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Chelsea v Arsenal : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stamford Bridge, London

the Stamford Bridge masses welcome Arsenal's travelling contingent on Wednesday night, as Enzo Maresca's Chelsea go head to head with Mikel Arteta Amatriain's troops in the League Cup. League Cup statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. You can view it all, with graphics and odds from leading bookmakers available for every betting markets via the tabs.

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Chelsea's next match is v Paphos at 20:00 on Wednesday 21st January
Arsenal's next match is v Man Utd at 16:30 on Sunday 25th January
The last English League Cup meeting between Chelsea and Arsenal was on Wednesday 14th January 2026
English League Cup
January 14th 2026
Chelsea 2
3 Arsenal
 
A. Garnacho 57'7' B. White
A. Garnacho 83'49' V. Gyökeres
71' M. Zubimendi Ibáñez
 
CHE
ARS
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
1
6
Corners
6
9
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
12
14
Yellow/red cards
4/0
4/0
 
ChelseaArsenal
 
R. Lynch Sanchez
M. Cucurella (O. Adarabioyo 81')
T. Chalobah
E. Fernández
A. Nascimento dos Santos
P. Lomba Neto
W. Fofana (J. Hato 75')
J. Junqueira de Jesus (S. Mheuka 81')
J. Acheampong (B. Badiashile Mukinayi 53')
M. Guiu Paz (A. Garnacho 53')
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves
W. Saliba
football iconB. White
G. dos Santos Magalhães
J. Timber
(M. Merino Zazón 68') M. Ødegaard
B. Saka
K. Arrizabalaga Revuelta
football iconM. Zubimendi Ibáñez
(K. Havertz 82') D. Rice
(G. de Jesus 82') football iconV. Gyökeres
(G. Martinelli Silva 67') L. Trossard

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Chelsea and Arsenal will score at least a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 76%. Bookmakers have it at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of Arsenal coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
24%
3/180/1
Draw
24%
13/510/1
Arsenal
52%
9/101/20
Draw 1-1
12%
11/24/1
Arsenal 1-0
11%
13/211/4
Arsenal 2-1
10%
15/229/20
Arsenal 2-0
9%
8/115/8
Chelsea 1-0
7%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/115/2
Chelsea 2-1
6%
12/112/1
Arsenal 3-1
5%
14/11/2
Draw 2-2
5%
12/118/5
Arsenal 3-0
5%
14/116/5
Chelsea 2-0
4%
20/116/1
Arsenal 3-2
3%
25/13/10
Arsenal 4-1
2%
28/14/1
Chelsea 3-1
2%
33/140/1
Arsenal 4-0
2%
33/19/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
17/204/11
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
19/2019/10
Home 1st Goal
43%
7/56/4
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/64/6
No 1st Goal
4%
10/115/2
BTTS - Yes
53%
3/413/10
BTTS - No
47%
1/111/20
BTTS - Home Win
12%
13/240/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/26/1
BTTS - Away Win
24%
11/41/12
Home/draw
48%
10/119/1
Away/draw
76%
2/91/1000
Home/away
76%
2/71/25
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/411/4
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
9/41/2
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/329/20
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5/17/5
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/88/15
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/117/4
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/7
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/18
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/115/2
Home DNB
41%
2/140/1
Away DNB
69%
4/111/1000
Chelsea win to nil
12%
6/1-
Arsenal win to nil
28%
12/5-
Chelsea / Chelsea
12%
11/2150/1
Chelsea / Arsenal
4%
22/1100/1
Chelsea / Draw
6%
14/1125/1
Draw / Chelsea
10%
15/233/1
Draw / Arsenal
17%
4/128/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/225/1
Arsenal / Chelsea
3%
33/111/1
Arsenal / Arsenal
27%
2/13/10
Arsenal / Draw
6%
12/117/5
Win / draw / win form
Chelsea
20 games
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Arsenal
20 games
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Chelsea since 1998
Chelsea
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
10
4
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
CHE
3
D
2
Games at Arsenal since 1998
Arsenal
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
15
17
Games: Scored
8 / 10
10 / 10
Clean sheets
0 / 10
2 / 10
CHE
4
ARS
6
Goal Statistics

Arsenal's defensive record is very strong, M. Arteta's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive League Cup games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Chelsea makes sense in this context.

Arsenal have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive League Cup outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Chelsea on Wednesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Chelsea Arsenal
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Chelsea will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.7
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Cup - 2025/2025 season
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
1.1
1.7
Attack rating
CHE
ARS
6%
better
view stats
Games scored19
19
Failed to score1
1
Scored first14
14
Goals scored41
45
Avg. goals scored2.1
2.3
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
20
Avg. XG for2.1
2.2
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
CHE
ARS
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
11
Clean sheets6
9
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded25
14
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against17%
11%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+27%

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Chelsea v Arsenal will show here when available.

Chelsea League Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4423
A SantosA GarnachoA SantosM Cucurella 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK1
-
J. Acheampong DEF3
-
W Fofana DEF2
-
T Chalobah DEF3
-
M Cucurella  DEF3
3
-
A Santos MID412
1
-
E Fernández MID3
1
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves MID31
2
-
J Pedro  MID21
-
P Neto MID411
1
-
M Guiu FWD2
-
Subs
F Jörgensen GLK3
1
-
T Adarabioyo DEF3
-
B Badiashile  DEF2
1
-
J Hato DEF41
-
D Essugo MID
-
F Buonanotte MID311
-
A Garnacho FWD34
-
T. George FWD321
1
-
Arsenal League Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4122
K ArrizabalagaB WhiteM. Lewis-SkellyK Arrizabalaga
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Arrizabalaga GLK4
2
-
B White DEF31
-
W Saliba DEF31
-
G Magalhães DEF3
-
J Timber DEF3
1
-
M Ødegaard MID2
-
M Zubimendi MID11
-
D Rice MID41
-
B Saka FWD41
-
V Gyökeres FWD211
-
L Trossard FWD41
1
-
Subs
D Raya GLK
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF32
-
E Eze MID31
-
C Nörgaard MID3
-
M Merino MID4
1
-
G Jesus  FWD2
-
G Martinelli FWD3
-
N Madueke FWD1
-
K Havertz FWD1
-
English League Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds