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Northampton Town v Burton Albion : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 15:00 BST, Sixfields Stadium, Northampton

the Sixfields Stadium masses welcome Burton Albion's supporters on Saturday afternoon, as Kevin Nolan's Northampton Town clash with Gary Bowyer's team in the League One. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this League One clash.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 74% chance of Northampton and Burton 3 goals or less combined during this League One match according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Northampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Northampton 43%	31/20 2%	13/8
Draw 26%	9/4	23/10
Burton 31%	8/5 4%	17/10
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	5/1
Northampton 1-0 11%	7/1	13/2
Northampton 2-1 9%	9/1 9%	15/2
Burton 1-0 9%	7/1 7%	13/2
Northampton 2-0 8%	11/1 8%	10/1
Draw 0-0 8%	8/1 6%	7/1
Burton 2-1 7%	9/1	8/1
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1 12%	11/1
Burton 2-0 5%	12/1 18%	10/1
Northampton 3-1 4%	20/1 9%	16/1
Northampton 3-0 4%	25/1 10%	20/1
Burton 3-1 3%	22/1 10%	16/1
Northampton 3-2 2%	33/1	22/1
Burton 3-2 2%	33/1	22/1
Burton 3-0 2%	25/1 13%	18/1
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	43/40 3%	1/1
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	8/11 4%	8/11
Home 1st Goal 50%	20/21 5%	1/1
Away 1st Goal 45%	1/1 3%	21/20
No 1st Goal 5%	8/1 6%	7/1
BTTS - Yes 52%	4/5 8%	4/5
BTTS - No 48%	19/20 8%	10/11
BTTS - Home Win 19%	9/2 8%	4/1
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2 5%	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 14%	9/2	4/1
Home/draw 69%	1/2	4/9
Away/draw 57%	1/2	10/21
Home/away 74%	1/3	1/3
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	1/3 2%	1/3
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	9/4 8%	21/10
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	11/4 6%	5/2
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	1/4 2%	1/4
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	7/1 11%	6/1
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/12 1%	1/12
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	16/1 11%	14/1
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/40 1%	1/66
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/14	1/18
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	8/1 6%	15/2
Home DNB 62%	5/6 4%	5/6
Away DNB 49%	5/6 2%	17/20
Northampton win to nil 24%	10/3	-
Burton win to nil 16%	10/3 8%	-
Northampton / Northampton 19%	10/3 4%	3/1
Northampton / Burton 3%	28/1	22/1
Northampton / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Northampton 13%	5/1 8%	5/1
Draw / Burton 13%	5/1	5/1
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1 5%	18/5
Burton / Northampton 3%	28/1	22/1
Burton / Burton 19%	10/3	3/1
Burton / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win League One table

Northampton have played 36 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

34 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 7 and won 9. Northampton have conceded 47 goals, scored 31, failed to score in 14 matches and kept 9 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Northampton have played 18 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Burton lay in 17th place on 40 points in the League One league table having played 36 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 13 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Burton have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Burton have played 18 away games, winning 3, drawing 7 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Northampton Burton
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lincoln	35	22	8	5	34	74	l 0-1A	l 4-0A	l 0-1A	l 2-1A
2	Cardiff	35	22	6	7	30	72	l 1-3A	Apr 25	d 2-2F	w 0-1F
3	Bolton	36	17	13	6	17	64	w 2-0F	d 0-00-0	w 3-0F	l 2-1A
4	Bradford	35	18	7	10	6	61	d 0-00-0	Apr 3	Mar 21	w 1-2F
5	Stockport	34	16	8	10	4	56	d 0-00-0	Mar 17	w 3-0F	l 2-1F
6	Huddersfield	36	16	7	13	10	55	d 1-1F	l 2-0A	w 3-1F	d 0-00-0
7	Reading	35	14	12	9	7	54	l 0-2A	l 1-0A	Mar 17	l 2-0A
8	Stevenage	34	15	9	10	3	54	w 3-1F	l 2-0A	l 0-1A	d 2-2F
9	Wycombe	36	14	11	11	13	53	l 1-2A	l 2-0A	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A
10	Plymouth	35	15	4	16	0	49	May 2	w 0-3F	l 0-4A	l 3-0A
11	Luton	35	13	8	14	1	47	l 0-1A	Apr 15	l 0-3A	d 1-1A
12	Barnsley	33	13	8	12	0	47	Mar 28	d 2-2F	Apr 3	l 3-2F
13	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	1	46	d 1-1F	l 2-1A	l 0-1A	Apr 18
14	AFC Wim	34	13	7	14	-6	46	w 3-1F	l 1-0A	Apr 11	w 0-1F
15	Exeter	35	11	9	15	-2	42	w 2-0F	d 0-00-0	Apr 25	d 1-1F
16	Mansfield	33	10	11	12	2	41	w 2-1A	Mar 21	w 2-1F	Apr 6
17	Burton	36	10	10	16	-12	40	Mar 14	l 5-1A	-	-
18	Doncaster	34	11	6	17	-20	39	Apr 18	w 1-2A	l 1-2A	d 1-1A
19	Wigan	34	9	11	14	-11	38	Apr 6	l 3-1A	l 0-2A	l 1-0A
20	Blackpool	35	10	8	17	-14	38	w 1-0F	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	Mar 28
21	L Orient	34	10	6	18	-13	36	l 1-2A	w 0-1F	l 0-4A	May 2
22	Rotherham	35	9	8	18	-15	35	l 1-2F	l 2-1F	w 1-0F	d 2-2F
23	Northampton	36	9	8	19	-17	35	-	-	w 5-1F	Mar 14
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	-18	27	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	d 2-2A

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Burton have not won in 10 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Northampton	1 - 1	Peterborough
Northampton	0 - 1	Port Vale
Northampton	1 - 2	L Orient
Northampton	3 - 1	Stevenage
Northampton	0 - 2	Reading
Northampton	1 - 2	Wycombe
Northampton	0 - 0	Stockport
Northampton	3 - 1	AFC Wim
Northampton	1 - 1	Huddersfield
Northampton	1 - 3	Cardiff
Northampton	2 - 1	Mansfield
Northampton	0 - 1	Luton
Northampton	1 - 2	Rotherham
Northampton	2 - 0	Bolton
Northampton	1 - 0	Blackpool
Northampton	2 - 0	Exeter
Northampton	0 - 1	Lincoln
Northampton	0 - 0	Bradford
Northampton	1 - 1	Wigan
Northampton	4 - 1	Shrewsbury

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Northampton	0 - 1	AFC Wim
H	Northampton	1 - 1	Peterborough
H	Northampton	0 - 1	Port Vale
H	Northampton	1 - 2	L Orient
A	Northampton	0 - 4	Lincoln
A	Northampton	0 - 0	Exeter
H	Northampton	3 - 1	Stevenage
A	Northampton	2 - 2	Barnsley
H	Northampton	0 - 2	Reading
A	Northampton	1 - 2	Rotherham
A	Northampton	0 - 2	Blackpool
H	Northampton	1 - 2	Wycombe
A	Northampton	0 - 0	Bolton
H	Northampton	0 - 0	Stockport
A	Northampton	0 - 2	Huddersfield
A	Northampton	1 - 5	Burton
H	Northampton	3 - 1	AFC Wim
A	Northampton	1 - 2	Peterborough
H	Northampton	1 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Northampton	3 - 0	Plymouth

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Exeter	1 - 1	Burton
Wycombe	3 - 0	Burton
Luton	1 - 1	Burton
Port Vale	2 - 2	Burton
Bolton	2 - 1	Burton
Lincoln	2 - 1	Burton
Plymouth	3 - 0	Burton
Reading	2 - 0	Burton
Stevenage	2 - 2	Burton
Wigan	1 - 0	Burton
Bradford	1 - 2	Burton
Rotherham	2 - 2	Burton
AFC Wim	0 - 1	Burton
Doncaster	1 - 1	Burton
Cardiff	0 - 1	Burton
Huddersfield	0 - 0	Burton
Stockport	2 - 1	Burton
Barnsley	3 - 2	Burton
Charlton	3 - 1	Burton
Exeter	0 - 0	Burton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Burton	0 - 1	Stevenage
A	Burton	1 - 1	Exeter
A	Burton	0 - 3	Wycombe
H	Burton	3 - 0	Stockport
A	Burton	1 - 1	Luton
H	Burton	1 - 0	Rotherham
A	Burton	2 - 2	Port Vale
H	Burton	1 - 2	Doncaster
H	Burton	2 - 2	Cardiff
A	Burton	1 - 2	Bolton
A	Burton	1 - 2	Lincoln
H	Burton	3 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Burton	0 - 3	Plymouth
A	Burton	0 - 2	Reading
H	Burton	0 - 2	Wigan
H	Burton	5 - 1	Northampton
A	Burton	2 - 2	Stevenage
H	Burton	0 - 0	Wycombe
A	Burton	0 - 1	Wigan
H	Burton	0 - 4	L Orient

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Northampton

Burton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 9

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

2 / 9

NHT

BAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Northampton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Northampton	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Burton
	1 - 2	Burton
Northampton	1 - 0
Northampton	1 - 0
	2 - 3	Burton
	2 - 3	Burton
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Burton

Northampton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 10

9 / 10

Clean sheets

1 / 10

3 / 10

NHT

BAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burton
Burton	5 - 1
	0 - 1	Northampton
	0 - 2	Northampton
	1 - 3	Northampton
Burton	3 - 1
Burton	1 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	0 - 1	Northampton
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Burton	3 - 2

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Northampton Town of late. It has been 5 League One matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Burton Albion.

	Northampton 23rd	Burton 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Northampton will score 1 or more goals	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Burton will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-3 Northampton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-4 Burton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season

NHT

BAL

12%

better

view stats

Games scored	20		22
Failed to score	15		14
Scored first	12		16
Goals scored	31		39
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.1
Avg. shots per game	6		8
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	14		14
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+12%

better

NHT

BAL

view stats

Games conceded	25		27
Clean sheets	10		9
Conceded first	18		17
Goals conceded	47		51
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	15%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.4
KickOff rating		+6%

Northampton v Burton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Northampton League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	8	5	5
T Taylor	T Eaves	D Campbell	T Taylor

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Taylor MID	34		3	5 -
D Campbell MID	33		5	2 -
S Hoskins FWD	32	5		4 -
N Guinness-Walker DEF	30	2	2	2 -
M Dyche DEF	28	2		2 -
E List FWD	28	1		1 -
K Simon-Swyer FWD	27		1	1 -
R Fitzsimons GLK	26			2 -
J. Perkins MID	26	1	2	3 1
T Eaves FWD	26	8	1	-
T Fornah MID	25		2	3 -
C McCarthy DEF	24	1	2	4 -
C McGeehan MID	23	4	1	3 -
J Burroughs DEF	22			2 -
E. Wheatley FWD	22	3	1	4 -
M. Forbes DEF	21	2	1	1 -
J Thorniley DEF	18		1	5 -
J Wormleighton DEF	15			2 -
J Vale FWD	15			1
J Willis DEF	14	1		-
M Jacobs FWD	11		1	-
L Burge GLK	10			-
K Edwards FWD	10			-
J Guthrie DEF	9	1	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	16	5	8
T Eaves	C McGeehan	D Campbell	T Taylor

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Eaves FWD	8	15	1	2
S Hoskins FWD	5	12		1
C McGeehan MID	4	16	1	2
E. Wheatley FWD	3	12	1	2
N Guinness-Walker DEF	2	5	2	2
M Dyche DEF	2	2		2
M. Forbes DEF	2	2	1
E List FWD	1	7		2
J. Perkins MID	1	2	2	1
C McCarthy DEF	1	3	2	3
J Willis DEF	1	1		1
J Guthrie DEF	1	2	1	1
T Taylor MID		4	3	8
D Campbell MID		3	5	7
K Simon-Swyer FWD		4	1	1
T Fornah MID		4	2	3
J Thorniley DEF			1	1
J Wormleighton DEF		1
J Vale FWD		1
M Jacobs FWD		2	1	2
K Edwards FWD		3		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1315	69	156
D Campbell	D Campbell	T Taylor

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Campbell MID	1315	69	156
T Taylor MID	1032	51	156
R Fitzsimons GLK	913	2	20
N Guinness-Walker DEF	719	59	147
C McCarthy DEF	624	33	141
M Dyche DEF	599	21	106
M. Forbes DEF	534	11	124
S Hoskins FWD	509	40	100
J Thorniley DEF	440	17	80
J. Perkins MID	433	33	85
J Burroughs DEF	367	37	81
C McGeehan MID	355	25	98
T Fornah MID	353	25	81
L Burge GLK	340	1	5
K Simon-Swyer FWD	224	18	83
E. Wheatley FWD	215	22	74
J Willis DEF	194	8	37
T Eaves FWD	179	6	83
E List FWD	150	21	73
J Wormleighton DEF	135	24	53
J Guthrie DEF	112	7	41
K Edwards FWD	74	7	21
J Vale FWD	67	12	37
M Jacobs FWD	50	2	12

Burton League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
35	12	6	7
K Lofthouse	J Beesley	K Lofthouse	U Godwin-Malife

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Lofthouse DEF	35	3	6	6 -
J Beesley FWD	35	12	5	4 -
K Chauke MID	31			2 -
B Collins GLK	30			3 -
T Shade FWD	30	8		1 -
J Armer DEF	29	2	1	3 -
A Hartridge DEF	29	1	1	2 -
T Sibbick DEF	28			2 -
U Godwin-Malife DEF	28	2	2	7 -
G Evans MID	27	1	3	6 -
F Tavares FWD	24	3	1	1 -
J McKiernan MID	21	1	1	5 -
D Willis DEF	20		1	3 -
J. Larsson FWD	20		2	-
T Vancooten DEF	17	1	1	4 -
C Webster MID	16	4	3	1 -
S Revan DEF	15		1	1 -
J Moon DEF	11			2 -
N. Akoto DEF	7			1 -
F Delap DEF	7			2 -
J. Newall FWD	7			-
J. Taroni DEF	6			-
J Amissah GLK	5			-
J Sraha DEF	3			-
K. Dudek GLK	1			-
J Hazlehurst MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	34	6	8
J Beesley	T Shade	K Lofthouse	K Lofthouse

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Beesley FWD	12	26	5	7
T Shade FWD	8	34		1
C Webster MID	4	11	3	6
K Lofthouse DEF	3	9	6	8
F Tavares FWD	3	7	1
J Armer DEF	2	5	1	2
U Godwin-Malife DEF	2	4	2	3
A Hartridge DEF	1	4	1	5
G Evans MID	1	3	3	2
J McKiernan MID	1	3	1	1
T Vancooten DEF	1	5	1
K Chauke MID		1
T Sibbick DEF		4		2
D Willis DEF		2	1	4
J. Larsson FWD		3	2	3
S Revan DEF		1	1	7
J Moon DEF				2
N. Akoto DEF		1
F Delap DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1104	60	342
A Hartridge	K Lofthouse	J Beesley

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Hartridge DEF	1104	48	150
B Collins GLK	992	2	17
U Godwin-Malife DEF	903	33	124
G Evans MID	871	31	108
K Chauke MID	789	54	131
T Sibbick DEF	786	49	110
J Armer DEF	717	42	117
J Beesley FWD	704	34	342
K Lofthouse DEF	662	60	240
T Vancooten DEF	622	20	96
C Webster MID	505	20	77
T Shade FWD	419	15	79
D Willis DEF	413	22	51
J McKiernan MID	278	26	80
J Moon DEF	238	7	33
S Revan DEF	232	30	77
F Delap DEF	194	4	31
J Amissah GLK	166	1	3
J. Larsson FWD	152	17	45
F Tavares FWD	104	5	21
N. Akoto DEF	45	9	12
K. Dudek GLK	37
J. Newall FWD	24	3	7
J. Taroni DEF	15	2	2
J Sraha DEF	15		4
J Hazlehurst MID	4