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Stevenage v Cardiff City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 9th Dec, 19:45 BST, Lamex Stadium, Stevenage

Cardiff City, led by manager Brian Barry-Murphy, visit Alex Revell and his Stevenage side at the Lamex Stadium on Tuesday evening in the League One. Analysing both clubs' last 20 League One matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A real chess match could be in store as Stevenage and Cardiff go head-to-head, with little to choose between the players in terms of who might win. The stats don't provide any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.65 with the bookmakers, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this occasion.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Stevenage are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Stevenage 40%	2.55	2.60
Draw 31%	3.10	3.30
Cardiff 29%	2.63	2.75
Stevenage 1-0 15%	8.00	7.00
Draw 0-0 14%	8.50	7.50
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00	6.00
Cardiff 1-0 12%	8.00	7.50
Stevenage 2-0 8%	12.00	11.00
Stevenage 2-1 7%	10.00	8.50
Cardiff 2-1 6%	10.00	9.50
Cardiff 2-0 5%	13.00	11.00
Draw 2-2 3%	15.00	13.00
Stevenage 3-0 3%	26.00	21.00
Stevenage 3-1 3%	21.00	17.00
Cardiff 3-1 2%	23.00	17.00
Cardiff 3-0 2%	26.00	21.00
Stevenage 3-2 1%	34.00	23.00
Cardiff 3-2 1%	34.00	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 32%	2.10	2.10
Under 2.5 Goals 68%	1.70	1.67
Home 1st Goal 48%	2.00	2.00
Away 1st Goal 42%	2.00	2.05
No 1st Goal 9%	8.50	7.50
BTTS - Yes 39%	1.80	1.85
BTTS - No 61%	1.95	1.85
BTTS - Home Win 13%	5.50	5.00
BTTS - Draw 17%	4.33	4.40
BTTS - Away Win 9%	5.50	5.25
Home/draw 71%	1.40	1.44
Away/draw 60%	1.44	1.48
Home/away 69%	1.33	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals 59%	1.33	1.36
Under 1.5 Goals 41%	3.25	2.90
Over 3.5 Goals 14%	3.75	3.70
Under 3.5 Goals 86%	1.25	1.25
Over 4.5 Goals 5%	8.00	7.00
Under 4.5 Goals 95%	1.08	1.07
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	19.00	15.00
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1.02	1.01
Over 0.5 Goals 86%	1.07	1.07
Under 0.5 Goals 14%	9.00	7.50
Home DNB 62%	1.83	1.80
Away DNB 51%	1.83	1.91
Stevenage win to nil 27%	4.33	-
Cardiff win to nil 20%	4.33	-
Stevenage / Stevenage 19%	4.33	4.00
Stevenage / Cardiff 3%	29.00	23.00
Stevenage / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00
Draw / Stevenage 14%	6.00	5.75
Draw / Cardiff 13%	6.00	6.00
Draw / Draw 17%	4.75	4.40
Cardiff / Stevenage 3%	29.00	21.00
Cardiff / Cardiff 19%	4.33	4.20
Cardiff / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Win / draw / win League One table

Stevenage have played 16 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Stevenage are unbeaten in 1 games against teams above them in the league and kept zero clean sheets out of 1 games. Stevenage are winless in the 1 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game. Stevenage are unbeaten at home after 7 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn 1 and won zero. Stevenage have conceded 1 goal, scored 1, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stevenage have played 7 games at home, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 2 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Cardiff lay in 1st place on 35 points in the League One league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 31 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Cardiff have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Cardiff have played 8 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Stevenage Cardiff
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Cardiff	17	11	2	4	14	35	Dec 9	Dec 29	-	-
2	Bradford	18	9	7	2	8	34	d 1-1A	Apr 11	l 1-3A	Jan 17
3	Stevenage	16	9	4	3	8	31	-	-	Dec 29	Dec 9
4	Lincoln	18	9	4	5	5	31	Apr 18	l 1-0A	Mar 7	Dec 20
5	Stockport	17	8	5	4	2	29	Feb 28	Dec 13	Jan 24	d 1-1A
6	Bolton	17	7	7	3	8	28	Jan 20	Mar 28	Apr 11	l 1-0A
7	Luton	18	8	3	7	-1	27	w 2-0F	Jan 10	Feb 14	w 0-1F
8	Huddersfield	18	8	2	8	2	26	Feb 14	l 1-0A	w 3-2F	Mar 28
9	AFC Wim	17	8	2	7	-2	26	Mar 14	Dec 26	Feb 17	w 0-1F
10	Barnsley	15	7	4	4	7	25	-	Jan 31	Jan 27	-
11	Wigan	18	6	7	5	1	25	May 2	d 0-00-0	Jan 4	w 0-2F
12	Wycombe	18	6	6	6	6	24	w 1-0F	Feb 21	Mar 17	Jan 1
13	L Orient	18	7	3	8	0	24	Jan 4	w 2-3A	w 4-3F	Jan 10
14	Rotherham	18	6	6	6	0	24	w 1-0F	Apr 3	w 3-0F	Feb 7
15	Northampton	17	7	2	8	-1	23	w 2-0F	Feb 7	Apr 25	w 1-3F
16	Mansfield	17	6	4	7	0	22	Jan 24	d 1-1F	w 3-0F	May 2
17	Reading	17	5	7	5	0	22	Mar 21	l 1-0A	w 2-1A	Apr 18
18	Doncaster	18	6	4	8	-7	22	d 0-00-0	Apr 25	Dec 13	Feb 28
19	Burton	18	6	4	8	-8	22	Dec 20	Mar 7	l 0-1A	Jan 31
20	Exeter	17	5	2	10	-2	17	w 2-1F	Jan 17	Dec 26	Mar 14
21	Peterborough	17	5	1	11	-6	16	Jan 27	w 0-1F	w 2-1A	Apr 6
22	Blackpool	18	4	4	10	-11	16	Apr 6	w 2-3A	Mar 21	l 3-1A
23	Plymouth	18	5	1	12	-13	16	Jan 1	Mar 17	w 4-0F	Feb 21
24	Port Vale	18	3	5	10	-10	14	Feb 17	w 1-2A	Apr 3	d 0-00-0

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Win / draw / win form

Stevenage have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games

Stevenage have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stevenage	0 - 0	Doncaster
Stevenage	1 - 1	Bradford
Stevenage	2 - 0	Luton
Stevenage	2 - 1	Exeter
Stevenage	1 - 0	Wycombe
Stevenage	2 - 0	Northampton
Stevenage	1 - 0	Rotherham
Stevenage	1 - 1	Rotherham
Stevenage	0 - 1	Birmingham
Stevenage	1 - 3	Blackpool
Stevenage	3 - 1	Crawley
Stevenage	1 - 1	Mansfield
Stevenage	1 - 2	Huddersfield
Stevenage	0 - 1	Burton
Stevenage	1 - 1	Peterborough
Stevenage	4 - 1	Exeter
Stevenage	1 - 2	Wigan
Stevenage	3 - 0	Bristol R
Stevenage	0 - 3	Wycombe
Stevenage	2 - 1	Stockport

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Stevenage	0 - 0	Wigan
A	Stevenage	1 - 0	Peterborough
H	Stevenage	0 - 0	Doncaster
A	Stevenage	0 - 1	Reading
H	Stevenage	1 - 1	Bradford
A	Stevenage	0 - 1	Lincoln
H	Stevenage	2 - 0	Luton
A	Stevenage	3 - 2	L Orient
H	Stevenage	2 - 1	Exeter
A	Stevenage	1 - 1	Mansfield
H	Stevenage	1 - 0	Wycombe
A	Stevenage	0 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Stevenage	2 - 1	Port Vale
H	Stevenage	2 - 0	Northampton
H	Stevenage	1 - 0	Rotherham
A	Stevenage	3 - 2	Blackpool
A	Stevenage	1 - 1	Bolton
H	Stevenage	1 - 1	Rotherham
H	Stevenage	0 - 1	Birmingham
A	Stevenage	1 - 0	Bristol R

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Northampton	1 - 3	Cardiff
Blackpool	3 - 1	Cardiff
Bolton	1 - 0	Cardiff
Wigan	0 - 2	Cardiff
Stockport	1 - 1	Cardiff
Luton	0 - 1	Cardiff
AFC Wim	0 - 1	Cardiff
Port Vale	0 - 0	Cardiff
Norwich	4 - 2	Cardiff
Sheff Utd	2 - 0	Cardiff
Preston	2 - 2	Cardiff
QPR	0 - 0	Cardiff
Blackburn	1 - 2	Cardiff
Sunderland	2 - 1	Cardiff
Plymouth	1 - 1	Cardiff
Portsmouth	2 - 1	Cardiff
Leeds	7 - 0	Cardiff
Millwall	2 - 2	Cardiff
M'Boro	1 - 1	Cardiff
Watford	1 - 2	Cardiff

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Cardiff	3 - 2	Huddersfield
H	Cardiff	3 - 0	Mansfield
A	Cardiff	3 - 1	Northampton
A	Cardiff	1 - 3	Blackpool
A	Cardiff	0 - 1	Bolton
H	Cardiff	2 - 1	Reading
H	Cardiff	4 - 3	L Orient
H	Cardiff	0 - 1	Burton
A	Cardiff	2 - 0	Wigan
H	Cardiff	1 - 3	Bradford
A	Cardiff	1 - 1	Stockport
H	Cardiff	4 - 0	Plymouth
A	Cardiff	1 - 0	Luton
A	Cardiff	1 - 0	AFC Wim
H	Cardiff	3 - 0	Rotherham
A	Cardiff	0 - 0	Port Vale
H	Cardiff	2 - 1	Peterborough
A	Cardiff	2 - 4	Norwich
H	Cardiff	0 - 0	West Brom
H	Cardiff	1 - 1	Oxford Utd

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Stevenage of late. It has been 6 League One games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Tuesday evening against Cardiff City.

With a PG of just 0.9, Cardiff City look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Stevenage haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive League One matches, and it could be a long evening for B. Barry-Murphy's men.

	Stevenage 2nd	Cardiff 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Stevenage will score no more than 1 goal	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Cardiff scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Stevenage’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+5 Cardiff’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season

STV

CAR

19%

better

view stats

Games scored	11		13
Failed to score	5		3
Scored first	7		8
Goals scored	19		28
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.6
Avg. shots per game	7		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	17		17
Avg. XG for	1		1.7
KickOff rating		+19%

10%

better

STV

CAR

view stats

Games conceded	9		9
Clean sheets	7		7
Conceded first	7		7
Goals conceded	11		15
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		10
Conversion rate against	9%		10%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.3
KickOff rating		+10%

Stevenage v Cardiff League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Stevenage League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	6	3	5
F Marschall	J Reid	H White	C Piergianni

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Marschall GLK	16			1 -
C Goode DEF	16	1		4 -
C Campbell MID	16	2		-
H White MID	16	3	3	3 -
D Kemp MID	16	2	2	3 -
L James-Wildin DEF	14			1 -
J Houghton MID	14		1	4 -
J Roberts MID	14	2	1	3 -
J Reid FWD	14	6	1	1 -
C Piergianni DEF	13	1		5 -
D Butler DEF	13		1	2 -
G Ahadme FWD	13	1		-
P Patterson FWD	13		1	-
D Phillips MID	11			3 -
L Freestone DEF	10	1		4 -
B Lubala FWD	10			1 -
D Sweeney DEF	9			1 -
J Pattenden DEF	8			-
L Thompson MID	4			-
J Malcolm FWD	2			-
S Earley DEF	1			-
L. Orford MID	1			-
J Young FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	14	3	5
J Reid	J Reid	H White	H White

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Reid FWD	6	14	1
H White MID	3	6	3	5
C Campbell MID	2	3		1
D Kemp MID	2	8	2	2
J Roberts MID	2	4	1	3
C Goode DEF	1	3
C Piergianni DEF	1	2		1
G Ahadme FWD	1	3
L Freestone DEF	1	1
J Houghton MID			1	1
D Butler DEF			1
P Patterson FWD		4	1	2
D Phillips MID		1
B Lubala FWD		7
D Sweeney DEF				1
S Earley DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
556	34	138
H White	L James-Wildin	C Goode

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H White MID	556	18	53
F Marschall GLK	522		18
C Piergianni DEF	485	10	110
C Goode DEF	479	20	138
L James-Wildin DEF	397	34	63
D Kemp MID	311	14	53
D Butler DEF	292	16	52
J Houghton MID	275	32	72
L Freestone DEF	242	16	58
J Roberts MID	201	20	73
C Campbell MID	161	11	55
J Reid FWD	125	3	44
D Sweeney DEF	121	4	22
G Ahadme FWD	117	3	53
D Phillips MID	110	15	30
B Lubala FWD	91	6	43
J Pattenden DEF	78	5	25
P Patterson FWD	74	6	17
L Thompson MID	38	5	14
S Earley DEF	28	2	6
J Malcolm FWD	8		1
L. Orford MID	3
J Young FWD	2	1	1

Cardiff League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	9	6	4
J Bagan	Y Salech	R. Kpakio	J Bagan

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Bagan DEF	17		2	4 -
Y Salech FWD	17	9	2	2 -
N Trott GLK	16			1 -
R. Kpakio DEF	16	1	6	3 -
J Colwill MID	16	1		3 -
C Robinson FWD	16	3		1 -
I Davies FWD	16	3		-
W Fish DEF	15	1		1 -
R Wintle MID	15	1	2	1 -
D Turnbull MID	15		3	-
C. Ashford MID	15	2	2	-
R Colwill MID	15	3	3	3 -
D. Lawlor DEF	14	1		2 -
C Willock FWD	14	3	3	2 -
P Ng DEF	10	1		2 -
C Chambers DEF	9			2 -
O Kellyman MID	9	1		-
G Osho DEF	5			1 -
A Robertson MID	5			1 -
O Tanner FWD	4		1	1 -
T. Nyakuhwa FWD	3			-
M. Turner GLK	1			1 -
E King MID	1			-
D. Mafico MID	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	20	6	7
Y Salech	Y Salech	R. Kpakio	J Bagan

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Salech FWD	9	20	2	3
C Robinson FWD	3	6		1
I Davies FWD	3	3		1
R Colwill MID	3	16	3	5
C Willock FWD	3	7	3	3
C. Ashford MID	2	9	2	3
R. Kpakio DEF	1	4	6	3
J Colwill MID	1	3
W Fish DEF	1	1		1
R Wintle MID	1	4	2	2
D. Lawlor DEF	1	2		1
P Ng DEF	1	3		1
O Kellyman MID	1	2		1
J Bagan DEF			2	7
D Turnbull MID		4	3	2
C Chambers DEF		1		1
A Robertson MID		1		1
O Tanner FWD		2	1	3
T. Nyakuhwa FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
951	29	90
J Bagan	J Bagan	Y Salech

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Bagan DEF	951	29	71
W Fish DEF	832	11	53
R Wintle MID	806	12	51
D. Lawlor DEF	800	11	48
R Colwill MID	596	18	72
N Trott GLK	563		6
R. Kpakio DEF	533	21	62
D Turnbull MID	531	13	24
P Ng DEF	365	14	37
C Chambers DEF	350	7	26
J Colwill MID	315	14	59
C Willock FWD	290	16	39
C. Ashford MID	281	11	44
Y Salech FWD	199	5	90
G Osho DEF	185	6	20
A Robertson MID	144	6	16
C Robinson FWD	122	2	10
O Kellyman MID	122	11	32
I Davies FWD	109	10	28
O Tanner FWD	92	4	14
M. Turner GLK	33
T. Nyakuhwa FWD	28	4	7
D. Mafico MID	20		1
E King MID			1