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Wrexham v Birmingham City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Jan, 20:00 BST, STōK Cae Ras, Wrexham

Wrexham and their manager Phil Parkinson will be looking to get one over on Chris Davies and his Birmingham City side on Thursday night, as the pair clash at the STōK Cae Ras in the League One. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Wrexham and Birmingham combined during a standard 90 mins. Up to date form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this conclusion, and we think there's a 78% chance of it coming in. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Wrexham are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Wrexham 36%	3.25 5%	3.30 2%
Draw 28%	3.30 3%	3.40
Birmingham 36%	2.15 4%	2.20
Draw 1-1 13%	6.50	6.00
Wrexham 1-0 11%	9.00 6%	8.00
Birmingham 1-0 11%	7.00	6.50
Draw 0-0 9%	9.00 6%	8.00
Wrexham 2-1 8%	12.00 9%	10.00
Birmingham 2-1 8%	9.50	8.50
Wrexham 2-0 7%	15.00	13.00
Birmingham 2-0 6%	10.00	9.00
Draw 2-2 5%	15.00 12%	13.00
Wrexham 3-1 3%	29.00 12%	21.00
Birmingham 3-1 3%	19.00	15.00
Wrexham 3-0 3%	34.00	26.00
Birmingham 3-0 3%	21.00	15.00
Wrexham 3-2 2%	41.00	26.00
Birmingham 3-2 2%	29.00 15%	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	2.10 2%	2.10
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	1.70 2%	1.67
Home 1st Goal 47%	2.40 1%	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	1.73	-
No 1st Goal 5%	9.00 6%	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	1.91 2%	1.91
BTTS - No 51%	1.91 6%	1.83 2%
BTTS - Home Win 15%	7.00 8%	6.50
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.75	4.50 2%
BTTS - Away Win 15%	4.75 5%	4.50 2%
Home/draw 64%	1.67 3%	1.67 1%
Away/draw 64%	1.33 2%	1.33
Home/away 72%	1.33 2%	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	1.36	1.36
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	3.00	2.90
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	3.75 6%	3.70 1%
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	1.25 2%	1.25
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	8.00 11%	7.50
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1.08 1%	1.07
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	19.00	15.00
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.02	1.01
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.06 1%	1.06
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	10.00 18%	8.00
Home DNB 56%	2.25 2%	2.30
Away DNB 55%	1.57 3%	1.55
Wrexham win to nil 21%	5.50 10%	-
Birmingham win to nil 21%	3.50 7%	-
Wrexham / Wrexham 15%	5.50	5.00
Wrexham / Birmingham 3%	26.00	21.00
Wrexham / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00
Draw / Wrexham 11%	7.00	7.00 8%
Draw / Birmingham 16%	5.00 9%	5.00
Draw / Draw 17%	4.75	4.60
Birmingham / Wrexham 3%	34.00	26.00
Birmingham / Birmingham 23%	3.60 4%	3.40
Birmingham / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Win / draw / win League One table

Wrexham have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Wrexham are unbeaten at home after 14 games and have kept 8 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn zero and won 1. Wrexham have conceded 5 goals, scored 4, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Wrexham have played 14 games at home, winning 12, drawing 2 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 28 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Birmingham lay in 1st place on 56 points in the League One league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 42 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Birmingham have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Birmingham have played 12 away games, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Wrexham Birmingham
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Birmingham Away	24	17	5	2	25	56	Jan 23	l 3-1F	-	-
2	Wycombe	26	16	6	4	24	54	w 3-2F	Mar 15	Mar 1	w 2-3A
3	Wrexham Home	26	15	6	5	18	51	-	-	w 3-1A	Jan 23
4	Huddersfield	25	14	6	5	18	48	d 0-00-0	Mar 4	w 1-0F	Jan 28
5	Barnsley	26	12	6	8	4	42	w 1-0F	l 2-1A	Apr 5	w 1-2A
6	Stockport	26	11	8	7	12	41	Mar 22	l 1-0A	w 2-0F	d 1-1F
7	Reading	25	12	5	8	4	41	w 3-0F	-	d 1-1A	Feb 22
8	L Orient	25	11	5	9	10	38	-	d 0-00-0	Feb 25	w 1-2F
9	Bolton	26	11	5	10	-2	38	Mar 1	d 0-00-0	w 2-0F	Mar 4
10	Charlton	25	10	7	8	5	37	Apr 26	d 2-2F	Feb 15	l 1-0A
11	Mansfield	24	11	4	9	4	37	w 1-0F	Feb 23	Apr 26	d 1-1F
12	Lincoln	26	9	8	9	-1	35	w 1-0F	May 3	Mar 8	w 1-3A
13	Rotherham	25	9	7	9	2	34	Mar 8	w 0-1F	Feb 1	w 0-2F
14	Exeter	26	9	5	12	-4	32	w 3-0F	Mar 29	w 1-0F	w 0-2F
15	Blackpool	25	7	10	8	-3	31	w 2-1A	Apr 21	d 0-00-0	Apr 12
16	Stevenage	24	8	7	9	-3	31	Jan 28	l 1-0A	Mar 11	Mar 22
17	Wigan	25	8	6	11	-2	30	w 2-1F	Apr 12	w 2-1F	w 0-3F
18	Bristol R	25	8	4	13	-14	28	Apr 18	d 1-1F	w 2-0F	Apr 1
19	Peterborough	26	7	6	13	-5	27	w 1-0F	w 0-2F	w 3-2A	-
20	Northampton	26	6	8	12	-16	26	w 4-1F	Feb 15	d 1-1F	Mar 15
21	Crawley	24	5	6	13	-19	21	w 2-1F	Feb 1	Apr 18	w 0-1F
22	Shrewsbury	25	5	5	15	-19	20	w 3-0F	l 2-1A	Mar 29	l 3-2A
23	Burton	26	3	9	14	-17	18	Apr 5	w 0-1F	w 2-0F	Apr 21
24	Cambridge	25	4	6	15	-21	18	d 2-2A	Apr 1	Feb 11	May 3

	Promotion
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Win / draw / win form

Wrexham have won 3 consecutive home league games

Wrexham have not lost in 18 consecutive home league games

Birmingham have not lost in 10 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wrexham	1 - 0	Peterborough
Wrexham	2 - 1	Wigan
Wrexham	2 - 1	Blackpool
Wrexham	2 - 2	Cambridge
Wrexham	1 - 0	Barnsley
Wrexham	1 - 0	Lincoln
Wrexham	3 - 0	Exeter
Wrexham	1 - 0	Mansfield
Wrexham	0 - 0	Huddersfield
Wrexham	4 - 1	Northampton
Wrexham	2 - 1	Crawley
Wrexham	3 - 0	Shrewsbury
Wrexham	3 - 0	Reading
Wrexham	3 - 2	Wycombe
Wrexham	2 - 1	Stockport
Wrexham	6 - 0	Forest Green
Wrexham	4 - 1	Crawley
Wrexham	2 - 0	Mansfield
Wrexham	0 - 1	Tranmere
Wrexham	0 - 0	Harrogate

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Wrexham	1 - 2	Shrewsbury
H	Wrexham	1 - 0	Peterborough
A	Wrexham	1 - 2	Barnsley
H	Wrexham	2 - 1	Wigan
H	Wrexham	2 - 1	Blackpool
A	Wrexham	1 - 1	Bristol R
H	Wrexham	2 - 2	Cambridge
A	Wrexham	1 - 0	Burton
H	Wrexham	1 - 0	Barnsley
H	Wrexham	1 - 0	Lincoln
H	Wrexham	3 - 0	Exeter
A	Wrexham	0 - 1	Stockport
H	Wrexham	1 - 0	Mansfield
A	Wrexham	2 - 2	Charlton
H	Wrexham	0 - 0	Huddersfield
A	Wrexham	1 - 0	Rotherham
H	Wrexham	4 - 1	Northampton
A	Wrexham	0 - 1	Stevenage
A	Wrexham	0 - 0	L Orient
H	Wrexham	2 - 1	Crawley

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wigan	0 - 3	Birmingham
Stockport	1 - 1	Birmingham
Crawley	0 - 1	Birmingham
Barnsley	1 - 2	Birmingham
Exeter	0 - 2	Birmingham
Shrewsbury	3 - 2	Birmingham
Mansfield	1 - 1	Birmingham
Lincoln	1 - 3	Birmingham
Charlton	1 - 0	Birmingham
Rotherham	0 - 2	Birmingham
L Orient	1 - 2	Birmingham
Wycombe	2 - 3	Birmingham
Huddersfield	1 - 1	Birmingham
Rotherham	0 - 0	Birmingham
Leicester	2 - 1	Birmingham
QPR	2 - 1	Birmingham
Millwall	1 - 0	Birmingham
Hull	1 - 1	Birmingham
Ipswich	3 - 1	Birmingham
Sheff Wed	2 - 0	Birmingham

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Birmingham	1 - 0	Exeter
A	Birmingham	3 - 0	Wigan
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Stockport
H	Birmingham	0 - 0	Blackpool
H	Birmingham	2 - 0	Burton
A	Birmingham	1 - 0	Crawley
H	Birmingham	2 - 0	Bristol R
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	Barnsley
H	Birmingham	2 - 0	Stockport
A	Birmingham	2 - 0	Exeter
A	Birmingham	2 - 3	Shrewsbury
H	Birmingham	1 - 1	Northampton
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Mansfield
H	Birmingham	2 - 0	Bolton
A	Birmingham	3 - 1	Lincoln
A	Birmingham	0 - 1	Charlton
H	Birmingham	1 - 0	Huddersfield
H	Birmingham	3 - 2	Peterborough
A	Birmingham	2 - 0	Rotherham
H	Birmingham	3 - 1	Wrexham

Goal Statistics

Birmingham City's defensive record is to be admired, C. Davies's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive League One games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Wrexham makes sense in this context.

	Wrexham 3rd	Birmingham 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Wrexham will score no more than 1 goal	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Birmingham will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+14 Wrexham have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted	-5 Birmingham’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.1 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season

WRX

BIR

14%

better

view stats

Games scored	21		22
Failed to score	5		2
Scored first	17		15
Goals scored	38		42
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.8
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	15		21
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.6
KickOff rating		+14%

better

WRX

BIR

view stats

Games conceded	13		13
Clean sheets	13		11
Conceded first	6		8
Goals conceded	20		17
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		8
Conversion rate against	9%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.2		0.8
KickOff rating		+6%

Wrexham v Birmingham League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Wrexham League One squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	6	9	11
J McClean	E Lee	R Barnett	J McClean

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J McClean MID	25	3	4	11 -
O Palmer FWD	25	3	2	4 -
E O'Connell DEF	24		2	5 -
G Dobson MID	24		3	6 -
R Barnett MID	24	2	9	2 -
E Lee MID	23	6	2	3 -
P Mullin FWD	23	2		3 -
M Cleworth DEF	22	5	1	-
T O'Connor DEF	21		1	2 -
A Cannon MID	21	2		5 -
O Rathbone MID	21	2	2	4 -
S Fletcher FWD	20	6		3 -
A Okonkwo GLK	16			-
S Revan DEF	14			1 -
M James MID	12		1	1 -
J Marriott FWD	11	5		-
L Brunt DEF	9			2 -
D Scarr DEF	8			3 -
M Howard GLK	7			-
M Faal FWD	7			-
G Evans MID	5			-
C Burton GLK	4			-
J Mendy DEF	4			-
J Jones MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	17	9	31
E Lee	E Lee	R Barnett	R Barnett

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Lee MID	6	17	2	11
S Fletcher FWD	6	15		6
M Cleworth DEF	5	7	1	8
J Marriott FWD	5	11		1
J McClean MID	3	4	4	16
O Palmer FWD	3	10	2	11
R Barnett MID	2	8	9	31
P Mullin FWD	2	16		8
A Cannon MID	2	3		12
O Rathbone MID	2	3	2	14
D Scarr DEF		1
J Mendy DEF				3
M Howard GLK				2
A Okonkwo GLK				1
L Brunt DEF				1
M James MID		1	1	5
S Revan DEF				3
T O'Connor DEF		2	1	13
G Dobson MID			3	9
E O'Connell DEF			2	11

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1144	60	223
E O'Connell	G Dobson	O Palmer

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E O'Connell DEF	1144	47	199
M Cleworth DEF	1000	34	125
T O'Connor DEF	842	24	82
G Dobson MID	793	60	120
E Lee MID	680	26	91
J McClean MID	673	51	124
R Barnett MID	616	36	97
O Rathbone MID	544	42	94
O Palmer FWD	457	20	223
M James MID	444	21	41
A Okonkwo GLK	394		8
L Brunt DEF	383	21	70
A Cannon MID	378	30	65
D Scarr DEF	276	5	42
P Mullin FWD	227	12	53
S Fletcher FWD	196	6	91
M Howard GLK	175		4
S Revan DEF	126	7	24
J Marriott FWD	97	6	29
C Burton GLK	87
J Mendy DEF	39	2	6
G Evans MID	39
M Faal FWD	19	1	7
J Jones MID	8	2	2

Birmingham League One squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	12	5	6
S Paik	J Stansfield	A May	C Klarer

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A May FWD	24	10	5	1 -
S Paik MID	23		2	-
C Klarer DEF	22		1	6 -
W Willumsson MID	22	5	5	-
A Cochrane DEF	21		1	4 -
M Leonard MID	21			2 -
K Bielik DEF	19	1		5 1
T Iwata MID	19	5	1	4 -
L Dykes FWD	19			1 -
E Laird DEF	18	1	2	3 -
T Gardner-Hickman MID	18			4 -
J Stansfield FWD	18	12	1	2 -
R Allsop GLK	17			3 -
L Harris MID	17	1		2 -
K Anderson FWD	17	3	4	5 -
B Davies DEF	16			1 -
E Hansson FWD	13		1	-
A Yokoyama FWD	9		1	-
S Wright FWD	8	1		-
B Peacock-Farrell GLK	7			-
A Sampsted DEF	7			-
L Jutkiewicz FWD	6			-
L Buchanan DEF	3	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	21	5	24
J Stansfield	J Stansfield	A May	W Willumsson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Stansfield FWD	12	21	1	7
A May FWD	10	18	5	12
W Willumsson MID	5	14	5	24
T Iwata MID	5	8	1	14
K Anderson FWD	3	5	4	14
L Buchanan DEF	1	1
K Bielik DEF	1	2		1
E Laird DEF	1	3	2	8
S Wright FWD	1	2		4
L Harris MID	1	4
E Hansson FWD		8	1	3
L Jutkiewicz FWD		1
A Sampsted DEF				2
A Yokoyama FWD		3	1	4
C Klarer DEF		1	1	3
B Davies DEF				2
S Paik MID		5	2	15
T Gardner-Hickman MID		1
L Dykes FWD		4		8
M Leonard MID		1		10
A Cochrane DEF			1	15
R Allsop GLK				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1776	34	146
C Klarer	S Paik	K Bielik

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Klarer DEF	1776	34	143
K Bielik DEF	1628	32	146
S Paik MID	1333	34	106
A Cochrane DEF	1323	27	88
T Iwata MID	1181	24	62
B Davies DEF	1059	19	80
W Willumsson MID	833	31	87
R Allsop GLK	684		8
E Laird DEF	621	20	108
M Leonard MID	584	25	44
T Gardner-Hickman MID	487	14	47
K Anderson FWD	440	23	79
A May FWD	368	11	42
B Peacock-Farrell GLK	300		10
J Stansfield FWD	241	29	53
E Hansson FWD	231	7	15
L Harris MID	188	16	32
L Dykes FWD	170	7	66
S Wright FWD	116	1	14
A Sampsted DEF	109	5	12
L Buchanan DEF	73	3	8
A Yokoyama FWD	52	2	5
L Jutkiewicz FWD	42	1	15

English League One match betting previews, predictions and odds

Wrexham v Birmingham

Thu 23rd Jan, 20:00

Huddersfield v Bolton

Sat 25th Jan, 12:30

Cambridge v Mansfield

Wycombe v Northampton

Sat 25th Jan, 15:00

Lincoln v Peterborough

Sat 25th Jan, 15:00

Charlton v Shrewsbury

Rotherham v Cambridge

Stockport v Shrewsbury

Tue 28th Jan, 19:45

Bolton v Northampton

Tue 28th Jan, 19:45

Huddersfield v Birmingham

Shrewsbury v Mansfield

Sat 1st Feb, 15:00

Northampton v Huddersfield

Birmingham v Rotherham

Sat 1st Feb, 15:00

Reading v Bolton

Sat 1st Feb, 15:00

Bristol R v Peterborough

Sun 2nd Feb, 15:00

Wrexham v Birmingham City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wrexham have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Wrexham are unbeaten at home after 14 games and have kept 8 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Birmingham lay in 1st place on 56 points in the League One league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Wrexham v Birmingham League One lLine ups will show here when available.

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