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Bolton Wanderers v Barnsley : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Feb, 15:01 BST, Macron Stadium, Horwich

Steven Schumacher welcomes Conor Hourihane to the Macron Stadium on Saturday afternoon, as their Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley sides meet in the League One. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen major markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across them all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our tip on this one, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 minutes. Both Bolton and Barnsley's recent form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bolton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bolton
58%
4/67/10
Draw
23%
14/5
3%
3/1
3%
Barnsley
19%
15/4
6%
7/2
6%
Bolton 1-0
12%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
11%
13/26/1
Bolton 2-0
11%
8/115/2
6%
Bolton 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
6%
12/111/1
9%
Bolton 3-0
6%
12/111/1
9%
Barnsley 1-0
6%
16/1
13%
11/1
8%
Bolton 3-1
6%
12/110/1
Barnsley 2-1
5%
14/111/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
12/111/1
Bolton 4-0
3%
25/118/1
Barnsley 2-0
3%
25/118/1
10%
Bolton 3-2
3%
20/116/1
Bolton 4-1
3%
22/118/1
12%
Barnsley 3-1
2%
33/122/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
4/6
2%
13/20
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
23/20
2%
11/10
2%
Home 1st Goal
56%
8/158/15
Away 1st Goal
40%
6/413/8
5%
No 1st Goal
4%
12/111/1
9%
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/6
2%
4/6
BTTS - No
49%
11/10
2%
11/10
BTTS - Home Win
25%
9/411/5
3%
BTTS - Draw
16%
15/418/5
BTTS - Away Win
9%
15/2
6%
6/1
Home/draw
81%
2/111/5
2%
Away/draw
42%
23/2011/10
2%
Home/away
77%
1/4
3%
1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/51/5
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
10/316/5
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
13/813/8
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
4/94/9
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
4/118/5
2%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/61/6
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
9/1
9%
8/1
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/16
1%
1/20
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/40
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/111/1
9%
Home DNB
74%
1/4
3%
3/10
1%
Away DNB
35%
11/4
7%
9/4
4%
Bolton win to nil
33%
9/4-
Barnsley win to nil
10%
9/1
11%
-
Bolton / Bolton
32%
8/56/4
2%
Bolton / Barnsley
3%
33/125/1
10%
Bolton / Draw
6%
12/112/1
8%
Draw / Bolton
17%
15/418/5
4%
Draw / Barnsley
8%
9/117/2
Draw / Draw
13%
11/219/4
Barnsley / Bolton
4%
20/116/1
Barnsley / Barnsley
11%
7/1
7%
11/2
7%
Barnsley / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win League One table

Bolton have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 9 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 42 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

Bolton have played 15 games at home winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 26 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Barnsley are in 14th position in the League One on 37 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Barnsley have conceded 27 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bolton
Barnsley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Cardiff2918652360 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 11
-
l
 
4-0A
2
Lincoln2917751958 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
3
Bolton30141061152 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Feb 7
4
Stockport291577752 
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
May 2
d
 
1-1F
5
Bradford281477549 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 25
Apr 18
d
 
2-2A
6
Huddersfield30146101148 
Apr 18
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-1F
Feb 21
7
Luton2912611442 
May 2
d
 
1-1F
w
 
5-0F
Apr 25
8
Stevenage281198342 
Mar 28
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
-
9
Wycombe2910109540 
Mar 7
l
 
2-1F
Mar 3
d
 
2-2F
10
Reading2810108440 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 17
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2A
11
Mansfield271089638 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
2-3F
Mar 14
12
Peterborough2912215-238 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
Feb 17
w
 
0-1F
13
Exeter2811413337 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 28
Mar 7
l
 
3-0A
14
Barnsley261079-137 
Feb 7
d
 
1-1A
-
-
15
Plymouth2911414-637 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 3
Apr 6
w
 
1-3F
16
AFC Wim2810513-735 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
Feb 14
l
 
2-0A
17
Doncaster299614-1333 
Mar 17
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
w
 
1-2F
18
Blackpool299515-732 
Feb 21
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
19
L Orient299515-932 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-2F
Feb 28
20
Wigan2871011-531 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 17
d
 
1-1A
21
Rotherham288713-931 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 14
l
 
0-1A
Apr 11
22
Burton298714-1231 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-2A
Apr 3
23
Northampton298615-1230 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
Mar 28
24
Port Vale275616-1821 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 21
l
 
0-2A
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Bolton have won 3 consecutive league games
5
Bolton have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
6
Barnsley have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Bolton 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bolton2 - 1Burton
Bolton2 - 1L Orient
Bolton0 - 0Northampton
Bolton0 - 1Mansfield
Bolton2 - 1Rotherham
Bolton2 - 1Exeter
Bolton0 - 0Bradford
Bolton4 - 0Port Vale
Bolton1 - 0Cardiff
Bolton2 - 1Peterborough
Bolton4 - 1Wigan
Bolton3 - 0AFC Wim
Bolton1 - 1Lincoln
Bolton1 - 1Reading
Bolton2 - 0Plymouth
Bolton1 - 1Stevenage
Bolton0 - 2Wycombe
Bolton0 - 1Rotherham
Bolton1 - 0Bristol R
Bolton0 - 1Stockport
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABolton1 - 0AFC Wim
HBolton2 - 1Burton
HBolton2 - 1L Orient
ABolton0 - 0Stevenage
ABolton1 - 0Wigan
ABolton1 - 3Peterborough
HBolton0 - 0Northampton
ABolton1 - 1Doncaster
HBolton0 - 1Mansfield
HBolton2 - 1Rotherham
ABolton1 - 2Wycombe
HBolton2 - 1Exeter
ABolton1 - 0Mansfield
ABolton1 - 1Luton
HBolton0 - 0Bradford
HBolton4 - 0Port Vale
HBolton1 - 0Cardiff
ABolton2 - 1Huddersfield
ABolton0 - 3Burton
HBolton2 - 1Peterborough
Barnsley 15TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cardiff4 - 0Barnsley
Reading2 - 2Barnsley
Wigan1 - 1Barnsley
Exeter3 - 0Barnsley
Lincoln3 - 1Barnsley
Stockport1 - 1Barnsley
Doncaster1 - 2Barnsley
Bradford2 - 2Barnsley
Wycombe2 - 2Barnsley
Blackpool1 - 0Barnsley
AFC Wim2 - 0Barnsley
Peterborough0 - 1Barnsley
Plymouth1 - 3Barnsley
Reading2 - 4Barnsley
L Orient4 - 3Barnsley
Birmingham6 - 2Barnsley
Wigan1 - 1Barnsley
Mansfield2 - 1Barnsley
Charlton1 - 0Barnsley
Northampton1 - 2Barnsley
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBarnsley2 - 2Northampton
HBarnsley3 - 1Stevenage
ABarnsley0 - 4Cardiff
ABarnsley2 - 2Reading
HBarnsley2 - 1Blackpool
ABarnsley1 - 1Wigan
HBarnsley0 - 2Lincoln
HBarnsley2 - 3Mansfield
ABarnsley0 - 3Exeter
HBarnsley3 - 2L Orient
ABarnsley1 - 3Lincoln
ABarnsley1 - 1Stockport
HBarnsley5 - 0Luton
ABarnsley2 - 1Doncaster
HBarnsley0 - 1Rotherham
ABarnsley2 - 2Bradford
ABarnsley2 - 2Wycombe
HBarnsley0 - 2Port Vale
ABarnsley0 - 1Blackpool
HBarnsley3 - 2Reading
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Barnsley have not lost to Bolton in 5 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Bolton since 1996
Bolton
Barnsley
Goals: Scored
20
17
Games: Scored
12 / 13
10 / 13
Clean sheets
3 / 13
1 / 13
BOL
3
D
8
BAR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bolton
1 - 2Barnsley
2 - 3Barnsley
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Bolton3 - 1
Bolton1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bolton2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Barnsley since 1996
Barnsley
Bolton
Goals: Scored
20
23
Games: Scored
11 / 14
13 / 14
Clean sheets
1 / 14
3 / 14
BOL
5
D
6
BAR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Barnsley
Draw1 - 1Draw
Barnsley4 - 1
1 - 3Bolton
Draw2 - 2Draw
Barnsley1 - 0
0 - 3Bolton
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Bolton
2 - 3Bolton
0 - 1Bolton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Barnsley2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Bolton Wanderers's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Barnsley have conceded in each of their last 12 League One games. A PG of 1.8 for S. Schumacher's side suggests that run should continue.

Bolton 6th Barnsley 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Bolton will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Barnsley scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Bolton have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
+14
Barnsley have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season
Bolton
PG (predicted goals)
Barnsley
1.8
0.9
Attack rating
BOL
BAR
6%
better
view stats
Games scored23
19
Failed to score7
7
Scored first15
13
Goals scored38
42
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate for11
19
Avg. XG for1.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
32%
better
BOL
BAR
view stats
Games conceded20
24
Clean sheets10
2
Conceded first12
13
Goals conceded27
43
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
19%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.8
KickOff rating
+32%

Bolton v Barnsley League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Bolton League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29887
G JohnstonM BurstowA Cozier-DuberryJ Sheehan
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Burstow FWD3083
3
-
M Conway DEF292
2
-
G Johnston DEF29
5
-
X Simons MID291
3
1
A Cozier-Duberry FWD2868
1
-
S Dalby FWD275
1
-
E Toal DEF231
-
J Sheehan MID2333
7
-
T Gale FWD2341
1
-
T Sharman-Lowe GLK22
1
-
E Erhahon  MID222
1
-
J Osei-Tutu DEF2111
4
-
A Morley MID20
1
-
M Forss FWD182
1
-
I Cissoko FWD18
3
-
K Dempsey MID1631
1
-
J Randall MID151
-
J McAtee FWD1511
2
-
C Forino DEF14
3
-
C Christie DEF131
2
-
J Dacres-Cogley DEF132
2
-
R Taylor DEF7
1
-
T Miller GLK3
-
Barnsley League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251388
J ShepherdD Keillor-DunnR ClearyL Connell
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Shepherd DEF25
5
1
J. Bland MID251
7
-
D Keillor-Dunn MID24131
3
-
T Watson DEF231
2
-
A Phillips MID2353
1
-
P Kelly MID2323
5
-
L Connell MID2222
7
1
R Cleary FWD2258
2
-
D McGoldrick FWD2272
2
-
M. Cooper GLK21
4
-
V. Yoganathan MID212
2
1
N Ogbeta DEF181
1
-
J Earl DEF151
4
-
C. Vickers MID1522
-
M Gevigney DEF141
-
J Russell MID121
1
-
N Farrugia MID12
1
-
M Roberts DEF10
2
-
F Jaló FWD3
-
J Rooney DEF1
-