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Burton Albion v Carlisle United : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 13th Feb, 19:45 BST, Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

the Pirelli Stadium is the stage on Tuesday evening, as Martin Paterson's Burton Albion welcome Paul Simpson's Carlisle United in the League One. All of the key stats for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals means, quite simply, that there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Burton and Carlisle during the standard 90 minutes. It's a bet the stats below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen before when these sides go head-to-head. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Burton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Burton
49%
11/1023/2023/20
2%
5/4
3%
Draw
27%
9/4
2%
21/1021/1041/20
2%
Carlisle
24%
13/5
3%
27/1012/5
3%
12/5
6%
Burton 1-0
14%
5/15/1
8%
5/123/4
4%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/111/25/1
Burton 2-0
10%
8/117/217/29/1
5%
Draw 0-0
9%
13/213/27/17/1
6%
Burton 2-1
9%
17/217/28/18/1
Carlisle 1-0
9%
15/215/2
6%
15/2
6%
8/1
Carlisle 2-1
6%
12/112/111/121/2
5%
Burton 3-0
5%
18/120/120/1
11%
19/1
5%
Burton 3-1
4%
18/1
10%
20/118/118/1
6%
Draw 2-2
4%
18/116/116/113/1
Carlisle 2-0
4%
16/118/116/115/1
7%
Burton 3-2
2%
33/140/1
21%
33/128/1
Carlisle 3-1
2%
33/140/133/128/1
16%
Burton 4-0
2%
40/155/150/150/1
Burton 4-1
2%
40/155/150/145/1
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
27/2011/8
3%
5/45/4
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
4/78/15
3%
4/74/7
4%
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/64/54/5-
Away 1st Goal
41%
13/8
1%
31/20
2%
11/8
1%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
13/213/213/2-
BTTS - Yes
46%
21/2021/20
3%
Evs9/10
3%
BTTS - No
54%
7/108/11
1%
8/1141/50
3%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/1
9%
4/1
4%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
5%
7/2
2%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
13/2-
Home/draw
76%
2/72/73/10
1%
7/25
3%
Away/draw
51%
7/107/104/6
2%
4/7
1%
Home/away
73%
1/34/114/11
2%
7/20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
4/94/94/9
3%
4/11
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
13/88/5
4%
13/8
4%
19/10
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
7/27/2
4%
10/317/5
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
2/112/11
2%
1/51/5
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
10/19/1
5%
8/117/2
12%
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/201/161/201/18
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/125/1
13%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/801/66--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/121/111/121/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
13/26/1
7%
6/17/1
6%
Home DNB
68%
1/21/28/15
2%
8/15
4%
Away DNB
43%
6/46/411/8
5%
27/20
5%
Burton win to nil
30%
9/49/4
2%
11/5-
Carlisle win to nil
14%
9/219/49/2-
Burton / Burton
23%
5/227/105/211/4
3%
Burton / Carlisle
2%
40/1
21%
50/1
11%
40/135/1
6%
Burton / Draw
6%
14/116/1
13%
14/112/1
Draw / Burton
17%
4/119/54/122/5
4%
Draw / Carlisle
11%
13/213/27/113/2
7%
Draw / Draw
19%
7/213/4
3%
7/217/5
4%
Carlisle / Burton
3%
28/133/128/128/1
12%
Carlisle / Carlisle
14%
5/111/29/2
8%
24/5
7%
Carlisle / Draw
6%
14/114/114/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win League One table

Burton have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 17th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Burton have outscored their opponents by 27 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

Burton have played 15 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Carlisle are in 24th position in the League One on 20 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 8 and won 4. Carlisle have conceded 51 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 13 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Burton
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Carlisle
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-2A
Mar 12
 Portsmouth3421942872 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-2A
 Derby3320672966 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
 Bolton3220662666 
l
 
1-4A
w
 
1-3A
Apr 1
l
 
2-0A
 Barnsley3217962260 
Mar 12
l
 
2-1F
Apr 6
l
 
3-0A
 Oxford Utd3416991457 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
Mar 9
l
 
4-0A
 Peterborough3216881956 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 29
l
 
1-2F
Apr 13
 Stevenage3215891253 
Mar 23
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
 Blackpool33148111150 
Apr 13
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
 L Orient3313911-148 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
 Lincoln33111210345 
Apr 1
d
 
1-1F
Feb 24
l
 
2-0A
 Northampton3313614-545 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 6
w
 
4-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Bristol R3312714-343 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 24
w
 
2-1A
Mar 29
 Wigan3314613540 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 16
 Exeter3411617-2239 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
 Wycombe3291112-238 
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
Apr 20
d
 
0-00-0
 Reading3411914-538 
Mar 2
l
 
5-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
 Cambridge3210814-938 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
1-0A
-
-
 Burton Home3210814-1238 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 13
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
 Shrewsbury3310518-2135 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Charlton3371214-533 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 9
Apr 16
Mar 2
 Cheltenham319517-1532 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 9
Mar 23
w
 
2-3F
 Port Vale318716-1831 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 27
 Fleetwood336819-2226 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
Feb 13
l
 
2-1F
 Carlisle Away324820-2920 
-
-
Win / draw / win form
Burton 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Carlisle 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
D
3
Lost
15
Goal Statistics
Burton 18th Carlisle 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Burton will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Carlisle scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Burton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-33
Carlisle have scored 33% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Statistics League One - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/260470/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Burton
PG (predicted goals)
Carlisle
1.4
0.9
Attack rating
13%
better
BAL
CUT
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score14
14
Scored first12
6
Goals scored29
26
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.8
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal8
10
Conversion rate13%
10%
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
32%
better
BAL
CUT
view stats
Games conceded24
31
Clean sheets8
1
Conceded first16
26
Goals conceded41
55
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate13%
17%
KickOff rating
+32%

Burton v Carlisle League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Burton League One squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
314310
J PowellJ PowellM HelmA Oshilaja
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Powell MID3142
6
-
M Crocombe GLK301
6
-
A Oshilaja MID3022
10
-
R Sweeney DEF2611
3
-
M Bennett FWD262
5
-
S Seddon DEF2422
5
-
J Caprice DEF24
2
-
M Helm MID2343
6
-
J Moon DEF22
5
-
S Hughes DEF21
3
-
M Carayol FWD21
3
-
J Brayford DEF191
3
-
R Harper MID17
1
-
T Hamer DEF152
2
-
B Kamwa FWD131
3
-
T Nsiala DEF21
1
-
C Gilligan MID81
2
-
K Chauke MID5
1
-
T Bola DEF4
2
-
A. Ola-Adebomi FWD41
1
-
J Hugill FWD411
-
J Blackman GLK3
1
-
K Hudlin FWD3
-
F Delap DEF2
-
A Hackford FWD2
-
J Leko FWD1
-
Carlisle League One squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
327212
J MellishJ GibsonJ ArmerJ Vela
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Mellish DEF321
9
-
S Lavelle DEF3211
5
-
J Gibson MID3171
2
-
J Armer DEF2812
4
-
S Maguire FWD272
2
-
A McCalmont MID231
3
1
J Vela MID41
1
-
D Butterworth FWD1911
1
-
T Holy GLK17
-
F Back DEF17
2
-
J Robinson DEF162
3
-
C Guy MID16
4
-
B Barclay DEF13
3
-
P Huntington DEF13
2
-
T Charters MID12
-
T Ablade FWD122
-
J Emmanuel DEF9
-
D McGeouch MID8
1
-
H Neal MID5
2
-
L Armstrong FWD71
1
-
H Lewis GLK6
-
J Andersson GLK6
1
J Ellis DEF5
-
G Breeze GLK4
-
J Diamond FWD4
-
C Whelan DEF3
-
S Grehan DEF2
-
J Harris MID2
-
J Kayode FWD1
-