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Exeter City v Cardiff City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 15:00 BST, St James Park, Exeter

Exeter City and Cardiff City meet at the St James Park on Saturday afternoon, with both Gary Caldwell and Brian Barry-Murphy aiming for victory in the League One. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our top tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score at least two goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Exeter and Cardiff's current form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Cardiff coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Exeter
28%
11/43/1
Draw
24%
5/213/5
Cardiff
47%
17/2010/11
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Cardiff 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Cardiff 1-0
9%
7/16/1
Cardiff 2-0
8%
17/215/2
Exeter 2-1
7%
12/110/1
Exeter 1-0
7%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/19/1
Cardiff 3-1
5%
14/111/1
Cardiff 3-0
4%
16/112/1
Exeter 2-0
4%
20/116/1
Cardiff 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Exeter 3-1
3%
28/122/1
Exeter 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Cardiff 4-1
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
17/204/5
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
19/2019/20
Home 1st Goal
45%
11/86/4
Away 1st Goal
52%
4/613/20
No 1st Goal
3%
11/117/2
BTTS - Yes
57%
3/48/11
BTTS - No
43%
1/11/1
BTTS - Home Win
15%
6/16/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/417/5
BTTS - Away Win
24%
11/413/5
Home/draw
53%
10/1110/11
Away/draw
72%
1/41/4
Home/away
76%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/413/5
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2/119/10
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/114/11
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/19/2
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/81/8
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/19/1
Home DNB
45%
7/415/8
Away DNB
64%
2/54/11
Exeter win to nil
14%
6/1-
Cardiff win to nil
24%
12/5-
Exeter / Exeter
13%
11/25/1
Exeter / Cardiff
4%
20/118/1
Exeter / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Exeter
9%
15/215/2
Draw / Cardiff
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Cardiff / Exeter
3%
33/125/1
Cardiff / Cardiff
28%
2/19/5
Cardiff / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win League One table

Exeter have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 9. Exeter have conceded 24 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 9 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Exeter have played 17 games at home, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Cardiff lay in 2nd place on 72 points in the League One league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 33 games against teams below them in the table, winning 22, drawing 6 and losing 5 games. They have scored 67 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Cardiff have conceded 34 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Cardiff have played 17 away games, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Exeter
Cardiff
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lincoln3522853474 
Mar 10
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
2
Cardiff3522673072 
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
-
-
3
Bolton36171361764 
l
 
1-5A
l
 
2-1F
Apr 11
l
 
1-0A
4
Bradford3518710661 
May 2
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-2F
5
Stockport3416810456 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
6
Huddersfield36167131055 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-2F
Mar 28
7
Reading3514129754 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 18
8
Stevenage3415910354 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
9
Wycombe361411111353 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 17
d
 
1-1F
10
Plymouth3515416049 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
w
 
4-0F
l
 
5-2A
11
Luton3513814147 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 17
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
12
Barnsley3313812047 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-0F
Mar 10
13
Peterborough3514417146 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
3-3A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 6
14
AFC Wim3413714-646 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-1F
15
Exeter3511915-242 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Mar 14
16
Mansfield33101112241 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
May 2
17
Burton36101016-1240 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
18
Doncaster3411617-2039 
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-3A
w
 
0-4F
19
Wigan3491114-1138 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
20
Blackpool3510817-1438 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 3
Mar 21
l
 
3-1A
21
L Orient3410618-1336 
Mar 28
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-3F
d
 
1-1A
22
Rotherham359818-1535 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
23
Northampton369819-1735 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
Apr 25
w
 
1-3F
24
Port Vale326917-1827 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-3F
Apr 3
d
 
0-00-0
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Exeter 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Exeter1 - 1Burton
Exeter1 - 5Bolton
Exeter1 - 1Wycombe
Exeter0 - 0Northampton
Exeter0 - 4Rotherham
Exeter3 - 0Stevenage
Exeter1 - 0Luton
Exeter3 - 0Barnsley
Exeter1 - 0AFC Wim
Exeter1 - 1Wigan
Exeter2 - 0Plymouth
Exeter1 - 1Reading
Exeter0 - 1Huddersfield
Exeter0 - 2Port Vale
Exeter3 - 0Peterborough
Exeter1 - 2Mansfield
Exeter4 - 1Blackpool
Exeter3 - 1Huddersfield
Exeter0 - 0Burton
Exeter1 - 1Wigan
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AExeter1 - 2Barnsley
HExeter1 - 1Burton
HExeter1 - 5Bolton
AExeter3 - 3Peterborough
HExeter1 - 1Wycombe
HExeter0 - 0Northampton
AExeter0 - 0Mansfield
HExeter0 - 4Rotherham
AExeter2 - 2Reading
AExeter3 - 1Port Vale
HExeter3 - 0Stevenage
AExeter2 - 2Huddersfield
HExeter1 - 0Luton
AExeter1 - 0AFC Wim
AExeter0 - 1Cardiff
HExeter3 - 0Barnsley
AExeter1 - 2Bolton
HExeter1 - 0AFC Wim
AExeter0 - 1Bradford
AExeter1 - 2L Orient
Cardiff 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Doncaster0 - 4Cardiff
Plymouth5 - 2Cardiff
Rotherham0 - 3Cardiff
Burton2 - 2Cardiff
Bradford1 - 2Cardiff
L Orient1 - 1Cardiff
Wycombe1 - 1Cardiff
Lincoln2 - 1Cardiff
Stevenage0 - 1Cardiff
Northampton1 - 3Cardiff
Blackpool3 - 1Cardiff
Bolton1 - 0Cardiff
Wigan0 - 2Cardiff
Stockport1 - 1Cardiff
Luton0 - 1Cardiff
AFC Wim0 - 1Cardiff
Port Vale0 - 0Cardiff
Norwich4 - 2Cardiff
Sheff Utd2 - 0Cardiff
Preston2 - 2Cardiff
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCardiff0 - 2Lincoln
ACardiff4 - 0Doncaster
ACardiff2 - 5Plymouth
HCardiff4 - 1AFC Wim
HCardiff3 - 1Luton
ACardiff3 - 0Rotherham
ACardiff2 - 2Burton
HCardiff4 - 0Barnsley
HCardiff1 - 1Stockport
ACardiff2 - 1Bradford
ACardiff1 - 1L Orient
HCardiff1 - 0Wigan
ACardiff1 - 1Wycombe
HCardiff2 - 1Stevenage
HCardiff1 - 0Exeter
ACardiff1 - 2Lincoln
HCardiff4 - 3Doncaster
ACardiff1 - 0Stevenage
HCardiff3 - 2Huddersfield
HCardiff3 - 0Mansfield
Goal Statistics

Cardiff City's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Exeter City have conceded in each of their last 5 League One matches. A PG of 1.6 for B. Barry-Murphy's side suggests that run should continue.

Exeter 15th Cardiff 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Exeter will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Cardiff will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Exeter’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+22
Cardiff have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season
Exeter
PG (predicted goals)
Cardiff
1.2
1.6
Attack rating
EXE
CAR
32%
better
view stats
Games scored24
31
Failed to score11
4
Scored first14
19
Goals scored40
68
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.9
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
19
Avg. XG for1.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
EXE
CAR
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
22
Clean sheets11
13
Conceded first19
15
Goals conceded42
38
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+9%

Exeter v Cardiff League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Exeter League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3516107
J WhitworthJ WarehamI NiskanenJ Wareham
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Whitworth GLK35
4
-
E Brierley MID3513
4
-
I Niskanen MID35110
4
-
J Wareham FWD35162
7
-
J Aitchison MID3314
4
-
J McMillan DEF301
3
-
P Sweeney DEF292
7
-
J Fitzwater DEF2911
6
-
J Magennis FWD2751
5
-
R Cole MID2443
2
-
E Turns DEF23
2
-
J Doyle-Hayes MID231
7
-
L Woodhouse DEF2211
1
-
S Cox FWD221
4
-
A. Higgins FWD2111
-
L. Oakes MID15
2
-
K McDonald MID121
-
C Mendes FWD111
-
D Andrew DEF10
1
-
J Yfeko DEF10
1
-
R Rydel DEF91
1
-
E Francis MID9
-
S Swinkels DEF7
2
-
T. Dean MID6
1
-
Cardiff League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321297
J BaganY SalechO TannerJ Bagan
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Bagan DEF3413
7
-
N Trott GLK32
2
-
C Robinson FWD3261
1
-
C Willock FWD3275
3
-
C. Ashford MID3142
-
R Wintle MID3114
3
1
D Turnbull MID3024
2
-
J Colwill MID3041
5
-
W Fish DEF291
2
-
R. Kpakio DEF2916
4
-
P Ng DEF2754
3
-
Y Salech FWD27124
3
-
I Davies FWD2741
1
-
O Kellyman MID2571
3
-
C Chambers DEF232
4
-
A Robertson MID2342
5
-
D. Lawlor DEF2222
3
-
R Colwill MID2034
3
-
O Tanner FWD1819
3
-
G Osho DEF14
2
-
M. Turner GLK3
1
-
T. Nyakuhwa FWD3
-
D. Mafico MID1
1
-
E King MID1
-
English League One match betting previews, predictions and odds
Barnsley v Cardiff
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Wigan v Plymouth
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Mansfield v Reading
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Exeter v Lincoln
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Stevenage v L Orient
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Doncaster v Luton
Tue 10th Mar, 19:45
Port Vale v Bradford
Wed 11th Mar, 19:45
AFC Wim v Blackpool
Wed 11th Mar, 19:45
Rotherham v Bolton
Sat 14th Mar, 12:30
Lincoln v Stockport
Sat 14th Mar, 12:30
Wigan v Bradford
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Reading v Plymouth
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Northampton v Burton
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Mansfield v Barnsley
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
L Orient v Peterborough
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Stevenage v AFC Wim
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Doncaster v Blackpool
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Port Vale v Huddersfield
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Exeter v Cardiff
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Wycombe v Luton
Sat 14th Mar, 15:00
Peterborough v Rotherham
Tue 17th Mar, 19:45
Stockport v Northampton
Tue 17th Mar, 19:45
Burton v Reading
Tue 17th Mar, 19:45
Luton v Exeter
Tue 17th Mar, 19:45
Plymouth v Stevenage
Tue 17th Mar, 19:45
Bradford v Mansfield
Tue 17th Mar, 19:45
Bolton v Doncaster
Tue 17th Mar, 19:45
Blackpool v Port Vale
Tue 17th Mar, 19:45
AFC Wim v L Orient
Tue 17th Mar, 19:45
Huddersfield v Lincoln
Tue 17th Mar, 19:45
Cardiff v Wycombe
Tue 17th Mar, 19:45
Barnsley v Wigan
Tue 17th Mar, 20:00
Cardiff v Blackpool
Sat 21st Mar, 12:30
Luton v Stockport
Sat 21st Mar, 12:30
L Orient v Wycombe
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
Stevenage v Reading
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
Mansfield v Northampton
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
Wigan v Exeter
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
Lincoln v Rotherham
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
Burton v Bradford
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
Barnsley v Doncaster
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
AFC Wim v Peterborough
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
Plymouth v Huddersfield
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00
Port Vale v Bolton
Sat 21st Mar, 15:00