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Watford v Wrexham : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 17th Mar, 19:45 BST, Vicarage Road, Watford

We’ve Championship action to enjoy on Tuesday evening, as Javier Gracia Carlos and his Watford side host Phil Parkinson’s Wrexham at the Vicarage Road. This preview has the best odds for 17 different markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be found, while there's also head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during the standard 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by relevant form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Watford are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Watford 38%	-	23/20
Draw 27%	-	12/5
Wrexham 36%	-	12/5
Draw 1-1 13%	-	5/1
Watford 1-0 10%	-	6/1
Wrexham 1-0 10%	-	8/1
Watford 2-1 8%	-	7/1
Draw 0-0 8%	-	15/2
Wrexham 2-1 8%	-	9/1
Watford 2-0 7%	-	8/1
Wrexham 2-0 6%	-	12/1
Draw 2-2 5%	-	11/1
Watford 3-1 4%	-	14/1
Wrexham 3-1 3%	-	20/1
Watford 3-0 3%	-	14/1
Wrexham 3-0 3%	-	25/1
Watford 3-2 2%	-	20/1
Wrexham 3-2 2%	-	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 46%	-	19/20
Under 2.5 Goals 54%	-	4/5
Home 1st Goal 48%	-	3/4
Away 1st Goal 47%	-	13/10
No 1st Goal 5%	-	15/2
BTTS - Yes 52%	-	4/5
BTTS - No 48%	-	10/11
BTTS - Home Win 17%	-	16/5
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 16%	-	5/1
Home/draw 64%	-	3/10
Away/draw 62%	-	7/10
Home/away 73%	-	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	-	3/10
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	-	11/5
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	-	23/10
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	-	2/7
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	-	11/2
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	-	1/10
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	-	12/1
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	-	1/40
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	-	1/18
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	-	15/2
Home DNB 56%	-	8/15
Away DNB 54%	-	11/8
Watford win to nil 21%	-	-
Wrexham win to nil 20%	-	-
Watford / Watford 24%	-	11/5
Watford / Wrexham 3%	-	25/1
Watford / Draw 6%	-	11/1
Draw / Watford 15%	-	17/4
Draw / Wrexham 10%	-	13/2
Draw / Draw 16%	-	19/5
Wrexham / Watford 4%	-	18/1
Wrexham / Wrexham 15%	-	4/1
Wrexham / Draw 6%	-	11/1

Win / draw / win Championship table

Watford have played 36 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Watford have conceded 17 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Watford have played 18 games at home, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 26 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Wrexham lay in 6th place on 57 points in the Championship league table having played 36 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 10 and losing 6 games. They have scored 43 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Wrexham have conceded 35 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Wrexham have played 17 away games, winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Watford Wrexham
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Coventry	37	23	8	6	39	77	May 2	l 3-1A	w 3-2A	Apr 25
2	M'Boro	37	20	9	8	22	69	w 3-0F	Apr 25	May 2	d 1-1F
3	Millwall	37	20	8	9	10	68	l 0-2A	l 1-0A	l 0-2A	w 0-2F
4	Ipswich	36	18	11	7	26	65	l 0-2A	d 1-1F	w 5-3F	d 0-00-0
5	Hull	37	19	6	12	6	63	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0	l 1-2A	l 2-0A
6	Wrexham	36	15	12	9	8	57	Mar 17	d 2-2A	-	-
7	Southampton	36	14	12	10	11	54	d 2-2A	l 1-0A	Apr 6	l 2-1F
8	Derby	37	15	9	13	6	54	w 2-0F	w 2-3A	d 1-1F	w 1-2F
9	Watford	36	13	13	10	4	52	-	-	d 2-2F	Mar 17
10	Birmingham	37	14	10	13	0	52	w 3-0F	l 2-1A	d 1-1F	Apr 11
11	Swansea	37	15	7	15	0	52	l 0-2A	d 1-1F	Mar 13	l 2-1F
12	Bristol C	37	14	8	15	0	50	d 1-1F	w 1-2F	w 2-0F	d 2-2F
13	Sheff Utd	37	15	4	18	1	49	Apr 18	l 1-0A	w 5-3A	Mar 21
14	Preston	37	12	13	12	-4	49	d 1-1A	d 2-2A	w 2-1F	d 1-1F
15	Norwich	36	14	6	16	4	48	w 3-2A	w 0-1F	l 1-2A	w 2-3A
16	Stoke	37	13	9	15	3	48	w 1-0F	Mar 14	Apr 18	l 1-0A
17	Charlton	37	12	11	14	-9	47	Apr 6	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
18	QPR	37	13	8	16	-13	47	w 2-1F	Apr 3	l 1-3A	w 2-3A
19	Portsmouth	36	10	10	16	-11	40	d 1-1A	d 2-2A	w 2-1F	d 0-00-0
20	Blackburn	37	10	9	18	-14	39	l 0-1A	d 1-1F	d 1-1A	w 0-2F
21	Leicester	37	11	11	15	-7	38	Mar 21	w 1-2A	d 1-1F	d 1-1A
22	Oxford Utd	37	9	11	17	-13	38	w 2-1A	Apr 11	w 1-0F	Apr 21
23	West Brom	37	9	10	18	-18	37	w 2-1A	Apr 21	l 2-3A	Apr 3
24	Sheff Wed	37	1	9	27	-51	-6	d 1-1A	d 1-1A	d 2-2F	w 0-1F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Wrexham have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford	0 - 2	Ipswich
Watford	2 - 0	Derby
Watford	0 - 2	Swansea
Watford	1 - 1	Portsmouth
Watford	0 - 2	Millwall
Watford	3 - 0	Birmingham
Watford	1 - 0	Stoke
Watford	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
Watford	3 - 2	Norwich
Watford	1 - 1	Preston
Watford	1 - 1	Bristol C
Watford	3 - 0	M'Boro
Watford	2 - 1	West Brom
Watford	2 - 1	Oxford Utd
Watford	2 - 1	Hull
Watford	0 - 1	Blackburn
Watford	2 - 2	Southampton
Watford	2 - 1	QPR
Watford	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
Watford	1 - 2	Burnley

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Watford	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
A	Watford	2 - 1	Bristol C
H	Watford	0 - 2	Ipswich
H	Watford	2 - 0	Derby
A	Watford	2 - 2	Preston
A	Watford	0 - 1	Southampton
A	Watford	0 - 0	Hull
H	Watford	0 - 2	Swansea
A	Watford	1 - 1	Blackburn
H	Watford	1 - 1	Portsmouth
H	Watford	0 - 2	Millwall
H	Watford	3 - 0	Birmingham
A	Watford	1 - 0	Norwich
A	Watford	2 - 1	Leicester
H	Watford	1 - 0	Stoke
A	Watford	2 - 2	Wrexham
H	Watford	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
H	Watford	3 - 2	Norwich
A	Watford	1 - 2	Birmingham
H	Watford	1 - 1	Preston

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Charlton	0 - 1	Wrexham
Bristol C	2 - 2	Wrexham
Sheff Wed	0 - 1	Wrexham
QPR	2 - 3	Wrexham
Derby	1 - 2	Wrexham
Blackburn	0 - 2	Wrexham
Swansea	2 - 1	Wrexham
Hull	2 - 0	Wrexham
Preston	1 - 1	Wrexham
Ipswich	0 - 0	Wrexham
Portsmouth	0 - 0	Wrexham
M'Boro	1 - 1	Wrexham
Stoke	1 - 0	Wrexham
Leicester	1 - 1	Wrexham
Norwich	2 - 3	Wrexham
Millwall	0 - 2	Wrexham
Southampton	2 - 1	Wrexham
Lincoln	0 - 2	Wrexham
Blackpool	1 - 2	Wrexham
Wigan	0 - 0	Wrexham

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Wrexham	1 - 2	Hull
A	Wrexham	1 - 0	Charlton
H	Wrexham	2 - 1	Portsmouth
H	Wrexham	5 - 3	Ipswich
A	Wrexham	2 - 2	Bristol C
H	Wrexham	0 - 2	Millwall
A	Wrexham	1 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Wrexham	3 - 2	QPR
H	Wrexham	1 - 1	Leicester
H	Wrexham	1 - 2	Norwich
A	Wrexham	2 - 1	Derby
A	Wrexham	2 - 0	Blackburn
H	Wrexham	2 - 1	Preston
H	Wrexham	5 - 3	Sheff Utd
A	Wrexham	1 - 2	Swansea
H	Wrexham	2 - 2	Watford
A	Wrexham	0 - 2	Hull
A	Wrexham	1 - 1	Preston
H	Wrexham	1 - 1	Blackburn
H	Wrexham	2 - 0	Bristol C

Goal Statistics

	Watford 9th	Wrexham 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Wrexham will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-3 Watford’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+6 Wrexham’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	0.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season

WAT

WRX

24%

better

view stats

Games scored	27		31
Failed to score	9		5
Scored first	11		21
Goals scored	46		55
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.5
Avg. shots per game	10		8
Avg. shots per goal	8		5
Conversion rate for	13		19
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.2
KickOff rating		+24%

WAT

WRX

10%

better

view stats

Games conceded	30		27
Clean sheets	6		9
Conceded first	24		13
Goals conceded	42		47
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	14%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+10%

Watford v Wrexham Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Watford Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	10	8	9
I Louza	L Kjerrumgaard	I Louza	N Irankunda

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Kjerrumgaard FWD	34	10	1	1 -
I Louza MID	32	6	8	6 1
M Bola DEF	31	1	4	2 -
E Selvik GLK	30			1 -
J Ngakia DEF	30	3	4	3 -
N Irankunda FWD	30	2	3	8 1
E Kayembe MID	29	3	2	4 -
M Pollock DEF	26	1	1	5 -
H Kyprianou MID	25		1	8 -
M. Doumbia FWD	24	4	1	4 -
J Abankwah DEF	23			3 1
K Baah FWD	23	1	1	4 -
K Keben DEF	22		1	3 -
V Semedo FWD	22	4	1	2 -
T Ince FWD	22	4		-
G Chakvetadze MID	20		1	5 -
M Sissoko MID	20			-
O. Maamma FWD	20	4	1	1 -
M. Alleyne DEF	16			2 -
N Mendy MID	15			-
J Petris DEF	12			3 -
R Vata FWD	12	2	2	-
N Baxter GLK	7			-
C Wiley DEF	5			-
F Mendy DEF	4			-
J Morris DEF	2			1 -
P Dwomoh MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	28	8	14
L Kjerrumgaard	L Kjerrumgaard	I Louza	I Louza

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Kjerrumgaard FWD	10	28	1	2
I Louza MID	6	17	8	14
M. Doumbia FWD	4	11	1	4
V Semedo FWD	4	15	1
T Ince FWD	4	14		2
O. Maamma FWD	4	15	1	2
J Ngakia DEF	3	6	4	6
E Kayembe MID	3	9	2	5
N Irankunda FWD	2	13	3	6
R Vata FWD	2	8	2	2
M Bola DEF	1	8	4	7
M Pollock DEF	1	3	1
K Baah FWD	1	7	1	1
H Kyprianou MID		3	1	1
K Keben DEF		1	1	1
G Chakvetadze MID		4	1	6
M Sissoko MID		1
M. Alleyne DEF				1
J Petris DEF				2
C Wiley DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1968	108	180
I Louza	J Ngakia	J Ngakia

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Louza MID	1968	46	127
M Pollock DEF	1266	24	138
J Ngakia DEF	1146	108	180
M Bola DEF	1115	28	100
K Keben DEF	1028	19	80
J Abankwah DEF	950	33	113
E Selvik GLK	879	1	18
H Kyprianou MID	872	28	112
E Kayembe MID	848	16	81
M. Alleyne DEF	712	28	72
G Chakvetadze MID	496	14	47
L Kjerrumgaard FWD	398	11	137
N Mendy MID	394	22	42
O. Maamma FWD	393	35	106
N Irankunda FWD	387	24	128
M. Doumbia FWD	348	10	70
T Ince FWD	299	11	33
M Sissoko MID	189	16	26
N Baxter GLK	189		1
K Baah FWD	163	4	39
J Petris DEF	159	9	44
R Vata FWD	152	9	28
V Semedo FWD	115	5	32
C Wiley DEF	92	7	11
F Mendy DEF	63	6	14
P Dwomoh MID	2
J Morris DEF	1	1	1

Wrexham Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	11	5	6
M Cleworth	K Moore	J Windass	G Dobson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Cleworth DEF	34	2	4	5 -
A Okonkwo GLK	33			1 -
G Dobson MID	32	1	2	6 -
K Moore FWD	32	11	3	4 -
D Hyam DEF	31			4 -
J Windass MID	31	9	5	2 -
M James MID	31	1	2	3 -
S Smith FWD	30	6		4 -
L O'Brien MID	29	4	4	5 -
R Longman FWD	29	2	1	2 -
N Broadhead FWD	29	6	4	-
B Sheaf MID	27			6 -
C Doyle DEF	24	2	1	4 1
G Thomason MID	24	1	4	2 -
I Kaboré DEF	20		5	1 -
J McClean MID	16		2	2 -
O Rathbone MID	16	6		3 -
D Scarr DEF	15		1	3 -
L Cacace DEF	12			-
R Barnett DEF	12			-
L Brunt DEF	9			1 -
R Hardie FWD	6			-
C Coady DEF	5			-
J Rodríguez FWD	5			-
D Ward GLK	4			-
H. Ashfield MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	27	5	10
K Moore	K Moore	J Windass	L O'Brien

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Moore FWD	11	27	3	7
J Windass MID	9	22	5	6
S Smith FWD	6	14		1
N Broadhead FWD	6	12	4	6
O Rathbone MID	6	8
L O'Brien MID	4	14	4	10
M Cleworth DEF	2	5	4	2
R Longman FWD	2	8	1	4
C Doyle DEF	2	7	1	2
G Dobson MID	1	4	2	2
M James MID	1	2	2	3
G Thomason MID	1	7	4	7
D Hyam DEF		1
B Sheaf MID		5		1
I Kaboré DEF		3	5	5
J McClean MID		3	2	1
D Scarr DEF			1
L Cacace DEF		1		2
R Hardie FWD		3
C Coady DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1639	79	259
M Cleworth	G Dobson	K Moore

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Cleworth DEF	1639	60	164
D Hyam DEF	1397	33	143
C Doyle DEF	1244	37	129
G Dobson MID	1122	79	147
B Sheaf MID	1117	42	115
M James MID	876	51	97
L O'Brien MID	844	45	119
G Thomason MID	745	34	78
A Okonkwo GLK	713		14
J Windass MID	656	11	42
N Broadhead FWD	656	16	68
K Moore FWD	638	14	259
R Longman FWD	561	42	94
I Kaboré DEF	424	32	94
D Scarr DEF	401	1	48
O Rathbone MID	291	26	63
J McClean MID	279	31	53
L Brunt DEF	249	8	35
L Cacace DEF	242	6	26
C Coady DEF	214	9	12
S Smith FWD	167	3	82
D Ward GLK	113		1
R Barnett DEF	111	4	14
R Hardie FWD	29	1	6
J Rodríguez FWD	6		2
H. Ashfield MID	5