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Birmingham City v Leeds United : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Feb, 12:00 BST, St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham

Daniel Farke pays counterpart Chris Davies a visit on Sunday lunch time in the FA Cup, as their Leeds United and Birmingham City charges go head to head at the St. Andrew's Stadium. The predictions shown are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included for all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our top tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Birmingham and Leeds's recent form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Leeds coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Birmingham
28%
12/5
3%
12/5
9%
Draw
24%
12/513/5
3%
Leeds
48%
21/2021/20
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
8%
Leeds 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Leeds 1-0
9%
15/2
13%
13/2
7%
Leeds 2-0
8%
10/1
10%
8/1
6%
Birmingham 2-1
7%
11/19/1
9%
Birmingham 1-0
7%
11/1
20%
17/2
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1
20%
9/1
11%
Leeds 3-1
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Leeds 3-0
4%
18/114/1
15%
Birmingham 2-0
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Leeds 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
Birmingham 3-1
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
Birmingham 3-2
2%
33/125/1
10%
Leeds 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/5
10%
4/5
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/1
11%
10/11
4%
Home 1st Goal
45%
5/4
2%
13/10
6%
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/118/11
2%
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
20%
9/1
11%
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/6
7%
7/10
6%
BTTS - No
42%
11/10
8%
21/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
10/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
24%
3/1
8%
14/5
3%
Home/draw
52%
8/113/4
3%
Away/draw
72%
3/10
1%
3/10
4%
Home/away
76%
3/102/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4
3%
1/4
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/4
7%
13/5
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/1
12%
2/1
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/11
5%
7/20
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5/1
14%
9/2
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/8
3%
1/8
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
1/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
2%
1/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/1
20%
9/1
11%
Home DNB
45%
6/429/20
6%
Away DNB
65%
1/21/2
7%
Birmingham win to nil
13%
11/2
8%
-
Leeds win to nil
24%
11/4
7%
-
Birmingham / Birmingham
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
9%
Birmingham / Leeds
4%
22/118/1
Birmingham / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw / Birmingham
10%
7/113/2
6%
Draw / Leeds
15%
9/217/4
5%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
5%
Leeds / Birmingham
3%
28/122/1
12%
Leeds / Leeds
25%
9/421/10
7%
Leeds / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Birmingham
20 games
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBirmingham2 - 1Leicester
ABirmingham2 - 0Oxford Utd
HBirmingham1 - 1Stoke
ABirmingham2 - 0Sheff Wed
ABirmingham1 - 1Swansea
ABirmingham3 - 2Cambridge
HBirmingham3 - 2Coventry
ABirmingham0 - 3Watford
HBirmingham1 - 1Southampton
HBirmingham1 - 1Derby
ABirmingham0 - 3Sheff Utd
HBirmingham1 - 1Charlton
ABirmingham1 - 2QPR
ABirmingham1 - 3Southampton
HBirmingham2 - 1Watford
ABirmingham1 - 1West Brom
HBirmingham4 - 1Norwich
ABirmingham1 - 2M'Boro
HBirmingham4 - 0Millwall
HBirmingham4 - 0Portsmouth
Leeds
20 games
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeeds3 - 1Nottm Forest
HLeeds0 - 4Arsenal
ALeeds1 - 1Everton
HLeeds1 - 0Fulham
ALeeds3 - 1Derby
ALeeds3 - 4Newcastle
HLeeds1 - 1Man Utd
ALeeds0 - 0Liverpool
ALeeds1 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds4 - 1C Palace
ALeeds1 - 1Brentford
HLeeds3 - 3Liverpool
HLeeds3 - 1Chelsea
ALeeds2 - 3Man City
HLeeds1 - 2A Villa
ALeeds1 - 3Nottm Forest
ALeeds0 - 3Brighton
HLeeds2 - 1West Ham
ALeeds0 - 2Burnley
HLeeds1 - 2Spurs
Goal Statistics
Birmingham Leeds
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Birmingham will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
2.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Birmingham
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.2
1.7
Attack rating
16%
better
BIR
LEE
view stats
Games scored18
16
Failed to score2
4
Scored first12
10
Goals scored35
31
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for1.7
1.8
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
22%
better
BIR
LEE
view stats
Games conceded16
18
Clean sheets4
2
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded26
35
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against15%
20%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+22%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Birmingham v Leeds will show here when available.

Birmingham FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Leeds FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE