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Burton Albion v Bristol Rovers : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

Matt Taylor pays counterpart Mark Robinson a visit on Saturday afternoon in the League One, as their Bristol Rovers and Burton Albion charges go head to head at the Pirelli Stadium. All the odds are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to League One match data, including head-to-head performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.

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Burton Albion's next match is v Bolton at 15:00 on Saturday 19th October
Bristol Rovers's next match is v Blackpool at 15:00 on Saturday 12th October
The last English League One meeting between Burton and Bristol R was on Saturday 5th October 2024
English League One
October 5th 2024
Burton 1
3 Bristol R
 
D. Orsi-Dadamo 15'52' S. Forde
59' S. Sinclair
90' G. Ward
 
BAL
BRI
Shots On
6
6
Shots Off
4
7
Corners
5
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
11
16
Yellow/red cards
3/1
2/0
 
BurtonBristol R
 
M. Crocombe
D. Williams (J. Sraha 79')
N. Akoto
R. Sweeney
C. Webster (R. Donovan 62')
E. Watt
A. Bannon (T. Vancooten 72')
K. Chauke
B. Whitfield (J. Cooper Love 72')
D. Orsi-Dadamofootball icon (R. Stutter 72')
T. Kalinauskas
J. Griffiths
(S. Forde 50') B. Bilongo
C. Taylor
C. Mola
J. Wilson
(T. Moore 61') J. Hunt
football iconS. Sinclair
K. Conteh
(G. Ward 50') J. Lindsay
(G. O'Donkor 71') P. Omochere
(L. McCormick 71') R. Sotiriou
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 74% probability of Burton and Bristol R serving up a minimum of 2 goals in this League One match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it would appear that the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burton
40%
11/85/4
2%
Draw
25%
12/5
5%
9/4
2%
Bristol R
35%
9/5
7%
17/10
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
8%
11/2
8%
Burton 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Burton 1-0
8%
17/2
19%
7/1
Bristol R 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Bristol R 1-0
8%
10/1
16%
8/1
6%
Burton 2-0
6%
11/1
9%
10/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
8%
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
26%
17/2
6%
Bristol R 2-0
5%
14/112/1
8%
Burton 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Bristol R 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Burton 3-0
3%
22/116/1
Burton 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Bristol R 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
Bristol R 3-0
3%
28/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/5
10%
4/5
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1/1
11%
19/20
11%
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
48%
11/10
7%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
26%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/6
5%
13/20
8%
BTTS - No
42%
11/10
5%
11/10
8%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
7/2
5%
16/5
7%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
9/2
8%
19/5
13%
Home/draw
65%
2/5
3%
2/5
Away/draw
60%
8/154/7
1%
Home/away
75%
3/10
2%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4
4%
1/4
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/4
10%
13/5
16%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2/1
12%
15/8
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/11
5%
4/11
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/1
14%
17/4
19%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/8
2%
2/15
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
13%
9/1
23%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
1/25
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25
2%
1/25
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/1
26%
9/1
18%
Home DNB
57%
8/11
4%
7/10
Away DNB
53%
1/1
5%
21/20
3%
Burton win to nil
19%
10/3
8%
-
Bristol R win to nil
17%
9/2-
Burton / Burton
21%
3/127/10
Burton / Bristol R
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
Burton / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Burton
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
Draw / Bristol R
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
4/1
9%
Bristol R / Burton
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
Bristol R / Bristol R
18%
7/2
5%
17/5
4%
Bristol R / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win League One table

Burton have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league. Burton are winless in the 8 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 6 of those games. Burton are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 4 and won zero. Burton have conceded 16 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Burton have played 3 games at home, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 3 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Bristol R lay in 18th place on 10 points in the League One league table having played 9 matches. Bristol R have won all their 2 games against teams below them in the table and kept 2 clean sheets in those games. Bristol R are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 3 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bristol R have conceded 0 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Bristol R have played 4 away games, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Burton
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Bristol R
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Apr 21
Dec 26
 Birmingham9711822 
Apr 1
Dec 14
Dec 7
Apr 5
 Wrexham106221020 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Mar 1
d
 
3-3A
 Mansfield9621620 
Mar 29
Nov 23
l
 
2-3F
Feb 22
 Lincoln9531718 
Nov 9
Mar 15
Oct 22
Mar 4
 Wycombe9522417 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 8
Nov 23
Mar 29
 Stockport9441616 
Jan 11
l
 
2-0A
Dec 21
Apr 18
 Exeter9513416 
Apr 12
Dec 26
Nov 26
May 3
 Charlton10514116 
w
 
3-2F
Jan 28
Apr 12
Dec 29
 Huddersfield10505315 
Mar 8
Oct 19
Feb 8
l
 
3-0A
 Blackpool10433115 
-
May 3
l
 
1-2A
Feb 1
 Barnsley10433015 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 11
 Stevenage10424114 
Apr 21
Dec 29
Mar 8
Oct 19
 Bolton9423014 
Dec 7
Apr 5
Jan 1
Dec 3
 Peterborough10424-214 
Feb 1
l
 
3-2A
Mar 22
Nov 16
 Wigan10343413 
l
 
0-4A
Jan 25
Jan 28
l
 
3-1A
 Reading9414-113 
Apr 26
Oct 26
Jan 25
d
 
2-2F
 Rotherham10343-213 
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-3F
Feb 15
 Bristol R Away10415-313 
-
-
Apr 1
Dec 14
 L Orient10226-48 
Jan 1
Dec 3
Jan 4
d
 
0-00-0
 Northampton9225-68 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
Nov 5
Jan 18
 Crawley9216-87 
Nov 16
Mar 22
Nov 9
Mar 15
 Shrewsbury10127-95 
Oct 22
Mar 4
-
-
 Burton Home9045-94 
Feb 15
w
 
1-3A
Apr 26
Oct 26
 Cambridge9018-111 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 4
Win / draw / win form
Burton 23RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burton1 - 2Barnsley
Burton0 - 0Stevenage
Burton2 - 3Lincoln
Burton3 - 2Reading
Burton1 - 2Cheltenham
Burton0 - 4Oxford Utd
Burton1 - 3Barnsley
Burton0 - 1Port Vale
Burton1 - 3Peterborough
Burton0 - 1Carlisle
Burton0 - 2Northampton
Burton0 - 1Lincoln
Burton2 - 0Charlton
Burton1 - 1Wycombe
Burton1 - 0Shrewsbury
Burton1 - 0Blackpool
Burton1 - 2Stevenage
Burton0 - 2Portsmouth
Burton0 - 0L Orient
Burton4 - 1Bristol R
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurton1 - 3Reading
ABurton0 - 3Blackpool
HBurton1 - 2Barnsley
ABurton2 - 2Rotherham
ABurton0 - 0Northampton
HBurton0 - 0Stevenage
ABurton3 - 3Mansfield
HBurton2 - 3Lincoln
ABurton0 - 3Fleetwood
HBurton3 - 2Reading
HBurton1 - 2Cheltenham
ABurton2 - 1Stevenage
HBurton0 - 4Oxford Utd
HBurton1 - 3Barnsley
ABurton1 - 1Wigan
HBurton0 - 1Port Vale
ABurton0 - 1Exeter
ABurton1 - 2Portsmouth
HBurton1 - 3Peterborough
ABurton0 - 0Cheltenham
Bristol R 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Peterborough3 - 2Bristol R
Barnsley2 - 1Bristol R
Stockport2 - 0Bristol R
Rotherham0 - 0Bristol R
Wigan2 - 0Bristol R
Cheltenham1 - 3Bristol R
Port Vale2 - 0Bristol R
Lincoln5 - 0Bristol R
Fleetwood0 - 0Bristol R
L Orient0 - 1Bristol R
Northampton3 - 1Bristol R
Stevenage2 - 3Bristol R
Exeter0 - 1Bristol R
Barnsley2 - 1Bristol R
Wycombe3 - 2Bristol R
Blackpool3 - 1Bristol R
Bolton1 - 2Bristol R
Derby2 - 1Bristol R
Carlisle0 - 1Bristol R
Reading1 - 1Bristol R
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBristol R3 - 2Charlton
HBristol R1 - 2Wycombe
ABristol R2 - 3Peterborough
HBristol R0 - 4Wigan
ABristol R1 - 2Barnsley
HBristol R2 - 0Cambridge
ABristol R0 - 2Stockport
ABristol R0 - 0Rotherham
HBristol R1 - 0Northampton
ABristol R0 - 2Wigan
HBristol R0 - 2Peterborough
HBristol R1 - 0Cambridge
ABristol R3 - 1Cheltenham
HBristol R0 - 2Reading
HBristol R0 - 2Bolton
HBristol R0 - 0Shrewsbury
ABristol R0 - 2Port Vale
ABristol R0 - 5Lincoln
ABristol R0 - 0Fleetwood
HBristol R0 - 3Derby
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Burton have beaten Bristol R in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Burton since 2011
Burton
Bristol R
Goals: Scored
12
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
BAL
6
D
1
BRI
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burton
Burton4 - 1
0 - 4Bristol R
Burton1 - 0
Burton2 - 0
Burton1 - 0
Burton1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Burton2 - 1
League games at Bristol R since 2012
Bristol R
Burton
Goals: Scored
15
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
BAL
2
D
2
BRI
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bristol R
1 - 2Burton
1 - 2Burton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Bristol R2 - 0
Bristol R3 - 0
Bristol R7 - 1
Goal Statistics

Burton Albion's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Bristol Rovers have conceded in each of their last 5 League One games. A PG of 1.5 for Mark Robinson's side suggests that run should continue.

Burton 23rd Bristol R 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Burton will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Bristol R will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Burton have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
-5
Bristol R’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280750/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Burton
PG (predicted goals)
Bristol R
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
BAL
BRI
11%
better
view stats
Games scored5
6
Failed to score3
3
Scored first2
4
Goals scored9
10
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for0.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
BAL
BRI
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
6
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded16
15
Avg. goals conceded2
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against21%
16%
Avg. XG against1.4
2
KickOff rating
+10%

Burton v Bristol R League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Burton League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9324
E WattD OrsiT KalinauskasT Vancooten
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Crocombe GLK8
-
A Bannon DEF2
-
R Sweeney DEF8
-
D Willis DEF9
1
-
N. Akoto MID9
1
-
K Chauke MID9
-
E Watt MID911
3
-
T Kalinauskas MID92
1
-
B Whitfield FWD911
-
C Webster FWD1
1
-
D Orsi FWD932
2
-
Subs
H Isted GLK1
-
T Vancooten DEF8
3
1
J Sraha DEF1
-
R Donovan MID5
-
J Cooper-Love FWD82
1
-
R. Stutter FWD1
-
Bristol R League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10323
J GriffithsS SinclairB BilongoK Conteh
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Griffiths GLK10
1
-
J Wilson DEF101
-
C Taylor DEF8
1
-
C Mola DEF10
2
-
J Hunt MID31
-
J Lindsay MID71
-
K Conteh MID9
3
-
B Bilongo MID812
-
R Sotiriou FWD911
1
-
S Sinclair FWD93
-
P Omochere FWD1022
-
Subs
L Sousa DEF51
-
T Moore DEF7
2
1
G Ward  MID812
-
I Hutchinson MID4
-
L McCormick MID81
-
G O'Donkor FWD711
2
-
S Forde FWD61
-