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Liverpool v Newcastle United : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wembley Stadium, London

the Wembley Stadium is the stage on Sunday afternoon, as Arne Slot's Liverpool host Eddie Howe's Newcastle United in the League Cup. All the odds are provided straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on League Cup match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.

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Liverpool's next match is v Everton at 20:00 on Wednesday 2nd April
Newcastle United's next match is v Brentford at 19:45 on Wednesday 2nd April
The last English League Cup meeting between Liverpool and Newcastle was on Sunday 16th March 2025
English League Cup
March 16th 2025
Liverpool 1
2 Newcastle
 
F. Chiesa 90'45' D. Burn
52' A. Isak
 
LIV
NEW
Shots On
2
6
Shots Off
3
8
Corners
4
9
Possession
66%
34%
Fouls
14
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
LiverpoolNewcastle
 
C. Kelleher
A. Robertson
J. Quansah
I. Konaté (C. Jones 57')
V. van Dijk
D. Szoboszlai
A. Mac Allister (C. Gakpo 67')
R. Gravenberch (F. Chiesa 74')
M. Salah
D. Jota (D. Núñez Ribeiro 57')
L. Díaz Marulanda (H. Elliot 74')
N. Pope
F. Schär
K. Trippier
V. Livramento
football iconD. Burn
J. Apolinário de Lira
S. Tonali
B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura
(E. Krafth 90') J. Murphy
(C. Wilson 81') football iconA. Isak
(J. Willock 81') H. Barnes

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Liverpool and Newcastle will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Arne Slot or Eddie Howe has served up too many 0-0s of late either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.22 equating to roughly a 81% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Liverpool are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Liverpool
51%
17/20
18%
10/11
23%
Draw
23%
11/4
17%
27/10
20%
Newcastle
26%
14/5
20%
29/10
26%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
26%
11/2
24%
Liverpool 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Liverpool 1-0
9%
15/2
29%
13/2
21%
Liverpool 2-0
8%
17/2
5%
8/1
Newcastle 2-1
7%
12/1
13%
10/1
15%
Newcastle 1-0
6%
12/1
38%
10/1
27%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Liverpool 3-1
6%
14/1
36%
11/1
26%
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
38%
9/1
33%
Liverpool 3-0
5%
16/1
31%
12/1
18%
Newcastle 2-0
4%
20/1
28%
16/1
19%
Liverpool 3-2
3%
22/1
35%
16/1
31%
Newcastle 3-1
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Liverpool 4-1
3%
28/1
53%
18/1
27%
Newcastle 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/5
29%
8/11
24%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
1/1
31%
1/1
26%
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/15
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
8/5
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
38%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/6
11%
4/6
9%
BTTS - No
42%
11/10
16%
11/10
13%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/5
37%
5/2
35%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
5%
17/5
12%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/2
7%
5/1
14%
Home/draw
74%
1/4
6%
1/4
7%
Away/draw
49%
10/11
17%
10/11
20%
Home/away
77%
1/4
6%
2/7
8%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/9
9%
2/9
9%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1
33%
14/5
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/1
50%
7/4
34%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/11
21%
2/5
19%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
9/2
62%
4/1
54%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/7
12%
2/13
12%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/1
117%
17/2
65%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/25
7%
1/20
6%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
3%
1/25
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
38%
9/1
33%
Home DNB
67%
2/5
12%
2/5
15%
Away DNB
42%
7/4
27%
9/5
26%
Liverpool win to nil
25%
5/2
3%
-
Newcastle win to nil
12%
6/1
36%
-
Liverpool / Liverpool
27%
2/1
26%
15/8
25%
Liverpool / Newcastle
3%
28/125/1
Liverpool / Draw
6%
12/111/1
8%
Draw / Liverpool
16%
4/1
5%
19/5
9%
Draw / Newcastle
10%
15/2
23%
7/1
20%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
27%
17/4
25%
Newcastle / Liverpool
4%
20/1
24%
18/1
27%
Newcastle / Newcastle
13%
11/2
19%
5/1
20%
Newcastle / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Liverpool
20 games
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLiverpool0 - 1PSG
HLiverpool3 - 1Southampton
ALiverpool1 - 0PSG
HLiverpool2 - 0Newcastle
ALiverpool2 - 0Man City
ALiverpool2 - 2A Villa
HLiverpool2 - 1Wolves
ALiverpool2 - 2Everton
ALiverpool0 - 1Plymouth
HLiverpool4 - 0Spurs
ALiverpool2 - 0Bournemouth
ALiverpool2 - 3PSV
HLiverpool4 - 1Ipswich
HLiverpool2 - 1Lille
ALiverpool2 - 0Brentford
ALiverpool1 - 1Nottm Forest
HLiverpool4 - 0Accrington
ALiverpool0 - 1Spurs
HLiverpool2 - 2Man Utd
ALiverpool5 - 0West Ham
Newcastle
20 games
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
1
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewcastle1 - 0West Ham
HNewcastle1 - 1Brighton
ANewcastle0 - 2Liverpool
HNewcastle4 - 3Nottm Forest
ANewcastle0 - 4Man City
ANewcastle3 - 2Birmingham
HNewcastle2 - 0Arsenal
HNewcastle1 - 2Fulham
ANewcastle3 - 1Southampton
HNewcastle1 - 4Bournemouth
HNewcastle3 - 0Wolves
HNewcastle3 - 1Bromley
ANewcastle2 - 0Arsenal
ANewcastle2 - 1Spurs
ANewcastle2 - 0Man Utd
HNewcastle3 - 0A Villa
ANewcastle4 - 0Ipswich
HNewcastle3 - 1Brentford
HNewcastle4 - 0Leicester
ANewcastle2 - 4Brentford
Goal Statistics

Liverpool have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 25 consecutive League Cup outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Newcastle United on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Liverpool Newcastle
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Liverpool will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
2.6
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Cup - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294449/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Liverpool
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
LIV
NEW
10%
better
view stats
Games scored17
18
Failed to score3
2
Scored first13
11
Goals scored42
44
Avg. goals scored2.1
2.2
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal6
4
Conversion rate for17
22
Avg. XG for2.2
1.8
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
17%
better
LIV
NEW
view stats
Games conceded12
12
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first7
9
Goals conceded17
26
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
16%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+17%

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Liverpool v Newcastle will show here when available.

Liverpool League Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5511
J QuansahC GakpoA AllisterJ Quansah
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Kelleher GLK4
-
J Quansah DEF6
1
-
V Dijk  DEF31
-
I Konaté DEF4
1
-
A Robertson DEF4
-
R Gravenberch MID3
-
A Allister MID61
-
M Salah MID521
-
D Szoboszlai MID31
-
L Díaz  MID41
-
D Jota  FWD52
-
Subs
Alisson GLK1
-
K Tsimikas DEF3
-
W Endo MID4
1
-
C Jones MID51
-
H Elliot MID311
1
-
J. McConnell MID1
1
-
D Núñez FWD611
-
F Chiesa FWD311
1
-
C Gakpo FWD651
-
Newcastle League Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6323
S TonaliA IsakJ MurphyF Schär
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK3
2
-
K Trippier DEF41
-
F Schär DEF521
3
-
D Burn DEF71
-
T Livramento  DEF6
2
-
B Guimarães MID61
3
-
S Tonali MID621
1
-
Joelinton MID6
1
-
J Murphy FWD412
-
A Isak FWD63
-
H Barnes FWD5
-
Subs
M Dúbravka GLK4
-
M Targett DEF
-
E Krafth DEF5
-
S Longstaff MID5
2
-
L Miley MID2
-
J Willock MID71
-
C Wilson FWD2
-
W Osula FWD3
-
S. Neave FWD
-
English League Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds