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Cardiff City v Chelsea : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 16th Dec, 20:00 BST, Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Brian Barry-Murphy's Cardiff City side are on home soil in the League Cup on Tuesday night, as Enzo Maresca's Chelsea arrive at the Cardiff City Stadium. Recent form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all laid out below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We've backed Cardiff to win, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?


Best Tip: Chelsea to win

Nobody in the League Cup wants to suffer defeat in front of their home fans, but the statistics below suggest that could be Cardiff's fate as they go head-to-head with Chelsea at Cardiff City Stadium on Tuesday night. The bookmakers agree, making an away win the most likely outcome at odds of 1.25, and so does our predictive algorithm. Our algorithm suggests the away win in the win / draw / win market has a 78% probability, easily making it the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 78% chance of Chelsea coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cardiff
8%
17/2
6%
11/1
Draw
15%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
Chelsea
78%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Chelsea 2-0
13%
5/119/4
Chelsea 3-0
11%
6/111/2
Chelsea 1-0
10%
7/1
7%
11/2
Chelsea 2-1
9%
9/115/2
6%
Chelsea 3-1
7%
10/19/1
Draw 1-1
7%
12/110/1
10%
Chelsea 4-0
7%
10/117/2
5%
Chelsea 4-1
5%
16/112/1
13%
Draw 0-0
4%
16/112/1
Chelsea 5-0
3%
18/1
10%
14/1
Draw 2-2
3%
28/120/1
Cardiff 1-0
3%
20/120/1
11%
Chelsea 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Chelsea 5-1
2%
28/120/1
9%
Cardiff 2-1
2%
25/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/7
2%
11/20
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
27/20
2%
13/10
5%
Home 1st Goal
34%
11/418/5
Away 1st Goal
63%
1/4
3%
2/9
No 1st Goal
3%
16/112/1
8%
BTTS - Yes
45%
6/56/5
2%
BTTS - No
55%
8/133/5
BTTS - Home Win
4%
16/116/1
BTTS - Draw
11%
17/2
6%
7/1
7%
BTTS - Away Win
31%
21/10
3%
2/1
3%
Home/draw
22%
3/1
7%
16/5
5%
Away/draw
92%
1/141/33
1%
Home/away
85%
1/10
1%
1/9
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6
1%
2/11
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1
11%
7/2
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
11/8
5%
11/8
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
8/15
2%
8/15
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/33/1
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/52/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8/113/2
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/141/14
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/50
1%
1/50
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/1
12%
12/1
Home DNB
18%
7/18/1
Away DNB
88%
1/121/25
1%
Cardiff win to nil
4%
14/1-
Chelsea win to nil
47%
5/6-
Cardiff / Cardiff
4%
22/116/1
13%
Cardiff / Chelsea
4%
20/118/1
Cardiff / Draw
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
Draw / Cardiff
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
Draw / Chelsea
21%
3/129/10
3%
Draw / Draw
9%
8/1
6%
15/2
6%
Chelsea / Cardiff
2%
50/1
24%
50/1
Chelsea / Chelsea
49%
4/6
3%
7/10
2%
Chelsea / Draw
4%
20/118/1
Win / draw / win form
Cardiff
20 games
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
1
Lost
5
Chelsea
20 games
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goal Statistics

Chelsea's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive League Cup outings. A PG of 2.5 suggests that run should continue on Tuesday night.

Cardiff Chelsea
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.7
goals
2.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 51% probability that Cardiff will fail to score
0
1
20%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
25%
There is a 72% probability that Chelsea will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.8
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Cup - 2025/2025 season
Cardiff
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
0.7
2.5
Attack rating
CAR
CHE
13%
better
view stats
Games scored17
19
Failed to score3
1
Scored first13
14
Goals scored38
38
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for18
19
Avg. XG for1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
3%
better
CAR
CHE
view stats
Games conceded13
12
Clean sheets7
8
Conceded first7
5
Goals conceded20
24
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Cardiff v Chelsea will show here when available.

Cardiff League Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4122
C ChambersC ChambersR ColwillR. Kpakio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Chambers DEF411
-
J Bagan DEF41
1
-
C. Ashford MID41
-
R Colwill MID412
-
P Ng DEF3
1
-
W Fish DEF31
-
R. Kpakio DEF3
2
-
D Turnbull MID3
-
C Willock FWD3
-
M. Turner GLK1
-
D. Lawlor DEF1
-
L. Giles DEF1
-
A Robertson MID1
1
-
D. Mafico MID11
-
Chelsea League Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE