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Watford v Oxford United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 8th Nov, 20:00 BST, Vicarage Road (Watford), Watford

Watford are in Championship action on Friday night, as Tom Cleverley aims to beat Des Buckingham and his Oxford United side at the Vicarage Road (Watford). Analysing both sides' last 20 Championship matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% probability of Watford and Oxford Utd scoring a minimum of two goals in this Championship tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it would appear that the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Watford are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Watford
57%
10/1110/11
Draw
23%
13/527/10
3%
Oxford Utd
20%
14/514/5
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Watford 1-0
10%
15/213/2
Watford 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Watford 2-0
10%
9/18/1
Watford 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Watford 3-0
6%
16/112/1
Oxford Utd 1-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
12/19/1
Oxford Utd 2-1
5%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/110/1
Watford 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Oxford Utd 2-0
3%
20/116/1
Watford 4-1
3%
28/120/1
Watford 4-0
3%
33/122/1
Oxford Utd 3-1
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
8/118/11
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
11/101/1
2%
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
41%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/64/6
BTTS - No
46%
11/1011/10
BTTS - Home Win
27%
13/55/2
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
10%
11/25/1
Home/draw
80%
1/41/4
Away/draw
43%
5/617/20
Home/away
77%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
10/314/5
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
7/47/4
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/92/5
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4/14/1
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/62/13
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/201/20
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/19/1
Home DNB
73%
2/52/5
Away DNB
36%
7/47/4
2%
Watford win to nil
31%
5/2-
Oxford Utd win to nil
10%
6/1-
Watford / Watford
27%
21/1019/10
3%
Watford / Oxford Utd
3%
28/125/1
Watford / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Watford
16%
4/119/5
Draw / Oxford Utd
10%
7/17/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
Oxford Utd / Watford
4%
20/116/1
Oxford Utd / Oxford Utd
14%
5/119/4
Oxford Utd / Draw
6%
14/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Watford have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Championship league table. Watford are unbeaten at home after 6 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Watford have outscored their opponents by 22 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

Watford have played 6 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 11 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Oxford Utd are in 19th position in the Championship on 14 points having played 13 matches so far this season. Oxford Utd are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Oxford Utd have conceded 13 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Watford
Oxford Utd
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
Sunderland139221429 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 8
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
Leeds137511426 
Feb 11
l
 
2-1A
Apr 18
Dec 21
Sheff Utd138321025 
Jan 4
l
 
1-0A
Apr 5
Nov 26
Burnley136521123 
Apr 18
Dec 21
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 8
Watford Home13715122 
-
-
Mar 15
Nov 8
West Brom13562621 
Dec 15
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
Millwall13544419 
Mar 8
w
 
2-3F
Nov 30
Jan 1
Blackburn13544219 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
Bristol C13472019 
Nov 26
Apr 5
Feb 1
l
 
2-1F
Norwich13463518 
Feb 1
l
 
4-1A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 8
M'Boro13535-118 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 15
Nov 23
Mar 29
Swansea13445116 
Mar 12
Nov 5
l
 
1-2A
May 3
Coventry13436015 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 25
Mar 1
l
 
3-2A
Derby13436-115 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 18
d
 
1-1F
Feb 11
Hull13364-215 
Apr 8
Dec 11
Nov 5
Mar 12
Stoke13436-315 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
Cardiff13436-615 
Dec 29
Dec 7
Dec 26
Apr 21
Sheff Wed13436-915 
May 3
w
 
2-6F
Dec 14
Apr 12
Oxford Utd Away13355-114 
Nov 8
Mar 15
-
-
Preston13355-614 
Jan 21
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-1A
Jan 4
Luton13337-612 
Feb 22
l
 
3-0A
Jan 21
d
 
2-2A
Plymouth13337-1212 
Mar 29
Nov 22
Dec 29
Dec 7
QPR13175-810 
Nov 30
Jan 1
Apr 9
Dec 11
Portsmouth13166-139 
Dec 26
Apr 21
Feb 15
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
3
Watford have won 3 consecutive home league games
10
Watford have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
6
Oxford Utd have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Watford 5TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Oxford Utd 19TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Watford's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday night, not least because Oxford United have conceded in each of their last 6 Championship matches. A PG of 1.9 for T. Cleverley's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been an issue for Oxford United of late. It has been 5 Championship matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday night against Watford.

Watford 5th Oxford Utd 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Watford will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Oxford Utd will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Watford have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+12
Oxford Utd have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280268/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Watford
PG (predicted goals)
Oxford Utd
1.9
1
Attack rating
5%
better
WAT
OXF
view stats
Games scored10
11
Failed to score3
2
Scored first5
5
Goals scored22
16
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
17
Avg. XG for1.4
1
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
WAT
OXF
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
10
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first8
7
Goals conceded21
17
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+15%

Watford v Oxford Utd Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Watford Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13535
M PollockE KayembeG ChakvetadzeR Porteous
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Pollock DEF132
2
-
G Chakvetadze MID1313
3
-
M Sissoko MID121
1
-
E Kayembe MID125
1
-
K Sema FWD121
-
V Bayo FWD125
2
-
Y Larouci DEF111
-
R Andrews DEF1121
-
D Bachmann GLK10
-
R Porteous DEF101
5
-
K Baah FWD1021
3
-
F Carvallo DEF9
4
-
T Dele-Bashiru MID92
-
T Ince FWD91
-
J Morris DEF8
-
F Ebosele DEF711
3
-
D Jebbison FWD7
2
-
R Vata FWD6
-
J Bond GLK4
-
A Ogbonna DEF4
-
I Louza  MID3
-
M Rajovic FWD31
2
-
J Ngakia DEF2
-
K Keben DEF1
-
P Dwomoh MID1
-
M. Doumbia FWD1
-
Oxford Utd Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13423
J CummingM HarrisC BrownT Goodrham
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Cumming GLK13
-
C Brown DEF1312
1
-
I Mizouni MID1312
2
-
R Rodrigues MID1322
2
-
W Vaulks MID13
1
-
M Harris FWD134
1
-
T Goodrham FWD132
3
-
P Kioso DEF111
3
-
E Moore DEF101
2
-
G Leigh DEF91
-
D Scarlett FWD93
1
-
S Dembélé FWD81
-
B Nelson DEF7
1
-
L Sibley MID71
3
-
S Long DEF61
-
J McEachran MID61
-
O Dale FWD6
-
J Bennett DEF4
1
-
C Brannagan MID411
-
M Ebiowei FWD4
1
-
K Edwards FWD41
-
M Phillips FWD31
-
P Placheta  FWD3
-
H Avest DEF1
-
W Goodwin FWD1
-