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Exeter City v Burton Albion : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

St James Park, Exeter

Exeter City and Burton Albion meet at the St James Park on Friday afternoon, with both Gary Caldwell and Lee Bowyer seeking a win in the League One. We've got odds from leading bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for both teams. All can be selected using the tabs below.

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Exeter City's next match is v Crawley at 15:00 on Monday 21st April
Burton Albion's next match is v Birmingham at 15:00 on Monday 21st April
The last English League One meeting between Exeter and Burton was on Friday 18th April 2025
English League One
April 18th 2025
Exeter 0
0 Burton
 
EXE
BAL
Shots On
3
1
Shots Off
1
Corners
2
1
Possession
73%
27%
Fouls
15
16
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
ExeterBurton
 
J. Whitworth
A. Hartridge
E. Turns
A. MacDonald
E. Francis (J. Colwill 72')
R. Cole (T. Yogane 63')
I. Niskanen
J. McMillan
K. McDonald (R. Woods 62')
C. Watts (V. Harper 83')
S. Cox (A. Oluwabori 73')
M. Crocombe
D. Williams
K. Lofthouse
U. Godwin-Malife
(J. Armer 46') J. Sraha
R. Sweeney
O. Dodgson
(T. Kalinauskas 83') J. McKiernan
K. Chauke
(M. Bennett 72') R. Burrell
(F. Tavares 72') J. Larsson

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Exeter and Burton will score at least a couple of between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 76%. The bookies have it at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Burton coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Exeter
33%
2/1
40%
-
Draw
26%
21/10
5%
-
Burton
41%
7/5
29%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Burton 1-0
10%
13/2
21%
-
Burton 2-1
9%
17/2
21%
-
Exeter 1-0
8%
8/1
29%
-
Exeter 2-1
8%
10/1
22%
-
Burton 2-0
7%
10/1
35%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
15/2-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Exeter 2-0
5%
14/1
50%
-
Burton 3-1
4%
20/1
28%
-
Burton 3-0
3%
22/1
44%
-
Exeter 3-1
3%
25/1
37%
-
Burton 3-2
3%
28/1
29%
-
Exeter 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Exeter 3-0
2%
28/1
53%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
7/10-
Home 1st Goal
46%
5/4
35%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/5
28%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - No
45%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
11/2
37%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
4/1
29%
-
Home/draw
59%
8/15
18%
-
Away/draw
67%
4/11
19%
-
Home/away
74%
4/11
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
9/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
16/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
15/2-
Home DNB
51%
11/10
40%
-
Away DNB
59%
4/6
33%
-
Exeter win to nil
17%
4/1
43%
-
Burton win to nil
22%
3/1
27%
-
Exeter / Exeter
17%
4/1
43%
-
Exeter / Burton
3%
28/1
15%
-
Exeter / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Exeter
13%
11/2
30%
-
Draw / Burton
15%
9/2
21%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4-
Burton / Exeter
3%
28/1
12%
-
Burton / Burton
21%
3/1
27%
-
Burton / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win League One table

Exeter have played 42 matches so far this season and lay in 15th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Exeter have outscored their opponents by 45 goals to 44 goals.

Home League Performance

Exeter have played 21 games at home winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 9 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 32 goals at home.

Burton are in 20th position in the League One on 42 points having played 41 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 29 goals and kept 7 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

34 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 10 and won 8. Burton have conceded 51 goals, scored 37, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 8 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Exeter
Burton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Birmingham4129934496 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
2
Wycombe43241273284 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
2-0A
3
Wrexham43241182783 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
4
Charlton432310102179 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
May 3
5
Stockport43221292678 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
6
L Orient43216161969 
l
 
2-6A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
7
Reading43191212769 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-1A
8
Bolton4320617-166 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
9
Huddersfield4319717964 
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
10
Blackpool421615111263 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
11
Lincoln43151315958 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-1F
12
Barnsley4316918-557 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
13
Rotherham43151018-555 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-2A
d
 
2-2F
14
Exeter Home43141118-1353 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
15
Stevenage42141018-852 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
16
Wigan42121416-350 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 29
w
 
1-2A
17
Peterborough42131019-1049 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
18
Mansfield4213920-1048 
w
 
2-0F
May 3
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
19
Northampton43111418-1847 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
20
Burton Away42101319-1543 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
-
-
21
Bristol R4312724-2643 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-1A
22
Cambridge4391123-2538 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
23
Crawley4391024-3237 
d
 
4-4A
Apr 21
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
24
Shrewsbury437927-3530 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Exeter 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Burton 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Exeter have beaten Burton in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Exeter since 2012
Exeter
Burton
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
EXE
2
D
1
BAL
2
League games at Burton since 2013
Burton
Exeter
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
EXE
2
D
1
BAL
3
Goal Statistics

Burton Albion's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday afternoon, not least because Exeter City have conceded in each of their last 5 League One games. A PG of 1.5 for Lee Bowyer's side suggests that run should continue.

Exeter 14th Burton 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Exeter will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Burton will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
Exeter’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-26
Burton have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281148/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Exeter
PG (predicted goals)
Burton
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
4%
better
EXE
BAL
view stats
Games scored30
27
Failed to score12
14
Scored first18
16
Goals scored45
44
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game6
7
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for1
1
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
6%
better
EXE
BAL
view stats
Games conceded28
30
Clean sheets14
11
Conceded first20
20
Goals conceded58
59
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+6%

Exeter v Burton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Exeter League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
402513
J WhitworthE FrancisE FrancisR Woods
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Whitworth GLK401
3
-
E Turns DEF8
1
-
A MacDonald DEF111
3
-
A Hartridge DEF1212
1
-
J McMillan MID3711
4
1
K McDonald MID7
4
-
E Francis MID3725
3
-
I Niskanen MID3411
10
-
C Watts FWD2621
11
1
R Cole FWD1611
4
-
S Cox FWD181
-
Subs
S MacDonald GLK
-
J Fitzwater DEF121
-
V Harper DEF1811
5
-
J Colwill MID12
1
-
T. Yogane MID131
-
R Woods MID3121
12
1
A Oluwabori FWD1
-
Burton League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
38848
R SweeneyR BurrellO DodgsonM Crocombe
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Crocombe GLK37
8
-
U Godwin-Malife DEF3612
4
-
R Sweeney DEF3822
3
-
J Sraha DEF12
3
-
K Lofthouse MID11
3
-
D Willis MID201
3
-
K Chauke MID331
3
-
O Dodgson MID1614
8
-
J McKiernan FWD1511
5
-
J. Larsson FWD71
-
R Burrell FWD2582
-
Subs
H Isted GLK3
-
J Armer DEF331
6
-
F Delap DEF
-
T Kalinauskas FWD3613
4
-
F Tavares FWD41
-
M Bennett FWD281
6
-
J Stretton FWD31
-
English League One match betting previews, predictions and odds
Barnsley v Peterborough
Mon 21st Apr, 15:00
Wycombe v Charlton
Mon 21st Apr, 15:00
Wigan v Rotherham
Mon 21st Apr, 15:00
Stockport v Huddersfield
Mon 21st Apr, 15:00
Northampton v Shrewsbury
Mon 21st Apr, 15:00
Mansfield v Reading
Mon 21st Apr, 15:00
Lincoln v Bolton
Mon 21st Apr, 15:00
Crawley v Exeter
Mon 21st Apr, 15:00
Cambridge v L Orient
Mon 21st Apr, 15:00
Burton v Birmingham
Mon 21st Apr, 15:00
Bristol R v Stevenage
Mon 21st Apr, 15:00
Blackpool v Wrexham
Mon 21st Apr, 15:00
Stevenage v Birmingham
Thu 24th Apr, 19:45
Bristol R v Reading
Sat 26th Apr, 12:30
L Orient v Wycombe
Sat 26th Apr, 12:30
Wigan v Blackpool
Sat 26th Apr, 15:00
Stockport v Lincoln
Sat 26th Apr, 15:00
Peterborough v Bolton
Sat 26th Apr, 15:00
Exeter v Huddersfield
Sat 26th Apr, 15:00
Crawley v Northampton
Sat 26th Apr, 15:00
Burton v Cambridge
Sat 26th Apr, 15:00
Barnsley v Shrewsbury
Sat 26th Apr, 15:00
Wrexham v Charlton
Sat 26th Apr, 17:30
Stevenage v Rotherham
Sun 27th Apr, 14:00
Birmingham v Mansfield
Sun 27th Apr, 15:00
Burton v Wigan
Tue 29th Apr, 19:45
Blackpool v Birmingham
Wed 30th Apr, 19:45
Mansfield v Peterborough
Wed 30th Apr, 19:45
Shrewsbury v Crawley
Sat 3rd May, 15:00
Rotherham v Peterborough
Sat 3rd May, 15:00
Reading v Barnsley
Sat 3rd May, 15:00
Northampton v Wigan
Sat 3rd May, 15:00
Mansfield v Exeter
Sat 3rd May, 15:00
Lincoln v Wrexham
Sat 3rd May, 15:00
Huddersfield v L Orient
Sat 3rd May, 15:00
Charlton v Burton
Sat 3rd May, 15:00
Cambridge v Birmingham
Sat 3rd May, 15:00
Bolton v Stevenage
Sat 3rd May, 15:00
Blackpool v Bristol R
Sat 3rd May, 15:00
Wycombe v Stockport
Sat 3rd May, 15:00