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Newcastle United v Brighton and Hove Albion : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Fabian Hürzeler pays counterpart Eddie Howe a visit on Sunday afternoon in the FA Cup, as their Brighton and Hove Albion and Newcastle United charges face each other at the St. James' Park. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all FA Cup Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Newcastle United's next match is v Liverpool at 16:30 on Sunday 16th March
Brighton and Hove Albion's next match is v Man City at 15:00 on Saturday 15th March
The last English FA Cup meeting between Newcastle and Brighton was on Sunday 2nd March 2025
English FA Cup
March 2nd 2025
Newcastle 1
2 Brighton
 
A. Isak 22'44' Y. Minteh
114' D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck
 
NEW
BHA
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
6
6
Corners
6
5
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
13
17
Yellow/red cards
1/1
4/1
 
NewcastleBrighton
 
M. Dúbravka
D. Burn
V. Livramento
K. Trippier (M. Targett 69')
F. Schär
J. Apolinário de Lira (J. Willock 57')
S. Tonali
L. Miley (B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura 56')
H. Barnes (J. Murphy 56')
A. Gordon
A. Isakfootball icon (C. Wilson 86')
B. Verbruggen
T. Lamptey
A. Webster
(M. Wieffer 80') P. Estupiñán Tenorio
J. van Hecke
J. Hinshelwood
(D. Gómez Amarilla 69') C. Noom Quomah
(S. March 90') K. Mitoma
(B. Gruda 69') football iconY. Minteh
(D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck 80') G. Rutter
J. Junqueira de Jesus

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Having studied all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we have come to the conclusion that this fixture will deliver both elation and misery to both sets of fans. We predict both Newcastle and Brighton to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate winner of the game seems less clear. The odds point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's what we'd recommend going with.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
47%
23/20
10%
23/20
5%
Draw
23%
5/213/5
10%
Brighton
30%
11/5
19%
21/10
Draw 1-1
10%
6/111/2
13%
Newcastle 2-1
9%
8/1
10%
7/1
Newcastle 1-0
7%
10/1
8%
8/1
Brighton 2-1
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
Newcastle 2-0
7%
12/1
13%
10/1
10%
Draw 2-2
6%
10/19/1
9%
Brighton 1-0
6%
12/110/1
Newcastle 3-1
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
8%
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Brighton 2-0
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Newcastle 3-0
4%
20/1
19%
16/1
13%
Newcastle 3-2
4%
20/114/1
Brighton 3-1
3%
22/1
11%
16/1
Brighton 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Newcastle 4-1
2%
28/122/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
8/13
3%
3/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
13/10
3%
5/4
5%
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/6
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
5/4
7%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
63%
8/15
2%
8/15
BTTS - No
37%
11/8
5%
11/8
BTTS - Home Win
26%
11/4
6%
5/2
6%
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/116/5
7%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/2
15%
19/5
Home/draw
70%
4/11
6%
7/20
Away/draw
53%
4/6
9%
4/6
5%
Home/away
77%
2/72/7
6%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
2/11
1%
2/11
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
7/2
10%
10/3
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
6/4
11%
7/5
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1/2
4%
1/2
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/3
8%
16/5
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/5
2%
1/5
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8/1
13%
13/2
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/14
1%
1/14
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
1/40
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Home DNB
63%
4/7
13%
4/7
1%
Away DNB
46%
5/4
18%
5/4
2%
Newcastle win to nil
21%
10/3
18%
-
Brighton win to nil
13%
6/1
8%
-
Newcastle / Newcastle
25%
5/2
13%
23/10
10%
Newcastle / Brighton
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
Newcastle / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Newcastle
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
Draw / Brighton
11%
13/2
15%
6/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
8%
Brighton / Newcastle
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Brighton / Brighton
15%
4/1
15%
19/5
4%
Brighton / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle
20 games
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
Brighton
20 games
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goal Statistics
Newcastle Brighton
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
2.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294435/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
1.8
1.4
Attack rating
16%
better
NEW
BHA
view stats
Games scored18
17
Failed to score2
3
Scored first11
12
Goals scored46
34
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for24
18
Avg. XG for1.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
6%
better
NEW
BHA
view stats
Games conceded13
15
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded29
28
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against17%
19%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+6%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Newcastle v Brighton will show here when available.

Newcastle FA Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3221
L MileyJ WillockW OsulaD Burn
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK2
-
T Livramento  DEF2
-
F Schär DEF3
-
D Burn DEF2
1
-
K Trippier DEF2
-
L Miley MID31
-
S Tonali MID3
-
Joelinton MID2
1
-
H Barnes FWD2
-
A Isak FWD21
-
A Gordon FWD21
1
Subs
N Pope  GLK1
-
M Targett DEF31
-
E Krafth DEF1
-
J Murphy MID2
-
J Willock MID22
1
-
S Longstaff MID21
-
B Guimarães MID31
-
C Wilson FWD21
-
W Osula FWD212
1
-
Brighton FA Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3312
J HeckeG RutterY MintehT Lamptey 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK2
-
T Lamptey  DEF2
1
1
J Hecke DEF3
-
A Webster DEF3
1
-
P Estupiñán DEF2
-
C Quomah MID3
1
-
J Hinshelwood MID2
-
Y Minteh MID311
-
G Rutter MID331
1
-
K Mitoma MID31
-
J Pedro  FWD21
-
Subs
T McGill GLK
-
E Cashin DEF
-
D Amarilla MID2
1
-
Y Ayari MID2
-
M Wieffer MID1
-
S March MID211
-
B Gruda MID21
-
S Adingra FWD
-
D Welbeck FWD31
-
English FA Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds