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Plymouth Argyle v Luton Town : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Home Park, Plymouth

Plymouth Argyle are in League One action on Saturday lunch time, as Tom Cleverley looks to get one over on Jack Wilshere and his Luton Town side at the Home Park. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.

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Plymouth Argyle's next match is v Mansfield at 19:45 on Tuesday 27th January
Luton Town's next match is v Huddersfield at 19:45 on Tuesday 27th January
The last English League One meeting between Plymouth and Luton was on Saturday 24th January 2026
English League One
January 24th 2026
Plymouth 1
0 Luton
 
B. Zibusiso Galloway 45'
 
PLY
LUT
Shots On
6
2
Shots Off
8
5
Corners
6
5
Possession
33%
67%
Fouls
15
13
Yellow/red cards
4/0
1/0
 
PlymouthLuton
 
C. Hazard
M. Ross Jensen
J. Edwards
L. Tolaj
A. Mitchell
B. Zibusiso Gallowayfootball icon
M. Sorinola
M. Boateng
J. Ralls (B. Sarpong Wiredu 9')
A. Pepple (K. Szűcs 78')
R. Curtis
K. Naismith
M. Andersen
N. Lonwijk
L. Walsh
J. Clark
N. Wells
J. Keeley
(J. Yates 78') J. Johnson
(C. Bramall 77') K. Palmer
G. Kadua
(S. Morris 57') E. Lawrence

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 76% probability of Plymouth and Luton serving up a minimum of two goals in this League One tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Plymouth are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Plymouth
39%
2.38
9%
1.00
3%
Draw
25%
3.40
2%
29.00
Luton
36%
2.88
15%
201.00
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
6.50
8%
8.50
Plymouth 1-0
9%
8.501.17
Plymouth 2-1
8%
9.50
9%
41.00
Luton 1-0
8%
9.50
6%
5.25
Luton 2-1
8%
11.00
5%
61.00
6%
Plymouth 2-0
6%
12.00
13%
9.00
Draw 0-0
6%
10.003.75
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00
13%
251.00
Luton 2-0
6%
15.00
18%
12.00
10%
Plymouth 3-1
4%
19.00
9%
151.00
11%
Luton 3-1
4%
23.00201.00
Plymouth 3-0
3%
23.00
10%
56.00
10%
Plymouth 3-2
3%
29.00
15%
151.00
Luton 3-2
3%
29.00251.00
9%
Luton 3-0
3%
29.00
13%
29.00
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1.95
5%
26.00
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
1.85
6%
1.00
Home 1st Goal
48%
1.91
7%
2.20
2%
Away 1st Goal
48%
2.10
5%
2.50
3%
No 1st Goal
4%
10.003.75
6%
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.757.50
3%
BTTS - No
44%
2.001.07
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4.75
8%
34.00
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33
4%
8.50
3%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
5.50
10%
51.00
4%
Home/draw
64%
1.40
8%
1.00
1%
Away/draw
61%
1.53
7%
8.00
3%
Home/away
75%
1.301.06
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.29
3%
4.60
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3.50
8%
1.17
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3.40
9%
81.00
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1.30
4%
1.00
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
7.00
13%
101.00
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1.10
2%
1.00
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
15.00
12%
1.02
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.06
1%
1.25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10.00
16%
3.80
Home DNB
56%
1.73
9%
1.80
3%
Away DNB
54%
2.00
6%
1.91
3%
Plymouth win to nil
19%
4.00
13%
-
Luton win to nil
18%
5.00
13%
-
Plymouth / Plymouth
20%
4.00
9%
9.50
5%
Plymouth / Luton
3%
29.00
12%
34.00
Plymouth / Draw
6%
13.00
13%
21.00
Draw / Plymouth
13%
6.00
8%
3.40
Draw / Luton
13%
6.50
9%
3.80
Draw / Draw
16%
5.002.80
Luton / Plymouth
3%
26.0034.00
9%
Luton / Luton
19%
4.75
8%
11.00
5%
Luton / Draw
6%
15.0023.00
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Win / draw / win League One table

Plymouth have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Plymouth have conceded 28 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Plymouth have played 13 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Luton lay in 7th place on 39 points in the League One league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Luton have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Luton have played 12 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Plymouth
Luton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Cardiff2717551956 
Feb 21
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-1A
Feb 14
2
Lincoln2715751552 
Feb 7
l
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-1A
3
Bolton2812106946 
Apr 3
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
May 2
4
Bradford261376746 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 28
Feb 7
l
 
2-1A
5
Stockport271377546 
w
 
4-2F
Jan 31
Mar 21
w
 
0-3F
6
Huddersfield2812610942 
Mar 21
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1F
Jan 27
7
Luton2711610439 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
-
-
8
Stevenage261097439 
Mar 17
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
9
Peterborough2712213038 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 3
w
 
0-2F
10
Exeter2611312736 
Apr 11
l
 
2-0A
Mar 17
l
 
1-0A
11
Mansfield251069636 
Jan 27
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
12
Wycombe27999336 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-0F
Mar 14
13
Reading26998236 
l
 
1-4A
Mar 14
Mar 7
l
 
3-2A
14
Plymouth2711313-536 
-
-
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
15
Barnsley23968133 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 6
Apr 25
l
 
5-0A
16
L Orient279513-532 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 17
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
17
Blackpool279513-532 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 14
Jan 31
d
 
2-2A
18
AFC Wim269512-732 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 18
w
 
1-0F
Apr 6
19
Wigan267109-231 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 10
w
 
1-0F
Feb 18
20
Burton268612-1030 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-4F
Feb 21
w
 
0-3F
21
Northampton268513-929 
l
 
0-3A
May 2
Apr 11
w
 
0-1F
22
Doncaster267613-1627 
Mar 7
w
 
1-5A
w
 
1-0F
-
23
Rotherham266713-1425 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 28
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 28
24
Port Vale254615-1818 
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
Feb 28
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Plymouth 21ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Plymouth3 - 0Burton
Plymouth1 - 1Wycombe
Plymouth1 - 4Reading
Plymouth1 - 0Rotherham
Plymouth0 - 1Bradford
Plymouth0 - 3Northampton
Plymouth1 - 2AFC Wim
Plymouth1 - 1Wigan
Plymouth0 - 1Peterborough
Plymouth4 - 2Stockport
Plymouth1 - 0Blackpool
Plymouth0 - 1L Orient
Plymouth1 - 3Barnsley
Plymouth1 - 2Leeds
Plymouth3 - 1Coventry
Plymouth2 - 1Sheff Utd
Plymouth2 - 1Norwich
Plymouth2 - 3Derby
Plymouth0 - 3Sheff Wed
Plymouth1 - 1Cardiff
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APlymouth1 - 0Peterborough
HPlymouth3 - 0Burton
APlymouth1 - 1Stevenage
HPlymouth1 - 1Wycombe
HPlymouth1 - 4Reading
APlymouth5 - 1Doncaster
HPlymouth1 - 0Rotherham
APlymouth1 - 0Wycombe
HPlymouth0 - 1Bradford
HPlymouth0 - 3Northampton
APlymouth1 - 0Port Vale
APlymouth1 - 3Huddersfield
APlymouth0 - 2Mansfield
APlymouth0 - 2Exeter
HPlymouth1 - 2AFC Wim
HPlymouth1 - 1Wigan
APlymouth4 - 0Burton
HPlymouth0 - 1Peterborough
APlymouth3 - 2Luton
HPlymouth4 - 2Stockport
Luton 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Exeter1 - 0Luton
Reading3 - 2Luton
L Orient1 - 1Luton
Barnsley5 - 0Luton
Stockport0 - 3Luton
Northampton0 - 1Luton
Stevenage2 - 0Luton
Blackpool2 - 2Luton
Lincoln3 - 1Luton
Burton0 - 3Luton
Bradford2 - 1Luton
Peterborough0 - 2Luton
West Brom5 - 3Luton
Derby0 - 1Luton
Stoke1 - 1Luton
Hull0 - 1Luton
Cardiff1 - 2Luton
Burnley4 - 0Luton
Watford2 - 0Luton
Sunderland2 - 0Luton
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLuton2 - 2Lincoln
HLuton2 - 1Stevenage
ALuton0 - 1Exeter
HLuton3 - 0L Orient
HLuton4 - 0Wycombe
ALuton2 - 3Reading
HLuton2 - 2Port Vale
ALuton1 - 1L Orient
HLuton1 - 1Bolton
HLuton2 - 1Huddersfield
ALuton0 - 5Barnsley
HLuton0 - 0Rotherham
ALuton3 - 0Stockport
ALuton1 - 0Northampton
HLuton0 - 2Mansfield
ALuton0 - 2Stevenage
ALuton2 - 2Blackpool
HLuton1 - 0Doncaster
ALuton1 - 3Lincoln
HLuton2 - 3Plymouth
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Plymouth since 2006
Plymouth
Luton
Goals: Scored
5
8
Games: Scored
3 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
4 / 7
PLY
2
D
1
LUT
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Plymouth
Plymouth3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Luton
0 - 1Luton
0 - 1Luton
Plymouth1 - 0
1 - 2Luton
League games at Luton since 2005
Luton
Plymouth
Goals: Scored
12
12
Games: Scored
7 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
1 / 8
PLY
4
D
3
LUT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
2 - 3Plymouth
Draw1 - 1Draw
Luton5 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Plymouth
0 - 1Plymouth
1 - 2Plymouth
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Plymouth 21st Luton 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Plymouth will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Luton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Plymouth’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
Luton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season
Plymouth
PG (predicted goals)
Luton
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
PLY
LUT
7%
better
view stats
Games scored18
20
Failed to score8
6
Scored first11
11
Goals scored33
37
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
PLY
LUT
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
16
Clean sheets7
10
Conceded first15
14
Goals conceded39
32
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against16%
20%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+10%

Plymouth v Luton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Plymouth League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261148
M BoatengL TolajM BoatengM Sorinola
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Hazard GLK17
-
J Edwards DEF161
3
1
M Ross DEF201
3
-
A Mitchell DEF20
4
-
B Galloway DEF171
3
-
R Curtis MID1
-
M Boateng MID2624
4
-
J Ralls MID911
2
1
M Sorinola MID2511
8
-
L Tolaj FWD19114
4
1
A Pepple FWD1731
-
Subs
L Ashby-Hammond GLK91
-
K. Szűcs DEF19
2
-
B Wiredu MID22
3
1
A Benarous MID121
1
-
C Watts MID1121
2
-
J Paterson FWD12
-
X Amaechi FWD1231
-
Luton League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25956
J KeeleyG. KaduaL Walsh G Saville
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Keeley GLK
-
N Lonwijk DEF191
5
-
M Andersen DEF2121
3
-
K Naismith DEF2211
2
-
J Johnson DEF5
-
L Walsh  MID195
2
-
J Clark MID207
1
-
E. Lawrence MID2
-
K Palmer MID
-
G. Kadua MID
-
N Wells FWD2123
1
-
Subs
J Shea  GLK1
-
C Makosso DEF11
1
-
C Bramall DEF2421
2
-
L Dabo MID2012
1
-
G Saville MID2413
6
-
S Morris FWD152
-
J Yates FWD2121
1
-