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Port Vale v Luton Town : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Vale Park, Stoke

Luton Town, led by manager Jack Wilshere, visit Darren Moore and his Port Vale side at the Vale Park on Saturday afternoon in the League One. Below there are predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and the best odds. All is accessible using the tabs below.

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Port Vale's next match is v Huddersfield at 15:00 on Saturday 14th March
Luton Town's next match is v Wycombe at 15:00 on Saturday 14th March
The last English League One meeting between Port Vale and Luton was on Saturday 28th February 2026
English League One
February 28th 2026
Port Vale 1
1 Luton
 
B. Waine 29'5' N. Wells
 
PTV
LUT
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
2
3
Corners
6
6
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
21
15
Yellow/red cards
3/0
4/0
 
Port ValeLuton
 
J. Gauci
C. Hall
J. Gabriel
L. Gordon
K. John
C. Humphreys
R. Walters (J. Shipley 77')
F. Ojo
G. Hall (M. Sherif 78')
J. Stockley (A. Gray 66')
B. Wainefootball icon
J. Keeley
K. Naismith
(H. Odofin 80') N. Lonwijk
J. Johnson
(D. van den Berg 71') L. Walsh
J. Clark
G. Saville
(K. Palmer 61') J. Richards
(S. Morris 80') I. Jones
E. Lawrence
(A. Al-Hamadi 61') football iconN. Wells

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Port Vale and Luton have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Port Vale are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Port Vale
38%
2/122/1
Draw
28%
23/101/25
Luton
34%
5/414/1
Draw 1-1
13%
11/21/5
Port Vale 1-0
11%
8/113/2
Luton 1-0
11%
13/29/2
Draw 0-0
9%
8/17/1
Port Vale 2-1
8%
10/18/1
Luton 2-1
8%
17/26/1
Port Vale 2-0
7%
14/112/1
Luton 2-0
6%
10/117/4
Draw 2-2
5%
14/133/1
Port Vale 3-1
3%
25/160/1
Port Vale 3-0
3%
33/122/1
Luton 3-1
3%
18/145/1
Luton 3-0
2%
20/18/1
Port Vale 3-2
2%
33/1150/1
Luton 3-2
2%
28/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
43/4010/1
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
8/111/25
Home 1st Goal
48%
6/56/5
Away 1st Goal
46%
5/610/11
No 1st Goal
6%
8/17/1
BTTS - Yes
48%
4/53/5
BTTS - No
52%
19/205/4
BTTS - Home Win
16%
11/28/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/22/11
BTTS - Away Win
14%
4/16/1
Home/draw
66%
8/131/100
Away/draw
62%
4/111/1000
Home/away
72%
1/39/1
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/31/8
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
9/49/2
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
11/466/1
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/41/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
7/180/1
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/121/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/401/50
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/161/16
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/17/1
Home DNB
58%
6/511/10
Away DNB
53%
8/1313/20
Port Vale win to nil
22%
4/1-
Luton win to nil
20%
11/4-
Port Vale / Port Vale
17%
4/116/1
Port Vale / Luton
3%
25/140/1
Port Vale / Draw
6%
14/128/1
Draw / Port Vale
12%
6/129/10
Draw / Luton
15%
9/29/5
Draw / Draw
17%
4/18/5
Luton / Port Vale
3%
28/145/1
Luton / Luton
21%
11/412/1
Luton / Draw
6%
12/128/1
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Win / draw / win League One table

Port Vale have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 8 and won 6. Port Vale have conceded 43 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 16 matches and kept 8 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Port Vale have played 15 games at home, winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

Luton lay in 10th place on 46 points in the League One league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 6 games. They have scored 21 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Luton have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Luton have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 10 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Port Vale
Luton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lincoln3623853577 
May 2
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-1A
2
Cardiff3622773073 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 3
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
3
Bolton36171361764 
Mar 21
l
 
4-0A
d
 
1-1A
May 2
4
Bradford3619710864 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
5
Stockport3416810456 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 11
Mar 21
w
 
0-3F
6
Huddersfield36167131055 
Mar 14
l
 
5-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
7
Reading36141210654 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-2A
8
Stevenage3515911254 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
9
Wycombe361411111353 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 28
w
 
4-0F
Mar 14
10
Plymouth3616416352 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 25
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
11
AFC Wim3514714-349 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 6
12
Luton3613914148 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
-
-
13
Barnsley3413912048 
-
w
 
0-2F
Apr 25
l
 
5-0A
14
Peterborough3514417146 
l
 
0-1A
-
Apr 3
w
 
0-2F
15
Mansfield34111112344 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
16
Exeter3611916-342 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
0-2F
Mar 17
l
 
1-0A
17
Burton36101016-1240 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
18
Doncaster3511717-2040 
l
 
0-1A
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
19
L Orient3511618-1239 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
20
Wigan3591115-1438 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
21
Blackpool3610818-1738 
w
 
5-1A
Mar 17
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
22
Rotherham359818-1535 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 28
23
Northampton369819-1735 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Apr 15
w
 
0-1F
24
Port Vale336918-2027 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Port Vale 24TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Port Vale1 - 1Reading
Port Vale2 - 2Burton
Port Vale0 - 1AFC Wim
Port Vale1 - 3Exeter
Port Vale5 - 1Blackpool
Port Vale0 - 1Peterborough
Port Vale0 - 1Plymouth
Port Vale0 - 0Wycombe
Port Vale0 - 3Stockport
Port Vale0 - 0Northampton
Port Vale2 - 1Mansfield
Port Vale2 - 3L Orient
Port Vale0 - 1Doncaster
Port Vale1 - 2Stevenage
Port Vale0 - 0Cardiff
Port Vale0 - 1Gillingham
Port Vale2 - 2Grimsby
Port Vale5 - 0Bromley
Port Vale2 - 0Bradford
Port Vale0 - 1Barrow
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APort Vale1 - 0Northampton
HPort Vale1 - 1Reading
APort Vale1 - 2Stevenage
HPort Vale2 - 2Burton
HPort Vale0 - 1AFC Wim
APort Vale1 - 0L Orient
HPort Vale1 - 3Exeter
APort Vale0 - 3Mansfield
HPort Vale5 - 1Blackpool
APort Vale0 - 1Bradford
APort Vale0 - 5Huddersfield
HPort Vale0 - 1Peterborough
APort Vale2 - 2Luton
APort Vale0 - 1Lincoln
HPort Vale0 - 1Plymouth
HPort Vale0 - 0Wycombe
APort Vale0 - 4Bolton
HPort Vale0 - 3Stockport
APort Vale0 - 1Wigan
APort Vale1 - 1AFC Wim
Luton 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wigan1 - 0Luton
Cardiff3 - 1Luton
Huddersfield1 - 0Luton
Plymouth1 - 0Luton
Exeter1 - 0Luton
Reading3 - 2Luton
L Orient1 - 1Luton
Barnsley5 - 0Luton
Stockport0 - 3Luton
Northampton0 - 1Luton
Stevenage2 - 0Luton
Blackpool2 - 2Luton
Lincoln3 - 1Luton
Burton0 - 3Luton
Bradford2 - 1Luton
Peterborough0 - 2Luton
West Brom5 - 3Luton
Derby0 - 1Luton
Stoke1 - 1Luton
Hull0 - 1Luton
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLuton1 - 1Burton
ALuton0 - 1Wigan
ALuton1 - 3Cardiff
HLuton2 - 1Bradford
HLuton1 - 0Blackpool
ALuton0 - 1Huddersfield
ALuton0 - 1Plymouth
HLuton2 - 2Lincoln
HLuton2 - 1Stevenage
ALuton0 - 1Exeter
HLuton3 - 0L Orient
HLuton4 - 0Wycombe
ALuton2 - 3Reading
HLuton2 - 2Port Vale
ALuton1 - 1L Orient
HLuton1 - 1Bolton
HLuton2 - 1Huddersfield
ALuton0 - 5Barnsley
HLuton0 - 0Rotherham
ALuton3 - 0Stockport
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Port Vale since 2005
Port Vale
Luton
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
PTV
2
LUT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Port Vale
Port Vale4 - 0
1 - 3Luton
1 - 2Luton
Port Vale3 - 1
League games at Luton since 2004
Luton
Port Vale
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
PTV
1
D
1
LUT
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
Draw2 - 2Draw
Luton2 - 0
1 - 3Port Vale
Luton2 - 1
Luton1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Port Vale 24th Luton 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Port Vale will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Luton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Port Vale have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-9
Luton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season
Port Vale
PG (predicted goals)
Luton
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
PTV
LUT
34%
better
view stats
Games scored15
24
Failed to score16
9
Scored first9
14
Goals scored25
42
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for10
16
Avg. XG for1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
PTV
LUT
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
22
Clean sheets8
11
Conceded first18
18
Goals conceded43
40
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against18%
18%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+7%

Port Vale v Luton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Port Vale League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28326
C HallJ StockleyG HallF Ojo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Gauci GLK21
-
K John DEF231
4
-
C Humphreys DEF271
5
-
C Hall DEF281
4
-
L Gordon DEF15
3
-
R. Walters MID15
-
F Ojo MID22
6
-
G Hall MID252
2
-
J Lawrence-Gabriel FWD141
4
-
J Stockley FWD203
2
-
B Waine FWD183
2
-
Subs
B Amos GLK7
-
J. Headley DEF171
3
1
T Magloire DEF3
-
J Shipley MID182
2
-
G Ward  MID1
-
M. Sherif FWD41
-
A Gray FWD6
1
-
Luton League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
35958
J KeeleyJ ClarkL Walsh N Lonwijk
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Keeley GLK
-
I Jones DEF1211
-
N Lonwijk DEF292
8
-
K Naismith DEF2811
4
-
J Johnson DEF141
1
-
G Saville MID3023
6
-
L Walsh  MID245
4
-
J. Richards MID1831
1
-
J Clark MID3093
4
-
E. Lawrence MID72
-
N Wells FWD3143
1
-
Subs
J Shea  GLK1
-
H Odoffin DEF8
-
D Berg MID6
1
-
H. Fox MID
-
K Palmer MID101
4
-
A Al-Hamadi FWD7
-
S Morris FWD243
-