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Accrington Stanley v Morecambe : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wham Stadium, Accrington

Accrington Stanley and Morecambe clash at the Wham Stadium on Saturday afternoon, with both John Doolan and Derek Adams hoping for success in the League Two. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the stats and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Accrington Stanley's next match is v Gillingham at 15:00 on Saturday 12th October
Morecambe's next match is v Barrow at 15:00 on Saturday 12th October
The last English League Two meeting between Accrington and Morecambe was on Saturday 5th October 2024
English League Two
October 5th 2024
Accrington 2
1 Morecambe
 
D. Costelloe 36'86' B. Tollitt
D. Costelloe 45'
 
ASY
MOR
Shots On
4
2
Shots Off
5
2
Corners
5
7
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
15
14
Yellow/red cards
3/0
 
AccringtonMorecambe
 
B. Crellin
Z. Awe
F. Rawson
D. Love
S. Aljofree
C. O'Brien
N. Khumbeni
S. Conneely
S. Whalley
K. Mooney
D. Costelloefootball iconfootball icon (T. Walton 90')
S. Moore
(C. Brown 82') L. Hendrie
A. Lewis
J. Stott
R. Williams
(H. Macadam 58') D. Tutonda
(J. Slew 76') C. Jones
(H. Hope 58') Y. Songo'o
football iconB. Tollitt
P. Lewis
M. Dackers
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Accrington and Morecambe will score at least 2 between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 74%. The bookmakers have it at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Accrington
44%
11/10
10%
21/20
3%
Draw
26%
12/5
6%
13/5
3%
Morecambe
31%
23/10
12%
12/5
6%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
Accrington 1-0
10%
15/213/2
Accrington 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
Morecambe 1-0
8%
10/1
8%
17/2
5%
Accrington 2-0
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Morecambe 2-1
7%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Draw 0-0
7%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/111/1
Morecambe 2-0
5%
16/1
19%
14/1
Accrington 3-1
4%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Accrington 3-0
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Morecambe 3-1
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Accrington 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Morecambe 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
Morecambe 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
4/54/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
1/119/20
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/6
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
13/10
8%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/67/10
2%
BTTS - No
47%
11/1021/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
3/1
7%
14/5
1%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
17/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5/1
8%
19/4
5%
Home/draw
69%
1/3
6%
3/10
1%
Away/draw
56%
7/10
7%
8/11
4%
Home/away
74%
3/10
1%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/91/4
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
3/113/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
7/4
8%
19/10
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/5
3%
4/11
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/217/4
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/72/15
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
12/1
8%
9/1
Home DNB
62%
8/15
6%
1/2
4%
Away DNB
49%
11/8
9%
7/5
8%
Accrington win to nil
24%
11/4
7%
-
Morecambe win to nil
16%
5/1
14%
-
Accrington / Accrington
24%
12/5
10%
11/5
7%
Accrington / Morecambe
3%
28/122/1
Accrington / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Accrington
15%
9/2
10%
4/1
4%
Draw / Morecambe
11%
13/2
6%
6/1
7%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
5%
Morecambe / Accrington
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
Morecambe / Morecambe
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
5%
Morecambe / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Accrington have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league. Accrington are winless in the 8 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game. Accrington are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won zero. Accrington have conceded 18 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 2 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Accrington have played 4 games at home, winning 0, drawing 3 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

 
Accrington
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Morecambe
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Oct 26
Apr 26
 Walsall10613719 
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
Mar 15
Oct 12
 Gillingham10613719 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
Oct 19
Mar 8
 Barrow10613619 
Mar 15
Oct 12
Feb 22
l
 
4-1A
 Doncaster10613319 
Jan 11
l
 
1-0A
Jan 18
l
 
2-0A
 Notts C10532818 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
d
 
2-2F
Feb 1
 Port Vale10532318 
Nov 16
Mar 22
Apr 1
Dec 16
 Fleetwood9441716 
Feb 1
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
 Crewe9513116 
Jan 18
l
 
1-0A
Mar 29
Nov 23
 Bradford10433315 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 28
Jan 11
l
 
3-1A
 Newport10505-415 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 5
Jan 1
Dec 3
 Grimsby10505-415 
Dec 7
Apr 5
May 3
Nov 9
 Chesterfield10352714 
Oct 26
Apr 26
Feb 8
-
 AFC Wim7412413 
Mar 4
Oct 22
Mar 4
Oct 22
 MK Dons10334112 
Oct 19
Mar 8
Dec 21
Apr 18
 Salford9333-312 
Apr 21
Dec 29
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
 Colchester10253-211 
d
 
3-3F
Jan 25
Apr 12
Dec 26
 Tranmere9252-411 
Jan 1
Dec 3
d
 
3-3A
Mar 1
 Harrogate10325-711 
May 3
Nov 9
Dec 7
Apr 5
 Bromley10244-210 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Jan 28
l
 
2-1F
 Cheltenham10316-410 
Apr 1
Dec 14
Nov 16
Mar 22
 Swindon10154-48 
Mar 29
Nov 23
Apr 21
Dec 29
 Carlisle10217-97 
Apr 12
Dec 26
-
-
 Accrington Home9135-86 
Feb 15
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
Feb 15
 Morecambe Away10046-64 
-
-
Win / draw / win form
Accrington 23RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Accrington2 - 2Port Vale
Accrington0 - 1Crewe
Accrington1 - 1Colchester
Accrington3 - 3Harrogate
Accrington4 - 1Tranmere
Accrington0 - 0Crewe
Accrington1 - 2Morecambe
Accrington2 - 2Notts C
Accrington0 - 3Bradford
Accrington0 - 1Crawley
Accrington2 - 0AFC Wim
Accrington0 - 0Grimsby
Accrington1 - 2Gillingham
Accrington3 - 0Salford
Accrington2 - 1Walsall
Accrington0 - 0Doncaster
Accrington3 - 4Swindon
Accrington2 - 0Wrexham
Accrington0 - 1Colchester
Accrington1 - 0MK Dons
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAccrington1 - 2Cheltenham
HAccrington2 - 2Port Vale
HAccrington0 - 1Crewe
AAccrington0 - 2Notts C
HAccrington1 - 1Colchester
AAccrington1 - 3Newport
HAccrington3 - 3Harrogate
AAccrington1 - 4Doncaster
HAccrington4 - 1Tranmere
AAccrington2 - 4Stockport
AAccrington1 - 2Mansfield
AAccrington0 - 4Doncaster
AAccrington3 - 1Newport
HAccrington0 - 0Crewe
HAccrington1 - 2Morecambe
AAccrington1 - 3Sutton
HAccrington2 - 2Notts C
AAccrington2 - 1Swindon
HAccrington0 - 3Bradford
AAccrington0 - 4Wrexham
Morecambe 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fleetwood2 - 2Morecambe
Crewe1 - 0Morecambe
Doncaster1 - 0Morecambe
Walsall1 - 0Morecambe
Swindon3 - 3Morecambe
Stockport2 - 0Morecambe
Accrington1 - 2Morecambe
Salford3 - 1Morecambe
Newport5 - 3Morecambe
Crewe2 - 3Morecambe
Walsall3 - 0Morecambe
AFC Wim1 - 1Morecambe
Tranmere2 - 3Morecambe
Crawley1 - 2Morecambe
MK Dons1 - 2Morecambe
Notts C5 - 0Morecambe
Bradford2 - 2Morecambe
Doncaster0 - 5Morecambe
Wrexham6 - 0Morecambe
Grimsby3 - 2Morecambe
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMorecambe1 - 1Bradford
HMorecambe1 - 1Notts C
AMorecambe2 - 2Fleetwood
HMorecambe3 - 3Colchester
AMorecambe0 - 1Crewe
HMorecambe0 - 1Newport
AMorecambe0 - 1Doncaster
HMorecambe0 - 1Gillingham
AMorecambe0 - 1Walsall
AMorecambe3 - 3Swindon
HMorecambe1 - 2Forest Green
AMorecambe0 - 2Stockport
HMorecambe0 - 1Crewe
HMorecambe0 - 3Doncaster
HMorecambe2 - 1Barrow
AMorecambe2 - 1Accrington
HMorecambe2 - 3Gillingham
AMorecambe1 - 3Salford
AMorecambe3 - 5Newport
HMorecambe1 - 3Wrexham
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Accrington since 2008
Accrington
Morecambe
Goals: Scored
29
18
Games: Scored
14 / 14
11 / 14
Clean sheets
3 / 14
0 / 14
ASY
8
D
4
MOR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Accrington
1 - 2Morecambe
Accrington3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Accrington1 - 0
2 - 3Morecambe
Draw2 - 2Draw
Accrington2 - 1
Accrington5 - 1
Accrington2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Accrington3 - 2
Accrington1 - 0
Accrington3 - 2
League games at Morecambe since 2007
Morecambe
Accrington
Goals: Scored
15
19
Games: Scored
12 / 14
11 / 14
Clean sheets
3 / 14
2 / 14
ASY
7
D
5
MOR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Morecambe
Draw1 - 1Draw
Morecambe2 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 2Accrington
1 - 2Accrington
Morecambe1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Accrington
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Accrington
1 - 2Accrington
1 - 2Accrington
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Accrington
Goal Statistics

Accrington Stanley's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Morecambe have conceded in each of their last 20 League Two games. A PG of 1.5 for J. Doolan's side suggests that run should continue.

Accrington 23rd Morecambe 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Accrington will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Morecambe will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Accrington’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+27
Morecambe have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281301/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Accrington
PG (predicted goals)
Morecambe
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
22%
better
ASY
MOR
view stats
Games scored6
4
Failed to score2
5
Scored first3
3
Goals scored9
7
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.8
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for12
11
Avg. XG for1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
ASY
MOR
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
9
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded18
12
Avg. goals conceded2.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
8
Conversion rate against27%
13%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+12%

Accrington v Morecambe League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Accrington League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9323
C O'BrienD CostelloeC O'BrienC O'Brien
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Crellin GLK2
-
C O'Brien DEF92
3
-
D Love DEF911
2
-
F Rawson DEF9
2
-
Z Awe DEF9
2
-
S Aljofree DEF1
-
S Whalley MID922
1
-
S Conneely MID91
1
-
N Khumbeni MID8
2
-
D Costelloe MID73
2
-
K Mooney FWD82
-
Subs
M Kelly GLK7
1
-
B Woods MID5
1
-
A. Henderson MID1
-
T Walton MID821
2
-
J Knowles FWD71
1
-
J Woods FWD4
-
A Hunter FWD2
-
Morecambe League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10214
S MooreB TollittC JonesY Songo'o
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Moore GLK10
-
R Williams DEF7
-
J Stott DEF10
-
D Tutonda DEF10
2
-
L Hendrie MID9
2
-
Y Songo'o MID91
4
-
C Jones MID1011
1
-
A Lewis MID91
1
-
P Lewis FWD7
1
-
B Tollitt FWD102
2
-
M Dackers FWD61
-
Subs
H Burgoyne GLK
-
L. Dobson MID
-
A. Fairclough MID
-
H Macadam MID9
-
H Hope FWD71
-
J Slew FWD101
2
-
C Brown FWD1
-