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Burton Albion v Cardiff City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

Gary Bowyer and Brian Barry-Murphy clash in the League One on Saturday afternoon, as Burton Albion face Cardiff City at the Pirelli Stadium. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Burton Albion's next match is v West Ham at 12:15 on Saturday 14th February
Cardiff City's next match is v Luton at 15:00 on Saturday 14th February
The last English League One meeting between Burton and Cardiff was on Saturday 31st January 2026
English League One
January 31st 2026
Burton 2
2 Cardiff
 
J. Beesley 11'46' A. Robertson
K. Lofthouse 78'63' A. Robertson
 
BAL
CAR
Shots On
2
3
Shots Off
3
3
Corners
4
4
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
11
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
BurtonCardiff
 
U. Godwin-Malife
T. Sibbick
K. Chauke (J. Larsson 81')
J. McKiernan (A. Cannon 68')
J. Beesleyfootball icon
K. Lofthousefootball icon
B. Collins
A. Hartridge
D. Williams (G. Evans 50')
S. Revan (J. Armer 68')
K. Adom (T. Shade 46')
W. Fish
N. Trott
C. Chambers
R. Wintle
(D. Turnbull 67') O. Kellyman
O. Tanner
(C. Ashford 74') C. Willock
(J. Colwill 74') football iconfootball iconA. Robertson
P. Ng
(J. Bagan 46') R. Kpakio
(I. Davies 87') C. Robinson

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our top tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Burton and Cardiff's current form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Cardiff coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burton
28%
31/1033/1
Draw
26%
13/51/100
Cardiff
46%
4/525/1
Draw 1-1
12%
6/16/4
Cardiff 1-0
11%
13/211/2
Cardiff 2-1
9%
15/28/11
Burton 1-0
8%
12/129/10
Cardiff 2-0
8%
8/113/2
Draw 0-0
7%
10/115/2
Burton 2-1
7%
14/119/4
Draw 2-2
5%
14/12/7
Burton 2-0
5%
22/111/2
Cardiff 3-1
5%
14/110/3
Cardiff 3-0
4%
14/111/1
Burton 3-1
3%
33/118/1
Cardiff 3-2
3%
22/119/4
Burton 3-2
2%
40/115/2
Burton 3-0
2%
40/116/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
17/2010/21
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
19/206/4
Home 1st Goal
44%
6/417/10
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/133/5
No 1st Goal
5%
10/115/2
BTTS - Yes
52%
3/48/15
BTTS - No
48%
1/17/5
BTTS - Home Win
13%
7/17/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/21/4
BTTS - Away Win
20%
11/417/4
Home/draw
54%
19/201/14
Away/draw
72%
2/91/33
Home/away
74%
2/74/1
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/42/9
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
11/43/1
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
9/41/1
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/38/11
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
5/119/5
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/82/13
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/125/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/18
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/115/2
Home DNB
46%
9/421/10
Away DNB
64%
1/31/3
Burton win to nil
15%
7/1-
Cardiff win to nil
25%
9/4-
Burton / Burton
11%
6/15/6
Burton / Cardiff
4%
20/119/4
Burton / Draw
6%
14/15/2
Draw / Burton
9%
8/120/1
Draw / Cardiff
17%
15/412/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/214/1
Cardiff / Burton
3%
33/1100/1
Cardiff / Cardiff
29%
15/840/1
Cardiff / Draw
6%
12/170/1
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Win / draw / win League One table

Burton have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 3 and won 7. Burton have conceded 35 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Burton have played 13 games at home, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

Cardiff lay in 1st place on 59 points in the League One league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 50 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Cardiff have conceded 27 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Cardiff have played 13 away games, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Burton
Cardiff
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Cardiff3019652663 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
2
Lincoln3018752261 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
Mar 7
l
 
2-1A
3
Bolton31151061255 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
Apr 11
l
 
1-0A
4
Stockport301587753 
Feb 24
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
5
Huddersfield31147101149 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2F
Mar 28
6
Bradford291478449 
Mar 21
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-2F
7
Luton3013611545 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 21
Feb 14
w
 
0-1F
8
Wycombe3011109943 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 28
Mar 17
d
 
1-1F
9
Stevenage291199142 
Mar 7
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
10
Peterborough3013215341 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 18
w
 
2-1A
Apr 6
11
Reading2910109340 
Mar 17
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 18
12
Mansfield281099639 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 6
w
 
3-0F
May 2
13
Exeter2911513338 
Apr 25
-
w
 
1-0F
Mar 14
14
AFC Wim2911513-638 
Apr 11
w
 
0-1F
Feb 17
w
 
0-1F
15
Barnsley2710710-237 
Apr 3
l
 
3-2F
w
 
4-0F
-
16
Plymouth3011415-937 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
4-0F
Feb 21
17
Blackpool309615-733 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 28
Mar 21
l
 
3-1A
18
L Orient309615-933 
l
 
0-4A
May 2
w
 
4-3F
d
 
1-1A
19
Northampton309615-1033 
w
 
5-1F
Mar 14
Apr 25
w
 
1-3F
20
Doncaster309615-1733 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-3A
Feb 28
21
Burton308814-1232 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
22
Wigan2971012-1031 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
23
Rotherham298714-1231 
Feb 17
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
24
Port Vale285716-1822 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
Apr 3
d
 
0-00-0
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Burton 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burton3 - 1Huddersfield
Burton0 - 2Wigan
Burton5 - 1Northampton
Burton0 - 0Wycombe
Burton0 - 4L Orient
Burton1 - 0Blackpool
Burton0 - 1Peterborough
Burton3 - 0Bolton
Burton0 - 4Plymouth
Burton0 - 1Lincoln
Burton0 - 3Luton
Burton0 - 0Port Vale
Burton2 - 1Mansfield
Burton1 - 1Wigan
Burton2 - 1Cambridge
Burton1 - 2Birmingham
Burton3 - 0Huddersfield
Burton2 - 1L Orient
Burton1 - 2Bolton
Burton1 - 1Mansfield
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurton1 - 2Bolton
ABurton1 - 2Lincoln
HBurton3 - 1Huddersfield
ABurton0 - 3Plymouth
ABurton0 - 2Reading
HBurton0 - 2Wigan
HBurton5 - 1Northampton
ABurton2 - 2Stevenage
HBurton0 - 0Wycombe
ABurton0 - 1Wigan
HBurton0 - 4L Orient
HBurton1 - 0Blackpool
ABurton2 - 1Bradford
ABurton2 - 2Rotherham
ABurton1 - 0AFC Wim
HBurton0 - 1Peterborough
HBurton3 - 0Bolton
ABurton1 - 1Doncaster
ABurton1 - 0Cardiff
HBurton0 - 4Plymouth
Cardiff 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bradford1 - 2Cardiff
L Orient1 - 1Cardiff
Wycombe1 - 1Cardiff
Lincoln2 - 1Cardiff
Stevenage0 - 1Cardiff
Northampton1 - 3Cardiff
Blackpool3 - 1Cardiff
Bolton1 - 0Cardiff
Wigan0 - 2Cardiff
Stockport1 - 1Cardiff
Luton0 - 1Cardiff
AFC Wim0 - 1Cardiff
Port Vale0 - 0Cardiff
Norwich4 - 2Cardiff
Sheff Utd2 - 0Cardiff
Preston2 - 2Cardiff
QPR0 - 0Cardiff
Blackburn1 - 2Cardiff
Sunderland2 - 1Cardiff
Plymouth1 - 1Cardiff
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCardiff4 - 0Barnsley
HCardiff1 - 1Stockport
ACardiff2 - 1Bradford
ACardiff1 - 1L Orient
HCardiff1 - 0Wigan
ACardiff1 - 1Wycombe
HCardiff2 - 1Stevenage
HCardiff1 - 0Exeter
ACardiff1 - 2Lincoln
HCardiff4 - 3Doncaster
ACardiff1 - 0Stevenage
HCardiff3 - 2Huddersfield
HCardiff3 - 0Mansfield
ACardiff3 - 1Northampton
ACardiff1 - 3Blackpool
ACardiff0 - 1Bolton
HCardiff2 - 1Reading
HCardiff4 - 3L Orient
HCardiff0 - 1Burton
ACardiff2 - 0Wigan
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Burton since 2016
Burton
Cardiff
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
1 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
1 / 2
BAL
1
CAR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burton
0 - 1Cardiff
Burton2 - 0
League games at Cardiff since 2017
Cardiff
Burton
Goals: Scored
4
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
BAL
1
CAR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cardiff
0 - 1Burton
Cardiff3 - 1
Cardiff1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Cardiff City's defensive record is very strong, B. Barry-Murphy's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive League One matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Burton Albion makes sense in this context.

Cardiff City have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 15 consecutive League One outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Burton Albion on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Burton 18th Cardiff 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Burton will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Cardiff will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Burton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Cardiff’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season
Burton
PG (predicted goals)
Cardiff
1.1
1.5
Attack rating
BAL
CAR
36%
better
view stats
Games scored15
25
Failed to score12
3
Scored first12
15
Goals scored28
50
Avg. goals scored1
1.8
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
18
Avg. XG for1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
BAL
CAR
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
17
Clean sheets7
11
Conceded first12
12
Goals conceded39
27
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against15%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+20%

Burton v Cardiff League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Burton League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291257
K LofthouseJ BeesleyK LofthouseU Godwin-Malife
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Collins GLK24
3
-
U Godwin-Malife DEF221
7
-
T Sibbick DEF22
1
-
A Hartridge DEF231
2
-
K Lofthouse MID2935
4
-
K Chauke MID25
2
-
D Willis MID201
3
-
S Revan MID151
1
-
J McKiernan FWD1711
4
-
K Adom FWD6
-
J Beesley FWD29124
3
-
Subs
K. Dudek GLK1
-
J Armer DEF2821
3
-
T Vancooten DEF1311
3
-
G Evans MID212
4
-
A Cannon MID3
-
T Shade FWD245
1
-
J. Larsson FWD162
-
Cardiff League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27776
N TrottC WillockO TannerJ Bagan
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Trott GLK27
1
-
P Ng DEF2331
2
-
W Fish DEF261
2
-
C Chambers DEF202
4
-
R. Kpakio DEF2516
4
-
R Wintle MID2814
3
1
A Robertson MID183
4
-
O Tanner MID137
3
-
O Kellyman MID2141
2
-
C Willock MID2775
3
-
C Robinson FWD275
1
-
Subs
H Tyrer GLK
-
J Bagan DEF2913
6
-
D Turnbull MID2614
1
-
J Colwill MID
-
R. Tankiewicz MID
-
I Davies FWD2741
1
-
C. Ashford FWD2632
-