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Luton Town v Burton Albion : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Kenilworth Road, Luton

Jack Wilshere and Gary Bowyer take on one another in the League One on Saturday afternoon, as Luton Town face Burton Albion at the Kenilworth Road. League One stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. You can view it all, with infographics and the best odds available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.

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Luton Town's next match is v Reading at 15:00 on Saturday 7th March
Burton Albion's next match is v Stevenage at 15:00 on Saturday 7th March

The last English League One meeting between Luton and Burton was on Saturday 21st February 2026

English League One

February 21st 2026

Luton 1	1 Burton

N. Wells 13'	90' F. Tavares Desidério

	LUT BAL
Shots On	2 1
Shots Off	2 6
Corners	1 6
Possession	55% 45%
Fouls	15 18
Yellow/red cards	3/0 3/0

Luton	Burton

J. Keeley K. Naismith M. Andersen J. Clark G. Saville S. Morris (J. Richards 70') N. Wells (D. Cole 69') I. Jones G. Kadua (N. Lonwijk 86') J. Johnson K. Palmer (D. van den Berg 46')	U. Godwin-Malife (J. Moon 46') J. Armer (F. Tavares Desidério 80') T. Sibbick K. Chauke (A. Cannon 61') J. McKiernan (S. Krubally 61') G. Evans J. Beesley (K. Adom 80') T. Shade K. Lofthouse B. Collins A. Hartridge

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Luton and Burton will score at least a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 76%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Luton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Luton 56%	3/4	4/5
Draw 23%	13/5	12/5
Burton 21%	7/2	16/5
Luton 1-0 11%	6/1	11/2
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	5/1
Luton 2-0 10%	15/2	13/2
Luton 2-1 10%	15/2	7/1
Draw 0-0 6%	9/1	15/2
Burton 1-0 6%	12/1	9/1
Luton 3-0 6%	14/1	11/1
Luton 3-1 6%	14/1	12/1
Burton 2-1 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	12/1
Burton 2-0 3%	22/1	16/1
Luton 3-2 3%	25/1	20/1
Luton 4-0 3%	28/1	20/1
Luton 4-1 3%	28/1	20/1
Burton 3-1 2%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	19/20	10/11
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	17/20	5/6
Home 1st Goal 55%	4/7	8/13
Away 1st Goal 41%	8/5	8/5
No 1st Goal 4%	9/1	8/1
BTTS - Yes 52%	4/5	4/5
BTTS - No 48%	19/20	10/11
BTTS - Home Win 25%	11/4	14/5
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 10%	8/1	7/1
Home/draw 79%	2/11	2/9
Away/draw 44%	1/1	10/11
Home/away 77%	2/7	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	2/7	2/7
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	5/2	12/5
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	9/4	11/5
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	1/3	3/10
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	11/2	5/1
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/9	1/9
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	14/1	11/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/33	1/40
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20	1/20
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1	8/1
Home DNB 72%	3/10	4/11
Away DNB 37%	12/5	19/10
Luton win to nil 31%	2/1	-
Burton win to nil 11%	7/1	-
Luton / Luton 27%	7/4	9/5
Luton / Burton 3%	33/1	28/1
Luton / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Luton 17%	15/4	7/2
Draw / Burton 10%	17/2	15/2
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	4/1
Burton / Luton 4%	22/1	18/1
Burton / Burton 12%	13/2	6/1
Burton / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win League One table

Luton have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Luton have outscored their opponents by 41 goals to 34 goals.

Home League Performance

Luton have played 16 games at home winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Burton are in 19th position in the League One on 35 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 5 and won 7. Burton have conceded 33 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Luton Burton
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lincoln	35	22	8	5	34	74	d 2-2A	l 3-1A	l 0-1A	l 2-1A
2	Cardiff	35	22	6	7	30	72	l 0-1A	l 3-1A	d 2-2F	w 0-1F
3	Bolton	36	17	13	6	17	64	d 1-1A	May 2	w 3-0F	l 2-1A
4	Bradford	35	18	7	10	6	61	w 2-1F	l 2-1A	Mar 21	w 1-2F
5	Stockport	34	16	8	10	4	56	Mar 21	w 0-3F	w 3-0F	l 2-1F
6	Huddersfield	36	16	7	13	10	55	w 2-1F	l 1-0A	w 3-1F	d 0-00-0
7	Reading	35	14	12	9	7	54	l 2-3A	l 3-2A	Mar 17	l 2-0A
8	Stevenage	34	15	9	10	3	54	w 2-1A	l 2-0A	l 0-1A	d 2-2F
9	Wycombe	36	14	11	11	13	53	w 4-0F	Mar 14	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A
10	Plymouth	35	15	4	16	0	49	l 2-3A	l 1-0A	l 0-4A	l 3-0A
11	Luton	35	13	8	14	1	47	-	-	l 0-3A	d 1-1A
12	Barnsley	33	13	8	12	0	47	Apr 25	l 5-0A	Apr 3	l 3-2F
13	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	1	46	Apr 3	w 0-2F	l 0-1A	Apr 18
14	AFC Wim	33	12	7	14	-7	43	w 1-0F	Apr 6	Apr 11	w 0-1F
15	Exeter	35	11	9	15	-2	42	Mar 17	l 1-0A	Apr 25	d 1-1F
16	Mansfield	33	10	11	12	2	41	l 0-2A	Apr 18	w 2-1F	Apr 6
17	Burton	36	10	10	16	-12	40	d 1-1F	w 0-3F	-	-
18	Doncaster	34	11	6	17	-20	39	w 1-0F	Mar 10	l 1-2A	d 1-1A
19	Wigan	34	9	11	14	-11	38	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	l 0-2A	l 1-0A
20	Blackpool	35	10	8	17	-14	38	w 1-0F	d 2-2A	w 1-0F	Mar 28
21	L Orient	34	10	6	18	-13	36	w 3-0F	d 1-1A	l 0-4A	May 2
22	Rotherham	35	9	8	18	-15	35	d 0-00-0	Mar 28	w 1-0F	d 2-2F
23	Northampton	35	9	8	18	-16	35	Apr 15	w 0-1F	w 5-1F	Mar 14
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	-18	27	d 2-2F	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0	d 2-2A

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luton	2 - 1	Bradford
Luton	1 - 0	Blackpool
Luton	2 - 2	Lincoln
Luton	2 - 1	Stevenage
Luton	3 - 0	L Orient
Luton	4 - 0	Wycombe
Luton	2 - 2	Port Vale
Luton	1 - 1	Bolton
Luton	2 - 1	Huddersfield
Luton	0 - 0	Rotherham
Luton	0 - 2	Mansfield
Luton	1 - 0	Doncaster
Luton	2 - 3	Plymouth
Luton	0 - 1	Cardiff
Luton	1 - 0	Wigan
Luton	1 - 0	AFC Wim
Luton	1 - 0	Coventry
Luton	3 - 1	Bristol C
Luton	0 - 1	Blackburn
Luton	1 - 1	Leeds

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Luton	0 - 1	Wigan
A	Luton	1 - 3	Cardiff
H	Luton	2 - 1	Bradford
H	Luton	1 - 0	Blackpool
A	Luton	0 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Luton	0 - 1	Plymouth
H	Luton	2 - 2	Lincoln
H	Luton	2 - 1	Stevenage
A	Luton	0 - 1	Exeter
H	Luton	3 - 0	L Orient
H	Luton	4 - 0	Wycombe
A	Luton	2 - 3	Reading
H	Luton	2 - 2	Port Vale
A	Luton	1 - 1	L Orient
H	Luton	1 - 1	Bolton
H	Luton	2 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Luton	0 - 5	Barnsley
H	Luton	0 - 0	Rotherham
A	Luton	3 - 0	Stockport
A	Luton	1 - 0	Northampton

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Port Vale	2 - 2	Burton
Bolton	2 - 1	Burton
Lincoln	2 - 1	Burton
Plymouth	3 - 0	Burton
Reading	2 - 0	Burton
Stevenage	2 - 2	Burton
Wigan	1 - 0	Burton
Bradford	1 - 2	Burton
Rotherham	2 - 2	Burton
AFC Wim	0 - 1	Burton
Doncaster	1 - 1	Burton
Cardiff	0 - 1	Burton
Huddersfield	0 - 0	Burton
Stockport	2 - 1	Burton
Barnsley	3 - 2	Burton
Charlton	3 - 1	Burton
Exeter	0 - 0	Burton
Wrexham	3 - 0	Burton
Stockport	2 - 1	Burton
Shrewsbury	0 - 2	Burton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Burton	1 - 0	Rotherham
A	Burton	2 - 2	Port Vale
H	Burton	1 - 2	Doncaster
H	Burton	2 - 2	Cardiff
A	Burton	1 - 2	Bolton
A	Burton	1 - 2	Lincoln
H	Burton	3 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Burton	0 - 3	Plymouth
A	Burton	0 - 2	Reading
H	Burton	0 - 2	Wigan
H	Burton	5 - 1	Northampton
A	Burton	2 - 2	Stevenage
H	Burton	0 - 0	Wycombe
A	Burton	0 - 1	Wigan
H	Burton	0 - 4	L Orient
H	Burton	1 - 0	Blackpool
A	Burton	2 - 1	Bradford
A	Burton	2 - 2	Rotherham
A	Burton	1 - 0	AFC Wim
H	Burton	0 - 1	Peterborough

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Luton

Burton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 2

Clean sheets

1 / 2

LUT

BAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
Luton		2 - 0
		0 - 1		Burton

Burton

Luton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

LUT

BAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burton
	0 - 3	Luton
Burton	2 - 1
Burton	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Luton 11th	Burton 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 10% There is a 83% probability that Luton will score 1 or more goals	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Burton scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+5 Luton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+2 Burton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season

11%

better

LUT

BAL

view stats

Games scored	23		19
Failed to score	9		12
Scored first	13		14
Goals scored	41		34
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.1
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	16		14
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.3
KickOff rating		+11%

better

LUT

BAL

view stats

Games conceded	21		23
Clean sheets	11		8
Conceded first	18		14
Goals conceded	39		45
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	18%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.5
KickOff rating		+5%

Luton v Burton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Luton League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	9	3	8
J Keeley	J Clark	G Saville	N Lonwijk

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Keeley GLK				-
I Jones DEF	10	1	1	-
M Andersen DEF	28	2	1	4 -
K Naismith DEF	27	1	1	4 -
J Johnson DEF	12		1	1 -
G Saville MID	28	1	3	6 -
K Palmer MID	8			3 -
S Morris MID	23	3		-
J Clark MID	28	9	1	2 -
G. Kadua MID				-
N Wells FWD	29	4	3	1 -
Subs
J Shea GLK	1			-
T Mengi DEF	21			2 -
N Lonwijk DEF	27	1		8 -
D Berg MID	5			1 -
J. Richards MID	16	3	1	1 -
E. Lawrence FWD	5		1	-
D Cole FWD	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	20	3	6
J Clark	J Clark	G Saville	D Cole

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Clark MID	9	20	1	4
N Wells FWD	4	18	3	3
S Morris MID	3	4
Subs
J. Richards MID	3	3	1	2
M Andersen DEF	2	2	1
I Jones DEF	1	3	1	1
K Naismith DEF	1	5	1
G Saville MID	1	2	3	2
Subs
N Lonwijk DEF	1	4		1
J Johnson DEF			1	1
K Palmer MID		3		1
Subs
E. Lawrence FWD		2	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1471	42	151
K Naismith	N Lonwijk	M Andersen

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
K Naismith DEF	1471	38	149
M Andersen DEF	1392	19	151
Subs
T Mengi DEF	1101	23	59
N Lonwijk DEF	1072	42	121
G Saville MID	985	41	139
J Clark MID	735	25	122
J Johnson DEF	496	27	89
N Wells FWD	308	17	74
K Palmer MID	258	17	49
S Morris MID	222	18	61
I Jones DEF	210	21	48
Subs
J. Richards MID	203	18	35
E. Lawrence FWD	69	5	6
D Berg MID	59	2	2
D Cole FWD	45	3	10
J Shea GLK	41

Burton League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	12	6	7
K Lofthouse	J Beesley	K Lofthouse	U Godwin-Malife

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Collins GLK	29			3 -
U Godwin-Malife DEF	27	2	2	7 -
A Hartridge DEF	28	1	1	2 -
J Armer DEF	29	2	1	3 -
K Lofthouse MID	34	3	6	6 -
G Evans MID	26	1	3	6 -
K Chauke MID	30			2 -
T Sibbick MID	27			2 -
J McKiernan FWD	21	1	1	5 -
J Beesley FWD	34	12	5	3 -
T Shade FWD	29	8		1 -
Subs
K. Dudek GLK	1			-
J Moon DEF	11			2 -
A Cannon MID	7			2 -
F Tavares FWD	23	3	1	1 -
J. Larsson FWD	19		2	-
K Adom FWD	8			-
S. Krubally FWD	14		1	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	33	6	8
J Beesley	T Shade	K Lofthouse	K Lofthouse

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Beesley FWD	12	26	5	7
T Shade FWD	8	33		1
K Lofthouse MID	3	9	6	8
Subs
F Tavares FWD	3	7	1
U Godwin-Malife DEF	2	4	2	3
J Armer DEF	2	5	1	2
A Hartridge DEF	1	4	1	5
G Evans MID	1	3	3	2
J McKiernan FWD	1	4	1	1
K Chauke MID		1
T Sibbick MID		4		2
Subs
J Moon DEF				2
A Cannon MID		1
J. Larsson FWD		3	2	3
K Adom FWD		2
S. Krubally FWD			1	3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1061	60	330
A Hartridge	K Lofthouse	J Beesley

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
A Hartridge DEF	1061	47	147
B Collins GLK	959	2	17
U Godwin-Malife DEF	853	32	121
G Evans MID	828	31	105
K Chauke MID	760	51	124
T Sibbick MID	749	47	101
J Armer DEF	717	42	117
J Beesley FWD	691	34	330
K Lofthouse MID	637	60	233
T Shade FWD	405	15	78
J McKiernan FWD	278	26	80
Subs
J Moon DEF	238	7	31
S. Krubally FWD	150	10	42
J. Larsson FWD	141	17	44
F Tavares FWD	102	5	20
A Cannon MID	98	5	15
K Adom FWD	42	3	10
K. Dudek GLK	37