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Plymouth Argyle v Cardiff City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Home Park, Plymouth

The League One is the focus for both Plymouth Argyle and Cardiff City on Saturday lunch time, as managers Tom Cleverley and Brian Barry-Murphy battle it out at the Home Park. You'll find statistics supporting our top of below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with League One performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all League One Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Plymouth Argyle's next match is v Doncaster at 15:00 on Saturday 7th March
Cardiff City's next match is v Lincoln at 12:30 on Saturday 7th March

The last English League One meeting between Plymouth and Cardiff was on Saturday 21st February 2026

English League One

February 21st 2026

Plymouth 5	2 Cardiff

L. Tolaj 28'	33' O. Kellyman
A. Pepple 31'	43' O. Kellyman
A. Pepple 34'
L. Tolaj 68'
M. Ross Jensen 81'

	PLY CAR
Shots On	9 6
Shots Off	5 5
Corners	3 8
Possession	29% 71%
Fouls	23 10
Yellow/red cards	3/0 4/0

Plymouth	Cardiff

C. Hazard M. Ross Jensen B. Sarpong Wiredu (B. Ibrahim 80') J. Edwards A. Mitchell M. Boateng L. Tolaj (X. Amaechi 85') A. Pepple (O. Dale 86') R. Curtis W. Harding C. Watts (M. Sorinola 46')	G. Osho N. Trott (C. Scanlon 88') J. Bagan C. Chambers (R. Kpakio 76') P. Ng O. Kellyman (R. Colwill 46') D. Turnbull A. Robertson (C. Robinson 62') J. Colwill O. Tanner (C. Ashford 62') C. Willock

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Plymouth and Cardiff will score a minimum of a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 75%. The bookmakers have it available at 1.25.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Cardiff coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Plymouth 29%	2/1	1/1000
Draw 25%	13/5	60/1
Cardiff 47%	6/5	750/1
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1	19/4
Cardiff 1-0 10%	17/2	5/1
Cardiff 2-1 9%	8/1	8/1
Cardiff 2-0 8%	11/1	17/2
Plymouth 1-0 7%	10/1	11/2
Plymouth 2-1 7%	10/1	5/1
Draw 0-0 6%	12/1	6/1
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	8/1
Cardiff 3-1 5%	16/1	18/1
Plymouth 2-0 4%	16/1	11/2
Cardiff 3-0 4%	20/1	18/1
Cardiff 3-2 3%	22/1	16/1
Plymouth 3-1 3%	22/1	19/4
Plymouth 3-2 2%	28/1	17/10
Cardiff 4-1 2%	33/1	40/1
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	8/11	8/11
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	43/40	1/1
Home 1st Goal 45%	11/10	11/10
Away 1st Goal 51%	4/5	5/6
No 1st Goal 4%	12/1	10/1
BTTS - Yes 55%	8/13	13/20
BTTS - No 45%	6/5	23/20
BTTS - Home Win 14%	9/2	1/1000
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	50/1
BTTS - Away Win 22%	3/1	40/1
Home/draw 53%	4/6	8/13
Away/draw 71%	4/11	2/5
Home/away 75%	2/7	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	2/9	2/9
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	3/1	29/10
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	7/4	9/5
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	2/5	2/5
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	9/2	17/4
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/7	1/7
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	10/1	9/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/20	1/25
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/25	1/33
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	12/1	11/1
Home DNB 46%	6/5	23/20
Away DNB 64%	8/13	13/20
Plymouth win to nil 14%	5/1	-
Cardiff win to nil 24%	10/3	-
Plymouth / Plymouth 17%	15/4	1/7
Plymouth / Cardiff 4%	22/1	12/1
Plymouth / Draw 6%	12/1	6/1
Draw / Plymouth 12%	6/1	60/1
Draw / Cardiff 14%	9/2	55/1
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	55/1
Cardiff / Plymouth 3%	25/1	1/50
Cardiff / Cardiff 23%	13/5	125/1
Cardiff / Draw 6%	12/1	125/1

Win / draw / win League One table

Plymouth have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 5. Plymouth have conceded 30 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Plymouth have played 16 games at home, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Cardiff lay in 1st place on 69 points in the League One league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 32 games against teams below them in the table, winning 21, drawing 6 and losing 5 games. They have scored 62 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Cardiff have conceded 31 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Cardiff have played 15 away games, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Plymouth Cardiff
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lincoln	35	22	8	5	34	74	l 1-4F	l 3-2A	l 0-2A	l 2-1A
2	Cardiff	35	22	6	7	30	72	w 5-2F	l 4-0A	-	-
3	Bolton	36	17	13	6	17	64	Apr 3	l 2-0A	Apr 11	l 1-0A
4	Bradford	35	18	7	10	6	61	l 0-1A	Mar 28	l 1-3A	w 1-2F
5	Stockport	34	16	8	10	4	56	w 4-2F	l 2-1F	d 1-1A	d 1-1A
6	Huddersfield	36	16	7	13	10	55	Mar 21	l 3-1A	w 3-2F	Mar 28
7	Reading	35	14	12	9	7	54	l 1-4A	Mar 14	w 2-1A	Apr 18
8	Stevenage	34	15	9	10	3	54	Mar 17	d 1-1A	w 2-1A	w 0-1F
9	Wycombe	36	14	11	11	13	53	d 1-1A	w 0-1F	Mar 17	d 1-1F
10	Plymouth	35	15	4	16	0	49	-	-	w 4-0F	l 5-2A
11	Luton	35	13	8	14	1	47	w 1-0F	w 2-3F	w 3-1F	w 0-1F
12	Barnsley	33	13	8	12	0	47	l 1-3A	Apr 6	w 4-0F	Mar 10
13	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	1	46	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	w 2-1A	Apr 6
14	AFC Wim	33	12	7	14	-7	43	l 1-2F	Apr 18	w 4-1F	w 0-1F
15	Exeter	35	11	9	15	-2	42	Apr 11	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	Mar 14
16	Mansfield	33	10	11	12	2	41	d 1-1F	l 2-0A	w 3-0F	May 2
17	Burton	36	10	10	16	-12	40	w 3-0F	w 0-4F	l 0-1A	d 2-2A
18	Doncaster	34	11	6	17	-20	39	w 2-1A	w 1-5A	w 4-3A	w 0-4F
19	Wigan	34	9	11	14	-11	38	d 1-1F	Mar 10	w 1-0F	w 0-2F
20	Blackpool	35	10	8	17	-14	38	w 1-0F	w 0-4F	Mar 21	l 3-1A
21	L Orient	34	10	6	18	-13	36	l 0-1A	w 1-3F	w 4-3F	d 1-1A
22	Rotherham	35	9	8	18	-15	35	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	w 3-0F	w 0-3F
23	Northampton	35	9	8	18	-16	35	l 0-3A	May 2	Apr 25	w 1-3F
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	-18	27	Apr 25	w 0-1F	Apr 3	d 0-00-0

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Plymouth	1 - 4	Lincoln
Plymouth	1 - 1	Mansfield
Plymouth	1 - 0	Luton
Plymouth	3 - 0	Burton
Plymouth	1 - 1	Wycombe
Plymouth	1 - 4	Reading
Plymouth	1 - 0	Rotherham
Plymouth	0 - 1	Bradford
Plymouth	0 - 3	Northampton
Plymouth	1 - 2	AFC Wim
Plymouth	1 - 1	Wigan
Plymouth	0 - 1	Peterborough
Plymouth	4 - 2	Stockport
Plymouth	1 - 0	Blackpool
Plymouth	0 - 1	L Orient
Plymouth	1 - 3	Barnsley
Plymouth	1 - 2	Leeds
Plymouth	3 - 1	Coventry
Plymouth	2 - 1	Sheff Utd
Plymouth	2 - 1	Norwich

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Plymouth	3 - 1	L Orient
A	Plymouth	4 - 0	Blackpool
H	Plymouth	1 - 4	Lincoln
A	Plymouth	1 - 2	Stockport
H	Plymouth	1 - 1	Mansfield
H	Plymouth	1 - 0	Luton
A	Plymouth	1 - 0	Peterborough
H	Plymouth	3 - 0	Burton
A	Plymouth	1 - 1	Stevenage
H	Plymouth	1 - 1	Wycombe
H	Plymouth	1 - 4	Reading
A	Plymouth	5 - 1	Doncaster
H	Plymouth	1 - 0	Rotherham
A	Plymouth	1 - 0	Wycombe
H	Plymouth	0 - 1	Bradford
H	Plymouth	0 - 3	Northampton
A	Plymouth	1 - 0	Port Vale
A	Plymouth	1 - 3	Huddersfield
A	Plymouth	0 - 2	Mansfield
A	Plymouth	0 - 2	Exeter

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rotherham	0 - 3	Cardiff
Burton	2 - 2	Cardiff
Bradford	1 - 2	Cardiff
L Orient	1 - 1	Cardiff
Wycombe	1 - 1	Cardiff
Lincoln	2 - 1	Cardiff
Stevenage	0 - 1	Cardiff
Northampton	1 - 3	Cardiff
Blackpool	3 - 1	Cardiff
Bolton	1 - 0	Cardiff
Wigan	0 - 2	Cardiff
Stockport	1 - 1	Cardiff
Luton	0 - 1	Cardiff
AFC Wim	0 - 1	Cardiff
Port Vale	0 - 0	Cardiff
Norwich	4 - 2	Cardiff
Sheff Utd	2 - 0	Cardiff
Preston	2 - 2	Cardiff
QPR	0 - 0	Cardiff
Blackburn	1 - 2	Cardiff

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Cardiff	4 - 1	AFC Wim
H	Cardiff	3 - 1	Luton
A	Cardiff	3 - 0	Rotherham
A	Cardiff	2 - 2	Burton
H	Cardiff	4 - 0	Barnsley
H	Cardiff	1 - 1	Stockport
A	Cardiff	2 - 1	Bradford
A	Cardiff	1 - 1	L Orient
H	Cardiff	1 - 0	Wigan
A	Cardiff	1 - 1	Wycombe
H	Cardiff	2 - 1	Stevenage
H	Cardiff	1 - 0	Exeter
A	Cardiff	1 - 2	Lincoln
H	Cardiff	4 - 3	Doncaster
A	Cardiff	1 - 0	Stevenage
H	Cardiff	3 - 2	Huddersfield
H	Cardiff	3 - 0	Mansfield
A	Cardiff	3 - 1	Northampton
A	Cardiff	1 - 3	Blackpool
A	Cardiff	0 - 1	Bolton

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Plymouth

Cardiff

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

8 / 8

Clean sheets

0 / 8

1 / 8

PLY

CAR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Plymouth
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Plymouth	3 - 1
	1 - 3	Cardiff
Plymouth	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	0 - 1	Cardiff
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Cardiff

Plymouth

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 9

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

3 / 9

PLY

CAR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cardiff
Cardiff	4 - 0
Cardiff	5 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Plymouth
Cardiff	1 - 0
Cardiff	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	Plymouth
	0 - 1	Plymouth

Goal Statistics

Cardiff City have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 19 consecutive League One games. Their PG of 1.6 against Plymouth Argyle on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Plymouth 10th	Cardiff 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Plymouth will score no more than 1 goal	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 79% probability that Cardiff will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-5 Plymouth’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+10 Cardiff’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season

PLY

CAR

23%

better

view stats

Games scored	24		29
Failed to score	8		3
Scored first	16		18
Goals scored	44		62
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.9
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	16		19
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.7
KickOff rating		+23%

PLY

CAR

22%

better

view stats

Games conceded	23		20
Clean sheets	9		12
Conceded first	16		13
Goals conceded	47		31
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	17%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.3
KickOff rating		+22%

Plymouth v Cardiff League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Plymouth League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	13	5	11
M Boateng	L Tolaj	M Boateng	M Sorinola

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Hazard GLK	21			-
J Edwards DEF	24		3	6 1
M Ross DEF	27	3	1	4 -
A Mitchell DEF	28	1		4 -
W Harding DEF	5		1	2 -
R Curtis MID	9	1	2	1 -
M Boateng MID	34	3	5	6 -
B Wiredu MID	29		1	5 1
C Watts MID	19	4	1	4 -
L Tolaj FWD	22	13	4	4 1
A Pepple FWD	25	9	2	1 -
Subs
L Ashby-Hammond GLK	13		1	-
J MacKenzie DEF	3			1 -
J Pleguezuelo DEF	6			2 -
M Sorinola DEF	31	1	1	11 -
B Ibrahim MID	15	3	2	6 -
X Amaechi FWD	19	3	1	1 -
O Dale FWD	16		1	5 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	30	5	7
L Tolaj	L Tolaj	M Boateng	M Boateng

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Tolaj FWD	13	30	4	5
A Pepple FWD	9	15	2	2
C Watts MID	4	15	1	2
M Ross DEF	3	6	1	1
M Boateng MID	3	8	5	7
Subs
B Ibrahim MID	3	6	2	4
X Amaechi FWD	3	9	1	4
A Mitchell DEF	1	8		2
R Curtis MID	1	7	2	5
Subs
M Sorinola DEF	1	5	1	7
J Edwards DEF			3	4
W Harding DEF		1	1	1
B Wiredu MID		2	1	3
Subs
L Ashby-Hammond GLK			1	1
J Pleguezuelo DEF		2
O Dale FWD		4	1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1196	74	240
M Boateng	M Boateng	M Boateng

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
M Boateng MID	1196	74	240
A Mitchell DEF	948	39	168
Subs
M Sorinola DEF	765	58	130
M Ross DEF	759	38	143
B Wiredu MID	668	40	126
C Hazard GLK	666		7
J Edwards DEF	538	39	88
Subs
L Ashby-Hammond GLK	488		6
B Ibrahim MID	425	29	66
L Tolaj FWD	332	17	117
C Watts MID	302	16	70
Subs
X Amaechi FWD	287	18	56
O Dale FWD	227	21	65
J Pleguezuelo DEF	224	9	42
R Curtis MID	217	19	86
A Pepple FWD	200	8	105
W Harding DEF	114	10	32
Subs
J MacKenzie DEF	21	5	8

Cardiff League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	7	9	7
N Trott	C Willock	O Tanner	J Bagan

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Trott GLK	31			2 -
P Ng DEF	27	5	4	3 -
G Osho DEF	13			2 -
C Chambers DEF	23	2		4 -
J Bagan DEF	33	1	3	7 -
A Robertson MID	22	4	2	5 -
D Turnbull MID	29	2	4	2 -
O Tanner MID	17	1	9	3 -
J Colwill MID				-
C Willock MID	31	7	5	3 -
O Kellyman FWD	24	7	1	3 -
Subs
D. Lawlor DEF	21	2	2	3 -
C. Scanlon DEF	3			-
R. Kpakio DEF	28	1	6	4 -
R Wintle MID	30	1	4	3 1
R Colwill MID	19	3	4	3 -
C. Ashford FWD	30	4	2	-
C Robinson FWD	31	6	1	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	17	9	9
C Willock	O Kellyman	O Tanner	O Tanner

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Willock MID	7	12	5	9
O Kellyman FWD	7	17	1	2
Subs
C Robinson FWD	6	16	1	3
P Ng DEF	5	10	4	2
A Robertson MID	4	11	2	2
Subs
C. Ashford FWD	4	13	2	5
R Colwill MID	3	17	4	7
C Chambers DEF	2	8		1
D Turnbull MID	2	10	4	3
Subs
D. Lawlor DEF	2	3	2	3
J Bagan DEF	1	3	3	8
O Tanner MID	1	5	9	9
Subs
R. Kpakio DEF	1	4	6	3
R Wintle MID	1	7	4	5
G Osho DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1785	54	140
J Bagan	J Bagan	P Ng

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Bagan DEF	1785	54	136
Subs
R Wintle MID	1711	29	89
P Ng DEF	1240	47	140
C Chambers DEF	1239	22	85
Subs
D. Lawlor DEF	1176	15	68
N Trott GLK	1073		10
D Turnbull MID	1013	28	52
A Robertson MID	955	28	99
Subs
R. Kpakio DEF	765	34	82
C Willock MID	740	29	84
Subs
R Colwill MID	677	19	81
C. Ashford FWD	538	24	91
G Osho DEF	512	19	69
O Tanner MID	366	20	59
O Kellyman FWD	352	27	114
Subs
C Robinson FWD	259	7	29
C. Scanlon DEF	20	2	4