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Sunderland v Stoke City : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadium of Light, Sunderland

We’ve FA Cup action to enjoy on Saturday afternoon, as Régis Le Bris and his Sunderland side host Steven Schumacher’s Stoke City at the Stadium of Light. Team form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and the best odds are all laid out below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. Here we've gone for both teams to score, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all FA Cup Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Sunderland's next match is v Plymouth at 15:00 on Saturday 25th January
Stoke City's next match is v Oxford Utd at 12:30 on Saturday 25th January
The last English FA Cup meeting between Sunderland and Stoke was on Saturday 11th January 2025
English FA Cup
January 11th 2025
Sunderland 1
2 Stoke
 
M. Aleksić 64'4' T. Cannon
112' N. Ennis
 
SUN
STK
Shots On
8
5
Shots Off
7
4
Corners
5
3
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
9
17
Yellow/red cards
1/0
4/0
 
SunderlandStoke
 
S. Moore
A. Alese (Z. Johnson 59')
L. O'Nien
L. Hjelde (N. Rusyn 106')
T. Hume
D. Neil
A. Aouchiche
C. Rigg (M. Aleksić 60')
H. Jones (S. Samed 79')
A. Connolly
E. Mayenda Dossou (T. Ogunsugi 111')
V. Johansson
(L. Gooch 60') E. Stevens
A. Phillips
J. Tchamadeu
B. Wilmot
A. Moran
(S. Sidibe 60') T. Seko
L. Baker
(E. Tezgel 95') W. Burger
(J. Bae 75') L. Koumas
(N. Ennis 76') football iconT. Cannon

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Sunderland should have reason to feel positive ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Stoke. The bookmakers can't split them and neither can we – there's no obvious victor in this clash. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more clarity. The form statistics, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookmakers odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's what we'd recommend too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sunderland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sunderland
49%
21/20
14%
21/20
Draw
23%
5/213/5
3%
Stoke
28%
12/5
24%
5/2
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
8%
Sunderland 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Sunderland 1-0
8%
7/1
23%
6/1
8%
Sunderland 2-0
7%
9/1
25%
8/1
6%
Stoke 2-1
7%
11/1
20%
9/1
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
24%
11/1
8%
Stoke 1-0
6%
10/117/2
12%
Sunderland 3-1
6%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
5%
10/1
29%
17/2
19%
Sunderland 3-0
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
Stoke 2-0
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
Sunderland 3-2
4%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Stoke 3-1
3%
25/1
37%
20/1
9%
Stoke 3-2
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
Sunderland 4-1
3%
33/122/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
10/11
9%
5/6
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
10/11
10%
10/11
10%
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/13
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
7/5
17%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
29%
-
BTTS - Yes
61%
3/4
13%
8/11
6%
BTTS - No
39%
1/1
14%
1/1
8%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3/1
8%
14/5
10%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
10%
7/2
BTTS - Away Win
16%
11/2
32%
5/1
8%
Home/draw
72%
3/10
10%
3/10
1%
Away/draw
51%
8/11
11%
3/4
Home/away
77%
2/72/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/4
8%
2/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
11/4
25%
5/2
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
9/4
13%
2/1
14%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1/3
6%
7/20
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
5/1
25%
9/2
15%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/8
4%
1/8
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
12/1
32%
10/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/25
2%
1/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20
2%
1/25
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1
29%
17/2
12%
Home DNB
66%
1/2
13%
10/21
Away DNB
44%
6/4
23%
6/4
Sunderland win to nil
23%
11/4
36%
-
Stoke win to nil
12%
5/1
14%
-
Sunderland / Sunderland
27%
12/5
18%
21/10
3%
Sunderland / Stoke
3%
28/1
29%
22/1
12%
Sunderland / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Draw / Sunderland
16%
4/1
11%
4/1
4%
Draw / Stoke
10%
13/2
17%
13/2
7%
Draw / Draw
14%
9/2
16%
4/1
4%
Stoke / Sunderland
4%
22/118/1
Stoke / Stoke
14%
5/1
25%
17/4
5%
Stoke / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Win / draw / win form
Sunderland
20 games
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Stoke
20 games
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Stoke City of late. It has been 5 FA Cup games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Sunderland.

Sunderland Stoke
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Sunderland will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 73% probability that Stoke will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/288960/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sunderland
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
1.8
1.3
Attack rating
13%
better
SUN
STK
view stats
Games scored15
12
Failed to score5
8
Scored first9
9
Goals scored26
22
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
7%
better
SUN
STK
view stats
Games conceded13
14
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first8
7
Goals conceded18
24
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against12%
11%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.7
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Sunderland v Stoke will show here when available.

Sunderland FA Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
S MooreM. AleksićA AouchicheC Rigg
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Moore GLK1
-
T Hume DEF1
-
L O'Nien DEF1
-
L Hjelde DEF1
-
A Alese  DEF1
-
H. Jones MID1
-
D Neil MID1
-
E Mayenda MID1
-
C Rigg MID1
1
-
A Aouchiche MID11
-
A Connolly FWD1
-
Subs
B Noukeu GLK
-
C Mepham DEF
-
Z Johnson DEF1
-
J Bellingham MID
-
S Samed MID1
-
N Rusyn FWD1
-
W Isidor FWD
-
M. Aleksić FWD11
-
T. Ogunsugi FWD1
-
Stoke FA Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1101
V JohanssonT CannonJ Tchamadeu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK1
-
J Tchamadeu DEF1
1
-
A Phillips DEF1
-
B Wilmot DEF1
-
E Stevens DEF1
-
T Seko MID1
-
W Burger MID1
1
-
A Moran MID1
1
-
L Baker MID1
1
-
L. Koumas MID1
-
T Cannon FWD11
-
Subs
J Bonham GLK
-
M Lawal DEF
-
M Rose DEF
-
S. Sidibe MID1
-
L Gooch MID1
-
A Vidigal MID
-
J. Bae MID1
-
N Ennis FWD11
-
E Tezgel FWD1
-