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Southampton v Burnley : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Ivan Juric and Scott Parker pit their wits in the FA Cup on Saturday afternoon, as Southampton face Burnley at the St. Mary's Stadium. Below there are predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible via the tabs below.

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Southampton's next match is v Bournemouth at 15:00 on Saturday 15th February
Burnley's next match is v Preston at 12:30 on Saturday 15th February
The last English FA Cup meeting between Southampton and Burnley was on Saturday 8th February 2025
English FA Cup
February 8th 2025
Southampton 0
1 Burnley
 
77' M. Edwards
 
SOU
BRN
Shots On
3
5
Shots Off
5
Corners
2
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
17
15
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
SouthamptonBurnley
 
A. McCarthy
J. Bednarek
Welington
K. Walker-Peters
J. Bree
R. Manning
M. Espanha Fernandes (C. Archer 86')
C. Ugochukwu (W. Smallbone 82')
J. Aribo
K. Sulemana (A. Erlykke 86')
T. Dibling (E. Onuachu 67')
V. Hladký
O. Sonne
(M. Esteve 58') C. Egan Riley
B. Humphreys
J. Worrall
L. Pires Silva
(N. Redmond 83') J. Sarmiento
(J. Bauress 59') J. Shelvey
H. Mejbri
A. Barnes
(M. Edwards 59') M. Benson Hedilazio

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Southampton and Burnley will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Ivan Juric or Scott Parker has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.33 equating to roughly a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Southampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
51%
10/11
9%
10/11
7%
Draw
25%
13/5
13%
5/2
Burnley
24%
3/1
11%
3/1
14%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
8%
11/2
Southampton 1-0
12%
6/1
13%
11/2
7%
Southampton 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Southampton 2-0
9%
8/1
10%
7/1
11%
Burnley 1-0
7%
10/1
8%
17/2
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
17/2
5%
15/2
Burnley 2-1
6%
12/110/1
Southampton 3-1
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Southampton 3-0
5%
14/1
21%
12/1
13%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Burnley 2-0
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Southampton 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Burnley 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Southampton 4-1
2%
33/122/1
12%
Southampton 4-0
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1/1
5%
19/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/5
6%
4/5
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/8
5%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
10/11
9%
5/6
2%
BTTS - No
49%
10/11
5%
10/11
BTTS - Home Win
22%
10/329/10
3%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
10%
7/2
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/1
14%
6/1
8%
Home/draw
76%
2/9
5%
1/4
3%
Away/draw
49%
5/6
8%
17/20
6%
Home/away
75%
2/7
5%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
3/10
1%
3/10
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
12/5
3%
11/5
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
12/5
5%
23/10
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
3/10
2%
3/10
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/10
1%
1/10
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/40
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/16
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1
10%
15/2
Home DNB
68%
2/5
3%
4/11
8%
Away DNB
42%
7/4
5%
9/5
12%
Southampton win to nil
29%
9/4
7%
-
Burnley win to nil
13%
11/2-
Southampton / Southampton
27%
21/10
9%
2/1
6%
Southampton / Burnley
3%
33/125/1
Southampton / Draw
6%
12/112/1
8%
Draw / Southampton
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
8%
Draw / Burnley
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
Burnley / Southampton
4%
22/118/1
Burnley / Burnley
12%
6/1
17%
5/1
9%
Burnley / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win form
Southampton
20 games
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
D
2
Lost
14
Burnley
20 games
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
5
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
5 / 20
Clean sheets
15 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
10
Draw
9
L
1
Goal Statistics
Southampton Burnley
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Southampton will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
2.0
conceded
0.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/292247/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
1.6
1
Attack rating
%
better
SOU
BRN
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
SOU
BRN
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Southampton v Burnley will show here when available.

Southampton FA Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2211
J BreeT OblingL UgochukwuJ Bree
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A McCarthy GLK1
-
J Bree DEF2
1
-
J Bednarek DEF2
-
R Manning DEF2
1
-
K Walker-Peters MID2
-
L Ugochukwu MID21
-
J Aribo MID2
-
Welington  MID1
-
M Fernandes FWD2
-
T Obling FWD22
-
K Sulemana FWD211
1
-
Subs
A Ramsdale GLK1
-
N Wood DEF1
-
Y Sugawara DEF
-
A Bella-Kotchap DEF
-
A Grönbaek MID1
-
W Smallbone MID2
-
A Lallana MID1
-
C Archer FWD2
-
P Onuachu FWD1
-
Burnley FA Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2211
V HladkyZ FlemmingH MejbriJ Worrall
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Hladky GLK2
-
O Sonne DEF2
-
C Egan-Riley DEF1
-
J Worrall DEF2
1
-
B Humphreys DEF2
-
L Pires DEF2
-
B Hedilazio MID1
-
J Shelvey MID1
-
H Mejbri MID11
-
J Sarmiento  MID1
-
A Barnes FWD2
-
Subs
E Green GLK
-
M Estève DEF1
-
N Redmond MID1
-
Z Flemming MID12
-
J Cullen MID
-
M Edwards FWD11
-
J Bauress FWD1
-
E Agyei FWD
-
J Banel FWD
-
English FA Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds