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Rotherham United v Bolton Wanderers : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 12:30 BST, AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham

Bolton Wanderers pay League One competitors Rotherham United a visit on Saturday lunch time, as Steven Schumacher guides his men into an away clash with Matthew Hamshaw & co. at the AESSEAL New York Stadium. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are included as well.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 76% chance of Rotherham and Bolton 3 goals or less combined during this League One fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.40.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Bolton coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Rotherham 22%	16/5 5%	10/3
Draw 25%	13/5	11/4
Bolton 53%	8/11 2%	4/5
Bolton 1-0 13%	7/1	13/2
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1	11/2
Bolton 2-0 10%	8/1	15/2
Bolton 2-1 9%	15/2	13/2
Draw 0-0 8%	12/1	10/1
Rotherham 1-0 8%	14/1	10/1
Bolton 3-0 5%	14/1 15%	11/1
Rotherham 2-1 5%	14/1	11/1
Bolton 3-1 5%	12/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 4%	12/1 13%	11/1
Rotherham 2-0 3%	22/1 12%	16/1
Bolton 3-2 2%	22/1	16/1
Bolton 4-0 2%	28/1 12%	20/1
Bolton 4-1 2%	25/1	18/1
Rotherham 3-1 2%	33/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	7/10 2%	7/10
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	11/10 1%	21/20
Home 1st Goal 40%	6/4	8/5
Away 1st Goal 54%	4/7	4/7
No 1st Goal 5%	12/1	10/1
BTTS - Yes 47%	7/10	7/10
BTTS - No 53%	21/20	21/20
BTTS - Home Win 9%	7/1	6/1
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	7/2
BTTS - Away Win 21%	5/2 3%	23/10
Home/draw 47%	21/20 2%	1/1
Away/draw 78%	2/9 2%	2/9
Home/away 75%	2/7	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	1/5 2%	2/9
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	10/3 8%	29/10
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	13/8 4%	7/4
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	4/9 3%	2/5
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	4/1 9%	4/1
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/6 3%	2/13
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	10/1	17/2
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/20	1/20
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/25	1/33
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	12/1	10/1
Home DNB 39%	9/4 7%	21/10
Away DNB 71%	1/3 3%	1/3
Rotherham win to nil 12%	7/1 11%	-
Bolton win to nil 32%	9/4	-
Rotherham / Rotherham 12%	6/1 7%	11/2
Rotherham / Bolton 4%	20/1	16/1
Rotherham / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Rotherham 9%	17/2	8/1
Draw / Bolton 17%	15/4	19/5
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	9/2
Bolton / Rotherham 3%	33/1	25/1
Bolton / Bolton 30%	7/4 5%	13/8
Bolton / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win League One table

Rotherham have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

32 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 8 and won 6. Rotherham have conceded 45 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 14 matches and kept 8 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Rotherham have played 18 games at home, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Bolton lay in 3rd place on 64 points in the League One league table having played 36 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 33 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 11 and losing 6 games. They have scored 50 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bolton have conceded 34 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Bolton have played 18 away games, winning 5, drawing 8 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Rotherham Bolton
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lincoln	35	22	8	5	34	74	w 3-0F	Mar 21	d 1-1A	d 1-1A
2	Cardiff	35	22	6	7	30	72	l 0-3A	l 3-0A	w 1-0F	Apr 11
3	Bolton	36	17	13	6	17	64	Mar 14	l 2-1A	-	-
4	Bradford	35	18	7	10	6	61	d 2-2F	l 1-0A	d 0-00-0	Apr 25
5	Stockport	34	16	8	10	4	56	l 0-1A	l 3-2A	Apr 6	l 2-0A
6	Huddersfield	36	16	7	13	10	55	l 1-3A	l 1-0A	Apr 18	w 1-2A
7	Reading	35	14	12	9	7	54	Apr 25	d 1-1F	d 1-1F	d 1-1A
8	Stevenage	34	15	9	10	3	54	Apr 3	l 1-0A	Mar 28	d 0-00-0
9	Wycombe	36	14	11	11	13	53	d 1-1A	May 2	w 3-2A	l 2-1F
10	Plymouth	35	15	4	16	0	49	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	w 2-0F	Apr 3
11	Luton	35	13	8	14	1	47	Mar 28	d 0-00-0	May 2	d 1-1F
12	Barnsley	33	13	8	12	0	47	Apr 11	w 0-1F	w 3-2F	d 1-1A
13	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	1	46	l 0-2A	Mar 17	w 2-1F	l 3-1A
14	AFC Wim	34	13	7	14	-6	46	d 1-1F	l 2-1F	w 3-0F	w 0-1F
15	Exeter	35	11	9	15	-2	42	w 1-0F	w 0-4F	w 2-1A	w 1-5F
16	Mansfield	33	10	11	12	2	41	d 0-00-0	l 2-1F	l 0-1A	w 0-1F
17	Burton	36	10	10	16	-12	40	d 2-2A	l 1-0A	w 2-1F	l 3-0A
18	Doncaster	34	11	6	17	-20	39	l 1-2F	l 1-0A	Mar 17	d 1-1A
19	Wigan	34	9	11	14	-11	38	d 2-2A	Apr 14	w 4-1F	w 0-1F
20	Blackpool	35	10	8	17	-14	38	l 0-3A	l 4-0A	d 2-2F	d 1-1A
21	L Orient	34	10	6	18	-13	36	w 1-0F	Apr 18	w 2-1F	d 1-1A
22	Rotherham	35	9	8	18	-15	35	-	-	w 2-1F	Mar 14
23	Northampton	36	9	8	19	-17	35	w 2-1A	w 1-2A	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	-18	27	w 2-1F	Apr 6	w 4-0F	Mar 21

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Bolton have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rotherham	0 - 0	Mansfield
Rotherham	1 - 0	Plymouth
Rotherham	1 - 2	Doncaster
Rotherham	0 - 3	Cardiff
Rotherham	2 - 1	Northampton
Rotherham	1 - 1	AFC Wim
Rotherham	0 - 2	Peterborough
Rotherham	1 - 3	Huddersfield
Rotherham	0 - 3	Blackpool
Rotherham	1 - 1	Wycombe
Rotherham	3 - 0	Lincoln
Rotherham	2 - 2	Burton
Rotherham	1 - 0	L Orient
Rotherham	2 - 2	Bradford
Rotherham	0 - 1	Stockport
Rotherham	1 - 0	Exeter
Rotherham	2 - 2	Wigan
Rotherham	2 - 1	Port Vale
Rotherham	2 - 1	Peterborough
Rotherham	3 - 3	Mansfield

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Rotherham	0 - 1	Huddersfield
H	Rotherham	0 - 0	Mansfield
H	Rotherham	1 - 0	Plymouth
A	Rotherham	0 - 1	Bradford
H	Rotherham	1 - 2	Doncaster
A	Rotherham	0 - 1	Burton
H	Rotherham	0 - 3	Cardiff
A	Rotherham	4 - 0	Exeter
H	Rotherham	2 - 1	Northampton
H	Rotherham	1 - 1	AFC Wim
A	Rotherham	2 - 3	Stockport
H	Rotherham	0 - 2	Peterborough
A	Rotherham	0 - 4	Blackpool
A	Rotherham	1 - 2	Bolton
H	Rotherham	1 - 3	Huddersfield
A	Rotherham	0 - 1	Plymouth
H	Rotherham	0 - 3	Blackpool
H	Rotherham	1 - 1	Wycombe
A	Rotherham	1 - 1	Reading
A	Rotherham	0 - 0	Luton

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Exeter	1 - 5	Bolton
Reading	1 - 1	Bolton
Lincoln	1 - 1	Bolton
AFC Wim	0 - 1	Bolton
Stevenage	0 - 0	Bolton
Wigan	0 - 1	Bolton
Peterborough	3 - 1	Bolton
Doncaster	1 - 1	Bolton
Wycombe	2 - 1	Bolton
Mansfield	0 - 1	Bolton
Luton	1 - 1	Bolton
Huddersfield	1 - 2	Bolton
Burton	3 - 0	Bolton
Northampton	2 - 0	Bolton
L Orient	1 - 1	Bolton
Blackpool	1 - 1	Bolton
Barnsley	1 - 1	Bolton
Stockport	2 - 0	Bolton
Peterborough	1 - 1	Bolton
Lincoln	4 - 2	Bolton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Bolton	3 - 2	Wycombe
A	Bolton	5 - 1	Exeter
H	Bolton	2 - 2	Blackpool
A	Bolton	1 - 1	Reading
A	Bolton	1 - 1	Lincoln
H	Bolton	3 - 2	Barnsley
A	Bolton	1 - 0	AFC Wim
H	Bolton	2 - 1	Burton
H	Bolton	2 - 1	L Orient
A	Bolton	0 - 0	Stevenage
A	Bolton	1 - 0	Wigan
A	Bolton	1 - 3	Peterborough
H	Bolton	0 - 0	Northampton
A	Bolton	1 - 1	Doncaster
H	Bolton	0 - 1	Mansfield
H	Bolton	2 - 1	Rotherham
A	Bolton	1 - 2	Wycombe
H	Bolton	2 - 1	Exeter
A	Bolton	1 - 0	Mansfield
A	Bolton	1 - 1	Luton

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Rotherham have beaten Bolton in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Rotherham have not lost to Bolton in 6 consecutive home league meetings

Rotherham

Bolton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

0 / 6

RTH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rotherham
Rotherham	3 - 1
Rotherham	2 - 1
Rotherham	6 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Rotherham	4 - 0
Rotherham	4 - 2

Bolton

Rotherham

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

6 / 6

Clean sheets

0 / 6

2 / 6

RTH

BOL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bolton
Bolton	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Rotherham
	0 - 2	Rotherham
Bolton	2 - 1
Bolton	2 - 1
Bolton	3 - 2

Goal Statistics

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Rotherham United fans, as should a 6 League One matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Bolton Wanderers have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 8 consecutive League One games. Their PG of 1.6 against Rotherham United on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Rotherham 22nd	Bolton 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 40% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 77% probability of Rotherham scoring 1 goal or less	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Bolton will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Rotherham’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-9 Bolton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season

RTH

BOL

26%

better

view stats

Games scored	21		29
Failed to score	14		7
Scored first	13		18
Goals scored	33		53
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.5
Avg. shots per game	8		12
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	12		13
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.7
KickOff rating		+26%

RTH

BOL

14%

better

view stats

Games conceded	27		26
Clean sheets	8		10
Conceded first	20		15
Goals conceded	48		36
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	15%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.4		0.9
KickOff rating		+14%

Rotherham v Bolton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Rotherham League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	7	4	8
C Dawson	S Nombe	J Powell	Z Jules

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Rafferty DEF	32	3	1	5 -
R James DEF	32	1	2	3 -
C Dawson GLK	31			3 -
A Martha FWD	30	1	1	6 -
J Powell MID	28		4	1 -
J. Baptiste DEF	26	1	1	6 1
D. Gore MID	26		1	7 -
S McWilliams MID	26	2	2	2 -
D Yearwood MID	25		1	3 -
J Hugill FWD	25	2	1	4 -
Z Jules DEF	24	1		7 1
D Hall DEF	22	3	1	2 -
K Spence MID	21	2		7 -
S Nombe FWD	20	7	2	3 -
J Benson MID	17	2	2	2 -
L Kelly MID	17			2 -
M. Kaleta DEF	16		2	-
L. Agbaire DEF	12			2 -
K Etete FWD	11		1	2 -
H Douglas DEF	10	1		2 -
S Raggett DEF	9			2 -
T Holmes DEF	7			-
M. Sherif FWD	7	2		-
J Holmes MID	5			-
T Cann GLK	4			-
J. Ayres FWD	4			1 -
J Kayode FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	22	4	10
S Nombe	S Nombe	J Powell	J Powell

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Nombe FWD	7	22	2	3
J Rafferty DEF	3	5	1	1
D Hall DEF	3	7	1	1
S McWilliams MID	2	6	2	3
J Hugill FWD	2	10	1	3
K Spence MID	2	11
J Benson MID	2	4	2	3
M. Sherif FWD	2	7
R James DEF	1	5	2	6
A Martha FWD	1	5	1	4
J. Baptiste DEF	1	2	1	1
Z Jules DEF	1	2
H Douglas DEF	1	2
J Powell MID		3	4	10
D. Gore MID		2	1	2
D Yearwood MID		1	1
M. Kaleta DEF		3	2	3
K Etete FWD		4	1	2
T Holmes DEF		2
T Cann GLK				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1056	54	146
C Dawson	S McWilliams	J. Baptiste

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Dawson GLK	1056		22
R James DEF	993	38	89
J Powell MID	907	37	119
J Rafferty DEF	883	44	103
D. Gore MID	809	49	135
J. Baptiste DEF	786	52	146
Z Jules DEF	633	26	135
S McWilliams MID	560	54	108
A Martha FWD	489	42	104
K Spence MID	462	47	88
D Hall DEF	457	32	65
D Yearwood MID	380	33	71
J Benson MID	302	17	52
J Hugill FWD	274	6	127
H Douglas DEF	255	6	45
L Kelly MID	246	16	38
S Nombe FWD	236	9	109
L. Agbaire DEF	185	10	36
M. Kaleta DEF	176	17	49
T Holmes DEF	151	2	20
T Cann GLK	146		2
S Raggett DEF	136	4	25
K Etete FWD	78	5	42
M. Sherif FWD	42	7	24
J Holmes MID	17	4	8
J. Ayres FWD	17		9
J Kayode FWD	10	1	7

Bolton League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
35	11	8	8
G Johnston	M Burstow	A Cozier-Duberry	J Sheehan

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Johnston DEF	35	1		7 -
M Burstow FWD	35	11	3	3 -
S Dalby FWD	33	9	3	2 -
M Conway DEF	32		2	2 -
X Simons MID	31	1		3 1
E Toal DEF	28	2	2	-
E Erhahon MID	28		3	2 -
J Sheehan MID	28	3	4	8 -
A Cozier-Duberry FWD	28	6	8	1 -
J Osei-Tutu DEF	27	1	1	5 -
T Gale FWD	27	5	2	2 -
T Sharman-Lowe GLK	22			1 -
K Dempsey MID	21	3	2	3 -
I Cissoko FWD	21	1		3 -
C Forino DEF	20			5 -
A Morley MID	20			1 -
J McAtee FWD	18	2	1	2 -
M Forss FWD	18	2		1 -
C Christie DEF	15		1	2 -
J Randall MID	15	1		-
J Dacres-Cogley DEF	13		2	2 -
R Taylor DEF	7			1 -
T Miller GLK	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	26	8	10
M Burstow	A Cozier-Duberry	A Cozier-Duberry	A Cozier-Duberry

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Burstow FWD	11	23	3	3
S Dalby FWD	9	19	3	7
A Cozier-Duberry FWD	6	26	8	10
T Gale FWD	5	19	2	6
J Sheehan MID	3	11	4	4
K Dempsey MID	3	7	2	3
E Toal DEF	2	5	2	1
J McAtee FWD	2	7	1	2
M Forss FWD	2	8
G Johnston DEF	1	5		2
X Simons MID	1	6		1
J Osei-Tutu DEF	1	6	1	1
I Cissoko FWD	1	4		1
J Randall MID	1	7
M Conway DEF		6	2	6
E Erhahon MID			3	3
C Forino DEF		6		2
A Morley MID		1		6
C Christie DEF		5	1	3
J Dacres-Cogley DEF			2
R Taylor DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2367	63	222
G Johnston	M Conway	G Johnston

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Johnston DEF	2367	40	222
E Toal DEF	1746	32	160
M Conway DEF	1370	63	218
J Sheehan MID	1282	27	81
X Simons MID	1063	38	87
C Forino DEF	1011	30	163
E Erhahon MID	913	53	111
T Sharman-Lowe GLK	901	1	12
A Cozier-Duberry FWD	847	37	121
J Osei-Tutu DEF	658	62	181
C Christie DEF	564	15	67
J Dacres-Cogley DEF	495	18	40
A Morley MID	481	11	21
M Burstow FWD	427	17	93
S Dalby FWD	401	20	160
K Dempsey MID	349	20	55
T Gale FWD	331	12	59
I Cissoko FWD	233	10	63
J Randall MID	218	11	24
J McAtee FWD	201	14	37
M Forss FWD	153	13	33
T Miller GLK	109
R Taylor DEF	73	4	13