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Newcastle United v Manchester City : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Josep Guardiola i Sala pays counterpart Eddie Howe a visit on Saturday night in the FA Cup, as their Manchester City and Newcastle United charges go head to head at the St. James' Park. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.

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Newcastle United's next match is v Chelsea at 17:30 on Saturday 14th March
Manchester City's next match is v West Ham at 20:00 on Saturday 14th March
The last English FA Cup meeting between Newcastle and Man City was on Saturday 7th March 2026
English FA Cup
March 7th 2026
Newcastle 1
3 Man City
 
H. Barnes 18'39' S. Moreira de Oliveira
47' O. Marmoush
65' O. Marmoush
 
NEW
MCI
Shots On
4
8
Shots Off
5
7
Corners
3
9
Possession
37%
63%
Fouls
12
16
Yellow/red cards
3/0
 
NewcastleMan City
 
K. Trippier (D. Burn 63')
L. Hall (V. Livramento 80')
S. Botman
M. Thiaw
S. Tonali
H. Barnesfootball icon
W. Osula (Y. Wissa 63')
A. Ramsdale
J. Willock
A. Elanga (J. Apolinário de Lira 62')
N. Woltemade (A. Gordon 72')
J. Trafford
J. Stones
N. Aké
T. Reijnders
N. González Iglesias
(A. Semenyo 73') football iconfootball iconO. Marmoush
(P. Foden 79') J. Doku
N. O'Reilly
A. Khusanov
M. Nunes
(M. Cherki 79') football iconS. Moreira de Oliveira

Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of effective, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective managers Eddie Howe or Josep Guardiola i Sala find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, do not suggest so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Man City coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
36%
17/10200/1
Draw
23%
27/1070/1
Man City
41%
29/201/1000
Draw 1-1
11%
13/219/5
Man City 2-1
9%
9/121/10
Newcastle 2-1
8%
10/15/1
Man City 1-0
7%
12/115/2
Draw 2-2
7%
9/17/2
Newcastle 1-0
6%
12/16/1
Man City 2-0
6%
14/111/1
Newcastle 2-0
5%
16/16/1
Man City 3-1
5%
16/12/5
Draw 0-0
4%
16/19/1
Newcastle 3-1
4%
18/111/1
Man City 3-2
4%
20/111/2
Newcastle 3-2
3%
20/112/1
Man City 3-0
3%
25/118/1
Newcastle 3-0
2%
28/111/1
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
8/152/13
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
6/419/5
Home 1st Goal
48%
20/211/1
Away 1st Goal
49%
5/619/20
No 1st Goal
2%
16/19/1
BTTS - Yes
63%
4/97/20
BTTS - No
37%
13/82/1
BTTS - Home Win
21%
10/3100/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/128/1
BTTS - Away Win
23%
3/11/1000
Home/draw
59%
8/1560/1
Away/draw
64%
4/91/1000
Home/away
77%
2/71/200
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/71/14
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
9/213/2
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
6/51/3
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
8/1321/10
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
11/418/5
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/41/6
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/128/1
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/121/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/401/25
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/19/1
Home DNB
52%
10/11100/1
Away DNB
57%
4/51/1000
Newcastle win to nil
15%
5/1-
Man City win to nil
18%
9/2-
Newcastle / Newcastle
19%
10/39/1
Newcastle / Man City
4%
20/125/1
Newcastle / Draw
7%
12/118/1
Draw / Newcastle
12%
6/13/1
Draw / Man City
13%
11/211/5
Draw / Draw
14%
11/29/4
Man City / Newcastle
4%
22/128/1
Man City / Man City
21%
11/413/2
Man City / Draw
7%
12/118/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle
20 games
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNewcastle2 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 3Everton
HNewcastle3 - 2Qarabag
ANewcastle1 - 2Man City
ANewcastle6 - 1Qarabag
ANewcastle3 - 1A Villa
ANewcastle2 - 1Spurs
HNewcastle2 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 3Man City
ANewcastle1 - 4Liverpool
ANewcastle1 - 1PSG
HNewcastle0 - 2A Villa
HNewcastle3 - 0PSV
ANewcastle0 - 0Wolves
HNewcastle0 - 2Man City
HNewcastle2 - 2Bournemouth
HNewcastle4 - 3Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 0C Palace
ANewcastle3 - 1Burnley
ANewcastle0 - 1Man Utd
Man City
20 games
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan City2 - 2Nottm Forest
AMan City1 - 0Leeds
HMan City2 - 1Newcastle
HMan City2 - 0Salford
HMan City3 - 0Fulham
AMan City2 - 1Liverpool
HMan City3 - 1Newcastle
AMan City2 - 2Spurs
HMan City2 - 0Galatasaray
HMan City2 - 0Wolves
AMan City1 - 3Bodø
AMan City0 - 2Man Utd
AMan City2 - 0Newcastle
HMan City10 - 1Exeter
HMan City1 - 1Brighton
HMan City1 - 1Chelsea
AMan City0 - 0Sunderland
AMan City2 - 1Nottm Forest
HMan City3 - 0West Ham
HMan City2 - 0Brentford
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Newcastle since 1995
Newcastle
Man City
Goals: Scored
4
7
Games: Scored
2 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
3 / 5
NEW
2
MCI
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
0 - 2Man City
Newcastle1 - 0
0 - 2Man City
0 - 2Man City
Newcastle3 - 1
Games at Man City since 2014
Man City
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
5
3
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
NEW
1
MCI
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City3 - 1
Man City2 - 0
0 - 2Newcastle
Goal Statistics

Newcastle United have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 10 consecutive FA Cup matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Manchester City on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Newcastle Man City
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
2.1
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.5
1.7
Attack rating
NEW
MCI
21%
better
view stats
Games scored16
18
Failed to score4
2
Scored first9
16
Goals scored38
43
Avg. goals scored1.9
2.2
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
20
Avg. XG for2.4
2.1
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
NEW
MCI
46%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
11
Clean sheets3
9
Conceded first10
3
Goals conceded33
16
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against17%
11%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+46%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Newcastle v Man City will show here when available.

Newcastle FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3311
A RamsdaleH BarnesS TonaliM Thiaw
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Ramsdale GLK3
-
K Trippier DEF3
-
S Botman DEF2
-
M Thiaw DEF3
1
-
L Hall DEF3
-
S Tonali MID321
-
J Willock MID3
-
H Barnes MID33
1
-
N Woltemade MID311
-
A Elanga MID2
-
W Osula FWD2
-
Subs
N Pope  GLK
-
D Burn DEF21
-
A. Murphy DEF1
-
T Livramento  DEF2
-
Joelinton MID2
1
-
J Murphy MID1
-
Y Wissa FWD2
1
-
A Gordon FWD311
-
S. Neave FWD
-
Man City FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3231
J TraffordO MarmoushJ DokuM Guéhi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK3
-
M Nunes DEF12
-
A. Khusanov DEF3
-
J Stones DEF2
-
N Aké  DEF2
-
N González  MID2
-
T Reijnders MID31
-
N. O'Reilly MID31
-
S Sávio FWD11
-
O Marmoush FWD22
-
J Doku FWD23
-
Subs
G Donnarumma GLK
-
M Guéhi DEF11
-
R Nouri DEF1
-
R Dias DEF
-
R Cherki MID31
-
Rodri MID21
-
B Silva MID1
-
P Foden MID2
-
A Semenyo FWD311
-
English FA Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds