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Derby County v Bristol Rovers : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Bristol Rovers are on the road on Saturday afternoon, as manager Andrew Mangan takes his men to visit Derby County and Paul Warne at the Pride Park Stadium in the League One. Team form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all laid out below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. Here we've gone for , but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

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Derby County's next match is v L Orient at 15:00 on Saturday 9th December
Bristol Rovers's next match is v Cheltenham at 15:00 on Saturday 9th December
The last English League One meeting between Derby and Bristol R was on Saturday 25th November 2023
English League One
November 25th 2023
Derby 2
1 Bristol R
 
J. Hunt (OG) 66'87' C. Martin
N. Mendez-Laing 90'
 
DER
BRI
Shots On
6
4
Shots Off
3
4
Corners
8
1
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
3
8
 
DerbyBristol R
 
J. Wildsmith
R. Nyambe
C. Nelson
E. Cashin
M. Bird
K. Smith (T. Fornah 62')
L. Sibley
C. Hourihane
T. Barkhuizen (K. Wilson 62')
J. Collins (M. Waghorn 81')
N. Mendez-Laingfootball icon
M. Cox
J. Grant
(S. Bradley 74') G. Friend
J. Wilson
football iconJ. Hunt
H. Vale
A. Evans
(J. Brown 74') G. Ward
S. Finley
(J. Marquis 81') A. Collins
football iconC. Martin
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our top tip on this match, meaning that the sides will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 mins. Both Derby and Bristol R's recent form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derby are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Derby
57%
8/15
12%
4/7
6%
4/7
9%
3/5
Draw
24%
16/5
11%
3/1
3%
3/1
7%
3/1
Bristol R
20%
5/1
33%
5/1
15%
5/1
30%
17/4
Derby 1-0
12%
13/26/1
7%
6/113/2
Draw 1-1
11%
7/1
7%
13/27/1
7%
13/2
Derby 2-0
11%
13/2
12%
13/2
6%
13/2
12%
7/1
Derby 2-1
10%
15/27/17/17/1
Draw 0-0
7%
11/1
9%
12/111/1
9%
12/1
Bristol R 1-0
6%
14/1
25%
16/1
13%
16/1
31%
13/1
Derby 3-0
6%
10/1
15%
10/1
15%
11/1
20%
21/2
Derby 3-1
6%
11/1
8%
11/1
8%
11/1
8%
21/2
Bristol R 2-1
5%
18/1
27%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
14/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/116/1
13%
14/113/1
Bristol R 2-0
3%
28/1
26%
33/1
17%
28/1
26%
25/1
Derby 4-0
3%
20/1
28%
22/1
12%
20/1
28%
20/1
Derby 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
25/1
13%
22/120/1
Derby 4-1
2%
22/1
21%
22/1
12%
22/1
21%
20/1
Bristol R 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
55/1
22%
40/1
21%
40/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
3/4
5%
8/118/11
4%
7/10
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
21/20
5%
1/1Evs
5%
21/20
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/11
9%
1/2
2%
4/9
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
12/5
18%
21/10
7%
2/1
14%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
11/1
9%
12/110/1-
BTTS - Yes
49%
10/11
6%
4/5
4%
4/53/4
BTTS - No
51%
10/11
2%
10/11
5%
10/1149/50
BTTS - Home Win
24%
9/4
13%
11/5
2%
9/4
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
10%
4/1
5%
4/1
9%
4/1
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10/1
29%
9/1
18%
17/2
19%
-
Home/draw
81%
1/8
5%
1/8
4%
1/7
5%
1/8
Away/draw
43%
11/8
16%
7/5
7%
11/8
16%
13/10
Home/away
76%
2/9
2%
1/42/9
5%
1/5
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/42/91/4
3%
1/5
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
11/429/1011/4
7%
16/5
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
2/1
8%
9/52/139/20
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
4/11
2%
2/54/114/11
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/2
8%
17/4
1%
9/223/5
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/7
2%
1/71/82/15
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/110/19/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/221/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
1/221/251/40
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
12/1
18%
11/19/112/1
Home DNB
57%
1/5
8%
2/9
2%
1/5
10%
1/5
Away DNB
20%
10/3
27%
3/1
7%
10/3
33%
3/1
Derby win to nil
33%
13/8
13%
33/20
9%
8/5
10%
-
Bristol R win to nil
11%
10/1
38%
10/1
16%
9/1
25%
-
Derby / Derby
35%
11/8
13%
29/20
8%
11/8
10%
11/8
Derby / Bristol R
2%
40/1
21%
55/1
10%
50/1
24%
40/1
Derby / Draw
5%
14/116/114/114/1
Draw / Derby
19%
10/3
4%
16/5
3%
10/3
6%
18/5
Draw / Bristol R
7%
11/1
26%
11/1
9%
12/1
18%
21/2
Draw / Draw
14%
11/2
18%
5/1
3%
5/1
9%
21/4
Bristol R / Derby
4%
20/122/120/1
9%
20/1
Bristol R / Bristol R
9%
9/1
33%
10/1
16%
17/2
27%
15/2
Bristol R / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
16/114/114/1
Win / draw / win League One table

Derby have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Derby have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 8 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 13 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Bristol R are in 10th position in the League One on 23 points having played 16 matches so far this season. Bristol R are winless in the 6 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 4 and won zero. Bristol R have conceded 8 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Derby
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Bristol R
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1F
Apr 1
 Portsmouth1912611642 
Dec 26
d
 
1-1F
Mar 16
l
 
2-1F
 Bolton1812331939 
Apr 6
Dec 16
l
 
1-2A
Dec 29
 Oxford Utd1811341336 
Jan 27
l
 
2-1A
Feb 17
l
 
3-1A
 Stevenage2010641036 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 13
Jan 1
w
 
2-4A
 Peterborough1910541735 
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
-
-
 Derby Home1810351533 
Mar 9
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 24
 Barnsley189451431 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 13
Mar 29
w
 
1-3F
 Blackpool20866830 
Jan 20
Dec 23
Dec 21
Jan 20
 Lincoln20866630 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 16
Feb 27
Feb 3
 Charlton18756526 
Dec 29
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 9
 Bristol R Away18666124 
-
-
Feb 10
l
 
1-0A
 Shrewsbury207310-1524 
Apr 1
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
Mar 23
 Northampton197210-523 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 17
l
 
1-2A
Dec 26
 Wigan19937722 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 27
Dec 16
Apr 6
 Wycombe18648-422 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 1
Apr 13
Dec 9
 L Orient19577-622 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
Jan 13
w
 
0-3F
 Burton19559-1120 
Feb 10
l
 
4-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 20
 Cambridge19559-1120 
Jan 6
l
 
2-0A
Mar 2
w
 
0-1F
 Port Vale18549-1319 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 29
w
 
2-0F
Feb 13
 Exeter185310-1718 
-
Feb 3
w
 
1-0F
Jan 6
 Fleetwood184410-1316 
-
Mar 12
Apr 27
w
 
0-2F
 Carlisle193610-1115 
Feb 24
w
 
0-1F
Mar 12
-
 Reading185211-813 
Mar 23
d
 
1-1A
Jan 27
d
 
1-1A
 Cheltenham183312-1712 
Dec 9
Apr 13
Win / draw / win form
Derby 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
see results
HOME FORM
Derby3 - 0Barnsley
Derby4 - 0Northampton
Derby2 - 0Exeter
Derby0 - 0Cambridge
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby1 - 0Fleetwood
Derby1 - 2Oxford Utd
Derby1 - 2Wigan
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby1 - 0Burton
Derby1 - 1MK Dons
Derby0 - 2Ipswich
Derby0 - 2Fleetwood
Derby2 - 2Shrewsbury
Derby2 - 0Cheltenham
Derby2 - 0Charlton
Derby1 - 1Lincoln
Derby5 - 0Morecambe
Derby2 - 1Bolton
Derby4 - 0Accrington
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
HDerby3 - 0Barnsley
HDerby4 - 0Northampton
ADerby1 - 3Stevenage
HDerby2 - 0Exeter
ADerby0 - 1Shrewsbury
ADerby1 - 1Cheltenham
ADerby3 - 1Blackpool
HDerby0 - 0Cambridge
ADerby2 - 0Carlisle
HDerby1 - 1Portsmouth
ADerby1 - 2Bolton
ADerby4 - 2Peterborough
HDerby1 - 0Fleetwood
HDerby1 - 2Oxford Utd
ADerby3 - 0Burton
HDerby1 - 2Wigan
ADerby0 - 1Sheff Wed
HDerby1 - 1Portsmouth
HDerby1 - 0Burton
ADerby2 - 1Exeter
Bristol R 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
see results
AWAY FORM
Carlisle0 - 1Bristol R
Reading1 - 1Bristol R
Burton4 - 1Bristol R
Oxford Utd2 - 1Bristol R
Peterborough2 - 0Bristol R
Shrewsbury0 - 2Bristol R
Cambridge2 - 0Bristol R
Charlton1 - 2Bristol R
Portsmouth1 - 1Bristol R
Shrewsbury2 - 1Bristol R
Peterborough0 - 0Bristol R
Plymouth2 - 0Bristol R
Port Vale2 - 0Bristol R
Fleetwood1 - 2Bristol R
Forest Green1 - 3Bristol R
Oxford Utd0 - 3Bristol R
Lincoln1 - 0Bristol R
Morecambe5 - 1Bristol R
Accrington2 - 0Bristol R
Cambridge1 - 2Bristol R
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
see results
OVERALL FORM
ABristol R1 - 0Carlisle
ABristol R1 - 1Reading
HBristol R2 - 1Northampton
HBristol R1 - 1Stevenage
ABristol R1 - 4Burton
ABristol R1 - 2Oxford Utd
HBristol R3 - 0Port Vale
ABristol R0 - 2Peterborough
HBristol R4 - 1Wigan
ABristol R2 - 0Shrewsbury
HBristol R1 - 1Lincoln
HBristol R1 - 2Wycombe
ABristol R0 - 2Cambridge
ABristol R2 - 1Charlton
HBristol R1 - 1Barnsley
ABristol R1 - 1Portsmouth
HBristol R2 - 3Bolton
ABristol R1 - 2Shrewsbury
ABristol R0 - 0Peterborough
ABristol R0 - 2Plymouth
Goal Statistics
Derby 6th Bristol R 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Bristol R scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-19
Bristol R have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Statistics League One - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/260304/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Bristol R
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
11%
better
DER
BRI
view stats
Games scored16
16
Failed to score2
2
Scored first11
9
Goals scored31
24
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate17%
15%
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
31%
better
DER
BRI
view stats
Games conceded10
15
Clean sheets8
3
Conceded first6
9
Goals conceded16
23
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate12%
15%
KickOff rating
+31%

Derby v Bristol R League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby League One squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18755
J WildsmithJ CollinsN Mendez-LaingE Cashin
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Wildsmith GLK18
1
R Nyambe DEF11
1
-
C Nelson DEF181
1
-
E Cashin DEF171
5
-
L Sibley DEF111
1
-
C Hourihane MID1623
3
-
T Barkhuizen MID123
-
K Smith MID171
2
-
M Bird MID1323
1
-
N Mendez-Laing MID1845
2
-
J Collins FWD187
4
-
Subs
J Vickers GLK1
-
K Wilson DEF14
1
-
S Bradley DEF12
1
-
T Fornah MID111
1
-
J Ward MID5
-
M Waghorn FWD136
1
-
T John-Jules  FWD31
-
Bristol R League One squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18455
M CoxC MartinA CollinsA Evans
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Cox GLK18
-
J Hunt DEF1022
1
-
J Grant DEF161
3
-
J Wilson DEF81
2
-
G Friend DEF8
2
-
A Evans MID1723
5
-
S Finley MID151
5
-
G Ward  MID811
-
H Vale MID1511
2
-
C Martin FWD104
2
-
A Collins FWD1835
2
-
Subs
J Ward GLK
-
C Taylor DEF141
3
-
J Gibbons DEF6
1
-
L Thomas MID1321
1
-
R Woods MID9
1
1
J Marquis FWD1621
3
-
J Brown FWD1412
1
-