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Watford v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Vicarage Road, Watford

The Championship is the focus for both Watford and Swansea City on Saturday afternoon, as bosses Javier Gracia Carlos and Alan Sheehan face one another at the Vicarage Road. Stats for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Switching the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

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Watford's next match is v Preston at 15:00 on Saturday 14th February
Swansea City's next match is v Sheff Wed at 12:01 on Sunday 8th February
The last English Championship meeting between Watford and Swansea was on Saturday 31st January 2026
English Championship
January 31st 2026
Watford 0
2 Swansea
 
55' M. Stamenic
80' J. Key
 
WAT
SWA
Shots On
5
7
Shots Off
7
2
Corners
5
8
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
10
11
Yellow/red cards
1/1
2/0
 
WatfordSwansea
 
E. Selvik
J. Ngakia
K. Keben
M. Bola
I. Louza (N. Mendy 77')
T. Ince (K. Baah 65')
L. Kjerrumgaard
J. Abankwah
M. Doumbia (N. Irankunda 76')
E. Kayembe
O. Maamma (G. Chakvetadze 65')
B. Cabango
J. Tymon
C. Burgess
(L. Cullen 59') J. Fulton
football iconM. Stamenic
Ž. Vipotnik
(G. Nunes Fernandes Gomes 59') J. Eom
L. Vigouroux
(E. William Galbraith 68') J. Ward
(M. Junior Yalcouyé 69') G. Franco
(J. Key 80') R. Pereira Martins

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Watford are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Watford
52%
23/201/50
Draw
25%
9/4150/1
Swansea
23%
5/21/1000
Watford 1-0
13%
6/116/5
Draw 1-1
12%
5/127/10
Watford 2-0
10%
17/217/2
Watford 2-1
9%
8/114/1
Draw 0-0
8%
15/215/8
Swansea 1-0
8%
9/13/4
Swansea 2-1
6%
12/14/1
Watford 3-0
5%
18/125/1
Watford 3-1
5%
18/150/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/125/1
Swansea 2-0
4%
16/14/11
Watford 3-2
2%
28/1100/1
Watford 4-0
2%
40/166/1
Watford 4-1
2%
40/1150/1
Swansea 3-1
2%
28/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
6/519/4
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/61/9
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/55/4
Away 1st Goal
41%
13/1021/10
No 1st Goal
5%
15/215/8
BTTS - Yes
48%
5/615/2
BTTS - No
52%
5/61/18
BTTS - Home Win
21%
15/480/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/222/1
BTTS - Away Win
10%
13/27/2
Home/draw
77%
2/755/1
Away/draw
48%
4/61/1000
Home/away
75%
1/31/300
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
4/111/1
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
11/53/4
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/133/1
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/41/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1125/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/121/200
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/124/11
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/115/8
Home DNB
70%
1/280/1
Away DNB
40%
6/41/1000
Watford win to nil
31%
5/2-
Swansea win to nil
13%
5/1-
Watford / Watford
24%
12/513/2
Watford / Swansea
3%
33/140/1
Watford / Draw
6%
12/118/1
Draw / Watford
15%
4/111/5
Draw / Swansea
11%
13/27/2
Draw / Draw
17%
4/17/4
Swansea / Watford
4%
25/133/1
Swansea / Swansea
15%
5/110/1
Swansea / Draw
6%
14/120/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Watford have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 8 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Watford have outscored their opponents by 39 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Watford have played 15 games at home winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Swansea are in 16th position in the Championship on 36 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Swansea have conceded 30 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Watford
Swansea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3117862859 
May 2
l
 
3-1A
Mar 21
l
 
1-0A
2
M'Boro3017761858 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 25
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
3
Ipswich3015962254 
Feb 24
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-4A
Feb 28
4
Hull311669754 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
5
Millwall311588353 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
6
Wrexham3112118547 
Mar 7
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1A
Mar 14
7
Preston3112118447 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
Feb 24
l
 
2-1A
8
Bristol C3113711546 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 27
Feb 21
l
 
3-0A
9
Derby3112910645 
Feb 21
w
 
2-3A
l
 
1-2A
Feb 14
10
Birmingham3112910445 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
11
Watford3111119344 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
12
QPR3112811-144 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 3
l
 
0-1A
Apr 21
13
Stoke3112712643 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 14
Mar 7
l
 
2-1A
14
Southampton31111010343 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
15
Swansea3112613142 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
-
-
16
Sheff Utd3012315039 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 3
17
Norwich3110615-336 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
18
Charlton309912-936 
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
May 2
d
 
1-1A
19
Portsmouth298912-1133 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 10
20
West Brom319616-1533 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 21
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
21
Leicester3110813-632 
Mar 21
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-3A
Apr 11
22
Blackburn318815-1332 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
23
Oxford Utd3161015-1328 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 11
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
24
Sheff Wed311822-44-7 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Watford 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford1 - 1Portsmouth
Watford0 - 2Millwall
Watford3 - 0Birmingham
Watford1 - 0Stoke
Watford1 - 1Sheff Wed
Watford3 - 2Norwich
Watford1 - 1Preston
Watford1 - 1Bristol C
Watford3 - 0M'Boro
Watford2 - 1West Brom
Watford2 - 1Oxford Utd
Watford2 - 1Hull
Watford0 - 1Blackburn
Watford2 - 2Southampton
Watford2 - 1QPR
Watford1 - 1Sheff Wed
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Watford1 - 0Hull
Watford0 - 0Plymouth
Watford1 - 0Swansea
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWatford1 - 1Blackburn
HWatford1 - 1Portsmouth
HWatford0 - 2Millwall
HWatford3 - 0Birmingham
AWatford1 - 0Norwich
AWatford2 - 1Leicester
HWatford1 - 0Stoke
AWatford2 - 2Wrexham
HWatford1 - 1Sheff Wed
HWatford3 - 2Norwich
AWatford1 - 2Birmingham
HWatford1 - 1Preston
AWatford3 - 2Derby
HWatford1 - 1Bristol C
AWatford1 - 1Ipswich
HWatford3 - 0M'Boro
AWatford1 - 3Coventry
HWatford2 - 1West Brom
AWatford0 - 1Sheff Utd
HWatford2 - 1Oxford Utd
Swansea 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hull2 - 1Swansea
Millwall2 - 1Swansea
Oxford Utd0 - 1Swansea
Coventry1 - 0Swansea
Stoke2 - 1Swansea
West Brom3 - 2Swansea
Bristol C3 - 0Swansea
Preston2 - 1Swansea
Charlton1 - 1Swansea
Southampton0 - 0Swansea
Blackburn1 - 2Swansea
Birmingham1 - 0Swansea
Sheff Wed0 - 2Swansea
M'Boro1 - 0Swansea
Millwall1 - 0Swansea
QPR1 - 2Swansea
Sunderland0 - 1Swansea
Leeds2 - 2Swansea
Watford1 - 0Swansea
Preston0 - 0Swansea
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASwansea1 - 2Hull
HSwansea3 - 1Blackburn
HSwansea1 - 1Birmingham
ASwansea1 - 2Millwall
HSwansea1 - 0West Brom
ASwansea1 - 0Oxford Utd
ASwansea0 - 1Coventry
HSwansea2 - 1Wrexham
ASwansea1 - 2Stoke
HSwansea1 - 0Portsmouth
HSwansea2 - 0Oxford Utd
ASwansea2 - 3West Brom
HSwansea1 - 2Derby
ASwansea0 - 3Bristol C
HSwansea1 - 4Ipswich
ASwansea1 - 2Preston
ASwansea1 - 1Charlton
HSwansea2 - 1Norwich
HSwansea0 - 1QPR
ASwansea0 - 0Southampton
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Watford since 2009
Watford
Swansea
Goals: Scored
12
9
Games: Scored
9 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
1 / 10
WAT
5
D
1
SWA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Watford1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Swansea
Watford2 - 0
1 - 2Swansea
Watford1 - 0
Watford1 - 0
2 - 3Swansea
0 - 1Swansea
Watford2 - 0
League games at Swansea since 2008
Swansea
Watford
Goals: Scored
15
8
Games: Scored
9 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
2 / 11
WAT
2
D
4
SWA
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
Draw1 - 1Draw
Swansea1 - 0
0 - 1Watford
Swansea4 - 0
Swansea2 - 1
1 - 2Watford
Draw0 - 0Draw
Swansea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Swansea3 - 1
Goal Statistics
Watford 6th Swansea 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Watford will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Swansea scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Watford’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-14
Swansea have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Watford
PG (predicted goals)
Swansea
1.6
0.9
Attack rating
4%
better
WAT
SWA
view stats
Games scored23
23
Failed to score5
6
Scored first9
12
Goals scored39
32
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
WAT
SWA
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
22
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first19
16
Goals conceded33
37
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+7%

Watford v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Watford Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27868
I Louza L KjerrumgaardI Louza N Irankunda
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Selvik GLK25
1
-
J Ngakia DEF2724
2
-
K Keben DEF221
3
-
J Abankwah DEF18
1
1
M Bola DEF2713
2
-
I Louza  MID2766
6
1
E Kayembe MID253
3
-
O. Maamma MID1831
1
-
M. Doumbia MID2131
3
-
T Ince MID194
-
L Kjerrumgaard FWD2981
1
-
Subs
N Baxter GLK7
-
S. Mfuni DEF2
1
-
A. Eames DEF
-
G Chakvetadze MID151
4
-
N Mendy MID10
-
V Semedo FWD2131
2
-
K Baah FWD2111
4
-
J Grieves FWD1
-
N Irankunda FWD2623
7
1
Swansea Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301368
L VigourouxZ VipotnikJ TymonM Stamenić
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK30
-
J Ward DEF3
-
B Cabango DEF291
6
-
C Burgess DEF30
7
-
J Tymon DEF2916
7
-
J Fulton MID191
3
-
Ronald MID3033
2
-
G Franco MID2924
5
-
M Stamenić MID2322
8
-
J Eom  MID2911
1
-
Z Vipotnik FWD28132
1
-
Subs
A Fisher GLK
-
J Key DEF231
2
-
I Samuels-Smith DEF51
2
-
D. Watts DEF
-
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID202
1
E Galbraith MID3021
5
-
O Cooper MID1
-
G. Nunes Fernandes Gomes FWD2
-
L Cullen FWD243
5
-