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Northampton Town v Carlisle United : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sixfields Stadium, Northampton

Saturday afternoon at the Sixfields Stadium, and it’s a League One clash between Northampton Town and Carlisle United. Jon Brady and Paul Simpson will be doing all they can to claim the win. Stats drive the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.

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Northampton Town's next match is v Exeter at 14:00 on Saturday 20th April
Carlisle United's next match is v Wycombe at 15:00 on Saturday 20th April
The last English League One meeting between Northampton and Carlisle was on Saturday 6th April 2024
English League One
April 6th 2024
Northampton 2
0 Carlisle
 
K. Bowie 33'
A. Koiki 90'
 
NHT
CUT
Shots On
4
2
Shots Off
3
2
Corners
5
7
Possession
54%
46%
Fouls
9
9
 
NorthamptonCarlisle
 
L. Burge
J. Guthrie
S. Sherring
A. McGowan (J. Willis 79')
A. Odimayo (A. Koiki 46')
B. Fox (S. McWilliams 72')
M. Leonard
S. Hoskins (J. Sowerby 73')
L. Appere (T. Springett 79')
M. Pinnock
K. Bowiefootball icon
H. Lewis
(J. Emmanuel 83') J. Ellis
B. Barclay
J. Mellish
J. Armer
S. Lavelle
(J. Harris 83') J. Robinson
H. Neal
(S. Maguire 34') D. Butterworth
(J. Diamond 57') G. Kelly
L. Armstrong
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during a standard 90 mins. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Northampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Northampton
48%
10/11
2%
10/11
7%
Evs
2%
23/25
5%
Draw
26%
13/55/2
3%
5/2
13%
5/2
6%
Carlisle
26%
3/1
5%
3/1
11%
11/4
10%
11/4
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
8%
6/1
8%
23/4
5%
Northampton 1-0
12%
6/1
7%
11/26/113/2
7%
Northampton 2-1
9%
15/27/115/215/2
Northampton 2-0
9%
8/17/1
6%
17/28/1
Carlisle 1-0
8%
10/117/2
6%
10/1
10%
10/1
10%
Draw 0-0
8%
9/1
9%
15/2
6%
9/1
11%
10/1
16%
Carlisle 2-1
6%
12/110/111/1
9%
11/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/114/1
15%
12/1
7%
Northampton 3-1
5%
14/112/114/1
12%
13/1
13%
Northampton 3-0
5%
16/112/1
13%
16/114/1
12%
Carlisle 2-0
4%
20/114/118/1
12%
17/1
6%
Northampton 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
20/125/122/1
12%
Carlisle 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/128/1
12%
25/1
10%
Northampton 4-1
2%
33/122/1
12%
33/1
17%
29/1
17%
Northampton 4-0
2%
33/122/1
12%
40/130/1
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
1/1
7%
-10/11
5%
17/20
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
4/5
4%
-4/5
4%
17/20
8%
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/7
2%
-4/6
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/8
1%
-6/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
9%
-17/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
4/5
2%
17/204/58/11
5%
BTTS - No
51%
19/20
2%
17/2010/11Evens
6%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
3/129/10
7%
3/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/418/5
2%
7/2
4%
18/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/1
7%
6/1
8%
6/1
8%
-
Home/draw
74%
2/91/4
3%
2/7
1%
6/25
1%
Away/draw
52%
5/6
2%
17/20
6%
4/5
6%
4/5
5%
Home/away
74%
2/7
3%
3/103/10
2%
1/4
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
3/10
4%
-1/31/4
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
12/5
3%
-9/45/2
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
5/2
8%
-5/211/5
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/7
1%
-2/73/10
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
6/1
8%
-11/2
7%
21/4
17%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/10
2%
-1/10
2%
1/10
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1---
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
---
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/20
2%
-1/20
1%
1/50
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/1-8/1
13%
9/1
11%
Home DNB
67%
2/5
2%
2/5
5%
2/5
7%
2/5
3%
Away DNB
44%
7/49/5
12%
7/4
10%
7/4
6%
Northampton win to nil
28%
9/4
4%
-21/10
9%
-
Carlisle win to nil
14%
11/2
7%
-11/2
8%
-
Northampton / Northampton
27%
21/102/1
6%
21/10
6%
41/20
6%
Northampton / Carlisle
3%
33/125/133/134/1
3%
Northampton / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/114/1
15%
13/1
Draw / Northampton
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
4%
4/1
9%
4/1
2%
Draw / Carlisle
10%
15/27/1
14%
8/1
6%
15/2
6%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
4%
4/122/5
8%
Carlisle / Northampton
4%
22/118/125/122/1
8%
Carlisle / Carlisle
13%
11/25/1
4%
5/1
9%
21/4
4%
Carlisle / Draw
6%
14/112/114/113/1
bet365
Win / draw / win League One table

Northampton have played 42 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 4 and lost 8 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. Northampton have outscored their opponents by 53 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

Northampton have played 21 games at home winning 10, drawing 5 and losing 6 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 21 goals at home.

Carlisle are in 24th position in the League One on 27 points having played 41 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

14 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 35 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

41 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 26 games, drawn 9 and won 6. Carlisle have conceded 73 goals, scored 39, failed to score in 15 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Northampton
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Carlisle
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-1A
 Portsmouth44271343694 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-0A
 Derby44268103886 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
 Bolton44241193383 
l
 
1-4A
w
 
1-3A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1F
 Peterborough43248112880 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3F
l
 
1-2A
Apr 27
 Barnsley442112111975 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
 Oxford Utd442110132273 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
 Lincoln441914112671 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Blackpool442010141770 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
 Stevenage441813131067 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-3A
 L Orient44171116-362 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2F
-
-
 Northampton H4417819-859 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
 Wycombe43151315258 
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
Apr 20
w
 
0-2F
 Exeter44161018-1558 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
 Bristol R4416919-1257 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
 Wigan44181016456 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-3F
 Charlton44111914052 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
 Reading44151118-250 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
5-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
 Shrewsbury4413823-3047 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Cambridge43121021-2146 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Burton44111023-2643 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Cheltenham4311824-2441 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Port Vale44101024-3140 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
 Fleetwood4481323-2737 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
 Carlisle Away447928-3630 
-
-
Win / draw / win form
Northampton 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Carlisle 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Northampton have beaten Carlisle in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Northampton since 2006
Northampton
Carlisle
Goals: Scored
17
12
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
NHT
6
D
1
CUT
2
All league games since 2005
Northampton
Carlisle
Goals: Scored
32
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
4 / 20
NHT
9
D
6
CUT
5
Goal Statistics

Northampton Town's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Carlisle United have conceded in each of their last 7 League One games. A PG of 1.5 for Jon Brady's side suggests that run should continue.

Northampton 11th Carlisle 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Northampton will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Carlisle will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Northampton have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
-7
Carlisle’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Statistics League One - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/260595/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Northampton
PG (predicted goals)
Carlisle
1.5
1
Attack rating
26%
better
NHT
CUT
view stats
Games scored32
27
Failed to score12
17
Scored first22
13
Goals scored55
40
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate17%
11%
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
23%
better
NHT
CUT
view stats
Games conceded34
41
Clean sheets10
3
Conceded first22
31
Goals conceded63
76
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate15%
18%
KickOff rating
+23%

Northampton v Carlisle League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Northampton League One squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4415711
M LeonardS HoskinsM PinnockK Bowie
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Burge GLK18
2
-
A Odimayo DEF27
6
-
J Guthrie DEF3431
4
-
S Sherring DEF354
1
-
A McGowan MID261
2
-
B Fox MID19
-
M Leonard MID4456
3
-
M Pinnock MID4377
5
-
K Bowie FWD4295
10
1
L Appéré FWD3552
1
-
S Hoskins FWD37153
6
-
Subs
L Moulden GLK12
2
-
A Koiki DEF101
-
J Willis DEF26
1
-
J Sowerby MID281
5
-
S McWilliams MID3422
4
-
T Springett FWD121
-
T Simpson FWD3831
5
-
Carlisle League One squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
445410
S LavelleJ MellishS LavelleJ Mellish
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Lewis GLK18
1
-
J Ellis DEF161
1
-
B Barclay DEF211
4
-
S Lavelle DEF4434
6
-
J Mellish DEF445
10
-
J Armer DEF3912
4
-
H Neal MID19
5
-
D Butterworth MID2841
2
-
J Robinson MID233
4
-
L Armstrong FWD1931
2
-
G Kelly FWD5
-
Subs
G Breeze GLK4
-
F Back DEF19
2
-
P Huntington DEF191
3
-
J Emmanuel DEF14
1
-
J Harris MID4
1
-
S Maguire FWD3221
2
-
J Diamond FWD14
1
-