Luton Town's team badge Port Vale's team badge

Luton Town v Port Vale : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Dec, 15:00 BST, Kenilworth Road, Luton

Darren Moore guides his Port Vale charges to the Kenilworth Road in the League One on Saturday afternoon, with Jack Wilshere's Luton Town waiting for them. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and pulled out the stats that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds are there to make sure you get the best return.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but we're not predicting a high-scoring affair here. The statistics suggest Luton and Port Vale both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, with no obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals seems a good bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Luton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Luton
46%
7/10-
Draw
30%
12/5-
Port Vale
25%
15/4-
Luton 1-0
16%
5/1-
Draw 0-0
13%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1-
Port Vale 1-0
11%
10/1-
Luton 2-0
10%
13/2-
Luton 2-1
8%
15/2-
Port Vale 2-1
5%
16/1-
Port Vale 2-0
4%
22/1-
Luton 3-0
4%
12/1-
Luton 3-1
3%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
18/1-
Port Vale 3-1
1%
40/1-
Luton 3-2
1%
33/1-
Luton 4-0
1%
28/1-
Port Vale 3-0
1%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
23/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
4/6-
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
40%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
9%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
39%
1/1-
BTTS - No
61%
3/4-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
9/1-
Home/draw
75%
2/11-
Away/draw
54%
11/10-
Home/away
70%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
2/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
2/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
8/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/14-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
15/2-
Home DNB
67%
2/7-
Away DNB
45%
5/2-
Luton win to nil
31%
13/8-
Port Vale win to nil
16%
7/1-
Luton / Luton
30%
7/4-
Luton / Port Vale
2%
40/1-
Luton / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Luton
18%
7/2-
Draw / Port Vale
9%
17/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Port Vale / Luton
4%
22/1-
Port Vale / Port Vale
10%
15/2-
Port Vale / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win League One table

Luton have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 2 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Luton have outscored their opponents by 21 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Luton have played 9 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 8 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Port Vale are in 24th position in the League One on 14 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Port Vale have conceded 21 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Luton
Port Vale
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Cardiff1711241435 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 3
2
Bradford18972834 
Feb 7
l
 
2-1A
Dec 9
Dec 29
3
Stevenage16943831 
Jan 10
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
Feb 17
4
Lincoln18945531 
Jan 17
l
 
3-1A
May 2
l
 
1-0A
5
Stockport17854229 
Mar 21
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-3A
Apr 11
6
Bolton17773828 
d
 
1-1A
May 2
Mar 21
l
 
4-0A
7
Luton18837-127 
-
-
Feb 28
Dec 13
8
Huddersfield18828226 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 27
Mar 14
Dec 26
9
AFC Wim17827-226 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 6
Jan 27
d
 
1-1A
10
Barnsley15744725 
Apr 25
l
 
5-0A
Jan 4
w
 
0-2F
11
Wigan18675125 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 17
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
12
Wycombe18666624 
Dec 26
Mar 14
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 28
13
L Orient18738024 
Dec 29
Dec 9
l
 
2-3F
Jan 31
14
Rotherham18666024 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 28
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
15
Northampton17728-123 
Apr 11
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 10
16
Mansfield17647022 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
w
 
2-1F
Jan 17
17
Reading17575022 
Mar 7
Dec 18
Feb 21
l
 
1-0A
18
Doncaster18648-722 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 4
l
 
0-1A
Feb 14
19
Burton18648-822 
Feb 21
w
 
0-3F
Feb 7
d
 
0-00-0
20
Exeter175210-217 
Mar 17
Jan 1
Jan 24
w
 
0-2F
21
Peterborough175111-616 
Apr 3
w
 
0-2F
Dec 20
Mar 7
22
Blackpool184410-1116 
Jan 31
d
 
2-2A
Jan 1
Mar 17
23
Plymouth185112-1316 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 24
l
 
0-1A
Apr 25
24
Port Vale183510-1014 
Dec 13
Feb 28
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Port Vale have lost 3 consecutive away league games
3
Port Vale have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Luton 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luton1 - 1Bolton
Luton2 - 1Huddersfield
Luton0 - 0Rotherham
Luton0 - 2Mansfield
Luton1 - 0Doncaster
Luton2 - 3Plymouth
Luton0 - 1Cardiff
Luton1 - 0Wigan
Luton1 - 0AFC Wim
Luton1 - 0Coventry
Luton3 - 1Bristol C
Luton0 - 1Blackburn
Luton1 - 1Leeds
Luton0 - 0M'Boro
Luton1 - 0Portsmouth
Luton1 - 1Plymouth
Luton0 - 1Sheff Utd
Luton0 - 1Millwall
Luton0 - 0Preston
Luton0 - 1Norwich
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLuton1 - 1Bolton
HLuton2 - 1Huddersfield
ALuton0 - 5Barnsley
HLuton0 - 0Rotherham
ALuton3 - 0Stockport
ALuton1 - 0Northampton
HLuton0 - 2Mansfield
ALuton0 - 2Stevenage
ALuton2 - 2Blackpool
HLuton1 - 0Doncaster
ALuton1 - 3Lincoln
HLuton2 - 3Plymouth
ALuton3 - 0Burton
HLuton0 - 1Cardiff
HLuton1 - 0Wigan
ALuton1 - 2Bradford
ALuton2 - 0Peterborough
HLuton1 - 0AFC Wim
ALuton3 - 5West Brom
HLuton1 - 0Coventry
Port Vale 24TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lincoln1 - 0Port Vale
Bolton4 - 0Port Vale
Wigan1 - 0Port Vale
AFC Wim1 - 1Port Vale
Barnsley0 - 2Port Vale
Exeter0 - 2Port Vale
Reading1 - 0Port Vale
Burton0 - 0Port Vale
Rotherham2 - 1Port Vale
AFC Wim0 - 2Port Vale
Carlisle3 - 2Port Vale
Walsall2 - 3Port Vale
Crewe0 - 1Port Vale
Colchester2 - 1Port Vale
Fleetwood1 - 1Port Vale
Tranmere1 - 1Port Vale
Swindon3 - 3Port Vale
Chesterfield1 - 1Port Vale
Doncaster1 - 2Port Vale
Grimsby3 - 0Port Vale
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APort Vale0 - 1Lincoln
HPort Vale0 - 1Plymouth
HPort Vale0 - 0Wycombe
APort Vale0 - 4Bolton
HPort Vale0 - 3Stockport
APort Vale0 - 1Wigan
APort Vale1 - 1AFC Wim
HPort Vale0 - 0Northampton
APort Vale2 - 0Barnsley
HPort Vale2 - 1Mansfield
APort Vale2 - 0Exeter
HPort Vale2 - 3L Orient
APort Vale0 - 1Reading
HPort Vale0 - 1Doncaster
HPort Vale1 - 2Stevenage
APort Vale0 - 0Burton
HPort Vale0 - 0Cardiff
APort Vale1 - 2Rotherham
HPort Vale0 - 1Gillingham
APort Vale2 - 0AFC Wim
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Luton since 2004
Luton
Port Vale
Goals: Scored
6
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
LUT
3
PTV
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
Luton2 - 0
1 - 3Port Vale
Luton2 - 1
Luton1 - 0
League games at Port Vale since 2005
Port Vale
Luton
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
LUT
2
PTV
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Port Vale
Port Vale4 - 0
1 - 3Luton
1 - 2Luton
Port Vale3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks unlikely for Port Vale, with D. Moore's men failing to score in 6 consecutive League One outings.

Luton 7th Port Vale 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
4+
There is a 66% probability that Luton will score no more than 1 goal
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Port Vale scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-46
Luton have scored 46% fewer goals at home than predicted
+2
Port Vale’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season
Luton
PG (predicted goals)
Port Vale
1.2
0.8
Attack rating
41%
better
LUT
PTV
view stats
Games scored13
7
Failed to score5
11
Scored first8
5
Goals scored21
11
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.6
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
16
Conversion rate for14
6
Avg. XG for1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
3%
better
LUT
PTV
view stats
Games conceded10
12
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first9
9
Goals conceded22
21
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded6
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
16%
Avg. XG against1.1
1
KickOff rating
+3%

Luton v Port Vale League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Luton League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18336
J KeeleyG. KaduaG SavilleG Saville
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Keeley GLK18
3
-
K Naismith DEF181
2
-
G Saville MID1713
6
-
C Bramall DEF1611
1
-
M Alli FWD1512
3
-
M Andersen DEF141
2
-
J Yates FWD142
1
-
N Wells FWD1411
1
-
G. Kadua FWD143
1
-
Z Nelson MID1311
1
-
L Dabo MID1311
1
-
J Clark MID123
-
N Lonwijk DEF11
4
-
L Walsh  MID111
1
-
T Mengi DEF10
1
-
C Makosso DEF10
1
-
L Nordas FWD911
-
J. Richards MID821
-
S Morris FWD7
-
H Odoffin MID5
-
J Gbode FWD5
1
-
S Baptiste MID4
-
I Jones FWD411
-
J Brown FWD3
-
R Walters DEF2
-
M Nakamba MID1
-
A Al-Hamadi FWD1
-
Port Vale League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17424
C HallD ColeR PatonC Humphreys
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Hall DEF171
1
-
R Curtis FWD161
1
-
C Humphreys DEF15
4
-
J Debrah DEF14
1
-
R Croasdale MID142
2
-
B Heneghan DEF13
2
-
B Garrity MID13
-
G Byers MID131
2
1
J Gauci GLK12
-
K John DEF12
3
-
D Cole FWD1241
1
-
F Ojo MID11
4
-
R Paton FWD1112
2
-
G Hall MID101
-
D Brown FWD101
-
J. Headley DEF9
1
1
M Faal FWD9
-
J Shipley MID81
1
-
M Clark DEF71
2
-
L Gordon DEF7
2
-
R. Walters MID7
-
J Stockley FWD7
-
M Marosi GLK5
-
J Lawrence-Gabriel DEF51
3
-
B Waine FWD5
1
-
M Johnson MID4
-
B Amos GLK1
-