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
Draw0 - 0Draw
Swansea3 - 0
1 - 3Stoke
1 - 3Stoke
Swansea2 - 0
1 - 2Stoke
Swansea3 - 1
1 - 2Stoke
Swansea2 - 0
0 - 1Stoke
Swansea2 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
Swansea3 - 1
Swansea2 - 0
League games at Stoke since 2012
Stoke
Swansea
Goals: Scored
28
12
Games: Scored
15 / 15
10 / 15
Clean sheets
5 / 15
0 / 15
SWA
1
D
4
STK
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Stoke2 - 1
Stoke3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stoke3 - 0
1 - 2Swansea
Stoke2 - 0
Stoke1 - 0
Stoke2 - 1
Stoke3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Stoke2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stoke2 - 0
Stoke2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Swansea 13th Stoke 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Swansea will score 1 or more goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 84% probability of Stoke scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Swansea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-28
Stoke have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Swansea
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
1.5
0.7
Attack rating
8%
better
SWA
STK
view stats
Games scored27
22
Failed to score8
13
Scored first15
16
Goals scored40
39
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
SWA
STK
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
23
Clean sheets10
12
Conceded first19
15
Goals conceded43
34
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against14%
11%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+16%

Swansea v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3617810
L VigourouxZ VipotnikJ TymonM Stamenić
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK36
-
J Key DEF261
3
-
B Cabango DEF351
8
-
C Burgess DEF36
7
-
J Tymon DEF3518
8
-
E Galbraith MID3621
5
-
M Stamenić MID2722
10
-
Ronald MID3634
3
-
G Franco MID3534
6
-
J Eom  MID3511
1
-
Z Vipotnik FWD34172
1
-
Subs
A Fisher GLK
-
J Ward DEF6
-
J Fulton MID241
4
-
M. Widell MID281
3
-
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID2512
1
L Walta MID5
-
O Cooper MID1
-
G. Nunes Fernandes Gomes FWD81
-
L Cullen FWD305
5
-
Stoke Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
369910
S ThomasS ThomasS ThomasS Thomas
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T. Simkim GLK11
1
-
B Wilmot DEF343
5
-
A Phillips DEF311
5
-
B Gibson DEF61
1
-
E Bocat DEF191
-
S Nzonzi MID231
2
-
T Seko MID351
3
-
J Rak-Sakyi MID61
-
J. Bae MID3413
1
-
S Thomas MID3699
9
1
L Cissé FWD2613
4
-
Subs
F Fielding GLK
-
J Tchamadeu DEF2111
10
-
M Taloverov DEF14
6
-
B Pearson MID241
8
1
T Rigo MID261
1
-
G. Gartside-Kelly MID
-
M Manhoef FWD3553
2
-
M Smit FWD7
-