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Stevenage v Northampton Town : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 3rd Dec, 19:45 BST, Lamex Stadium, Stevenage

Alex Revell's Stevenage side are on home soil in the League One on Tuesday evening, as Jon Brady's Northampton Town visit the Lamex Stadium. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's unlikely that this game will have 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics align with our predictive algorithm on this one. Stevenage and Northampton have seldom treated their fans to a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in League One individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite WDW or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Stevenage are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stevenage
45%
17/20
3%
17/20
1%
Draw
28%
12/5
3%
12/5
Northampton
28%
3/1
11%
10/3
6%
Stevenage 1-0
13%
5/1
9%
19/4
10%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
7%
11/2
Draw 0-0
10%
7/1
7%
13/2
7%
Northampton 1-0
10%
17/28/1
Stevenage 2-0
9%
7/1
7%
13/2
7%
Stevenage 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Northampton 2-1
6%
14/111/1
8%
Northampton 2-0
5%
20/116/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Stevenage 3-0
4%
14/112/1
8%
Stevenage 3-1
4%
16/112/1
Northampton 3-1
2%
40/128/1
Stevenage 3-2
2%
33/122/1
12%
Northampton 3-0
2%
40/1
20%
33/1
17%
Northampton 3-2
1%
40/1
20%
33/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
6/5
6%
6/5
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
13/20
5%
8/13
3%
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
7/4
11%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
7/1
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
1/1
9%
21/20
5%
BTTS - No
54%
3/4
8%
7/10
5%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
15/410/3
2%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
9%
19/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8/1
18%
7/1
11%
Home/draw
72%
2/9
3%
2/9
3%
Away/draw
55%
10/11
2%
10/11
2%
Home/away
72%
3/10
1%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
7/4
5%
9/5
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
3/1
11%
29/10
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
2/9
3%
2/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
8/1
18%
7/1
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/14
2%
1/16
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/1
9%
14/1
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/661/150
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/14
1%
1/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/1
20%
13/2
7%
Home DNB
64%
4/11
5%
7/20
4%
Away DNB
47%
2/1
12%
2/1
6%
Stevenage win to nil
28%
7/4
5%
-
Northampton win to nil
17%
11/2-
Stevenage / Stevenage
27%
21/10
8%
19/10
4%
Stevenage / Northampton
2%
40/128/1
15%
Stevenage / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Stevenage
18%
7/2
4%
17/5
2%
Draw / Northampton
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
6%
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
6%
7/2
2%
Northampton / Stevenage
3%
25/120/1
Northampton / Northampton
12%
6/1
18%
11/2
7%
Northampton / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
bet365
Win / draw / win League One table

Stevenage have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 17th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 19 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Stevenage have played 9 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 8 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Northampton are in 18th position in the League One on 18 points having played 17 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Northampton have conceded 23 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Stevenage
Northampton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Wycombe1612221838 
Dec 26
Apr 12
l
 
1-2F
Jan 25
2
Wrexham1710431534 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 28
Feb 15
l
 
4-1A
3
Birmingham1510321333 
Mar 22
-
Mar 15
d
 
1-1A
4
Stockport178631230 
Dec 14
Apr 1
Mar 4
d
 
1-1A
5
Huddersfield169251029 
Mar 1
l
 
2-1A
Feb 1
w
 
1-3F
6
Barnsley17764427 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 25
Jan 11
d
 
2-2A
7
Reading16835227 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
Apr 12
Dec 26
8
Bolton16835-127 
l
 
1-4A
May 3
l
 
2-4A
Jan 28
9
Lincoln17755226 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 4
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
10
Mansfield15735324 
Mar 8
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
Feb 8
11
Exeter16727-123 
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
12
Charlton16646022 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
Dec 21
Apr 18
13
Peterborough16637321 
Feb 15
l
 
2-1A
Dec 9
Apr 5
14
Bristol R17638-621 
Dec 29
Apr 21
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
15
Wigan16556220 
Jan 18
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
l
 
2-1A
16
Blackpool17557-620 
Apr 18
Dec 21
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
17
Stevenage 16547-519 
-
-
Jan 1
Dec 3
18
Northampton 17467-418 
Dec 3
Jan 1
-
-
19
Rotherham16457-517 
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
Apr 1
Dec 14
20
Crawley17449-1216 
Apr 5
Dec 7
w
 
3-0F
Apr 26
21
L Orient16439-615 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
22
Cambridge16349-1113 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 4
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
23
Shrewsbury163211-1311 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
Apr 21
Dec 29
24
Burton161510-148 
Jan 11
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 4
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
5
Stevenage have not won in 5 consecutive league games
6
Northampton have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Stevenage 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Northampton 18TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Stevenage since 2010
Stevenage
Northampton
Goals: Scored
11
13
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
STV
2
NHT
6
League games at Northampton since 2011
Northampton
Stevenage
Goals: Scored
11
4
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
STV
1
D
2
NHT
5
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Stevenage of late. It has been 11 League One games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Tuesday evening against Northampton Town.

Stevenage 17th Northampton 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Stevenage will score no more than 1 goal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Northampton scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-36
Stevenage have scored 36% fewer goals at home than predicted
+8
Northampton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280854/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Stevenage
PG (predicted goals)
Northampton
1.3
1
Attack rating
STV
NHT
18%
better
view stats
Games scored9
12
Failed to score7
5
Scored first6
5
Goals scored11
19
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.1
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for11
15
Avg. XG for0.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
18%
better
STV
NHT
view stats
Games conceded8
12
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first7
9
Goals conceded16
23
Avg. goals conceded1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded6
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.8
KickOff rating
+18%

Stevenage v Northampton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Stevenage League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15326
C PiergianniE ListH WhiteL Thompson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H White MID1612
3
-
C Piergianni DEF151
4
-
D Phillips MID15
4
-
D Kemp MID152
1
-
D Butler DEF14
4
-
J Roberts MID141
5
-
M. Cooper GLK13
-
L Thompson MID1322
6
-
T Simpson FWD13
1
-
E List FWD133
-
L James-Wildin DEF12
2
-
J Reid FWD122
-
N Freeman MID111
-
E King MID10
1
-
K Smith DEF8
2
-
L Freestone DEF8
3
-
J Young FWD81
-
N Thompson DEF7
1
-
C Goode DEF4
-
D Sweeney DEF4
1
-
A Pressley FWD4
1
-
L Appéré FWD3
-
T Ashby-Hammond GLK2
-
K. Aboh FWD2
1
-
Northampton League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17434
L BurgeC McGeehan T FosuJ Guthrie
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Burge GLK17
-
J Guthrie DEF1712
4
-
M Pinnock FWD1722
3
-
C McGeehan  MID1641
4
-
S Hoskins FWD1511
3
-
A Odimayo DEF14
2
1
T Fosu FWD1433
1
-
J Baldwin DEF131
3
-
S. Chouchane MID131
3
-
T Roberts MID121
2
1
L McCarron DEF111
-
W Hondermarck MID11
1
-
J Sowerby MID10
1
-
A McGowan DEF91
1
-
B Fox MID9
3
-
T Eaves FWD82
-
T Magloire DEF71
-
C Morton FWD711
-
L Mbete DEF6
2
-
J Willis DEF5
-
P Brough DEF3
1
-
J Wilson FWD3
-
A Koiki DEF2
-
M Dibley-Dias MID2
-
N Tzanev GLK1
-