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Leeds United v Norwich City : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Elland Road, Leeds

Leeds United are in FA Cup action on Sunday afternoon, as Daniel Farke attempts to outsmart Liam Manning and his Norwich City side at the Elland Road. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

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Leeds United's next match is v C Palace at 14:00 on Sunday 15th March
Norwich City's next match is v Preston at 15:00 on Saturday 14th March
The last English FA Cup meeting between Leeds and Norwich was on Sunday 8th March 2026
English FA Cup
March 8th 2026
Leeds 3
0 Norwich
 
S. Longstaff 32'
G. Gudmundsson 43'
J. Piroe 85'
 
LEE
NOR
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
7
4
Corners
8
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
17
12
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
LeedsNorwich
 
L. Estella Perri
G. Gudmundssonfootball icon (S. Byram 87')
E. Ampadu
S. Longstafffootball icon (P. Struijk 70')
D. James (J. Bogle 70')
J. Piroefootball icon
L. Nmecha
J. Bijol
S. Bornauw (J. Justin 46')
A. Tanaka (A. Stach 70')
D. Gnonto
B. Chrisene
R. McConville
(J. Stacey 62') L. Gibbs
(F. Amankwah 82') A. Ahmed
(V. Kovačević 46') D. Grimshaw
J. Cordoba Chambers
K. Fisher
K. McLean
(A. Slimane 63') E. Maghoma
S. Field
(E. Mundle-Smith 63') M. Kvistgaarden

Best Tip: Leeds to win

A FA Cup win on home turf for Daniel Farke's Leeds side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should be too strong for their visitors. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Leeds win is our recommendation, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
60%
11/201/50
Draw
21%
7/21/50
Norwich
19%
17/41/50
Leeds 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
9%
15/27/1
Leeds 2-0
9%
15/24/7
Leeds 1-0
9%
8/15/1
Leeds 3-1
7%
11/18/1
Leeds 3-0
6%
11/11/3
Draw 2-2
5%
14/145/1
Norwich 2-1
5%
16/118/1
Norwich 1-0
5%
16/19/1
Draw 0-0
4%
16/111/2
Leeds 3-2
4%
20/160/1
Leeds 4-1
4%
20/125/1
Leeds 4-0
3%
20/119/5
Norwich 2-0
3%
28/120/1
Norwich 3-2
2%
40/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
8/135/4
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
13/104/7
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/21/2
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/812/5
No 1st Goal
3%
16/111/2
BTTS - Yes
59%
7/1020/1
BTTS - No
41%
21/201/1000
BTTS - Home Win
31%
2/113/2
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2150/1
BTTS - Away Win
11%
15/21/50
Home/draw
81%
1/61/50
Away/draw
40%
11/81/50
Home/away
79%
2/111/50
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
2/111/10
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
7/25/1
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
6/417/2
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1/21/20
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/360/1
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/51/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8/150/1
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/141/200
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/331/10
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/111/2
Home DNB
74%
2/91/50
Away DNB
34%
3/11/50
Leeds win to nil
29%
7/4-
Norwich win to nil
8%
10/1-
Leeds / Leeds
33%
13/101/50
Leeds / Norwich
3%
33/133/1
Leeds / Draw
6%
14/114/1
Draw / Leeds
17%
7/280/1
Draw / Norwich
8%
11/1125/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/290/1
Norwich / Leeds
4%
18/11/50
Norwich / Norwich
10%
17/255/1
Norwich / Draw
6%
16/11/50
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Leeds
20 games
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeeds0 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds0 - 1Man City
ALeeds1 - 1A Villa
ALeeds1 - 1Birmingham
ALeeds2 - 2Chelsea
HLeeds3 - 1Nottm Forest
HLeeds0 - 4Arsenal
ALeeds1 - 1Everton
HLeeds1 - 0Fulham
ALeeds3 - 1Derby
ALeeds3 - 4Newcastle
HLeeds1 - 1Man Utd
ALeeds0 - 0Liverpool
ALeeds1 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds4 - 1C Palace
ALeeds1 - 1Brentford
HLeeds3 - 3Liverpool
HLeeds3 - 1Chelsea
ALeeds2 - 3Man City
HLeeds1 - 2A Villa
Norwich
20 games
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANorwich2 - 0Leicester
HNorwich2 - 0Sheff Wed
HNorwich1 - 2Birmingham
HNorwich3 - 1West Brom
ANorwich3 - 0Oxford Utd
HNorwich2 - 0Blackburn
ANorwich0 - 1M'Boro
HNorwich2 - 1Coventry
ANorwich5 - 0West Brom
ANorwich2 - 1Wrexham
HNorwich5 - 1Walsall
HNorwich0 - 2Stoke
ANorwich2 - 1QPR
HNorwich0 - 1Watford
HNorwich1 - 0Charlton
ANorwich1 - 1Preston
HNorwich2 - 1Southampton
ANorwich1 - 1Sheff Utd
ANorwich2 - 3Watford
HNorwich3 - 1QPR
Goal Statistics
Leeds Norwich
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Leeds will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Norwich will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Norwich
2.1
1.1
Attack rating
LEE
NOR
18%
better
view stats
Games scored16
17
Failed to score4
3
Scored first10
14
Goals scored31
39
Avg. goals scored1.6
2
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
20
Avg. XG for2
1.5
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
LEE
NOR
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
14
Clean sheets2
6
Conceded first9
6
Goals conceded30
18
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+33%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Leeds v Norwich will show here when available.

Leeds FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3121
S BornauwG Gudmundsson L Nmecha S Longstaff
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Perri GLK2
-
S Bornauw DEF3
-
J Bijol DEF31
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF211
-
D James MID1
-
E Ampadu MID3
-
S Longstaff MID31
1
-
W Gnonto MID31
-
J Piroe FWD31
-
A Tanaka FWD31
1
-
L Nmecha  FWD312
-
Subs
K Darlow GLK1
-
J Bogle  DEF2
-
P Struijk DEF1
-
J Justin  DEF31
-
S Byram DEF2
-
B Aaronson MID2
-
A Stach MID2
-
F Buonanotte MID1
-
I Gruev MID1
-
Norwich FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3142
D GrimshawB ChriseneA SlimaneK. Fisher
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Grimshaw GLK3
-
K. Fisher DEF2
2
-
R. McConville DEF3
-
J Córdoba DEF2
1
-
B Chrisene DEF311
-
S Field MID2
1
-
K McLean MID2
-
L Gibbs MID31
-
P Maghoma MID21
-
A Ahmed MID2
1
-
M Kvistgaarden FWD3
-
Subs
V Kovacevic GLK1
-
J Stacey DEF3
-
J Medić DEF1
-
H Darling DEF11
1
-
J. Wright MID2
-
A Forson MID1
-
A Slimane MID34
-
T Springett FWD11
-
E. Mundle-Smith FWD2
-
English FA Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds