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Accrington Stanley v Carlisle United : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 21st Apr, 15:00 BST, Wham Stadium, Accrington

Mark Warburton will be hoping for a crucial away win in the League Two on Monday afternoon, as he takes his Carlisle United side to the Wham Stadium to visit Accrington Stanley and John Doolan. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during 90 minutes. The best odds are below, followed by market-specific form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Accrington are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Accrington 41%	13/10 3%	-
Draw 28%	11/5 2%	-
Carlisle 31%	21/10 7%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1 8%	-
Accrington 1-0 12%	13/2 12%	-
Carlisle 1-0 10%	8/1 10%	-
Draw 0-0 10%	8/1 10%	-
Accrington 2-1 8%	17/2	-
Accrington 2-0 8%	10/1 8%	-
Carlisle 2-1 7%	10/1	-
Carlisle 2-0 5%	14/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1 15%	-
Accrington 3-1 4%	20/1 11%	-
Accrington 3-0 3%	22/1	-
Carlisle 3-1 2%	25/1 13%	-
Carlisle 3-0 2%	33/1 17%	-
Accrington 3-2 2%	28/1 12%	-
Carlisle 3-2 2%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 42%	43/40 7%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 58%	8/11 6%	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	4/5	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	5/4 2%	-
No 1st Goal 6%	8/1 10%	-
BTTS - Yes 47%	4/5 4%	-
BTTS - No 53%	10/11 5%	-
BTTS - Home Win 17%	4/1 5%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	11/2 18%	-
Home/draw 69%	4/11 3%	-
Away/draw 59%	4/7 3%	-
Home/away 72%	4/11 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	1/3 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	9/4 7%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	11/4 15%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	1/4 6%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	7/1 23%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/12 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	16/1 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/40 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/16	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	9/1	-
Home DNB 61%	4/6 3%	-
Away DNB 50%	11/10 5%	-
Accrington win to nil 25%	3/1 8%	-
Carlisle win to nil 18%	4/1 9%	-
Accrington / Accrington 21%	3/1	-
Accrington / Carlisle 3%	28/1	-
Accrington / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	-
Draw / Accrington 15%	9/2 8%	-
Draw / Carlisle 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Draw 18%	15/4 5%	-
Carlisle / Accrington 3%	25/1	-
Carlisle / Carlisle 17%	4/1 5%	-
Carlisle / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win League Two table

Accrington have played 43 matches so far this season and lay in 21st place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Accrington have outscored their opponents by 51 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

Accrington have played 21 games at home winning 5, drawing 10 and losing 6 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 29 goals at home.

Carlisle are in 23rd position in the League Two on 40 points having played 43 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

13 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 32 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

41 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 22 games, drawn 10 and won 9. Carlisle have conceded 64 goals, scored 37, failed to score in 16 fixtures and have kept 9 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Accrington Carlisle
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Port Vale	43	21	13	9	18	76	d 2-2F	l 2-1A	w 3-2F	d 0-00-0
2	Doncaster	43	21	12	10	18	75	l 1-2A	l 4-1A	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A
3	Bradford	43	21	11	11	19	74	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	l 2-1A
4	Walsall	43	20	13	10	21	73	d 0-00-0	Apr 26	d 1-1A	l 3-1A
5	AFC Wim	43	19	13	11	23	70	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F	l 1-2A	l 4-0A
6	Notts C	43	19	12	12	19	69	l 0-3A	l 2-0A	l 0-2A	l 1-0A
7	Colchester	43	16	18	9	11	66	d 1-1F	w 0-2F	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0
8	Grimsby	43	20	6	17	-5	66	w 3-2A	l 5-2A	l 2-3F	l 2-1F
9	Chesterfield	43	17	12	14	15	63	May 3	w 0-3F	l 0-2A	l 2-1A
10	Salford	43	16	14	13	5	62	l 0-2A	w 1-2F	May 3	w 0-1F
11	Crewe	43	15	17	11	5	62	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	d 1-1F	l 3-2F
12	Swindon	43	15	15	13	9	60	d 2-2A	d 0-00-0	l 1-5A	w 0-2F
13	Bromley	43	15	14	14	1	59	l 1-2A	l 4-0A	w 2-1F	d 1-1A
14	Fleetwood	43	14	15	14	1	57	l 1-4A	d 1-1F	l 2-3A	w 1-2F
15	Barrow	43	15	11	17	2	56	w 1-0F	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
16	Cheltenham	43	14	12	17	-9	54	d 0-00-0	l 2-1F	l 0-1A	Apr 26
17	Gillingham	43	12	15	16	-7	51	d 1-1F	w 1-2A	d 0-00-0	l 4-1A
18	Newport	43	13	9	21	-19	48	w 5-0F	l 3-1A	w 3-2A	l 1-0A
19	MK Dons	43	13	8	22	-15	47	w 2-0F	l 2-1A	d 2-2A	l 3-0A
20	Harrogate	43	12	11	20	-19	47	d 3-3A	l 2-1A	d 1-1A	l 1-0A
21	Accrington Home	43	11	13	19	-16	46	-	-	w 2-1F	Apr 21
22	Tranmere	43	10	14	19	-25	44	d 3-3F	w 0-1F	l 1-2F	l 1-0A
23	Carlisle Away	43	10	10	23	-26	40	Apr 21	l 2-1A	-	-
24	Morecambe	43	10	6	27	-26	36	w 2-1F	l 2-0A	l 0-1A	w 0-2F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Carlisle have won 3 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Accrington	3 - 3	Tranmere
Accrington	1 - 4	Fleetwood
Accrington	0 - 0	Bradford
Accrington	1 - 1	Gillingham
Accrington	5 - 0	Newport
Accrington	2 - 0	MK Dons
Accrington	1 - 2	Doncaster
Accrington	0 - 0	AFC Wim
Accrington	0 - 0	Cheltenham
Accrington	0 - 3	Notts C
Accrington	3 - 2	Grimsby
Accrington	0 - 2	Salford
Accrington	1 - 2	Bromley
Accrington	2 - 2	Swindon
Accrington	0 - 0	Walsall
Accrington	1 - 0	Barrow
Accrington	2 - 1	Morecambe
Accrington	2 - 2	Port Vale
Accrington	0 - 1	Crewe
Accrington	1 - 1	Colchester

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Accrington	2 - 1	Salford
H	Accrington	3 - 3	Tranmere
A	Accrington	0 - 4	Bromley
H	Accrington	1 - 4	Fleetwood
H	Accrington	0 - 0	Bradford
A	Accrington	0 - 0	Swindon
H	Accrington	1 - 1	Gillingham
H	Accrington	5 - 0	Newport
A	Accrington	0 - 2	Barrow
H	Accrington	2 - 0	MK Dons
A	Accrington	1 - 2	Harrogate
A	Accrington	1 - 0	Tranmere
H	Accrington	1 - 2	Doncaster
A	Accrington	0 - 2	Morecambe
A	Accrington	0 - 1	Bradford
H	Accrington	0 - 0	AFC Wim
A	Accrington	1 - 2	Port Vale
H	Accrington	0 - 0	Cheltenham
A	Accrington	1 - 0	Crewe
H	Accrington	0 - 3	Notts C

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Morecambe	0 - 2	Carlisle
Chesterfield	2 - 1	Carlisle
Doncaster	3 - 0	Carlisle
Harrogate	1 - 0	Carlisle
Barrow	0 - 1	Carlisle
Newport	1 - 0	Carlisle
Grimsby	2 - 1	Carlisle
Notts C	1 - 0	Carlisle
Fleetwood	1 - 2	Carlisle
Tranmere	1 - 0	Carlisle
Crewe	3 - 2	Carlisle
Port Vale	0 - 0	Carlisle
Bromley	1 - 1	Carlisle
Salford	0 - 1	Carlisle
Walsall	3 - 1	Carlisle
AFC Wim	4 - 0	Carlisle
Colchester	0 - 0	Carlisle
Swindon	0 - 2	Carlisle
Bradford	2 - 1	Carlisle
MK Dons	3 - 0	Carlisle

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Carlisle	3 - 2	Port Vale
A	Carlisle	2 - 0	Morecambe
H	Carlisle	3 - 2	Newport
A	Carlisle	1 - 2	Chesterfield
A	Carlisle	0 - 3	Doncaster
H	Carlisle	2 - 2	MK Dons
H	Carlisle	2 - 1	Bromley
H	Carlisle	1 - 2	AFC Wim
A	Carlisle	0 - 1	Harrogate
H	Carlisle	1 - 1	Walsall
A	Carlisle	1 - 0	Barrow
H	Carlisle	0 - 0	Gillingham
H	Carlisle	0 - 0	Colchester
A	Carlisle	0 - 1	Newport
A	Carlisle	1 - 2	Grimsby
H	Carlisle	1 - 5	Swindon
A	Carlisle	0 - 1	Notts C
A	Carlisle	2 - 1	Fleetwood
H	Carlisle	0 - 1	Bradford
A	Carlisle	0 - 1	Tranmere

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Accrington

Carlisle

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

0 / 4

ASY

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Accrington
Accrington	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Accrington	3 - 1

Carlisle

Accrington

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

0 / 5

CUT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Carlisle
Carlisle	2 - 1
Carlisle	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Carlisle	2 - 0
Carlisle	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Accrington 21st	Carlisle 23rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Accrington will score no more than 1 goal	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Carlisle will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Accrington’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-28 Carlisle have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season

20%

better

ASY

CUT

view stats

Games scored	30		26
Failed to score	13		17
Scored first	16		14
Goals scored	51		39
Avg. goals scored	1.2		0.9
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		9
Conversion rate for	16		11
Avg. XG for	1		1.3
KickOff rating		+20%

better

ASY

CUT

view stats

Games conceded	31		33
Clean sheets	12		10
Conceded first	22		24
Goals conceded	67		65
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		6
Conversion rate against	22%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+1%

Accrington v Carlisle League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Accrington League Two squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	8	7	14
F Rawson	S Whalley	B Woods	D Love

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Love DEF	37	1	3	14 -
F Rawson DEF	37	1		6 1
T Walton MID	36	6	6	10 -
B Crellin GLK	34			1 -
B Woods MID	32	5	7	11 -
L Coyle MID	30		1	11 -
S Whalley FWD	29	8	3	7 -
S Conneely MID	26	1	1	3 -
A. Henderson MID	26	1	1	4 -
J Woods FWD	26	4	1	5 -
C O'Brien DEF	25		2	7 -
K Mooney FWD	25	4		1 -
J Batty DEF	23		1	7 -
S Aljofree DEF	21	2		3 -
A Hunter FWD	20		1	8 -
B. Ward DEF	17	1		5 -
D Matthews DEF	15			3 -
S Quirk MID	13		1	2 -
C Grant MID	11			1 -
C Brown FWD	11			-
J Whitmarsh MID	9	3		1 -
C Caton FWD	9		1	-
M Kelly GLK	7			1 -
D Martin MID	5			-
A Pickles DEF	1			-
L. Trickett MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	21	7	19
S Whalley	T Walton	B Woods	S Whalley

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Whalley FWD	8	21	3	19
T Walton MID	6	21	6	12
B Woods MID	5	15	7	17
J Woods FWD	4	9	1	7
K Mooney FWD	4	10		3
J Whitmarsh MID	3	4		2
S Aljofree DEF	2	4		2
B. Ward DEF	1	1
F Rawson DEF	1	1		1
D Love DEF	1	7	3	15
A. Henderson MID	1	4	1	3
S Conneely MID	1	4	1	4
C O'Brien DEF		2	2	6
J Batty DEF		3	1	11
A Hunter FWD		4	1	7
L Coyle MID		2	1	5
D Matthews DEF				2
S Quirk MID			1	2
C Brown FWD		1
C Caton FWD		1	1
M Kelly GLK				1
D Martin MID				1
A Pickles DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1136	86	311
D Love	D Love	F Rawson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Love DEF	1136	86	175
B Crellin GLK	885	4	27
B Woods MID	876	75	126
S Whalley FWD	723	33	147
S Conneely MID	705	42	127
F Rawson DEF	689	24	311
L Coyle MID	611	58	136
B. Ward DEF	603	35	148
T Walton MID	560	19	207
S Aljofree DEF	526	32	87
J Batty DEF	520	40	100
C O'Brien DEF	469	48	102
D Matthews DEF	410	16	118
A Hunter FWD	346	19	63
S Quirk MID	342	28	62
K Mooney FWD	315	20	124
J Woods FWD	294	10	80
A. Henderson MID	261	11	73
M Kelly GLK	226	1	4
J Whitmarsh MID	132	8	18
C Grant MID	124	4	12
D Martin MID	74	6	11
C Caton FWD	41	3	14
C Brown FWD	39	2	10
A Pickles DEF	7
L. Trickett MID	3	2	3

Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
35	4	3	10
S Lavelle	S Lavelle	C Harper	S Lavelle

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Lavelle DEF	37	4	1	10 -
C Harper DEF	31		3	7 -
G Breeze GLK	27			5 -
T Thomas DEF	27			3 -
J Vela MID	25			8 -
K Harris FWD	25	3	2	2 -
A Davies DEF	21	1	2	7 -
J Jones FWD	21			9 1
B Barclay DEF	20	1	1	5 -
A Hayden DEF	19	2	1	7 -
C Whelan MID	18	1		2 -
C Guy MID	17			1 -
J Ellis DEF	16	1		4 -
E Embleton MID	15		2	3 1
H Lewis GLK	14			-
S Wearne MID	13	1	2	-
C Wyke FWD	13	2		2 -
G Kelly FWD	13	2		2 -
J. Bevan FWD	12			2 -
J Hugill FWD	12	2		3 -
C Scott FWD	11	1	1	-
C McArthur DEF	10			4 -
W Patching MID	10			2 -
M Dennis FWD	10	3	1	2 -
S Fusire MID	9			1 -
E Robson MID	7			2 -
J Williams DEF	6		1	1 -
D McGeouch MID	6		1	1 -
F. O'Donoghue MID	2			-
P Dummett DEF	1			-
A. Dudik FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	14	3	20
S Lavelle	J Hugill	C Harper	C Harper

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Lavelle DEF	4	7	1	5
M Dennis FWD	3	8	1	1
K Harris FWD	3	13	2	14
A Hayden DEF	2	5	1	3
J Hugill FWD	2	14		4
G Kelly FWD	2	5
C Wyke FWD	2	3		6
C Scott FWD	1	2	1	2
J Ellis DEF	1	1		4
S Wearne MID	1	5	2	1
C Whelan MID	1	4		7
B Barclay DEF	1	6	1	5
A Davies DEF	1	3	2	10
W Patching MID				2
D McGeouch MID			1	1
J Williams DEF			1	1
E Robson MID		1		1
S Fusire MID		1		1
T Thomas DEF		4		6
C McArthur DEF				2
C Guy MID		1		5
J Vela MID		4		2
J Jones FWD		7		8
C Harper DEF		5	3	20
E Embleton MID		4	2	13
A. Dudik FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1673	61	252
S Lavelle	S Lavelle	S Lavelle

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Lavelle DEF	1673	61	252
T Thomas DEF	1208	46	247
C Harper DEF	1151	36	85
C Whelan MID	833	30	58
A Hayden DEF	797	21	96
G Breeze GLK	797	2	26
A Davies DEF	664	41	101
B Barclay DEF	643	26	88
J Jones FWD	535	24	81
K Harris FWD	504	36	130
H Lewis GLK	485		5
C Guy MID	478	16	45
J Vela MID	404	31	80
C McArthur DEF	393	12	42
E Embleton MID	354	7	23
W Patching MID	303	10	25
J Ellis DEF	252	15	33
S Wearne MID	236	11	34
C Wyke FWD	198	9	74
J Williams DEF	175	14	33
D McGeouch MID	160	5	8
S Fusire MID	138	11	19
C Scott FWD	123	3	33
J. Bevan FWD	102	14	28
J Hugill FWD	94	10	36
E Robson MID	85	4	9
M Dennis FWD	80	6	35
G Kelly FWD	61	3	36
A. Dudik FWD	3
F. O'Donoghue MID	2

English League Two match betting previews, predictions and odds

Newport v Walsall

Mon 21st Apr, 12:30

Accrington v Carlisle

Harrogate v Fleetwood

Mon 21st Apr, 15:00

Gillingham v AFC Wim

Mon 21st Apr, 15:00

Doncaster v Colchester

Mon 21st Apr, 15:00

Crewe v MK Dons

Mon 21st Apr, 15:00

Chesterfield v Bradford

Chesterfield v Morecambe

Sat 26th Apr, 15:00

Cheltenham v Carlisle

Sat 26th Apr, 15:00

Barrow v Bromley

Sat 26th Apr, 15:00

Morecambe v Harrogate

Port Vale v Gillingham

Accrington v Chesterfield

Sat 3rd May, 15:00

Swindon v MK Dons

Sat 3rd May, 15:00

Accrington Stanley v Carlisle United : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Accrington have played 43 matches so far this season and lay in 21st place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Carlisle are in 23rd position in the League Two on 40 points having played 43 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Accrington v Carlisle League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

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